Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/26

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, September 26

Good Luck on day #268 of 2017!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


Matchup Links

WNBA Matchups

WNBA Hot and Not

WNBA Injuries

[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

tba here....


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Week 3 NFL betting summary, from ESPN.com:

“Ten of Sunday’s 13 underdogs covered the spread, with six teams pulling outright upsets. For some bookmakers, it was their most lucrative NFL Sunday ever. For the betting public, it was a multimillion-dollar defeat.

On an average NFL Sunday, sportsbook operator CG Technology will win 4-6 percent of the amount wagered. This Sunday, CG Technology kept more than 16 percent of the money bet on the NFL at their sportsbooks, according to vice president of risk Jason Simbal.”

12) College football trends: Home favorites in conference games: 7-18 vs spread. Home underdogs in conference games: 8-13, making home teams 15-31 in conference games.

11) Phil Jackson stole $12M a year from the Knicks, but couldn’t manage to trade ball-stopping gunner Carmelo Anthony. His replacement got rid of Anthony pretty quickly. Well done.

10) Twins’ OF Zach Granite is the first major leaguer since 2001 to pinch-run, then hit a home run later in that same inning.

9) Why doesn’t Tulane’s football team wear green uniforms? They’re the Green Wave, but they wear these awful light-blue jerseys. Things like this bother me.

8) Oakland A’s are 41-39 in games that rookie 3B Matt Chapman has played in this year; they are 31-45 in all their other games.

7) Toronto Blue Jays pulled the hidden ball trick on Todd Frazier Friday night, which doesn’t happen very often.

6) Cincinnati 2B Scooter Gennett is only second player ever to hit four HR’s in a game, in the same season where he hit four grand slams.

5) George Clooney once sold insurance door-t0-door; I’m guessing there were some very happy housewives when they opened their door and saw him standing there.

4) WB Mason sells a kit that prevents thieves from breaking into your safe with a magnet. Who knew that people could break into a safe that way? Now I’ll be queasy putting my stuff into the safe in my hotel room when I go to Las Vegas.

3) Detroit Lions signed coach Jim Caldwell to a multi-year extension, making it pretty likely that offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter will be elsewhere next year, since he figures to be a popular candidate to fill head coaching vacancies……like maybe at Tennessee, where Cooter was a backup to Peyton Manning. The locals are not thrilled with current Vols coach Butch Jones.

2) Dodgers cliched the NL West the other night; saw some ads right after that to buy NL West championship gear. Why would anyone buy this stuff? Dodgers have won the NL West five years in a row and 7 of the last 11 years, but haven’t been to the World Series since 1988.

World Series Championship gear is what you would ideally like to buy, or at least NL Champs gear.

1) Cowboys 28, Cardinals 17— Arizona scored only 10 points on four trips to red zone, bungled game management in last minute; down 28-17, they could’ve kicked FG with 0:45 left to keep game alive, but went for TD and failed. Dallas ran 30 fewer plays (75-45) but Prescott kept plays alive with his feet and WR Butler had two big catches for 90 yards.

[Udog]

Cheat Sheet - WNBA Finals

(1) Minnesota vs. (2) Los Angeles

Best-of-Five (2-2-1 Format)

Game 1 – Sunday, Sept. 24
Game 2 – Tuesday, Sept. 26
Game 3 – Friday, Sept. 29
Game 4 – Sunday, Oct. 1
Game 5 – Wednesday, Oct. 4

Series Price – per BookMaker.eu

Minnesota -160
Los Angeles +140

Betting Notes - Minnesota

-- Minnesota swept Washington 3-0 in the semifinals, winning all three games by double digits. The Lynx went 2-1 against the spread in the series.

-- Including the playoffs, the Lynx have won six straight games by 10-plus points and they’ve covered the number in four of those games.

-- The ‘over’ went 2-1 in the semifinals.

-- Minnesota has gone 17-2 SU and 9-10 ATS at the Xcel Energy Center this season while the ‘under’ produced a 10-9 record.

-- The Lynx were 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS on the road this season.

-- The ‘under’ has gone 6-1 in the last seven away games for Minnesota.

Betting Notes – Los Angeles

-- Los Angeles advanced to the WNBA Finals with a three-game sweep over Phoenix in the semifinals.

-- The Sparks went 2-1 versus the number and only failed to cover Game 3 as they nipped the Mercury 89-87 as 4 ½-point road favorites.

-- Los Angeles will bring a 10-game winning streak into the finals and the club has gone 9-1 ATS during this run while the ‘under’ is 7-3 over this span.

-- The Sparks went 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS at home this season.

-- Los Angeles went 11-9 SU and 10-8 ATS away from home this season.

-- Similar to Minnesota, the ‘under’ has been a solid wager for L.A. on the road lately with a 5-2 mark in its last seven.

2017 Regular Season Encounters

July 6 – Minnesota 88 (-6.5) vs. Los Angeles 77 (Under 166.5)

August 11 - Los Angeles 70 (+5.5) at Minnesota 64 (Under 161.5)

August 27 – Los Angeles 78 (-2.5) vs. Minnesota 67 (Under 155.5)

2016 WNBA Finals

Game 1 – Los Angeles 78 (+6.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 161)

Game 2 – Minnesota 79 (-7) vs. Los Angeles 60 (Under 159)

Game 3 – Los Angeles 92 (+1) vs. Minnesota 75 (Over 159.5)

Game 4 – Minnesota 85 (+1) at Los Angeles 79 (Over 160)

Game 5 – Los Angeles 77 (+5.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 156.5)

WNBA Finals History – 1997-2016

-- The league went to a best-of-five format during the 2005 season. In the 12 series, we’ve seen five sweeps (3-0), four matchups go to a decisive Game 7 and three series end in four games (3-1).

-- The Sparks have won the WNBA Championship three times, including last year’s victory over Minnesota.

-- The previous title for the Sparks came in 20012 when the franchise pulled off the rare repeat.

-- Los Angeles failed to three-peat in 2003 as it was defeated by the now defunct Detroit Shock.

-- Since the 2011 season, Minnesota has won three championships and finished runner-up twice. The victories included two sweeps.

-- The Lynx have alternated titles the last six years and if that trend continues, they’ll be champions this seasons.

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 26

Los Angeles @ Minnesota

Game 665-666
September 26, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
115.159
Minnesota
128.751
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 13 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5 1/2); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (30 - 8) at MINNESOTA (30 - 8) - 9/26/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a division game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 11-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-9 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Tuesday, September 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— San Juan tip-off hoop tourney will be moved to Coastal Carolina’s campus in South Carolina for this year. Event is Nov 16-19.

— Road teams are 7-3 in the baseball Wild Card games.

— Former UConn coach Jim Calhoun is now coaching a D-III team; St Joseph’s College- they will begin play next season. Calhoun is 75 years old.

— 33-year old Matt Cain will start Saturday for the Giants and then retire; he helped SF win three world titles.

— Dwayne Wade gets $2.3M to play for the Cavaliers this season.

— Still can’t get over the Jaguars running a fake punt Sunday while leading 37-0.


**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……..

13) First of all, congrats to the Minnesota Twins for making the playoffs this season; they lost 103 games last year. No team had ever made the playoffs when they had lost 97+ games in the previous season. Excellent accomplishment.

12) NBA changed how their draft lottery will work, to discourage tanking; right now the top three teams have these percentages of getting the #1 pick:
1) 25%, 2) 19.9%, 3) 15.6%

Under the new system, the top three teams will each have a 14% shot at the #1 pick.

11) JD Martinez made $11,750,000 this season; he is hitting .418 in September, with 16 HR’s and 36 RBI and is a free agent after this season. He is going to make a freakin’ fortune this winter.

10) There were rumors on the Interweb Thursday that Clemson coach/Alabama alum Dabo Swinney might replace Nick Saban when Saban retires from the Crimson Tide.

I’ve said this here before; replacing Saban in Tuscaloosa will be like replacing John Wooden at UCLA or even replacing Bear Bryant at Alabama 35 years ago. A rabid, spoiled fanbase. Very, very difficult job.

9) Oakland A’s extended manager Bob Melvin’s contract thru 2019, which is excellent news; A’s were 46-35 at home this year, have a decent nucleus of young position players. Not sure their starting pitching will be good enough to contend next year. One can hope, though.

8) Seattle Mariners have used 40 pitchers this season; 17 of them started at least one game.

7) Arizona Wildcats lose 6-5 swingman Rawle Atkins for 8-12 weeks with a broken foot; he was supposed to be one of the Pac-12’s best players this winter.

6) Tigers’ utility guy Austin Romine will play all nine positions for Detroit Sunday, which is pretty cool. Bert Campaneris of the A’s was the first player to do that, in 1965.

5) Sam Saunders shot a 59 at the web.com championship Thursday; Saunders is Arnold Palmer’s grandson.

4) Chris Fallica of ESPN points out that there are only six college football games this week that have a spread less than 7 points. 27 games have a double digit spread.

3) Packers 35, Bears 14— Long time ago, I met John Fox; good guy. Too bad he’s going to get fired before New Year’s Day; the Bears turned ball over four times, are -7 in turnovers in two bad road losses. They’ve got a rookie QB sitting on the bench who might as well be playing, much like the Rams with Jared Goff last season. Chicago will hire an offensive-minded coach (Jim Bob Cooter??) to mentor Trubisky next year.

2) Clippers are having training camp in Hawai’i, the Nets at the Naval Academy in Annapolis. Nothing against the Naval Academy, but advantage, Clippers.

1) NBA preseason games start Saturday night, which is good news. Will be better news when the games count for real, in a couple weeks.

[StarDust Bum]

Cheat Sheet - WNBA Finals

(1) Minnesota vs. (2) Los Angeles

Best-of-Five (2-2-1 Format)

Game 1 – Sunday, Sept. 24
Game 2 – Tuesday, Sept. 26
Game 3 – Friday, Sept. 29
Game 4 – Sunday, Oct. 1
Game 5 – Wednesday, Oct. 4

Series Price – per BookMaker.eu

Minnesota -160
Los Angeles +140

Betting Notes - Minnesota

-- Minnesota swept Washington 3-0 in the semifinals, winning all three games by double digits. The Lynx went 2-1 against the spread in the series.

-- Including the playoffs, the Lynx have won six straight games by 10-plus points and they’ve covered the number in four of those games.

-- The ‘over’ went 2-1 in the semifinals.

-- Minnesota has gone 17-2 SU and 9-10 ATS at the Xcel Energy Center this season while the ‘under’ produced a 10-9 record.

-- The Lynx were 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS on the road this season.

-- The ‘under’ has gone 6-1 in the last seven away games for Minnesota.

Betting Notes – Los Angeles

-- Los Angeles advanced to the WNBA Finals with a three-game sweep over Phoenix in the semifinals.

-- The Sparks went 2-1 versus the number and only failed to cover Game 3 as they nipped the Mercury 89-87 as 4 ½-point road favorites.

-- Los Angeles will bring a 10-game winning streak into the finals and the club has gone 9-1 ATS during this run while the ‘under’ is 7-3 over this span.

-- The Sparks went 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS at home this season.

-- Los Angeles went 11-9 SU and 10-8 ATS away from home this season.

-- Similar to Minnesota, the ‘under’ has been a solid wager for L.A. on the road lately with a 5-2 mark in its last seven.

2017 Regular Season Encounters

July 6 – Minnesota 88 (-6.5) vs. Los Angeles 77 (Under 166.5)

August 11 - Los Angeles 70 (+5.5) at Minnesota 64 (Under 161.5)

August 27 – Los Angeles 78 (-2.5) vs. Minnesota 67 (Under 155.5)

2016 WNBA Finals

Game 1 – Los Angeles 78 (+6.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 161)

Game 2 – Minnesota 79 (-7) vs. Los Angeles 60 (Under 159)

Game 3 – Los Angeles 92 (+1) vs. Minnesota 75 (Over 159.5)

Game 4 – Minnesota 85 (+1) at Los Angeles 79 (Over 160)

Game 5 – Los Angeles 77 (+5.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 156.5)

WNBA Finals History – 1997-2016

-- The league went to a best-of-five format during the 2005 season. In the 12 series, we’ve seen five sweeps (3-0), four matchups go to a decisive Game 7 and three series end in four games (3-1).

-- The Sparks have won the WNBA Championship three times, including last year’s victory over Minnesota.

-- The previous title for the Sparks came in 20012 when the franchise pulled off the rare repeat.

-- Los Angeles failed to three-peat in 2003 as it was defeated by the now defunct Detroit Shock.

-- Since the 2011 season, Minnesota has won three championships and finished runner-up twice. The victories included two sweeps.

-- The Lynx have alternated titles the last six years and if that trend continues, they’ll be champions this seasons.

[StarDust Bum]

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, September 29

Minnesota @ Los Angeles

Game 667-668
September 29, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
119.072
Los Angeles
124.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
151
by 6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 3 1/2
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-3 1/2); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, September 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (31 - 8) at LOS ANGELES (30 - 9) - 9/29/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) on Friday this season.
LOS ANGELES is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a division game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Friday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 12-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 11-9 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
13 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA

Friday, September 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Lynx (27-7) at Sparks (26-8)
Date: September 29, 2017 9:00 PM EDT

The 2017 WNBA Finals head into Game 3 of a contentious battle between Los Angeles and the Minnesota Lynx as the Sparks play host for the first time in the series on Friday at Staples Center in downtown Los Angeles.

The best-of-five series is tied 1-1.

In Game 1 on Sunday night in Williams Arena, the Sparks narrowly prevailed 85-84 after giving up a first quarter lead of 28-2.

On Monday, the Lynx battled back for a tight 70-68 victory after earlier having a 20-point lead.

With both teams so equally matched, the outcome of Game 3 is anything but a given and both teams will be battling hard in the first quarter to establish dominance.

"It'll be a test of wills," Lynx coach Cheryl Reeve said.

Earlier in the week, she had harsh words for her team after falling behind in the first eight minutes of Sunday's game, a correction they made in Game 2 when they were ahead by 15 points in the first eight minutes.

"Each team is trying to establish themselves early," Reeve said. "It's a possession game. You've got play hard. You've got to play with passion in everything that you're doing, and we didn't do that in Game 1."

Sparks star Candace Parker said much the same about her team's game plan for Game 3.

"It's having a sense of urgency," said the two-time WNBA MVP. "Who started out with the first punch? We were able to work our way back into Game 2 and they were able to work their way back into Game 1 but it's starting out with a sense of urgency."

Starting strong is key for the Sparks. It's about, she said, "whoever is dictating the game."

That much was noticeable in Game 2 as the Sparks' slow start meant they shot 28 percent in the first two quarters.

"If we're hesitant," Parker said, "it affects us."

The games so far have been marked by intense, physical battles.

"It is intense," said Sylvia Fowles, who set a WNBA Finals record of 17 rebounds for the Lynx in Game 2, breaking an earlier record set in 2005. "That's what it comes down to. A lot of physicality."

Both teams, she said, are gritty. "That's what you expect," Fowles said, "You see a lot of similarities in both teams."

The battle will continue at Staples Center, where both teams are preparing for another intense match up, with both agreeing home court advantage has almost no meaning in a series so evenly matched.

"If you look at last year's series," Sparks coach Brian Agler said, "this year, head-to-head, last year head-to-head, we won on each other's court. So I don't know how much home court means."

What it comes down to was summed up by Reeve in one word: "Talent."

"That's what makes it so good," Reeve said. "There's really, really good players on both teams. That's what you see."


WNBA HEAD TO HEAD

Sep 26, 2017 Score ATS Results
LOS 68 Cover: 5
MIN « 70 Under: 138
Tools: Recaps

Sep 24, 2017 Score ATS Results
LOS « 85 Cover: 6.5
MIN 84 Over: 169
Tools: Recaps

Aug 27, 2017 Score ATS Results
MIN 67 Under: 145
LOS « 78 Cover: 8.5
Tools: Recaps

Aug 11, 2017 Score ATS Results
LOS « 70 Cover: 12
MIN 64 Under: 134
Tools: Recaps

Jul 6, 2017 Score ATS Results
LOS 77 Under: 165
MIN « 88 Cover: 4.5
Tools: Recaps

Oct 20, 2016 Score ATS Results
LOS « 77 Cover: 6.5
MIN 76 Under: 153
Tools: Recaps

Oct 16, 2016 Score ATS Results
MIN « 85 Cover: 7
LOS 79 Over: 164
Tools: Recaps

Oct 14, 2016 Score ATS Results
MIN 75 Over: 167
LOS « 92 Cover: 16
Tools: Recaps

Oct 11, 2016 Score ATS Results
LOS 60 Under: 139
MIN « 79 Cover: 12
Tools: Recaps

Oct 9, 2016 Score ATS Results
LOS « 78 Cover: 8.5
MIN 76 Under: 154
Tools: Recaps

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 29

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIN at LA 09:00 PM

LA -3.0

U 155.0