Announcement

**Udog** · 10-25-2017, 08:33 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Dodgers 3, Astros 1— Taylor/Turner homered in quickest WS game since 1992.

— North Carolina PG Joel Berry broke his hand, will miss the start of the hoop season.

— Kansas 93, Missouri 87— This exhibition basketball game raised $1.75M for a hurricane relief fund, but it also shows that Missouri’s talent level has risen dramatically this year.

— Pacers 130, Timberwolves 107— Indiana shot 77% in the second half.

— Magic 125, Nets 121— Brooklyn is 2-2, with an average total of 221 in their games.

— Injured 1B Adrian Gonzalez is away from the Dodgers, is on vacation in Europe with his family, which just seems odd.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Good news if you like sports and live in the Albany area; Arena Football is coming back to downtown Albany next spring.

Arenaball was big in Albany in the 90’s; the Firebirds won the 1999 Arena Bowl, behind a star WR named Eddie Brown, whose son is current Steelers’ star Antonio Brown. But the league tried to expand to bigger markets; the Firebirds moved to Indianapolis, and later pretty much failed.

Now the rebuilding AFL is back in town; Albany is 6th team in the AFL, mostly eastern teams; hopefully they will add another franchise or two before next season.

12) Couple of quick Arena League memories from 20 years ago:
— Former Ohio State QB Art Schlichter played against the Firebirds here in Albany; him and Major Harris, who played at West Virginia. Schlichter was great in the AFL, but Harris needed to run to succeed and there was nowhere to run in the Arena League. It is a passing league.
— Then there was this other guy who played QB for the Iowa Barnstormers; they won a 77-76 game in Albany one night, a great game. The Iowa QB wound up in the NFL, played in three Super Bowls, just got inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

You may have heard of him…..Kurt Warner

Bottom line…the Arena League is great fun. Glad it is coming back to town.

11) Phoenix Suns have had a season’s worth of drama in a week; they fired their coach, one of their best players asked off the team and is now in exile, awaiting a trade.

After an 0-3 start, with two losses by 40+ points and a 132-130 loss to the Lakers, the Suns went out with an interim coach and without Eric Bledsoe and they beat Sacramento, holding on to win by a point, after leading by 19 after the first quarter. Go figure.

Very curious to see what they get for Bledsoe when they trade him; they don’t exactly have a lot of leverage here.

10) So far in the postseason, Dodger hitters have drawn 46 walks; their opponents? Only 12.

9) Over the last 23 years, Washington Redskins have used 21 different kickers. Oy.

8) This year in the major leagues, there were 6,104 home runs hit, and 40,104 strikeouts.

40,104 strikeouts in 2,430 games; that works out to 16.5 strikeouts per game.

7) Chargers’ WR Keenan Allen has caught 16 3rd down passes this season that resulted in first downs for the Bolts; no one else in the NFL has more than 11 of those catches.

6) Kentucky is favored over Tennessee this week for only the second time in the last 21 years; last time the Wildcats were favored over Tennessee was 2007, when the Vols (+2.5) won 52-50. Tennessee is 19-1 in the last 20 series games, winning the last five in a row.

5) Best three red zone teams so far: Packers-Eagles-Texans, but you have to eliminate Green Bay, with Aaron Rodgers being on the sidelines. Other two teams have a rookie QB and a 2nd-year QB, which is really surprising.

Worst red zone teams: Cleveland-Arizona-Denver/Indianapolis. Broncos are only one of those four teams that haven’t changed QB’s yet this season.

4) Teams with most plays of 20+ yards: Patriots (34), Rams/Vikings (33), Cardinals/Chiefs(32).

Teams with fewest plays of 20+ plays: Ravens (14), Bears/Giants (16), Dolphins (17).

3) With Jay Cutler (ribs) banged up, Miami Dolphins signed former San Jose State QB David Fales as a backup; he has two career NFL completions, for the Bears. He was in camp with Miami, so he knows the offense- they hope the hell they don’t have to play him.

2) ESPN college football analyst Joey Galloway had a really good NFL career; he played 16 years in the NFL, scored 78 TD’s, averaged 15.6 yards/catch. He averaged 19.8 ypc in 2003 for Dallas, leading the league when he was 32 years old.

1) This from the great Gil Brandt on Twitter:

In last 30 years, only 3 NFL QBs won games completing four or fewer passes that day: Chris Weinke (4), Tim Tebow (2), Mitch Trubisky (4). What else did those three QB’s have in common?

John Fox was head coach of all three of those teams at the time.

**Udog** · 10-25-2017, 08:46 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 25

Not a lot to go on for the first 7-10 days, until these teams get some games under their belts. I’ll give you what relevant information I have:

Pistons won/covered their last four games with Minnesota; Wolves lost by 8-25 points in their last two visits to the Motor City. Over is 4-1 in last five series games. Pacers shot 77% in second half vs Minnesota last nite; Wolves are 2-2 to start season (over 3-0-1); they split two road tilts. Detroit also split its first four games (over 2-2); they split their two home games.

Rockets won their last seven games with Philly, but Sixers were 4-3 vs spread in those games; Houston is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Rockets won three of first four games (under 3-1), winning road games in Oakland/Sacramento. 76ers lost three of first four games (over 2-2), losing by 10 to Boston in their only home game.

Hornets won six of last eight games with Denver (under 7-1); Nuggets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Charlotte. Denver lost two of first three games (under 3-0), losing by 10 at Utah in their only road game. Charlotte lost two of first three games (under 3-0); they beat Atlanta by 18 in their only home game this season.

Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Brooklyn; under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Cleveland is 0-3-1 vs spread in their last four visits to Barclays Center. Cavaliers beat the Bulls by 7 at home Tuesday; they’re 3-1 to start season (over 2-2), beating Milwaukee by 19 in their only road game. Brooklyn split its first four games (over 3-0-1), beating Hawks/Magic in their two home games.

Spurs won their last nine games with Miami (8-1 vs spread); over is 3-1 in last four series games. San Antonio covered its last five visits to South Beach- they’re 3-0 to start the season (under 2-1), winning by 10 in Chicago in their only road game. Miami won two of its first three games (over 2-1), beating Pacers/Hawks by 4-11 in their two home games (0-1-1 as HF).

Pacers won four of last five games with Oklahoma City; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Indiana won their last two games in this building- they’re 2-2 to start season (over 3-1) after winning last nite in Minnesota- they shot 77% in 2nd half, are 2-0 as road underdogs. Thunder lost two of first three games (under 2-1); splitting their first two home games.

Mavericks won five of last seven games with Memphis; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Grizzlies are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Dallas- they’re 3-0 to start season (under 3-0), with wins over Golden State/Houston- they beat Rockets in only road game. Mavericks are 0-4 to start season (0-4 vs spread, over 2-2), losing home games by 6-5-30 points.

Jazz won their last seven games with Phoenix (0-2-1 vs spread in last three); they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Utah split its first four games (3-1 vs spread, under 3-0-1); they lost by 18 in LA last nite. Jazz is 0-2 on road, losing by 3-18 points. Suns lost three of first four games (over 2-2), losing two of three home games.

Lakers lost eight of last nine games with Washington; over is 3-1 in last four series games. Wizards are 4-1 vs spread in last five series games played here. Washington won its first three games (over 2-1): road team covered all three. Wizards won by 5 in Denver in their only road game. Lakers open the season 1-2, losing both home games, by 16-7 points (over 2-1).

Warriors won nine of last ten games with Toronto (6-3-1 vs spread); Raptors are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Toronto won two of its first three games (over 2-1), losing by 4 at San Antonio in its only road game. Golden State split its first four games (over 3-1), losing to Houston 122-121 in their only home game.

**Udog** · 10-25-2017, 08:47 AM

NBA

Wednesday, October 25

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Trend Report
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MINNESOTA @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 12 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

DENVER @ CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Denver

HOUSTON @ PHILADELPHIA
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

CLEVELAND @ BROOKLYN
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

INDIANA @ OKLAHOMA CITY
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Oklahoma City's last 25 games when playing Indiana
Oklahoma City is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Indiana

SAN ANTONIO @ MIAMI
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

MEMPHIS @ DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Memphis's last 17 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Dallas's last 17 games when playing Memphis

UTAH @ PHOENIX
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Utah is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home

WASHINGTON @ LA LAKERS
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games

TORONTO @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

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**Udog** · 10-25-2017, 11:38 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 25

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 501-502
October 25, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
118.405
Detroit
111.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-1 1/2); Over

Houston @ Philadelphia

Game 503-504
October 25, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
120.405
Philadelphia
113.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Over

Denver @ Charlotte

Game 505-506
October 25, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
121.343
Charlotte
117.306
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 4
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-1 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Brooklyn

Game 507-508
October 25, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
129.111
Brooklyn
113.503
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 15 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7
228
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-7); Under

San Antonio @ Miami

Game 509-510
October 25, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
122.871
Miami
123.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
Even
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4
195 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+4); Over

Indiana @ Oklahoma City

Game 511-512
October 25, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.824
Oklahoma City
120.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
Even
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 14
218
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+14); Over

Memphis @ Dallas

Game 513-514
October 25, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
121.112
Dallas
114.033
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 7
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 4
195 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-4); Under

Utah @ Phoenix

Game 515-516
October 25, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
121.741
Phoenix
110.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 11
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 6
203
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-6); Under

Washington @ LA Lakers

Game 517-518
October 25, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.536
LA Lakers
118.313
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7
230 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+7); Under

Toronto @ Golden State

Game 519-520
October 25, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.300
Golden State
133.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
N/A

**Udog** · 10-25-2017, 11:38 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 25

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MINNESOTA (2 - 2) at DETROIT (2 - 2) - 10/25/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (3 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 3) - 10/25/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-18 ATS (+21.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 316-262 ATS (+27.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 111-80 ATS (+23.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
HOUSTON is 98-61 ATS (+30.9 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 112-147 ATS (-49.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (1 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 2) - 10/25/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (3 - 1) at BROOKLYN (2 - 2) - 10/25/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 6-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (3 - 0) at MIAMI (2 - 1) - 10/25/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1006-879 ATS (+39.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 806-686 ATS (+51.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 86-51 ATS (+29.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 333-274 ATS (+31.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MIAMI is 126-169 ATS (-59.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (2 - 2) at OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 2) - 10/25/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (3 - 0) at DALLAS (0 - 4) - 10/25/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 379-313 ATS (+34.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 131-97 ATS (+24.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (2 - 2) at PHOENIX (1 - 3) - 10/25/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 154-113 ATS (+29.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 0) at LA LAKERS (1 - 2) - 10/25/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (2 - 1) at GOLDEN STATE (2 - 2) - 10/25/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/25

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/25

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