Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/23

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, October 23

    Good Luck on day #295 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NBA Matchups

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Injuries

    NBA Referees


    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 7 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Washington Redskins, +5 (681)

    5) San Francisco 49ers, +6.5 (687)- L

    4) Denver Broncos, +1.5 (729)- L

    3) Carolina Panthers, -3 (+750)- L

    2) Green Bay Packers, +5.5 (803)- L

    1) Cincinnati Bengals, +5.5 (810)- L

    Season record of top 6 picks: 15-26. No bueno


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Titans 12, Browns 9 OT— Not a great week for offense; seven teams failed to score an offensive TD, five others scored only one TD on offense. Total yardage in this game: 284-269 Browns, but they threw three INTs and Kizer was benched again, this time for Cody Kessler. At one point, Cleveland declined a face mask penalty on the Titans, leaving Tennessee with a 4th-and-1, but then the Browns jumped offside, which led to a Titan FG, which was the margin of victory.

    Memo to the Ivy League nitwit who runs the Browns: Draft a bleeping quarterback!!!!

    Jaguars 27, Colts 0— Total yardage was 518-232 Jaguars- they were -2 in turnovers and still jogged to an easy win, running ball for 188 yards. Colts have been outscored 134-44 in second half of game; now that Andrew Luck has had a setback and may not return this year, hard to imagine Chuck Pagano won’t get fired. Jaguars averaged 11.8 yards per pass attempt.

    Steelers 29, Bengals 14— Game was 14-14 with 7:12 left in the half; from that point on, Steelers had ball seven times, kicked five FGs and won going away. Pittsburgh ran a really cool fake punt, snapping ball to the up-back, who passed the ball to the gunner on the right sideline— never saw that play before. Steelers scored only 38 points on their last 11 red zone drives, a red flag. Cincy is 1-6 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog.

    Vikings 24, Ravens 16—- Baltimore lost 4 of its last 5 games after a 2-0 start; they scored total of five TDs on 56 drives in those games. Stuff I read on the Internet this week from knowledgeable NFL writers blamed the Raven WR’s, not Flacco— I blame whoever hired Marty Mornhinweg as offensive coordinator— the guy is awful. Vikings are now 15-5 as a home favorite under Zimmer. Will Vikings turn to Teddy Bridgewater or stick with Case Keenum at QB?

    Dolphins 31, Jets 28— Second week in row Jets had 14-point lead but lost; second week in a row Dolphins trailed by 14+ points but won. Cutler got hurt; backup QB Matt Moore was 13-21/188 and led Miami to a comeback win. Jets’ QB McCown threw an awful INT with 0:39 left, giving Dolphins the ball on the Jets’ 27- they kicked winning FG with 0:22 left, ending a 6-game skid against their AFC East rivals.

    Bills 30, Buccaneers 27— Buffalo blew 17-6 3rd quarter lead, but recovered a fumble on the Bucs’ 33-yard line with 2:20 left- they kicked winning FG with 0:14 left. Winston threw for 378 yards but Tampa Bay turned ball over three times— Buffalo is +10 in turnovers this season and is 4-2. Rookie TE Howard has 6 catches for 98 yards on 6 targets for Tampa Bay

    Bears 17, Panthers 3— One of strangest boxscores I’ve ever seen; rookie safety Eddie Jackson became first player ever to score two defensive TDs of 75+ yards in a game, scoring on a fumble return and an INT return off a tipped ball. Chicago then sat on the lead; Trubisky was 2-5/94 yards passing the first half, threw only 7 passes in whole game. Total yardage was 293-153 Carolina; Bears had only five first downs the whole game, but won by two TD’s. Go figure.

    Saints 26, Packers 17— Line moved roughly nine points because of Rodgers’ injury; Hundley was 12-25/87 passing in his first NFL start. Brees was picked off on his first two drives, but Saints scored two TD’s, two FG’s on their last four drives. Packers ran 21 play for 65 yards and only 3 points in second half. New Orleans scored 13 TD’s on their last 43 drives.

    Rams 33, Cardinals 0— Arizona missed a short FG on first drive, things got much worse from there; Carson Palmer broke his left arm, could be out for year. Stanton/Gabbert are Arizona’s backup QB’s.

    One of the unexpected perks of writing in this space every day is the chance to meet some great people. Made couple of new friends from Canada this weekend; they stopped in Albany on their way to Foxwoods Casino in Connecticut. Had a meal and lot of fun conversation— I’ve made new friends in Indiana, New Jersey, Las Vegas and now Canada from this site. Good stuff.

    Cowboys 40, 49ers 10— Dallas ran ball for 265 yards, had 14-yard edge in field position, as they pounded the 49ers coming off their bye. Third straight game Cowboys scored 30+ points; they recovered three SF fumbles, are now 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as a road favorite.

    49ers are 0-7, but 5-2 vs spread; they’ve got a rookie QB starting now, were outgained 501-290 in this game- four of their last five games went over the total.

    Seahawks 24, Giants 7— Seattle had 11-yard edge in field position, held Giants to 46 yards on ground in game Big Blue led 7-3 at the half. Giants’ only TD drive was 17 yards after a turnover; they missed a 47-yard FG when Seahawks led 10-7.

    Seahawks’ offensive players were screaming at each other on sideline in first half; Doug Baldwin pushed an assistant coach who tried to intervene, but all of that was probably forgotten when a trick play resulted in a 38-yard TD pass that put Seattle up 17-7 with 9:34 left to play.

    Chargers 21, Broncos 0— Chargers won their third game in a row after an 0-4 start; they ran a punt back for a TD for their first score, then had three takeaways in a game where total yardage was 251-242, Denver. Broncos are 0-2 on road, scoring one TD on 23 drives in games against Bills/Chargers; this was only Bolts’ third win in last 14 games against Denver.

    Patriots 23, Falcons 7— Atlanta had ball in red zone four times, scored only once, on a TD that made score 23-7 with 4:09 left- they had a short FG blocked, clanked a shorter FG off upright. Falcons lost their last three games after a 3-0 start; luckily for them, there had been only one divisional game played in NFC South so far, so the division race is still up for grabs.

    This turned into a fog game in second half, as if the Falcons playing under the cloud of last year’s Super Bowl wasn’t bad enough.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2017, 12:18 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Monday, October 23



      Philadelphia @ Detroit

      Game 501-502
      October 23, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Philadelphia
      107.319
      Detroit
      119.902
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Detroit
      by 12 1/2
      220
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Detroit
      by 3
      213 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Detroit
      (-3); Over

      Atlanta @ Miami


      Game 503-504
      October 23, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Atlanta
      111.023
      Miami
      123.587
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Miami
      by 12 1/2
      224
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Miami
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Miami
      N/A

      Memphis @ Houston


      Game 505-506
      October 23, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Memphis
      119.539
      Houston
      124.979
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Houston
      by 5 1/2
      202
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      by 7 1/2
      211
      Dunkel Pick:
      Memphis
      (+7 1/2); Under

      Charlotte @ Milwaukee


      Game 507-508
      October 23, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Charlotte
      118.774
      Milwaukee
      117.290
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Charlotte
      by 1 1/2
      196
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Milwaukee
      by 6 1/2
      205
      Dunkel Pick:
      Charlotte
      (+6 1/2); Under

      Golden State @ Dallas


      Game 509-510
      October 23, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Golden State
      129.278
      Dallas
      114.600
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Golden State
      by 14 1/2
      207
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Golden State
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Golden State
      N/A

      Toronto @ San Antonio


      Game 511-512
      October 23, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Toronto
      120.253
      San Antonio
      126.718
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 6 1/2
      198
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 2 1/2
      205 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Antonio
      (-2 1/2); Under

      Washington @ Denver


      Game 513-514
      October 23, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Washington
      125.334
      Denver
      121.545
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Washington
      by 4
      227
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Denver
      by 3
      222 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Washington
      (+3); Over

      Sacramento @ Phoenix


      Game 515-516
      October 23, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Sacramento
      114.686
      Phoenix
      108.924
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Sacramento
      by 5 1/2
      228
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Phoenix
      by 2
      209 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Sacramento
      (+2); Over
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2017, 12:20 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Monday, October 23


        Not a lot to go on for the first 7-10 days, until these teams get some games under their belts. I’ll give you what relevant information I have:

        Pistons won six of last seven games with Philly (6-1 vs spread); 76ers lost four of last five visits to the Motor City (1-4 vs spread, under 3-0 in last three). Philly is 0-3 to start season, losing by 5-10-34 points (1-2 vs spread, over 2-1). Detroit is 2-1 to start season, 3-0 vs spread- over is 2-1 in their games. Pistons beat Charlotte by 12 in their only home game.

        Miami won five of its last seven games with Atlanta (7-0 vs spread); under is 8-2 in last 10 series games. Hawks are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five visits to Miami. Atlanta lost two of its first three games, all on road (under 2-1). Heat split its first two games (0-2 vs spread, over 2-0); they beat Indiana by 4 in their only home game.

        Rockets won four of last six games with Memphis (over 4-2). Grizzlies are 3-2 vs spread in last six visits to Houston. Memphis opened with home wins over Pelicans/Warriors (under 2-0); this is their road opener. Rockets won their first three games (2-1 vs spread, under 2-1); they beat Dallas by 16 in their home opener.

        Hornets/Bucks split their last eight meetings; Milwaukee was 5-3 vs spread in those games. Over is 3-1 in last four series games. Charlotte covered four of last five games in this building. Bucks won two of first three games (over 3-0), splitting pair of home games- they lost to the Cavaliers. Charlotte split its first two games (under 2-0), losing only road game by 12 in Detroit.

        Warriors won their last six games with Dallas; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten series games. Over is 4-2 in last six series games. Golden State covered three of last four visits to Dallas; they’re 1-2 to start season (0-3 vs spread, over 2-1), with only win at New Orleans by 8, Mavericks are 0-3 to start season, losing by 6-5-16 points (under 2-1)- they’re 0-2 at home.

        Spurs are 8-2 in last ten games with Toronto, but 3-3 vs spread in last six; over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Raptors are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Toronto won/covered their first two games (over 2-0) but this is their road opener. Spurs won their first two games by 8-10 points (over 1-1)— they beat Minnesota by 8 in their home opener.

        Wizards won four of last six games with Denver; over is 4-1 in last five. Washington is 2-3 vs spread in its last five games in this building- they won their first two games by 5-4 points, both at home (0-2 vs spread, over 2-0). Nuggets split their first two games (under 2-0), beating Kings by 17 in their home opener.

        Suns fired their coach after three games; they lost six of last seven games vs Sacramento-under is 5-1 in last six series games. Kings are 8-2 vs spread in last 10 series games, 4-1 in last five visits here. Sacramento lost two of three games to open season (under 3-0); they split pair of road games. Phoenix is 0-3 with two 40-point losses (under 2-1); they’re a mess.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2017, 12:21 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Monday, October 23


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHILADELPHIA @ DETROIT
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 11 games at home
          Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

          ATLANTA @ MIAMI
          The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Atlanta's last 21 games when playing on the road against Miami
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing Miami
          Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
          The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Miami's last 21 games when playing at home against Atlanta

          MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 11 games on the road
          Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
          Houston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Memphis

          CHARLOTTE @ MILWAUKEE
          Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
          Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
          Milwaukee is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Charlotte

          GOLDEN STATE @ DALLAS
          Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
          Golden State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 10 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Golden State

          TORONTO @ SAN ANTONIO
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
          San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home

          WASHINGTON @ DENVER
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

          SACRAMENTO @ PHOENIX
          Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
          Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2017, 12:23 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Long Sheet

            Monday, October 23


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (0 - 3) at DETROIT (2 - 1) - 10/23/2017, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHILADELPHIA is 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            DETROIT is 6-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ATLANTA (1 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 1) - 10/23/2017, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MIAMI is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 126-169 ATS (-59.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MIAMI is 7-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MEMPHIS (2 - 0) at HOUSTON (3 - 0) - 10/23/2017, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MEMPHIS is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            MEMPHIS is 130-97 ATS (+23.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
            MEMPHIS is 161-122 ATS (+26.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
            HOUSTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            HOUSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
            HOUSTON is 4-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHARLOTTE (1 - 1) at MILWAUKEE (2 - 1) - 10/23/2017, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MILWAUKEE is 388-452 ATS (-109.2 Units) in home games since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
            CHARLOTTE is 4-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            GOLDEN STATE (1 - 2) at DALLAS (0 - 3) - 10/23/2017, 8:35 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
            GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TORONTO (2 - 0) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 0) - 10/23/2017, 8:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SAN ANTONIO is 1005-879 ATS (+38.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 805-686 ATS (+50.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 511-430 ATS (+38.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 332-274 ATS (+30.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 207-158 ATS (+33.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
            TORONTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            TORONTO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
            SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WASHINGTON (2 - 0) at DENVER (1 - 1) - 10/23/2017, 9:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            DENVER is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SACRAMENTO (1 - 2) at PHOENIX (0 - 3) - 10/23/2017, 10:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHOENIX is 153-113 ATS (+28.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
            PHOENIX is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
            PHOENIX is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
            PHOENIX is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SACRAMENTO is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
            SACRAMENTO is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2017, 12:23 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA betting roadmap: Fading the Heat the right side if Whiteside is out
              Al McMordie

              Hassan Whiteside is dealing with abone bruise in his left knee and if he misses any time, fading the Heat may not be a bad idea.

              Last year we predicted the Golden State Warriors would win the title (at -130 odds) and go 16-0 in the playoffs. Unfortunately, the Warriors won their first 15 postseason games, but lost Game 3 off the Finals. The Dubs (-195) are our pick to win the NBA title again this year but we’ve got a bunch of money to make before then. Let's take a look at the upcoming week's action.

              Spread Watch

              Golden State hasn’t burst out of the gate to start the new campaign, and, while the club did down the Pelicans at New Orleans, the lone win was sandwiched between two upset losses -- at home against Houston and on the road against Memphis.

              Even worse for G-State bettors: Steve Kerr's crew is 0-3 against the spread. There's no doubt that the Warriors are by far the best team in the league, but since their 24-0 start to the 2015-16 season, they've been fairly pedestrian in Vegas, with a 95-86-3 ATS record, including 36-39-3 as road favorites.

              This week, the Warriors will travel to Dallas on Monday, before coming back home for dates with Toronto, Washington and Detroit. The game in Dallas looks to be another trouble spot for the Warriors, as defending NBA champs have struggled early in the season as road favorites.

              Since 1990, defending champs are just 11-21 ATS within the season's first four games. I look for another ATS loss for the Dubs.

              Total Watch

              The more things change, the more they stay the same. Many thought the San Antonio Spurs would have a significant drop-off this season what with Tony Parker out for the first few months of this season and Kawhi Leonard’s lingering quad issues.

              LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol struggled in the postseason and the Spurs lost key contributors Jonathon Simmons and Dewayne Dedmon left in free agency. But, lo and behold, the Spurs are 2-0 and have the league's best defense (they ranked No. 1 in defensive efficiency the last two seasons).

              This week, the Spurs will welcome the Raptors to the AT&T Center before hitting the road to face the Heat, Magic and Pacers. The under is 5-0 in the last five matchups between the Magic and Spurs and we see no reason why the streak would end this season. The two games last season went under by 16 and 21 points respectively.

              Injury Watch

              There have been several high-profile injuries to star players. Gordon Hayward, Chris Paul, Kawhi Leonard and Isaiah Thomas are all currently on the shelf for varying lengths of time. But the Celtics, Rockets, Spurs and Cavs have enough talent to soldier on.

              The Miami Heat don’t have the same type of star power on their roster and the injury Hassan Whiteside could be a big short-term blow. Whiteside is out with a bone bruise on his left knee, and is listed as day-to-day.

              The Heat center averaged 17 points and 14.1 rebounds in 32.6 minutes per game, and was invaluable for his side. He scored 26 and pulled down 26 boards in Miami's season opener vs. Orlando. Even worse for Miami: Dion Waiters is playing with an injured ankle.

              The Heat went 2-3 in the five games Whiteside missed last season and those three losses were against some of the league's worst teams (Suns, Lakers and Pistons).

              This week, Miami will host Atlanta, San Antonio and Boston. If there is a silver lining, it's that the Hawks, Spurs and Celtics are also dealing with the absence of key players.

              The Hawks lost Dennis Schroder to an ankle injury on Sunday, while the Spurs and Celtics have had much more time to adjust to their player rotations.

              Miami's game on Wednesday versus San Antonio is the one we should target to play against the Heat, should Whiteside be in street clothes. San Antonio has a lot of size inside, with LaMarcus Aldridge, Pau Gasol, and Joffrey Lauvergne. And the Spurs have also won nine straight in the series (8-1 ATS).

              Schedule Watch

              There are six undefeated teams in the NBA, and none more surprising than the Memphis Grizzlies, who are projected to finish with 38 wins, and miss the playoffs. The Grizzlies opened the season with a 12-point win against New Orleans, and followed that up with a double-digit upset win over the Warriors.

              Memphis leaves Beale Street this week and will play road games at Houston and Dallas, before returning home to play the same two sides. Monday's game against the Rockets looks to be a great spot to fade the Grizzlies. Our database says undefeated NBA teams off an upset win are just 1-14 SU and 2-13 ATS since 2009, including 0-8 ATS when getting eight or fewer points.
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2017, 07:40 PM.

              Comment

              Working...
              X