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Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/10

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  • Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/10

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, November 10

    Good Luck on day #313 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    More NFL trends with Week 10 upon us:

    — Denver covered four of last five tries as a home underdog.

    — Falcons are 5-16 vs spread in last 21 games as a home favorite.

    — Chicago is 2-6-1 vs spread coming off its last nine byes.

    — Jets are 6-0-1 vs spread in their last seven games.

    — Detroit is 9-4-1 vs spread in last tries as a home favorite.

    — Cincinnati is 8-17 vs spread in its last 25 games.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) I’m tired of writing about lawyers; Ezekiel Elliott’s suspension finally kicks in this week- he is out for the Cowboys’ next six games, which are against:

    Atlanta-Eagles-Chargers-Redskins-Giants-Raiders.

    Dallas is 5-3, currently tied for the second Wild Card spot in the NFC.

    12) Interesting article on CBSSports.com Thursday about North Carolina’s Theo Pinson, a senior who is the only top 15 recruit from the Class of 2014 who is still in college.

    12 of the other 14 went to the NBA one year after graduating high school; one other played two years of college, another played three years of college.

    11) Baseball’s offseason will be fascinating, but what I don’t want to read are articles where the author guesses what will happen. Let us know when real news occurs.

    10) 149 ballplayers became free agents this week; they don’t have to file for free agency anymore. Players can start negotiating with other teams next week; they can negotiate with the current team from now until Tuesday.

    9) Jeff Van Gundy was saying on ESPN the other night that NBA games are being officiated much better this season than in previous years. Interesting comment- the flow of games is a lot better, this I know from watching games on League Pass every night.

    8) Free agent OF Jay Bruce will be asking for a 5-year deal in the $80-90M range; sounds like agent Scott Boras might ask for a $200M deal for free agent OF JD Martinez.

    7) Lonzo Ball is struggling with his shooting; he is 11-47 outside the arc (23.4%), 24-70 inside the arc (34.3%), 7-13 on the foul line. Not good.

    Ball shot 41.2% behind the (college) arc last year at UCLA, he shot 67.3% on the foul line. Still think he’s going to be a very good NBA player, but the shooting does need to improve.

    6) Duke’s pre-conference schedule is a little shaky; they play Michigan State in Chicago, and they go to Indiana in the ACC/Big 14 Challenge, but other than that, here is who they play:

    Elon-Utah Valley-Michigan State-Southern-Furman-Portland St-Indiana-South Dakota, St Francis, not exactly a murderer’s row of a pre-conference schedule.

    5) The night Wilt Chamberlain scored 100 points for the Philadelphia Warriors in 1962, former Golden State coach Al Attles scored 17 points, the next-highest amount for the Warriors. Attles is 81 years old now and was at the Minnesota-Golden State game in Oakland Wednesday.

    4) Sounds like the Bulls will likely choose Bobby Portis over Nikola Mirotic when it comes to getting rid of one of the two players who got into a fight in practice, which resulted in Mirotic breaking his cheekbone. Problem is, Bulls can’t trade Mirotic until Jan 15, and he is expected to be ready to play before then, so much like Eric Bledsoe with the Suns, Mirotic is likely to sit idle for a while after he is healthy, until he can be traded.

    3) Wisconsin’s leading WR, Quintez Cephus is done for the season with a right leg injury. Cephus has caught 30 passes for 501 yards and six touchdowns this season.

    2) Seahawks 22, Cardinals 16– Arizona scored TD in last 2:00 but PAT was blocked, so spread pushed. Seattle is now 6-3 and half-game behind Rams in NFC West. Cardinals are 4-5 and in deep trouble with an aging roster- they have 11 players who are older than Rams’ coach Sean McVay.

    1) RIP to the great actor John Hillerman 84, who passed away Thursday in Houston. The son of a gas station owner, Hillerman appeared in movies like Chinatown and Blazing Saddles, but is best known for playing Jonathan Higgins, major domo of the estate in Magnum, PI. He was nominated for four Emmy awards for playing Higgins— he won one in 1987.

    RIP, sir.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Friday, November 10


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ATLANTA (2 - 9) at DETROIT (8 - 3) - 11/10/2017, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DETROIT is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      DETROIT is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
      DETROIT is 111-158 ATS (-62.8 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHARLOTTE (5 - 6) at BOSTON (10 - 2) - 11/10/2017, 7:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOSTON is 6-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      BOSTON is 6-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      INDIANA (5 - 7) at CHICAGO (2 - 7) - 11/10/2017, 8:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      CHICAGO is 5-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MILWAUKEE (4 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (7 - 4) - 11/10/2017, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MILWAUKEE is 252-311 ATS (-90.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 1010-883 ATS (+38.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 810-688 ATS (+53.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 515-431 ATS (+40.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 335-277 ATS (+30.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 209-158 ATS (+35.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 407-326 ATS (+48.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ORLANDO (7 - 4) at PHOENIX (4 - 8) - 11/10/2017, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ORLANDO is 39-53 ATS (-19.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 155-115 ATS (+28.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
      PHOENIX is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MIAMI (5 - 6) at UTAH (5 - 6) - 11/10/2017, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MIAMI is 121-157 ATS (-51.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
      MIAMI is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      MIAMI is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      UTAH is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      UTAH is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA CLIPPERS (5 - 5) at OKLAHOMA CITY (4 - 6) - 11/10/2017, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA CLIPPERS are 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
      LA CLIPPERS are 219-268 ATS (-75.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BROOKLYN (4 - 7) at PORTLAND (6 - 5) - 11/10/2017, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BROOKLYN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      PORTLAND is 4-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-10-2017, 01:23 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Friday, November 10


        Hawks won four of last six games with Detroit; over is 7-1 in last eight series games. Atlanta is 3-2 in its last five visits to the Motor City. Hawks lost nine of their last ten games; they’re 2-4-1 as road underdogs. Last five Atlanta games went over the total. Pistons won three in row, six of last seven games; they’re 4-2 as home favorites. Over is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four home games.

        Celtics won/covered eight of last nine games with Charlotte; over is 6-4 in last 10 series games. Hornets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Boston. Charlotte lost its last three games; they’re 1-4 as road underdogs. Over is 5-1 in their last six games. Celtics won their last 10 games (9-1 vs spread); they’re 4-1 as a home favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

        Home side won nine of last ten Pacer-Bull games (under 7-3). Indiana is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to Chicago. Pacers lost their last four games; they’re 3-4 vs spread on road, 0-1 as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Bulls lost seven of their first nine games; five of their last six games stayed under. Chicago is 2-2 vs spread at home; favorites covered three of the four games.

        Spurs won nine of last ten games with Milwaukee (7-3 vs spread); four of last six series games went over. Bucks are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to the Alamo. Milwaukee lost its last four games, is 1-3 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in their last five road games. San Antonio won/covered its last three games, by 7-17-13 points; under is 6-4 in their last 10 games. Spurs are 4-1 as a home favorite.

        Suns won four of last five games with Orlando; road team won seven of last nine series games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven meetings. Magic won three of its last four road games; they’re 1-2 as a favorite this year. Last five Orlando games stayed under. Phoenix lost its last four games; they’re 2-2 as a home underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

        Miami-Utah split their last ten meetings; road team won four of last six series games. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Heat is 2-3 vs spread in last five series games. Miami is 3-5 in its last eight games; four of their last five games stayed under. Heat is 2-1 as a road underdog. Jazz lost their last three games; four of their last five games went over. Utah is 4-2 vs spread as a home favorite.

        Oklahoma City won four of last six games with the Clippers (over 4-2). Los Angeles is 2-4 vs spread in last six visits to Oklahoma. Clippers lost five of their last six games, all at home; they are 1-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Four of their last five games went over total. Thunder lost their last three games; under is 8-2 in their last ten games. OKC is 2-2 vs spread as a home favorite.

        Portland won seven of its last eight games with Brooklyn (6-2 vs spread); last four series games went over total. Nets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Brooklyn lost five of its last six games; under is 3-1 in their last four road games. Nets are 3-3 as a road underdog. Blazers are 2-3 in last five games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Portland is 1-5 vs spread as a home favorite.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-10-2017, 01:25 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Friday, November 10


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ATLANTA @ DETROIT
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Detroit
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
          Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

          CHARLOTTE @ BOSTON
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing Boston
          Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Boston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games

          INDIANA @ CHICAGO
          The total has gone OVER in 14 of Indiana's last 16 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
          Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

          MIAMI @ UTAH
          Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
          Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami

          ORLANDO @ PHOENIX
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
          Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

          LA CLIPPERS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

          MILWAUKEE @ SAN ANTONIO
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
          San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
          San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

          BROOKLYN @ PORTLAND
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Portland
          Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
          Portland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
          Portland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-10-2017, 01:26 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Friday, November 10


            Atlanta @ Detroit

            Game 501-502
            November 10, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Atlanta
            117.171
            Detroit
            119.095
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Detroit
            by 2
            206
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Detroit
            by 9
            208 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Atlanta
            (+9); Under

            Charlotte @ Boston


            Game 503-504
            November 10, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Charlotte
            121.707
            Boston
            121.950
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Charlotte
            Even
            201
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston
            by 4
            203 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Charlotte
            (+4); Under

            Indiana @ Chicago


            Game 505-506
            November 10, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Indiana
            120.311
            Chicago
            114.252
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Indiana
            by 6
            198
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Indiana
            by 3
            204
            Dunkel Pick:
            Indiana
            (-3); Under

            Milwaukee @ San Antonio


            Game 507-508
            November 10, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            114.689
            San Antonio
            124.904
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Antonio
            by 10
            199
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            San Antonio
            by 4 1/2
            206 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Antonio
            (-4 1/2); Under

            Orlando @ Phoenix


            Game 509-510
            November 10, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Orlando
            119.068
            Phoenix
            113.032
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Orlando
            by 6
            228
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Orlando
            by 3 1/2
            224
            Dunkel Pick:
            Orlando
            (-3 1/2); Over

            Miami @ Utah


            Game 511-512
            November 10, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Miami
            112.733
            Utah
            125.294
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 12 1/2
            206
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 3
            196 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-3); Over

            LA Clippers @ Oklahoma City


            Game 513-514
            November 10, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Clippers
            117.657
            Oklahoma City
            122.128
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 4 1/2
            197
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 7
            209 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA Clippers
            (+7); Under

            Brooklyn @ Portland


            Game 515-516
            November 10, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Brooklyn
            116.165
            Portland
            119.273
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Portland
            by 3
            206
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Portland
            by 9
            222 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Brooklyn
            (+9); Under
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-10-2017, 01:27 PM.

            Comment

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