Announcement

**Udog** · 11-01-2017, 08:30 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 9 approaching…….

— Carolina covered twice in its last ten home games.

— Buffalo is 5-1-1 vs spread in its last seven games.

— Colts are 3-7-1 in last 11 games as a divisional road underdog.

— Bengals covered once in last six tries as a road underdog.

— Arizona is 4-14 vs spread in its last 18 games.

— Denver is 9-17 as a non-divisional road underdog.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) First of all, our thoughts/prayers to the people who lost friends/family in New York City Tuesday afternoon, in another act of senseless violence.

Not sure what to say really, other than appreciate every day and hug the people you love and tell them you love them.

12) I’m not usually fond of beating a dead horse, but five minutes before the trade deadline Tuesday, Bengals/Browns agreed on a trade, with Cleveland sending 2nd/3rd round draft picks to Cincinnati for Cincy’s backup QB, AJ McCarron. Cleveland desperately needs a better QB

Cincinnati sent approval of the trade into the NFL office, but for whatever reason, the Browns sent their approval in late, and alas, the NFL wouldn’t approve the trade. There were murmurs on Twitter that the geniuses in Cleveland’s front office were celebrating the trade and simply neglected to do their job and send their approval into the NFL before 4pm, as the league’s rules require them to. Oy.

11) Like I said the other day, they should just fire all of them, the whole Browns’ front office. Their coaching staff and players deserve some help, don’t you think?

10) Miami Dolphins are 4-3 and are a playoff contender- they’re tied with Jacksonville for the second AFC Wild Card right now, but they traded their best RB Jay Ajayi to the Eagles Tuesday for a 4th-round draft pick.

9) Carolina Panthers sent WR Kelvin Benjamin to the Bills for 3rd and 7th-round picks.

8) Georgia-Alabama-Notre Dame-Clemson are the top four college football teams right now, as the countdown to the end of the regular season begins. Oklahoma/Ohio State are #5 and #6.

7) Denver Broncos turned the ball over 11 times in their last three games; you cannot win that way. Turnovers are a variable that makes picking NFL games so tough; Buffalo isn’t that good a team, but they’re +14 in turnovers, so they’re 5-2. Denver is -9 in its last three games, so they lost all three games.

Sometimes a QB is called “a game manager” and it sounds like an insult, but what it really means is that he doesn’t screw the game up by turning the ball over, and that is important.

6) The average lifespan of a $10 bill? 4.5 years, according to the TV show Pawn Stars.

5) It is interesting to watch TV and listen to political historians talk about current events and what will happen going forward, as far as investigations, witnesses flipping and then maybe charges being brought upon other people targeted by the prosecution.

If you watch Billions on Showtime, lot of the stuff that happened this week sounds familiar.

Hollywood scriptwriters must be smiling, as their future scripts get written for them.

4) If you’re ever having trouble sleeping late at night, NBA TV usually replays one of the better games of the night at 3am, a good way to kill some time while you’re heating up some milk or counting sheep until you can go back to sleep.

3) Phoenix Suns lost their first three games in embarrassing fashion, so they fired their coach and told Eric Bledsoe to go away until they could trade him- Bledsoe is/was one of their best players. A week later, and Bledsoe still hasn’t been traded- Suns are 3-1 since they changed coaches, but Bledsoe is still sitting there, collecting his $14,500,000 salary while working out, waiting to find out who his next employer will be.

2) Dodgers 3, Astros 1– I read this week where 15,000 Dodger season tickets are held by ticket brokers; this Game 7 means a possible total of $20M in income from selling those 15,000 tickets for tonight’s Game 7. Big business.

Game 7 will last a long time if it close, since managers will be panic mongers and there will be tons of pitching changes. Unusual World Series, entertaining, good for the sport.

1) Antonio Cromartie played cornerback for 11 years in the NFL, for four teams, mostly the Jets and Chargers. He has six children with his wife; he has also fathered eight other children, by seven different women. He has fathered three children since having a vasectomy and re-defines the term “productive player”.

So of course, in this day and age, Cromartie and family will soon star in a reality TV show that begins on the USA Network November 9. Back when I was a kid, the Brady Bunch was a big TV show, husband/wife remarrying— she had three daughters, he had three sons. This is the 2017 version of that. Wonder who will reprise Ann B Davis’ role as the maid.

Cromartie pays $330,000 a year in child support, so maybe he needs the money. I guess it’ll be interesting to see how many of the seven other women get included in the show.

**Udog** · 11-01-2017, 08:47 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday,November 1

Phoenix @ Washington

Game 701-702
November 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
112.101
Washington
127.094
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 15
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-12 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Charlotte

Game 703-704
November 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
116.501
Charlotte
122.442
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 6
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 3
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-3); Under

Atlanta @ Philadelphia

Game 705-706
November 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
105.993
Philadelphia
123.305
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 17 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-8 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Cleveland

Game 707-708
November 1, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
112.574
Cleveland
125.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 13
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 10 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-10 1/2); Over

Sacramento @ Boston

Game 709-710
November 1, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
109.422
Boston
125.815
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 16 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 12 1/2
196 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-12 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Miami

Game 711-712
November 1, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111.503
Miami
119.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 8
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
N/A

Orlando @ Memphis

Game 713-714
November 1, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
123.096
Memphis
122.067
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
N/A

Houston @ New York

Game 715-716
November 1, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
115.781
New York
122.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 6 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ New Orleans

Game 717-718
November 1, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
118.464
New Orleans
118.017
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
Even
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 2
224
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2); Under

Toronto @ Denver

Game 719-720
November 1, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
123.778
Denver
121.766
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+1 1/2); Under

Portland @ Utah

Game 721-722
November 1, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
121.365
Utah
123.432
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 2
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 4
196
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+4); Under

Dallas @ LA Clippers

Game 723-724
November 1, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
116.469
LA Clippers
120.481
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 4
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 9 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+9 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-01-2017, 08:51 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday,November 1

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PHOENIX (2 - 4) at WASHINGTON (4 - 2) - 11/1/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 105-149 ATS (-58.9 Units) in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (4 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (4 - 3) - 11/1/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (1 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 4) - 11/1/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 113-147 ATS (-48.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (3 - 3) at CLEVELAND (3 - 4) - 11/1/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
INDIANA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 10-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (1 - 5) at BOSTON (5 - 2) - 11/1/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 127-163 ATS (-52.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
BOSTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 220-281 ATS (-89.1 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=98 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (1 - 4) at MIAMI (2 - 4) - 11/1/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (5 - 2) at MEMPHIS (5 - 2) - 11/1/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (5 - 3) at NEW YORK (3 - 3) - 11/1/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 317-264 ATS (+26.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 98-62 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (4 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 4) - 11/1/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 46-74 ATS (-35.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (4 - 2) at DENVER (3 - 4) - 11/1/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (4 - 3) at UTAH (4 - 3) - 11/1/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (1 - 7) at LA CLIPPERS (4 - 2) - 11/1/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 381-314 ATS (+35.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 483-407 ATS (+35.3 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 158-123 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 266-217 ATS (+27.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 218-268 ATS (-76.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-01-2017, 08:52 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday,November 1

Wizards won their last four games with Phoenix but Suns covered six of last seven series games. Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Suns covered three of last four games in this building. Phoenix won three of last four games after an 0-3 start; they’re 2-1 as a road underdog. Wizards won their two home games by 4-5 points but didn’t cover either one. Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Bucks won their last three games with Charlotte; road team won five of last seven series games. Milwaukee covered its last four visits to Charlotte. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Bucks are 4-3 to start season but won both their road games; three of their last four games stayed under. Hornets won three of last four games; they’re 3-1 vs spread at home. Under is 5-2 in Charlotte games this season.

Hawks won/covered their last seven games with Philly; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six visits to Philly. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Atlanta lost its last six games; they’re 0-3-1 vs spread in last four road games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. 76ers won three of last four games after an 0-3 start (over 4-3); they’re 0-2 at home, losing by 1-10 points.

Cavaliers won their last seven games with Indiana (4-3 vs spread); Pacers covered four of their last five visits to Cleveland. Four of last five series games went over total. Indiana won three of last four games; their last three games stayed under total. Pacers covered two of their three road games. Cleveland lost its last three games, by 5-22-19 points; they’re 1-6 vs spread, 0-4 at home. Under is 4-3 in their games.

Home side won nine of last ten Kings-Celtics games; Sacramento is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Boston. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Kings lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 1-3 as road underdogs- under is 5-2 in their games. Boston won/covered its last five games; they’re 2-1 as home favorites. Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Heat won five of last seven games with Chicago; road team is 7-3 in last ten series games. Bulls are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Miami. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Chicago are 1-4 to start season, but they covered three of last four games. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Miami lost its last three games, all at home; they’re 0-4-2 vs spread this season. Over is 4-2 in their games this season.

Memphis won eight of last ten games with Orlando; home team won last five. Magic is 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Music City. Three of last four series games went over total. Orlando won four of last five games; they’re 2-2 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 4-3 in their games. Grizzlies are 5-2 to start season; they’re 3-2 vs spread at home. Under is 5-1-1 in their games.

Rockets won nine of last ten games with New York; they covered their last five visits to Madison Square Garden. Four of last five series games went over. Houston won four of its first five road games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games overall. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Knicks won their last three games after a 3-0 start; they’re 2-1 at home. Under is 4-2 in their first six games.

Pelicans won eight of last ten games with Minnesota (7-3 vs spread); Timberwolves are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Last seven series games went over. Minnesota won four of its first six games (over 5-0-1); they split four road games (1-2-1 vs spread). New Orleans is 3-4 to start season, losing two of three home games- four of their last six games went over the total.

Raptors won five of last seven games with Denver; over is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Toronto is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Denver. Raptors won four of their last six games (5-1 vs spread); their last four games stayed under. Toronto is 3-1 vs spread on road. Nuggets are 3-4 to start season, splitting pair of home games. Five of their first seven games stayed under the total.

Home side won last seven Portland-Utah games; Trailblazers are 0-3 vs spread in their last four visits to Utah. Last three series games stayed under total. Portland is 4-3 to start season, 2-0-1 vs spread on road; their only road loss was by 3 at Milwaukee. Under is 5-2 in Portland games. Jazz won/covered all four home games; they’re 0-3 on road- under is 5-1-1 in their games this season.

Clippers won four of last six games with Dallas (under 4-2). Mavericks are 1-2-1 vs spread in last four series games played here. Dallas is 1-7 to start season, 1-2 vs spread on road, losing away games by 16-5-15 points- over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Clippers lost their last couple of games after a 4-0 start (under 5-1); they’re 2-1 vs spread as a home favorite.

**Udog** · 11-01-2017, 09:48 AM

NBA

Wednesday,November 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 12 games on the road
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

PHOENIX @ WASHINGTON
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Phoenix

MILWAUKEE @ CHARLOTTE
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games
Charlotte is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Atlanta

SACRAMENTO @ BOSTON
No trends to report

CHICAGO @ MIAMI
No trends to report

HOUSTON @ NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New York's last 15 games
New York is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

ORLANDO @ MEMPHIS
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

MINNESOTA @ NEW ORLEANS
No trends to report

PORTLAND @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games
Portland is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games

TORONTO @ DENVER
No trends to report

DALLAS @ LA CLIPPERS
No trends to report

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Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/1

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/1

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