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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/28

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, October 28

    Good Luck on day #300 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Astros 5, Dodgers 3— Since 1903, Game 3 winner is 72-40 in winning that World Series.

    — Air Force covered 6 of its last 7 games as a road underdog.

    — Michigan beat Rutgers 78-0 last year; today is the rematch.

    — Las Vegas 7, Colorado 0— NHL’s expansion Golden Knights are 8-1.

    — Padres signed up former Phillies hitting coach Matt Stairs, a big addition.

    — If Joe Maddon thinks his wingman Dave Martinez will be such a great manager, wouldn’t he prefer him getting a managing job in the American League?


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…..

    13) I realize the NFL is a business, a very big business, but there have to be concerns for the owners other than simply squeezing every last dollar out of consumers.

    At some point, the quality of play needs to be addressed, before it has a negative impact on the financial bottom line. My main point is this: most of these Thursday NFL games are terrible.

    12) Football wasn’t meant to be played on three days’ rest, it just wasn’t. NFL should sacrifice its Thursday night TV package (except for Week 1 and Thanksgiving) for the sake of the players’ health, for the quality of TV programming they put on television. For their own bottom lines.

    Let college teams have the spotlight on Thursday; lot of those kids are the NFL’s future stars anyway. Let the adults play on Sunday/Monday— play Monday night doubleheaders, if that makes your bottom line healthier. But these Thursday games are bad for the NFL.

    11) One more thing on quality of the NFL’s product: each team should suit up three QB’s for every game, so coaches aren’t terrified to put their starting QB in harm’s way, with only one backup on the roster.

    10) Joe Girardi went 910-710 in ten years as a manager in New York but was told to take a hike this week- he won one World Series, but that was in 2009. What have you done for us lately?

    Just for the record, New York’s win over/under this spring was 83.5 wins and they wound up 91-71, which means Girardi’s team won 7.5 more games than expected, came within one game of the World Series, and they still fired him.

    I’m very curious who they replace Girardi with.

    9) Chicago Cubs fired three of their coaches; they won the World Series LY. Jim Hickey will be their new pitching coach— he was Joe Maddon’s pitching coach in Tampa. Chili Davis is the new batting coach; he is really good at that job- he comes from Boston.

    There was behind-the-scenes stuff going on with Cubs pitching coach Chris Bosio; no one is talking much about it, but Maddon made it fairly obvious that there were internal issues.

    Cardinals hired Mike Maddux as their new pitching coach, as pitching/batting coaches are becoming gypsies, much like assistant football coaches are.

    8) Good job by TNT, putting Pelicans-Kings on TV Thursday, DeMarcus Cousins’ first game back in Sacramento since the Kings traded him. Spirited game between similar teams, which makes for good television.

    7) They’re having these college basketball exhibition games, to financially benefit charities and also help teams get ready for the season. I’m not sure how much the scores mean…….

    Liberty beat Virginia Commonwealth, which has another new coach this year. It has to be a red flag of some sort that the Rams lost, just not sure how much of one.

    6) Underrated college football analyst: ESPN’s Brock Huard, who is smart, has an excellent voice and he was a quarterback, so he has thought the game through. He is much better than most analysts, but hasn’t gotten a lot of prime telecasts, mostly west coast games.

    5) Extra-inning home runs hit by guys on the losing team in World Series games:

    Dave Henderson, Red Sox, Game 6, 1986
    Josh Hamilton, Rangers, Game 6, 2011
    Yasiel Puig, Dodgers, Game 2, 2017
    Charlie Culbertson, Dodgers, Game 2, 2017

    4) Patriots/Browns have both been called for six offensive pass interference penalties this season, most in the NFL.

    3) Seton Hall is ranked in the college basketball preseason top 25 for the first time since 2001.

    2) Cullen Neal was supposed to go to St Mary’s after high school to play basketball, but his dad Craig Neal got the New Mexico head coaching job after Steve Alford went to UCLA, so Cullen Neal played for his dad in Albuquerque for a couple years- it didn’t go well.

    Cullen Neal then transferred to Ole Miss, where he played a year for Andy Kennedy, but now he is a graduate transfer at St Mary’s, where he will finish his playing career, at the place where he was supposed to start his career.

    1) Rough year for major league managers in the Northeast; both NYC teams, Boston, Philly, Washington all fired their skippers. Three of those five guys made the playoffs and still got told to take a hike. Wonder if any of those five managers will get hired elsewhere this winter?

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Saturday, October 28


      Cleveland @ New Orleans

      Game 701-702
      October 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Cleveland
      122.163
      New Orleans
      121.265
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Cleveland
      by 1
      222
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Cleveland
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Cleveland
      N/A

      Houston @ Memphis


      Game 703-704
      October 28, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Houston
      119.273
      Memphis
      123.350
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Memphis
      by 4
      195
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Memphis
      by 1 1/2
      206
      Dunkel Pick:
      Memphis
      (-1 1/2); Under

      Boston @ Miami


      Game 705-706
      October 28, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Boston
      124.881
      Miami
      116.482
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Boston
      by 8 1/2
      213
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boston
      by 1 1/2
      206
      Dunkel Pick:
      Boston
      (-1 1/2); Over

      Oklahoma City @ Chicago


      Game 707-708
      October 28, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Oklahoma City
      124.281
      Chicago
      112.880
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oklahoma City
      by 11 1/2
      214
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oklahoma City
      8 1/2
      204
      Dunkel Pick:
      Oklahoma City
      (-8 1/2); Over

      Philadelphia @ Dallas


      Game 709-710
      October 28, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Philadelphia
      116.795
      Dallas
      111.365
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Philadelphia
      by 5 1/2
      199
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Philadelphia
      by 1
      208
      Dunkel Pick:
      Philadelphia
      (-1); Under

      LA Lakers @ Utah


      Game 711-712
      October 28, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA Lakers
      110.203
      Utah
      127.508
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Utah
      by 17 1/2
      193
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Utah
      by 9 1/2
      203 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Utah
      (-9 1/2); Under

      Phoenix @ Portland


      Game 713-714
      October 28, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Phoenix
      114.726
      Portland
      122.850
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Portland
      by 8
      209
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Portland
      by 10 1/2
      217 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Phoenix
      (+10 1/2); Under

      Detroit @ LA Clippers


      Game 715-716
      October 28, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Detroit
      121.540
      LA Clippers
      126.084
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      LA Clippers
      by 4 1/2
      201
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      LA Clippers
      by 7 1/2
      208 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Detroit
      (+7 1/2); Under
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-28-2017, 04:35 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Saturday, October 28


        Home side won nine of last ten Cleveland-New Orleans games; Pelicans covered four of the last five. Cavaliers lost their last five visits to Bourbon Street. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Cleveland are 3-2 to start season (1-4 vs spread); they split their two road games. Under is 3-2 in their five games. Pelicans are 2-3 to start season, losing only home game by 8 to the Warriors. Three of their last four games went over.

        Memphis is 6-4 in its last ten games with Houston; road teams won five of last eight series games. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Teams split last four meetings played here. Rockets are 5-1 to start the season; their last five games stayed under the total- they’re 2-2 vs spread on road. Grizzlies are 4-1 to start the season (under 4-0-1), 3-0 at home, with a win over Golden State.

        Celtics won their last seven games with Miami (5-2 vs spread); they won/covered their last four visits to South Beach. Over is 3-1 in last four series games. Boston won its last three games, with wins at Milwaukee/Philly- four of their five games stayed under. Heat split their first four games (0-3-1 vs spread, over 3-1). Miami won two of its three home games.

        Bulls won three of last four games with Oklahoma City (under 3-1). Thunder won three of last five visits to the Windy City. OKC lost three of last four games; they’re 0-2 on road, losing by 9 in Utah, 3 in Minnesota last night. Under is 3-2 in their games this month. Chicago is 1-3 to start the season, splitting pair of home games (over 2-2).

        76ers lost eight of last nine games with Dallas, but they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games. Sixers are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Philly lost four of first five games; they’re 2-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Three of their last four games stayed under. Mavericks lost five of first six games but covered last two; they’re 1-3 at home. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

        Jazz won eight of last nine games with the Lakers, but LA covered four of last five; Lakers are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits here. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Lakers lost at home to Toronto last nite; they’re 2-3 to start season, winning by 2 in Phoenix in their only road game. Utah lost three of last four games (under 4-0-1); they won/covered their two home games.

        Portland beat the Suns by 48 Opening Night, their 4th win in row over the Suns- they’re 3-0 vs spread in last three series games. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Phoenix is 2-0 since they changed coaches and Bledsoe went away; they lost their only road game to the Clippers by 42. Under is 3-2 in their games. Portland is 3-2 to start the season (under 4-1); they split their two home games.

        Clippers won nine of their last ten games with Detroit, 3-1-1 vs spread in last five; Pistons lost their last five series games here (1-4 vs spread). Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Detroit is 3-2 to start season, splitting pair of 4-point decisions on road (2-0 vs spread). Over is 3-1 in their last four games. Clippers are 4-0 to start the season (under 4-0), winning home games by 18-42 points.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-28-2017, 04:36 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Saturday, October 28


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CLEVELAND @ NEW ORLEANS
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing New Orleans
          New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

          OKLAHOMA CITY @ CHICAGO
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

          HOUSTON @ MEMPHIS
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
          Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
          Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          BOSTON @ MIAMI
          Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
          Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home

          PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
          Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
          Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia

          LA LAKERS @ UTAH
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 10 games
          LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
          Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
          Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

          PHOENIX @ PORTLAND
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing on the road against Portland
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games when playing Portland
          Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
          Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

          DETROIT @ LA CLIPPERS
          Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
          LA Clippers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-28-2017, 04:37 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Long Sheet

            Saturday, October 28


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CLEVELAND (3 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 7:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
            NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            HOUSTON (5 - 1) at MEMPHIS (4 - 1) - 10/28/2017, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            HOUSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 112-81 ATS (+22.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
            HOUSTON is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
            MEMPHIS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
            MEMPHIS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
            MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BOSTON (3 - 2) at MIAMI (2 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BOSTON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 126-170 ATS (-61.0 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BOSTON is 5-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
            BOSTON is 7-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OKLAHOMA CITY (2 - 3) at CHICAGO (1 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
            OKLAHOMA CITY is 83-57 ATS (+20.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
            CHICAGO is 259-314 ATS (-86.4 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
            CHICAGO is 124-169 ATS (-61.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
            CHICAGO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
            CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (1 - 4) at DALLAS (1 - 5) - 10/28/2017, 8:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DALLAS is 381-313 ATS (+36.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
            PHILADELPHIA is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA LAKERS (2 - 3) at UTAH (2 - 3) - 10/28/2017, 9:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
            UTAH is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHOENIX (2 - 3) at PORTLAND (3 - 2) - 10/28/2017, 10:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHOENIX is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PORTLAND is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
            PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DETROIT (3 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (4 - 0) - 10/28/2017, 10:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DETROIT is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            DETROIT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
            LA CLIPPERS are 89-119 ATS (-41.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-28-2017, 04:38 PM.

            Comment

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