Announcement

**Udog** · 11-09-2017, 02:05 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 10 approaching:

— Minnesota is 1-6 vs spread in last seven post-bye games.

— Cleveland is 4-14 vs spread in its last 18 games.

— 49ers are 2-16 vs spread in last 18 non-divisional games.

— Colts are 12-3 vs spread in last 15 games as a home dog.

— Saints covered eight of their last eleven games.

— Arizona is 5-14 vs spread in its last 19 games.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

d……

13) Funny/not funny story of the day:

A Qatar Airways pilot was forced to make an emergency landing after a passenger found out her husband was cheating on her, leading to a violent reaction in midair; the woman reportedly used her sleeping husband’s finger to unlock his phone and discovered his cheating ways.

Officials say she started fighting with her husband, and also fought with crew members who tried to calm her down.

The flight was forced to land in India on the way to Bali; the woman and her family members were escorted off the plane there.

Morals of this story:
a) Don’t cheat on your spouse.
b) Don’t leave your cellphone within reach of your spouse, especially if you’re cheating.

12) Here is a breakdown of where major league ballplayers come from; players used here are from 2017 Opening Day rosters:
4-year colleges: 43.8%
International: 26.5%
High school: 23.9%
2-year colleges: 5.8%

11) Coming into this year, in five NBA seasons, Detroit’s Andre Drummond was 683-1,793 (38.1%) on the foul line— really bad.

So far this year, Drummond is 30-47 (63.8%) on the charity stripe. I applaud his hard work in the offseason to strengthen his game, but after I added this, he went 0-7 on the line Wednesday against the Pacers, so it is an ongoing struggle.

10) Sounds like Auburn basketball coach Bruce Pearl is on the way out; one of his assistants (Chuck Person) just got fired because of SneakerGate, and Pearl isn’t cooperating with the school’s internal investigation. That not good.

9) I’m wondering how much Dak Prescott’s success in the NFL helps Mississippi State when they recruit young quarterbacks?

8) DeShaun Watson’s injury figures to help the Cleveland Browns, since they have the Texans’ first-round draft pick in April. Now all Cleveland needs is someone in charge who has a clue on how to draft productive players.

7) Vikings activated QB Teddy Bridgewater and put Sam Bradford on IR; both those guys’ contracts are up after the season, so Minnesota has some decisions to make, especially since they’re 6-2 and Case Keenum has been playing well for them.

6) Our country does a census every ten years; so, you know, everyone knows how many people live here. Apparently the 2020 census will cost $15.6B, which seems a little excessive, but that is just me.

5) Royals manager Ned Yost, 63, broke his pelvis recently when he fell while trying to fix a tree stand on his property in Georgia.

4) Joe Buck has a good interview show called Undeniable, on the Audience Network (channel 500 on DirecTV); he has had an interesting cross-section of guests, but why in God’s name would he have Robert M Knight on as a guest? Knight is a bully, a creep; he was a really good coach at one time, but that time has passed. Now he adds nothing but negative energy.

3) Minnesota’s Taj Gibson is the first NBA player EVER to wear number 67; turns out he went to PS 67 in Brooklyn. Used to be in high school, no digits above 5 could be on a uniform, to make it easier for refs to signal fouls to the scorer’s table.

2) How many college basketball coaches spent time at Wednesday preaching to their teams about how they represent their families, their friends, their school whenever they go on a road trip?

Three UCLA kids are stuck in China now after they got caught shoplifting from a Louis Vuitton store. There is no “easy out” for athletes there— this is a foreign country that isn’t real fond of America- they have their own laws, and they’re tougher laws than we have here.

1) Never thought I’d spend an hour in the middle of the night reading up on Chinese law, but that was me at 3am Tuesday night, trying to learn more about the situation the UCLA kids are in. I’m pretty sure Bill Walton is on the mike for UCLA-Georgia Tech game Friday night from China; he is pretty much unfiltered all the time, and he is obviously a UCLA alum, so this broadcast could be interesting, to say the least.

**Udog** · 11-09-2017, 02:23 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 9

LA Lakers @ Washington

Game 701-702
November 9, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
118.601
Washington
120.947
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 11
221
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+11); Over

New Orleans @ Toronto

Game 703-704
November 9, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
119.430
Toronto
122.400
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+5); Under

Cleveland @ Houston

Game 705-706
November 9, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
115.258
Houston
127.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 12
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
228
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-5); Over

Philadelphia @ Sacramento

Game 707-708
November 9, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
123.430
Sacramento
109.647
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 14
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 6 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-6 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Denver

Game 709-710
November 9, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
123.883
Denver
118.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1
215
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-1); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (5 - 6) at WASHINGTON (5 - 5) - 11/9/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 391-457 ATS (-111.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 106-152 ATS (-61.2 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (6 - 5) at TORONTO (6 - 4) - 11/9/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (5 - 6) at HOUSTON (8 - 3) - 11/9/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (6 - 4) at SACRAMENTO (2 - 8) - 11/9/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (4 - 6) at DENVER (6 - 5) - 11/9/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 9

Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Washington, but beat Wizards in OT at home Oct 25. LA covered four of the last six; Lakers covered three of last four games in this building (over 3-1). Los Angeles is 3-5 in its last eight games- they lost in Boston last nite, are 2-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Wizards lost five of last seven games; they’re 0-5 vs spread as a home favorite. Over is 4-1 in their five home games.

Toronto won its last four games with New Orleans (3-1 vs spread); Pelicans are 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. New Orleans won its last three games, all on road, by 5-6-5 points; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Pelicans are 2-2 as road dogs, but won five of last six on road SU. Raptors won four of last six games; they’re 2-2 vs spread as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over.

Rockets won eight of last ten games with Cleveland (7-3 vs spread); Cavaliers are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Cleveland lost five of its last seven games; they’re 2-2 SU on road, 2-0 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 3-1 in their road games. Houston won/covered its last three games; they’re 2-2 as home favorites. Last four Rocket games went over the total.

76ers are 6-4 in last ten games with Sacramento (9-1 vs spread); Sixers covered their last five visits to Sacramento. Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Philly won its last five games, is 7-0 vs spread in last seven games; they’re 5-1 vs spread on road (over 4-2), 1-0 as road faves. Kings lost seven of last eight games; they’re 2-1 as a home underdog. Under is 3-1 in Sacramento home games.

Thunder won nine of last ten games with Denver (7-3 vs spread); over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Oklahoma City is 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. OKC lost its last three games; they’re 2-4 vs spread as a road favorite. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Nuggets won five of last seven games; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-3 vs spread as a home favorite. Under is 4-2 in Denver home games.

NBA

Thursday, November 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS @ WASHINGTON
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games on the road
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

NEW ORLEANS @ TORONTO
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Toronto is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans

CLEVELAND @ HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Houston is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland

PHILADELPHIA @ SACRAMENTO
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

OKLAHOMA CITY @ DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/9

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/9

Comment

Comment