Announcement

**Udog** · 11-02-2017, 07:36 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 9 approaching…….

— Jets are 17-7 vs spread in last 24 games as a home underdog.

— Chiefs are 10-3 vs spread in their last 13 games.

— Oakland covered once in its last six games.

— 49ers covered nine of their last 11 divisional games.

— Houston is 10-3-1 in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Eagles covered nine of their last eleven games.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) This is what it looks like when an NBA player works at his game:

In the first eight years of his career, Brook Lopez shot a combined 3-31 shooting behind the arc; he is a 7-foot tall center, so that makes perfect sense. You don’t want 7-footers shooting 3’s, you want them closer to the basket.

Then last year, out of nowhere, Lopez was 134-487 (34.6%) behind the arc. Good for him— he worked on his game, and developed a 3-point shot. Still not sure why you would want him that far from the basket, but it makes pick/pops an option.

Lopez is also a career 79.4% shooter from the foul line, so good for him- he works at his job.

12) Greg Anthony/Steve Smith were doing analysis on the Pistons/Lakers game Tuesday, from the NBA TV studios; they were killing Detroit PG Reggie Jackson for not passing the ball enough, then praising his backup Ish Smith when he came in the game.

Don’t hear a lot of criticism like that; Pistons had just beaten Golden State Sunday, but losing to the Lakers wasn’t good. Detroit looked flat.

11) I was very surprised to learn that Toronto PG Kyle Lowry makes $30M a year; hope he buys his agent a Ferrari or a Maserati every Christmas. Toronto has never been in the NBA Finals and Lowry makes $30M a year? Good for him. The NBA is very, very profitable.

10) Brock Osweiler is starting at QB for the Broncos Sunday in Philadelphia.

9) Patriots signed former 49ers QB Brian Hoyer to be Tom Brady’s back-up. Green Bay also tried to sign Hoyer.

8) Cornerback Jeremy Lane failed his physical with the Houston Texans, so he gets sent back to the Seahawks, and the 5th-round draft pick Seattle sent to Houston in the Duane Brown trade becomes a 3rd-round pick.

7) Georgetown’s pre-conference basketball schedule doesn’t have one team on it ranked in the preseason top 25; their pre-conference schedule last year had four top 25 teams on it.

6) wish.com has a patch on the Lakers’ uniforms this year; they’re an on-line shopping site. They said on Pistons-Lakers telecast that wish.com is paying $15M for the patch to be worn this year.

5) Interesting Fact of the Day: Cleveland Browns were going to give Cincinnati more for AJ McCarron that what the Patriots got for Jimmy Garoppolo.

4) Tuesday night’s World Series Game 6 got the highest TV rating of any World Series game since 2009, so thats good for baseball.

3) This was first time since 2001-2 that consecutive World Series went to a 7th game.

2) There are rumors swirling that if the Buccaneers fire Dirk Koetter, they might bring Jon Gruden back to coach in Tampa Bay, which would be more than a little weird.

1- Astros 5, Dodgers 1— In June of 2014, Sports Illustrated had an issue with a cover that said “2017 World Champions” with a picture of George Springer batting in the Astros’ throwback rainbow jersey.

From 2011-13, Houston went 162-324; they were incredibly bad, but they parlayed all that losing into players like Altuve-Correa-Springer-Bregman; now they’re World Champs, winning one of the most interesting World Series in recent memory.

**Udog** · 11-02-2017, 07:41 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 2

Golden State @ San Antonio

Game 501-502
November 2, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
129.814
San Antonio
120.892
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 9
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 6 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-6 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Portland

Game 503-504
November 2, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
112.749
Portland
128.471
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 15 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 7 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-7 1/2); Over

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 2

Golden State won its last five games with San Antonio (4-1 vs spread); over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Warriors covered four of their last five visits to the Alamo. Golden State won four of its last five games; their last three games went over. Warriors are 2-6 vs spread this season, 2-2 as a road favorite. Spurs lost their last three games; they’re 2-0 at home, winning by 8-4 points. Under is 4-3 in their games.

Portland won its last ten games with the Lakers (9-1 vs spread, under 7-3); Lakers lost their last five visits to Oregon (1-4 vs spread), losing by 7-9-18-12-16 points. LA is 3-4 to start season, 1-1 on road, losing by 15 at Utah, winning in Phoenix (1-1 as road underdog). Last four Laker games stayed under. Portland split its first four home games (under 3-1); they’re 1-3 vs spread as a home favorite.

NBA

Thursday, November 2

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Trend Report
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GOLDEN STATE @ SAN ANTONIO
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 8 games at home

LA LAKERS @ PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

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**Udog** · 11-02-2017, 08:49 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 2

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GOLDEN STATE (5 - 3) at SAN ANTONIO (4 - 3) - 11/2/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1007-882 ATS (+36.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 512-430 ATS (+39.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 339-265 ATS (+47.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (3 - 4) at PORTLAND (4 - 4) - 11/2/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/2

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/2

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