Announcement

**Udog** · 10-21-2017, 08:10 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

College football trends with Week 8 upon us……..

— Texas Tech is 6-0-1 vs spread in last 7 games as a home favorite.

— Florida Atlantic is 3-12-1 vs spread in its last 16 home games.

— Eastern Michigan covered 16 of its last 20 games.

— Tulsa is 14-5 vs spread in its last 19 road games.

— Michigan State covered 10 of its last 13 games with Indiana.

— Pittsburgh is 8-4 in its last 12 games as a road underdog.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Dusty Baker went 192-132 in two years as Washington’s manager, but went 4-6 in playoffs and that cost him his $2M a year job Friday. Nationals have had six managers (not counting interims) since 2006; next year will be #7.

Other Nationals’ news: Daniel Murphy had micro-fracture structure on his knee this week.

12) Had to stay away from Twitter late Thursday, as Dodger fans came out of the woodwork to celebrate their first NL title since 1988. I’ve got nothing against the Dodgers, but any mention of the 1988 World Series makes my stomach churn— I prefer the ’74 World Series.

11) Raiders 31, Chiefs 30— Great ballgame, bizarre ending, with an overturned TD, offensive pass interference and two defensive holding penalties, all in the last 0:18 of the game. Fun game to watch; Oakland’s win makes the AFC West race a lot more interesting.

10) Raiders now have 10 TD’s of 20+ yards this season; 10 of their 17 offensive TD’s came came on plays of 20+ yards. Buffalo Bills’ longest TD play this season? 12 yards.

9) James Harden has averaged over 10 free throws attempted per game the last three years; he is a career 85.4% free throw shooter. It is amazing to me how many times opponents let him drive to his strong hand— he is a lefty— figure it out!!!

Speaking of the Rockets, Chris Paul is already out 2-4 weeks with a bum knee. That didn’t take long. TNT studio guys were saying Thursday that Paul isn’t a good fit with the Rockets’ style anyway.

8) Big 14 basketball media day was in New York City this week, which is weird; they’re having the conference tournament at Madison Square Garden in March, as they try and expand their footprint with Rutgers, Penn State, Maryland now in the league.

But the Big 14 is a midwestern league; would think having media day in Chicago would be a more normal thing to do.

7) Memphis 42, Houston 38— Horrible loss for Cougars, who led 31-14 with 1:31 left in third quarter and 38-28 with 5:51 left in game. Memphis was down 17-0 at halftime- you do the math, Tigers scored 42 points in the second half.

6) Oldest guys in the NBA? Vince Carter, Manu Ginobili, who are both 40 years old.

5) Purdue’s basketball team played in the World University games this summer, which allowed them to have 30 practices and play 11 games, a huge advantage over other teams who take these overseas trips- those teams are allowed only 10 practices.

4) Detroit Tigers hired former Twins manager Ron Gardenhire as their new manager; he was 1,068-1,039 in 13 years with the Twins, going 6-21 in playoff games.

3) Why are foul tips not reviewable via instant replay? Anytime an obvious mistake is made by the umpires, the people in New York City should beep the crew chief on the field and correct things. The missed call on the foul tip in Game 4 of Dodger-Cub series was embarrassing.

2) Clippers clocked the Lakers Thursday night; Lonzo Ball had 3 points, 4 assists in his NBA debut. It is only one game, but if Lonzo is a marked man because his father can’t shut up, then that is too bad, but he’ll get through it. He will be a very good NBA player, in time.

1) Cam Newton skipped a couple of media sessions this week, which probably results in a fine; he can’t win this battle long-term, because he is a QB and the media needs access to him— it is part of why he makes so much money.

I’m not saying Newton is wrong; maybe he just has to adopt the Marshawn Lynch strategy of showing up and saying nothing. If he thinks he is being baited by certain writers, he has to rise above it and find ways to get around all that, for his sake and his employer’s sake.

**Udog** · 10-21-2017, 08:15 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 21

Embiid won’t play for Philly, because its a back/back. Toronto won 9 of last 10 games with Philly, covering 7 of last 9 meetings (over 7-2). 76ers lost their last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). 76ers lost their first two games, by 5-10 points (over 1-1). Raptors beat Chicago by 17 in their home opener Thursday.

Cavaliers won their last 10 games with Orlando (8-2 vs spread); Magic are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Ohio. Over is 3-1 in last four series games. Orlando split its first two games (over 2-0); they lost 126-121 in Brooklyn last nite. Cavaliers won their first two games (over 1-1), by 3-19 points; they won in Milwaukee Friday.

Rockets won six of last seven games with Dallas (5-2 vs spread); Mavericks are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 4-1 in last five series games. Dallas lost its first two games, both at home, by 5-6 points (over 1-1). Rockets won their first two road games by combined 6 points (under 2-0), winning in Oakland/Sacramento.

Home team won last seven Detroit-New York games; Pistons lost last four games in Manhattan (0-4 vs spread). Under is 4-1 in last five series games. Detroit split their first two games (over 1-1) but covered both- they lost by 4 in Washington last nite. Knicks lost their opener by 21 in Oklahoma Thursday night.

Home side won last ten Indiana-Miami games; Pacers lost last five visits here, going 0-4 vs spread in last four. Under is 6-1 in last seven series games. Pacers split their first two home games (over 1-1); they lost to Portland last nite. Heat lost their opener by 7 in Orlando three nights ago.

Home side won last six Spurs-Bulls games; San Antonio lost its last three games in Windy City, with last three staying under total. Bulls covered four of lat six series games. Spurs won their home opener by 8 over Minnesota. Chicago is missing Mirotic/Portis; they lost their opener by 17 at Toronto Thursday.

Warriors are 8-2 in last ten games with Memphis (7-3 vs spread), winning four of last five visits here (3-2 vs the spread). Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Golden State split its first two games; they won in New Orleans last nite. Grizzlies beat those same Pelicans by 12 in their home opener Wednesday.

Bucks won four of their last five games with Portland; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Blazers lost four of last five games in this building (1-4 vs spread). Portland won in Indiana last night; they won their first two games (under 2-0). Bucks lost at home to Cleveland last night, after winning their opener in Boston (over 2-0).

Denver won its last two games with Sacramento after losing previous five meetings; Kings won three of last four visits here. Last three series games stayed under the total. Sacramento split its first two games, winning in Dallas last night (under 2-0). Nuggets lost their road opener by 10 in Utah Wednesday.

Thunder won seven of last eight games with Utah (6-2 vs spread); they’re 3-2 in last five visits here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. OKC beat the Knicks by 21 in their home opener on Thursday. Jazz beat Denver by 10 in their home opener Wednesday.

Clippers won their last four games with Phoenix (3-1 vs spread); Suns lost their last four series games here (1-3 vs spread). Over is 4-1 in last five series games. Clippers beat Lakers by 16 in their opener Thursday. Suns lost their first two games (over 2-0)- they lost at home to the Lakers last night.

NBA

Saturday, October 21

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Trend Report
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PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Toronto is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Philadelphia

SAN ANTONIO @ CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

ORLANDO @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

DETROIT @ NEW YORK
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing New York
New York is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit
New York is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit

DALLAS @ HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas

GOLDEN STATE @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games at home

INDIANA @ MIAMI
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

PORTLAND @ MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Portland

OKLAHOMA CITY @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 12 games when playing Oklahoma City

SACRAMENTO @ DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento

PHOENIX @ LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
LA Clippers is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix

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**Udog** · 10-21-2017, 09:41 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 21

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) at TORONTO (1 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (1 - 1) at CLEVELAND (2 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (0 - 2) at HOUSTON (2 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 379-311 ATS (+36.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 482-405 ATS (+36.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 157-121 ATS (+23.9 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 128-94 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 265-216 ATS (+27.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (1 - 1) at NEW YORK (0 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (1 - 1) at MIAMI (0 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 126-168 ATS (-58.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (1 - 0) at CHICAGO (0 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1005-879 ATS (+38.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 805-686 ATS (+50.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 332-274 ATS (+30.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 406-325 ATS (+48.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 257-314 ATS (-88.4 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 124-169 ATS (-61.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (1 - 1) at MEMPHIS (1 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 160-122 ATS (+25.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (2 - 0) at MILWAUKEE (1 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 388-452 ATS (-109.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 147-187 ATS (-58.7 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 252-310 ATS (-89.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (1 - 1) at DENVER (0 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 0) at UTAH (1 - 1) - 10/21/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (0 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (1 - 0) - 10/21/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 153-112 ATS (+29.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-21-2017, 09:44 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, October 21

Philadelphia @ Toronto

Game 501-502
October 21, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
114.952
Toronto
116.620
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+9 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
October 21, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
120.522
Cleveland
127.091
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

Dallas @ Houston

Game 505-506
October 21, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
113.528
Houston
123.151
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 9 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 12
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+12); Over

Detroit @ New York

Game 507-508
October 21, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
115.033
New York
115.725
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+2); Over

Indiana @ Miami

Game 509-510
October 21, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
117.222
Miami
122.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 5
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 9 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+9 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Chicago

Game 511-512
October 21, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
122.472
Chicago
118.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 4
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 9 1/2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+9 1/2); Over

Golden State @ Memphis

Game 513-514
October 21, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
131.686
Memphis
120.132
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 11 1/2
239
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7 1/2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-7 1/2); Over

Portland @ Milwaukee

Game 515-516
October 21, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
119.476
Milwaukee
125.646
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 6
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-3 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Denver

Game 517-518
October 21, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
116.829
Denver
124.403
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 7 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 11
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+11); Over

Oklahoma City @ Utah

Game 519-520
October 21, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
117.694
Utah
126.754
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 9
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5
200
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+5); Over

Phoenix @ LA Clippers

Game 521-522
October 21, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
112.404
LA Clippers
123.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 11
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 12 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+12 1/2); Under

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/21

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/21

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