Announcement

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 08:22 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

More NBA over/under win totals for the coming season:

Minnesota Timberwolves 48.5

Miami Heat 43.5

Philadelphia 76ers 42.5

New York Knicks 30.5

Brooklyn Nets 28.5

Atlanta Hawks 25.5

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

13) 5:15 into the Boston Celtics’ season, Gordon Hayward severely injured his leg/ankle when he came down on an attempted alley-oop. It was a gruesome injury, reminiscent of Jason Kendall or Joe Theismann’s grotesque leg injuries.

12) Damn, this is Lebron James’ 15th year in the NBA? Time flies. I remember sitting in a bar having dinner, watching his high school game that ESPN showed. Think Bill Walton was the TV analyst that night; people were excited that Lebron scored 31 points.

Hell, I thought, if he’s going to be in the NBA next year, he SHOULD score 31 points in a high school game, shouldn’t he?

Obviously, Lebron has outperformed those huge expectations; good for him.

11) By the way, sounds like pretty soon, kids will able to go straight from high school to the NBA once again, which helps everyone, except veterans trying to hang on in the G-League.

10) Indianapolis Colts in the fourth quarter this season: they’ve been outscored 85-22, allowing 1,034 yards on 139 plays, an average of 7.4 yards per play.

Colts are 2-4, but they haven’t trailed at halftime since Week 1 against the Rams.

9) Tennessee Titans have 7 takeaways in six games, but they’re the only team in NFL that hasn’t scored a touchdown after one of their takeaways.

Titans-Colts game Monday night had no punts in the first half, the first game in NFL this season without a first half punt.

8) Injured Vikings’ QB Teddy Bridgewater is practicing this week, as he comes back from his severe knee injury; Minnesota has three weeks to decide whether to activate Bridgewater or IR him for the rest of the season. Bridgewater and Sam Bradford are both in the last year of their contracts; Vikings have some interesting decisions ahead of them.

7) Chicago Bulls Bobby Portis and Nikola Mirotic got into a fight today at practice and Mirotic wound up with broken bones in his face; he’s going to be out for a few weeks, at least.

Curious how the analytics geniuses take this into account when they measure Portis, Mirotic as players. There is a human element to sports that can never be quantified— these guys live and travel together for months at a time. Part of being a good teammate is staying out of fights that send yourself or teammates to the hospital.

6) Best red zone offenses in NFL:
Packers 5.68 pts/possession, Eagles 5.56, Cowboys 5.33, Texans 5.25— Aaron Rodgers is gone for the year, so going forward, Green Bay’s numbers figure to drop dramatically.

5) Best offenses on drives starting 75+ yards from end zone:
Saints 2.47, Chiefs 2.46, Titans 2.37, Patriots 2.16

Worst offenses on drives starting 75+ yards from end zone (includes points lost on TD”s scored by the opposing defense):
Colts 0.42, Bengals 0.51, Buccaneers 0.91, Lions 0.97

4) Most plays of 20+ yards this season:
Rams 31, Vikings 30, Patriots/Cardinals 29, Chiefs 27

3) Most TD’s on plays of 20+ yards:
Raiders 8 (out of 13 total TD’s), Chiefs 7 (18 total TD’s), Titans 7 (13 total TD’s), Jets 6 (11 total TD’s), Lions 6 (14 total TD’s)

2) Baseball update:
AL: New York 6, Houston 4— Astros’ bullpen imploded; series is tied 2-2.
NL: Dodgers 6, Cubs 1– Chicago is going down meekly.

1) One of the best days of the year for me is when the Blue Ribbon Yearbook arrives at my door every October; the bible of college basketball, Blue Ribbon has a ton of useful information in it, and it got here Monday. If you like college basketball, it is well worth your time.

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 08:38 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 18

Brooklyn @ Indiana

Game 701-702
October 18, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
117.751
Indiana
117.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
Even
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+3 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 703-704
October 18, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
114.515
Washington
120.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 5 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+7); Over

Miami @ Orlando

Game 705-706
October 18, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
120.491
Orlando
115.010
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 5 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-3); Under

Charlotte @ Detroit

Game 707-708
October 18, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
111.429
Detroit
119.160
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 7 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
204
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3); Under

Milwaukee @ Boston

Game 709-710
October 18, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
120.343
Boston
118.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+5 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Memphis

Game 711-712
October 18, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
117.723
Memphis
118.041
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
Even
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 3
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3); Under

Atlanta @ Dallas

Game 713-714
October 18, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
116.044
Dallas
117.025
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6 1/2
197 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+6 1/2); Under

Denver @ Utah

Game 715-716
October 18, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
127.283
Utah
122.487
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 2
206
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+2); Under

Minnesota @ San Antonio

Game 717-718
October 18, 2017 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
120.392
San Antonio
121.370
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 1
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+2); Over

Houston @ Sacramento

Game 719-720
October 18, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
120.085
Sacramento
119.649
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
Even
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 9
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+9); Over

Portland @ Phoenix

Game 721-722
October 18, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
118.562
Phoenix
114.664
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 4
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 08:41 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 18

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BROOKLYN (20 - 62) at INDIANA (42 - 44) - 10/18/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (28 - 54) at WASHINGTON (56 - 39) - 10/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (41 - 41) at ORLANDO (29 - 53) - 10/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (36 - 46) at DETROIT (37 - 45) - 10/18/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (44 - 44) at BOSTON (62 - 38) - 10/18/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 129-95 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (34 - 48) at MEMPHIS (45 - 43) - 10/18/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (45 - 43) at DALLAS (33 - 49) - 10/18/2017, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (40 - 42) at UTAH (55 - 38) - 10/18/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (31 - 51) at SAN ANTONIO (69 - 29) - 10/18/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1004-879 ATS (+37.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 805-686 ATS (+50.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 510-430 ATS (+37.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (61 - 32) at SACRAMENTO (32 - 50) - 10/18/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (41 - 45) at PHOENIX (24 - 58) - 10/18/2017, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 08:43 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 18

Not a lot to go on for the first 7-10 days, until these teams get some games under their belts. I’ll give you what relevant information I have:

Home side won 5 of last 6 Net-Pacer games; Brooklyn lost its last four games in this building, covering once. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Favorites covered four of last five series games.

Washington won 7 of last 9 games vs Philly but 76ers covered four of last five, all as an underdog. Sixers lost their last four visits here (1-3 vs spread), losing by 16-8-12-13 points.

Orlando won its last three games with Miami, by 11-9-6 points; underdogs covered 5 of last 6 series games. Heat won 3 of its last 5 visits to Orlando.

Home side won 8 of last 9 Charlotte-Detroit games; Hornets lost their last four visits to Motor City (1-3 vs spread), losing by 6-1-7-39 points. Favorites covered 8 of last 10 series games.

Boston is without injured star Hayward- they lost by 3 in Cleveland last nite. Celtics won 6 of last 8 games with Milwaukee, covering 3 of last 4. Bucks lost 3 of last 4 visits to Beantown, but are 3-2 vs spread in last five. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine series games.

Pelicans won their last two games with Memphis after losing previous seven meetings; underdogs covered 6 of last 8 series games. Three of last four series games stayed under the total. New Orleans lost four of last five games in Memphis (2-3 vs spread).

Hawks won their last seven games with Dallas (6-1 vs spread); they won last three visits here, by 3-3-15 points. Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Home side won 6 of last 7 Denver-Utah games; favorites covered last five series games. Nuggets lost their last five games in this building (1-4 vs spread). 8 of last 9 series games stayed under total.

Spurs won their last 10 games with Minnesota, but are 3-3 vs spread in last six, all covered by the road team; Timberwolves covered their last three visits to the Alamo, losing by 7-8-6 points. Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Portland won its last three games with Phoenix, by 3-9-13 points; three of last four series games went over total. Trailblazers won three of last five games in this building. Underdogs covered 4 of last 6 series games.

Rockets won five in row, 9 of last 10 games with Sacramento, covering four of last five- they won a tough game in Oakland last night. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Houston is 4-1 in last five visits here (3-2 vs spread).

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 08:46 AM

NBA

Wednesday, October 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games at home

BROOKLYN @ INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 13 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

MIAMI @ ORLANDO
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing at home against Miami

PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

MILWAUKEE @ BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

NEW ORLEANS @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

ATLANTA @ DALLAS
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Atlanta

DENVER @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 9 games when playing Denver

MINNESOTA @ SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home

PORTLAND @ PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

HOUSTON @ SACRAMENTO
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

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Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/18

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/18

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