Announcement

**Udog** · 11-06-2017, 07:48 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 9 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Seattle Seahawks -7 (627)- L

5) Atlanta Falcons +1 (715)- L

4) Denver Broncos +8.5 (766)- L

3) Dallas Cowboys +1 (824)- W

2) Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (944)- W

1) Indianapolis Colts +13 (1,675)- W

Season record of top 6 picks: 21-33

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

13) Before we go over this week’s games, some thoughts about today’s shooting in Texas.

If you can’t go to church and feel safe, something is bleeping wrong. 24 people died in a mass shooting in a Texas church Sunday. Do churches need metal detectors? Is this what our country is coming to? Seriously?

I’m tired of offering thoughts/prayers to victims; you go to church to pray, but right now, there are little kids in surgery because a crazy person shot up a church. Enough already.

Jets 34, Bills 21— Buffalo came in to this game +14 in turnovers for season, left +11. Jets ran ball for 194 yards, ended a 3-game losing skid. Jets are only 4-5, but they haven’t trailed at halftime since Week 2. By the way, I vote for the NFL to eliminate Thursday night games and switch to Monday night doubleheaders. Think it would be better for the league.

Eagles 51, Broncos 23— Tough scheduling spot for Broncos, who played in Kansas City Monday night, then had 3rd straight road game here. Denver has now lost four games in a row, scoring 10-0-3-23 points; they’re also 0-4 on the road, losing by 10-21-10-28 points. Eagles won their last seven games, would be #1 seed in NFC if the playoffs started today.

Rams 51, Giants 17— Performances like this get coaches/GM’s fired. Rams scored eight of the first nine times they had the ball- they’re 4-0 in true road games this season. Giants have a lot of interesting decisions to make this fall/winter.

It takes a whole roster for a team to be good; reserve LB Cory Littleton has blocked a punt in two of the Rams’ last three games. Rams’ special teams coach John Fassel is the son of Jim Fassel, who led the Giants to Super Bowl XXXV.

Saints 30, Buccaneers 10— New Orleans won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); their defense is the story. Saints allowed 8 TD’s on 65 drives during their winning streak. Buccaneers have now lost five games in a row, as teams that were on HBO’s Hard Knocks in the summer continue to struggle that season.

Bucs are 0-4 on road, losing by 7-5-3-20 points. Jon Gruden’s name will be mentioned a lot in Tampa this week. Jameis Winston sat out the 2nd half (shoulder), which could be really bad news for the Bucs, who didn’t have a play longer than 15 yards in this game.

Jaguars 23, Bengals 7— Cincinnati ran 37 plays for 148 yards for the whole game- they were 1-8 on 3rd down, Jaguars were 12-18. Total yardage was 407-148.

Jags de-activated Leonard Fournette for this game because he is lapsing with his off-field responsibilities, like getting his treatments for his ankle, and missing the team picture. Jax’ville hasn’t allowed a second half TD in their last four games, outscoring teams 43-6.

Panthers 20, Falcons 17— Atlanta/Denver both played their 3rd straight week on the road, neither team won or covered. Panthers allowed only two offensive TD’s in their last three games- they’re 6-3 with a bye week coming up in two weeks. Saints lead NFC South with a 6-2 mark, while the Falcons’ Super Bowl hangover continues— Atlanta is 4-5.

Colts 20, Texans 14— Loss of star rookie QB Watson was obvious here; Texans’ first TD was scored by their defense. Houston had scored 33+ points in its last five games, but with Watson out, not so much.

Tom Savage led Texans down field on last drive, getting to the Colts’ 10-yard line, but Savage got sacked/fumbled as time ran out. Indy is now 1-4 on the road.

Titans 23, Ravens 20— Tennessee allowed only three TD’s on 30 drives in winning their last three games- they’re 3-1 at home. Teams coming off a Thursday night game are now 10-4-1 vs spread; the Thursday winner is 5-2-1 vs spread in their next game, the loser 5-2, with Miami’s result pending Sunday night.

Redskins 17, Seahawks 14— Seattle ran ball better (148 yards) with new OT Brown in lineup, but they missed three FGs, and lost despite outgaining Washington 437-244. Seahawks also had 16 penalties for 138 yards. Big win for the Redskins, whose OL has been almost totally rebuilt in last couple of weeks. Right now, Seahawks are tied with Dallas for second Wild Card slot.

Cowboys 28, Chiefs 17— Both teams that played on Monday night last week lost road games this week; tough scheduling spot. Dallas converted 7-12 on 3rd down, ran ball for 131 yards as Elliott keeps skirting the NFL’s suspension during the week and opposing tacklers on Sunday. I’m not a big Alex Smith fan; I know his career won-loss record is 86-68-1, which is very good, just don’t think he takes enough chances to ever be a great QB.

Raiders 27, Dolphins 24— Oakland won for only second time in last seven games overall, second time in last 10 meetings with Miami; they’ve scored 26+ points in their wins this season, 17 or less in their five losses. Teams that played on Thursday are 10-5-1 vs spread in their next game, when they have three extra days to rest. Dolphins pushed the spread with a late touchdown. Favorites are 8-3-1 vs spread this weekend; over is 5-7.

**Udog** · 11-06-2017, 07:57 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 6

Hawks won/covered four of last five games with Boston; under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Celtics are 2-4 vs spread in last six games in this building. Boston won/covered its last eight games; they’re 5-1 SU on road, 2-0 as a road favorite. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Hawks won in Cleveland Sunday, anding an 8-game losing skid. Hawks are 0-3 at home, 1-2 as a home underdog. Last three Atlanta games went over the total.

Nets won/covered four of last five games with Phoenix; over is 3-1 in last four series games. Brooklyn covered three of last four games in this building. Nets lost their last four games; they’re 1-3 vs spread as a road underdog. Last three Brooklyn games went over. Phoenix won four of its last seven games after an 0-3 start; they won their last two home games. Four of Suns’ last five games went over the total.

Warriors won five of last six games with Miami, but Heat covered the last four. Miami is 3-0-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Oakland. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Heat lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-0 as a road underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under. Golden State won six of its last seven games; they’re 0-4 as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went over the total.

NBA

Monday, November 6

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Trend Report
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BOSTON @ ATLANTA
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

BROOKLYN @ PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games

MIAMI @ GOLDEN STATE
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 game

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**Udog** · 11-06-2017, 08:53 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 6

Boston @ Atlanta

Game 501-502
November 6, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
120.505
Atlanta
120.036
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
Even
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 8 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+8 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ Phoenix

Game 503-504
November 6, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
114.789
Phoenix
110.890
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 4
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 1
235
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+1); Under

Miami @ Golden State

Game 505-506
November 6, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
116.582
Golden State
136.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 19 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 16 1/2
226
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-16 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 11-06-2017, 10:02 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 6

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BOSTON (8 - 2) at ATLANTA (2 - 8) - 11/6/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (3 - 6) at PHOENIX (4 - 6) - 11/6/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (4 - 5) at GOLDEN STATE (7 - 3) - 11/6/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 120-156 ATS (-51.6 Units) in November games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-06-2017, 10:12 AM

NBA

Monday, November 6

Top 5 NBA ATS Teams:

1 Celtics 9-1 (90%)
2 76ers 7-2 (77.8)
3 Pistons 7-2-1 (77.8)
4 Raptors 6-3 (66.7)
t5 Pacers 6-4 (60)
t5 Pelicans 6-4 (60)

Bottom 5 NBA ATS Teams:

30. Mavs 2-9 (18.2%)
29. Cavs 2-8 (20%)
28. Kings 2-6-1 (25%)
27. Heat 2-5-2 (28.6%)
26. Nuggets 3-7 (30%)

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/6

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/6

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