Announcement

**Udog** · 10-31-2017, 08:20 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— World Series has been tied 2-2 42 times; the Game 5 winner won 28 of those 42 World Series.

— Knicks 116, Denver 110— Porzingis had 38, Knicks are fun to watch. I wonder why?

— Celtics 108, Spurs 94— San Antonio lost its last three games.

— Warriors 141, Clippers 113— Game was 74-57 at half; Clippers had been #1 in defense.

— Chiefs 29, Broncos 19— Broncos are now 0-3 on the road; their QB’s are substandard.

— Happy birthday to former LSU hoop coach Dale Brown, who turns 82 today.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) New England traded backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo to the 49ers last night for a 2nd-round pick next April, but the 49ers’ 2nd-round pick figures to be the 33rd pick, pretty much a first round pick. Patriots don’t have a backup QB on their roster right now; would they be the team that signs Colin Kaepernick?

12) Following Twitter during the baseball game Sunday night was funny; people are so fickle, they overreact quickly and in a 13-12, 10-inning game, there is a lot to comment on.

11) One thing the great baseball game obscured was a pretty good football game in Detroit; Lions were putrid in red zone, scoring 9 points on five drives. Steelers’ JoJo Schuster-Smith caught a 97-yard touchdown pass, right after the Lions were stuffed on a goal-line stand by Pittsburgh.

10) Astros’ payroll this year is $124,343,900, broken down this way:
— Justin Verlander makes $28M a year, but he was only in Houston for a month, so his money isn’t included in the $124M figure you see up above.
— Other four starting pitchers made a combined $17,239,500 this season.
— Catcher Brian McCann makes $17M, DH Carlos Beltran makes $16M
— Yuli Gurriel, Josh Reddick made a combined $27.4M this season.
— Altuve/Springer/Correa/Bregman earned a combined $9.661,900 this season.

At some point, Astros have to shed some of these hitters and add pitching, or else we’re in for an endless stream of 13-12 playoff games. Gurriel/Reddick’s contracts seem excessive, Altuve is going to break the bank when he hits free agency (his agent is Scott Boras)

Seems logical that out of Correa/Springer/Bregman, two of them will wind up elsewhere.

Verlander is on the books for 2018 and 2019, both at $28M a season.

9) Detroit Lions gained 482 yards Sunday night but didn’t score a TD; only 1994 Bengals (496 yards vs Seattle) and ’86 49ers (501 yards vs Washington) gained more yards without scoring a touchdown.

8) Washington Nationals named Dave Martinez manager; he has been Joe Maddon’s right-hand man for several years……….Phillies named Gabe Kapler skipper- both guys are first-time major leaguer managers.

7) ESPN’s Mike Breen also does play-by-play for the Knicks on MSG Network; he is the best at what he does because he is fair and smart.

Monday night, Knicks’ Doug McDermott took a 3-pointer in transition with 0:06.9 left in first quarter; he made it, but Denver came down an hit a 3-pointer of their own at the buzzer to end the quarter. Breen simply said: “That is why coaches like to hold the ball to take the last shot of a quarter, so the other team can’t score.”

6) Boston Celtics got an $8.4M salary cap exemption because of Gordon Hayward’s injury; they have to use it by March 10.

5) College basketball starts next week; Missouri Valley Conference is going downhill, with both Creighton/Wichita State jumping ship in recent years. Missouri State/Illinois State are expected to be the Valley’s frontrunners this winter.

4) Houston Texans traded disgruntled LT Duane Brown to Seattle, for CB Jerome Lane, a 5th round pick next year and a 2nd round draft pick in 2019.

3) You wonder why baseball teams coddle pitchers? Because they only last so long— look at the career of Fernando Valenzuela— from age 19-25, Valenzuela was 99-68, with an ERA of 2.94- he threw 257+ innings five years in a row. He was box office gold, for sure.

From age 26-36, he went 74-85, with an ERA of 4.55, bouncing around between five teams. You only have so many pitches in your arm. Valenzuela threw 149 pitches in a playoff game when he was 20. If that happened today (it wouldn’t), heads would roll.

2) Ticket brokers apparently own 15,000 tickets to both Games 6-7 of the World Series; should Houston win Game 6, those brokers would lose out of a potential $20M in profits with no Game 7 to benefit from.

1) RIP Lewis D’Antoni, 103, who passed away this weekend; the father of Rockets coach Mike and Marshall coach Dan D’Antoni, Lewis D’Antoni was a coach himself— I saw him interviewed in the stands at a Marshall game a couple years ago, when he was 101. Lot of energy even then; he lived a full life. RIP, sir.

**Udog** · 10-31-2017, 08:41 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 31

Sacramento @ Indiana

Game 501-502
October 31, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.403
Indiana
117.593
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+5 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Brooklyn

Game 503-504
October 31, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
115.564
Brooklyn
110.790
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 5
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 4
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+4); Over

Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee

Game 505-506
October 31, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
126.557
Milwaukee
117.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1
213
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-1); Under

Detroit @ LA Lakers

Game 507-508
October 31, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
122.898
LA Lakers
117.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 6
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4
209
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-4); Under

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 31

Indiana is 6-4 in its last ten games with Sacramento; Kings are 2-0-1 vs spread in their last three visits to Indianapolis. Under is 4-1 in last five series games. Sacramento lost its last four games; they’re 1-2 on road, 1-1 as road underdogs, losing away games by 2-17 points. Under is 4-2 in their games this month. Pacers split their first six games (over 3-3); they’re 2-1 at home, 1-0 as a home favorite.

Nets won four in row, eight of last 10 games with Phoenix, covering last four; Suns are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn (under 5-0). Phoenix is 3-0 vs spread (2-1 SU) since they changed coaches; they’re 0-2 on road (1-1 vs spread) losing by 42-7 points. Brooklyn lost three of last four games; they’re 3-1 at home, 2-0 as a home favorite. Over is 4-2-1 in their games this month.

Home side won six of last seven Thunder-Buck games; OKC won six of last eight (5-3 vs spread) series games. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Oklahoma City split its first six games (under 4-2); they’re 1-2 on road (favored in all 3), losing by 9 in Utah, 3 in Minnesota. Bucks won three of last four games; over is 4-2 in their games this month. Milwaukee split its four home games SU.

Lakers lost their last three games with Detroit, by 20-5-19 points; Pistons are 1-4 vs spread in last five series games played here. Under is 4-2 in last six series games. Detroit won its last three games, by 21-8-8 points; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Pistons won their last three road tilts; they’re 6-1 vs spread overall. Lakers lost three of last four games; they’re 1-3 at home. Last three Laker games stayed under total.

NBA

Tuesday, October 31

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Trend Report
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SACRAMENTO @ INDIANA
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Indiana is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games

PHOENIX @ BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Brooklyn is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

OKLAHOMA CITY @ MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

DETROIT @ LA LAKERS
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 9 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

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**Udog** · 10-31-2017, 09:56 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 31

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SACRAMENTO (1 - 5) at INDIANA (3 - 3) - 10/31/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 158-198 ATS (-59.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (2 - 4) at BROOKLYN (3 - 4) - 10/31/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (3 - 3) at MILWAUKEE (4 - 2) - 10/31/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 389-453 ATS (-109.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 252-310 ATS (-89.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 57-91 ATS (-43.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 426-513 ATS (-138.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 2) at LA LAKERS (2 - 4) - 10/31/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

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