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  • Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 27

    Good Luck on day #299 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Happy birthday to Pat Sajak, the youngest-looking 71-year old in America.

    — Aaron Rodgers has 13 screws in his clavicle after surgery this week.

    — Eastern Michigan has used five different punters this season.

    — Ravens 40, Dolphins 0– Joe Flacco got KO’d with a concussion; Ravens have ten days before their next game, then a bye.

    — Stanford 15, Oregon State 14– Cardinal tore OSU’s hearts out, scoring a TD with 0:20 left. Beavers are having a terrible season.

    — Joe Girardi was fired by New York Thursday; the guy was 910-710 but got the boot.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend

    13) Penn State-Ohio State is a game with national title implications; Buckeyes won five games in row since loss to Oklahoma, all by 31+ points; they’re 6-12 vs spread in last 18 games as a home favorite, 1-3 this year. OSU had last week off, Penn State whacked Michigan. Nittany Lions lost 38-10/63-14 in their last two visits to Columbus.

    12) Only 11 NFL games Sunday, only three divisional games this weekend as they defer to the World Series, keeping more marquee matchups until the second half of the season. Putting the Browns on TV from London at 9:30am isn’t going to help TV ratings any.

    11) Washington State embarrassed Arizona 69-7 last year, now they visit Tucson to play an invigorated Wildcat squad that is running the ball like crazy behind sophomore QB Tate. Big contrast is styles, interesting game— too bad it is on the Pac-12 Network.

    10) Bears visit the Superdome Sunday; Saints won their last four games, allowing 6 TD’s on 38 drives, while scoring three TD’s of their own. Now rookie QB Trubisky comes calling against a hot defense. Chicago’s only two TD’s last week were scored by their defense.

    9) Florida beat Georgia the last three years, by 14-24-18 points, but the Dawgs are unbeaten this year with a win at Notre Dame. Florida has played lot of close games this year; they’re getting two TD’s in this game. Favorites are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six series games.

    8) Raiders make the long trip last to play a Buffalo team that is B4-2 with a +10 turnover ratio; Bills are 3-0 at home, with wins by 9-10-3 points- they’re 22-42 on 3rd down in their last three games.

    7) Tennessee is 31-1 in its last 32 games with Kentucky; this is only 2nd time in last 21 years they’ve been an underdog to the Wildcats, but Butch Jones is on his way out in Knoxville— if Kentucky doesn’t beat the Vols this week, not sure when they will.

    6) Indianapolis is 0-3 on road, losing by 35-28-14 points (0-3 vs spread); four of their five losses are by 14+ points- they’ve been outscored 134-44 in second half of games this year, have one TD on 19 drives in last two games. Other than that, things are going great for the Colts.

    5) North Carolina was a double-digit favorite in two of its first three games, but they split those games and are 1-7, losing last four games by a combined score of 145-41 (36-10 average). Tar Heels host unbeaten Miami this week, coming off a 59-7 loss at Virginia Tech.

    4) Houston scored 33+ points in its last four games, led by surprising rookie QB Watson; now they visit a stout Seahawk defense that has allowed only two TD’s on 22 drives in two home wins, and held the Giants to seven points last week.

    3) Road team won last four Michigan State-Northwestern games; Wildcats won 54-40 in East Lansing LY, holding State to 51 YR. Spartans won their last five visits to Evanston.

    2) Redskins/Eagles both got banged up on Monday night; Washington hosts arch-rival Dallas here, as both teams try to keep pace with the first-place Eagles. Cowboys-Redskins is most always a fun game.

    1) USC s 0-6 against the spread in its last six games, losing their last two road games, at Notre Dame, Washington State. Trojans are tied for first in Pac-12 South, making this a bigger game than usual. ASU won three of its last four games, covering all four.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Friday, October 27


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      SAN ANTONIO (4 - 0) at ORLANDO (3 - 1) - 10/27/2017, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN ANTONIO is 1007-879 ATS (+40.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 807-686 ATS (+52.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 87-51 ATS (+30.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 334-274 ATS (+32.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
      ORLANDO is 35-50 ATS (-20.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
      ORLANDO is 60-91 ATS (-40.1 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
      SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      HOUSTON (4 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (2 - 2) - 10/27/2017, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HOUSTON is 316-263 ATS (+26.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
      HOUSTON is 111-81 ATS (+21.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
      CHARLOTTE is 47-75 ATS (-35.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
      HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      BROOKLYN (3 - 2) at NEW YORK (0 - 3) - 10/27/2017, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW YORK is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
      NEW YORK is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
      NEW YORK is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      NEW YORK is 4-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      DENVER (1 - 3) at ATLANTA (1 - 4) - 10/27/2017, 7:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      OKLAHOMA CITY (2 - 2) at MINNESOTA (2 - 3) - 10/27/2017, 8:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      TORONTO (2 - 2) at LA LAKERS (2 - 2) - 10/27/2017, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TORONTO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at GOLDEN STATE (3 - 2) - 10/27/2017, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WASHINGTON is 147-191 ATS (-63.1 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
      WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      GOLDEN STATE is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      GOLDEN STATE is 88-59 ATS (+23.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-27-2017, 06:44 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Friday, October 27


        Spurs won nine of last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered five of their last seven; San Antonio covered four of its last five visits here. Last five series games stayed under. Spurs are 4-0 this season (3-1 vs spread, over 2-2); they won their two road games, by 10-17 points. Orlando won three of its first four games (over 3-1); they won their two home games by 7-4.

        Rockets won nine of last 10 games with Charlotte, but Hornets are 3-2 vs spread in last five. Houston is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Rockets won four of their first five games; their last four games stayed under total. Houston is 3-0 on road, 1-2 vs spread. Hornets split their first four games (under 4-0), winning their two home games, by 17-18 points.

        Nets are 6-4 in last ten games wth the Knicks; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Madison Square Garden. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Brooklyn is 3-0 at home, 0-2 on road (over 3-1-1), losing away games by 4-9 points. Knicks are 0-3 this season, losing by 4 to Detroit in their only home game (under 2-1).

        Hawks won/covered their last four games with Denver; over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Nuggets are 1-4 vs spread in last five games in this building. Denver lost three of its first four games (under 4-0), losing away games by 10 at Utah, 17 at Charlotte. Atlanta lost its last three games, by 18-12-11 points; this is their home opener. Under was 2-1-1 in their first four games.

        Thunder is 7-3 in its last 10 games with Minnesota; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Road team won six of last 10 series games, under is 6-3 in those games. OKC split its first four games (under 3-1), losing by 9 at Utah in their only road game. Timberwolves are 2-3 to start season (over 4-0-1); they allowed 130-122 points in last two games. Minnesota split its two home games.

        Lakers lost their last five games with Toronto (1-4 vs spread, under 4-1); Raptors are 4-1 vs spread in last five series games here. Toronto split their first four games, losing road games by 5-4 points (under 2-0) at San Antonio/Boston. Lakers split their first four games, with two wins by total of five points. LA is 1-2 at home, with losses by 16-7 points.

        Golden State won five of last six games with Washington (4-2 vs spread); Wizards are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland (under 4-1). Washington won three of last four games, but lost to the Lakers Wednesday; they’re 1-2 on road. Over is 3-2 in their games. Warriors are 3-2 to start season (over 3-2)— they’re 1-4 vs spread, 0-2 as a home favorite this month.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-27-2017, 06:46 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Friday, October 27


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SAN ANTONIO @ ORLANDO
          San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Orlando
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
          Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

          HOUSTON @ CHARLOTTE
          Houston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Charlotte
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

          DENVER @ ATLANTA
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
          Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
          Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver

          BROOKLYN @ NEW YORK
          Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 12 games when playing on the road against New York
          New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 12 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

          OKLAHOMA CITY @ MINNESOTA
          Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

          TORONTO @ LA LAKERS
          Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
          Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Toronto

          WASHINGTON @ GOLDEN STATE
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
          Golden State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
          Golden State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-27-2017, 06:46 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Friday, October 27



            San Antonio @ Orlando

            Game 501-502
            October 27, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Antonio
            129.420
            Orlando
            117.977
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Antonio
            by 11 1/2
            198
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            San Antonio
            by 5 1/2
            207 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Antonio
            (-5 1/2); Under

            Houston @ Charlotte


            Game 503-504
            October 27, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston
            123.623
            Charlotte
            115.644
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Houston
            by 8
            207
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Houston
            by 2 1/2
            212 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Houston
            (-2 1/2); Under

            Brooklyn @ New York


            Game 505-506
            October 27, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Brooklyn
            111.451
            New York
            118.441
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New York
            by 7
            204
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            New York
            by 2
            220 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            New York
            (-2); Under

            Denver @ Atlanta


            Game 505-506
            October 27, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Denver
            118.005
            Atlanta
            115.491
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Denver
            by 2 1/2
            207
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Denver
            No Line
            N/A
            Dunkel Pick:
            Denver
            N/A

            Oklahoma City @ Minnesota


            Game 509-510
            October 27, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oklahoma City
            119.823
            Minnesota
            114.502
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 5 1/2
            208
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma City
            No Line
            N/A
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oklahoma City
            N/A

            Toronto @ LA Lakers


            Game 511-512
            October 27, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Toronto
            125.658
            LA Lakers
            114.676
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toronto
            by 11
            212
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Toronto
            by 5 1/2
            225
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toronto
            (-5 1/2); Under

            Washington @ Golden State


            Game 513-514
            October 27, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Washington
            125.173
            Golden State
            128.287
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Golden State
            by 3
            233
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Golden State
            by 11
            230
            Dunkel Pick:
            Washington
            (+11); Over
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-27-2017, 06:48 PM.

            Comment

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