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Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 10/1

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  • Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 10/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 1

    Good Luck on day #273 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 4 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Kansas City +6.5, 575

    5) Cincinnati, -3, 595

    4) New Orleans, -3, 705

    3) NJ Giants, +3, 726

    2) LA Chargers, -1.5, 774

    1) Denver, -2.5, 963

    Season record of top 6 picks: 6-12


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

    13) Oklahoma State 41, Texas Tech 34— OSU’s kicker clanked two really short FG’s off the right upright, but the Cowboys overcame all that and scored a TD with 1:12 left to send the fans home unhappy in Lubbock. Good ballgame, except for Gus Johnson’s occasional screaming on FOX.

    12) Florida State 26, Wake Forest 19— Seminoles ran opening kickoff back for a TD, it was called back by a penalty. From that point on, Wake outgained them 367-270 but FSU hit a long pass in the last minute to win game. If you knew nothing about reputations/teams and just watched this game, you could have easily thought that Wake Forest is the better team.

    11) Troy 24, LSU 21— Troy State is in Alabama; they play in the Sun Belt; they got a check for $985,000 to come and be a patsy to help LSU get ready for SEC play. Problem is, they won.

    Last year, LSU fired Les Miles, who was 62-28 in SEC games while coaching the Tigers. LSU then hired Ed Orgeron, who is 7-24 in SEC games in 4+ years as coach at Ole Miss/LSU. This was administrative malpractice, replacing a really good head coach with a career assistant.

    Don’t believe me? Go find the book Meat Market, written by Bruce Feldman; it details one of the recruiting periods during Orgeron’s tenure at Ole Miss. If you read that book and think Orgeron should be an SEC head coach, then we’ll agree to disagree.

    10) Upsets of the Day— wasn’t a big day for surprises:
    Troy +20.5 won 24-21 at LSU
    Maryland +13 won 31-24 at Minnesota
    North Texas +8.5 won 43-28 at Southern Mississippi

    9) Washington State 30, USC 27— One of season’s best games ended way after midnight Friday night. Three of USC’s five starting offensive linemen are hurt and they don’t have a week off until November, which will make Sam Darnold’s season a lot more difficult.

    8) Maryland 31, Minnesota 24— Terrapins win here as a 13-point underdog with their #3 QB playing- their top two QB’s are out for the year.

    7) Florida 38, Vanderbilt 24— Two starting QB’s here are both sons of NFL coaches; Florida’s Luke Del Rio is the son of the Raiders’ coach, Vandy’s Kyle Shurmur is the son of the Vikings’ offensive coordinator. Del Rio broke his collarbone here, is out for the year.

    6) Georgia 41, Tennessee 0— If you’re an aspiring college football coach and you’d like to coach in the SEC, send your resume to:

    Athletic Director
    University of Tennessee, Knoxville
    Knoxville, Tennessee 37996

    Believe me, you couldn’t do any worse than the guy who has that job now.

    5) Stanford 34, Arizona State 24— Bryce Love ran for 301 yards and three TD’s.

    4) Utah State 40, BYU 24— This is the worst BYU team I can remember; they need to get into a league, makes your schedule more balanced. Cougars turned ball over seven times in this game; that makes it difficult to win.

    Maybe when the Raiders’ dome gets built in Las Vegas and UNLV moves into it, they and BYU can join the Big X or the Pac-12 as a western tandem.

    3) Clemson 31, Virginia Tech 17— It is October 1st; Tigers have already won at Louisville and Virginia Tech; they beat Auburn at home. How do you win as much as Clemson has the last few years and remain somewhat under the radar?

    2) NFL Network has a pregame show that starts at 7am Sunday; I get that some people are awake on Sunday morning, whether it be for work or church, but do people really get up on Sunday morning and watch TV? At 7am? College games don’t get over until 2am or so on Saturday night— got to sleep sometime.

    1) No drama for the last day of baseball season; Colorado-Arizona and Minnesota-New York are the two Wild Card games. There are probably executives at ESPN that don’t even know that there are major league teams in Denver/Phoenix, Lord knows they never show ‘em on TV.

    Comment


    • #3
      Cheat Sheet - WNBA Finals

      (1) Minnesota vs. (2) Los Angeles

      Best-of-Five (2-2-1 Format)

      Game 1 – Sunday, Sept. 24
      Game 2 – Tuesday, Sept. 26
      Game 3 – Friday, Sept. 29
      Game 4 – Sunday, Oct. 1
      Game 5 – Wednesday, Oct. 4

      Series Price – per BookMaker.eu

      Minnesota -160
      Los Angeles +140

      Betting Notes - Minnesota

      -- Minnesota swept Washington 3-0 in the semifinals, winning all three games by double digits. The Lynx went 2-1 against the spread in the series.

      -- Including the playoffs, the Lynx have won six straight games by 10-plus points and they’ve covered the number in four of those games.

      -- The ‘over’ went 2-1 in the semifinals.

      -- Minnesota has gone 17-2 SU and 9-10 ATS at the Xcel Energy Center this season while the ‘under’ produced a 10-9 record.

      -- The Lynx were 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS on the road this season.

      -- The ‘under’ has gone 6-1 in the last seven away games for Minnesota.

      Betting Notes – Los Angeles

      -- Los Angeles advanced to the WNBA Finals with a three-game sweep over Phoenix in the semifinals.

      -- The Sparks went 2-1 versus the number and only failed to cover Game 3 as they nipped the Mercury 89-87 as 4 ½-point road favorites.

      -- Los Angeles will bring a 10-game winning streak into the finals and the club has gone 9-1 ATS during this run while the ‘under’ is 7-3 over this span.

      -- The Sparks went 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS at home this season.

      -- Los Angeles went 11-9 SU and 10-8 ATS away from home this season.

      -- Similar to Minnesota, the ‘under’ has been a solid wager for L.A. on the road lately with a 5-2 mark in its last seven.

      2017 Regular Season Encounters

      July 6 – Minnesota 88 (-6.5) vs. Los Angeles 77 (Under 166.5)

      August 11 - Los Angeles 70 (+5.5) at Minnesota 64 (Under 161.5)

      August 27 – Los Angeles 78 (-2.5) vs. Minnesota 67 (Under 155.5)

      2016 WNBA Finals

      Game 1 – Los Angeles 78 (+6.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 161)

      Game 2 – Minnesota 79 (-7) vs. Los Angeles 60 (Under 159)

      Game 3 – Los Angeles 92 (+1) vs. Minnesota 75 (Over 159.5)

      Game 4 – Minnesota 85 (+1) at Los Angeles 79 (Over 160)

      Game 5 – Los Angeles 77 (+5.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 156.5)

      WNBA Finals History – 1997-2016

      -- The league went to a best-of-five format during the 2005 season. In the 12 series, we’ve seen five sweeps (3-0), four matchups go to a decisive Game 7 and three series end in four games (3-1).

      -- The Sparks have won the WNBA Championship three times, including last year’s victory over Minnesota.

      -- The previous title for the Sparks came in 20012 when the franchise pulled off the rare repeat.

      -- Los Angeles failed to three-peat in 2003 as it was defeated by the now defunct Detroit Shock.

      -- Since the 2011 season, Minnesota has won three championships and finished runner-up twice. The victories included two sweeps.

      -- The Lynx have alternated titles the last six years and if that trend continues, they’ll be champions this seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-01-2017, 12:49 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        WNBA
        Dunkel

        Sunday, October 1


        Minnesota @ Los Angeles

        Game 669-670
        October 1, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Minnesota
        123.574
        Los Angeles
        120.336
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Minnesota
        by 3
        151
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Los Angeles
        by 3
        152
        Dunkel Pick:
        Minnesota
        (+3); Under





        WNBA
        Long Sheet

        Sunday, October 1


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (31 - 9) at LOS ANGELES (31 - 9) - 10/1/2017, 8:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LOS ANGELES is 13-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        MINNESOTA is 11-10 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
        14 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        WNBA

        Sunday, October 1


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        8:30 PM
        MINNESOTA vs. LOS ANGELES
        Minnesota is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
        Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
        Los Angeles is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-01-2017, 12:50 PM.

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