Thursday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/14

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, September 14

Good Luck on day #256 of 2017!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends for Week 2:

— Tampa Bay is 1-8 vs spread in last nine games as a home favorite.

— Oakland covered seven of last ten games when favored.

— 49ers are 5-10 vs spread in last 15 games as a road underdog.

— Minnesota Vikings are 13-6 in last 19 games as a road dog.

— Jets are 1-5-1 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog.

— Green Bay covered just three of last 12 gamed when getting points on the road.


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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Houston Texans played terribly in their opener; now news that LB Brian Cushing is out for 10 weeks due to a PED suspension and things just got a little more depressing for the Texans.

12) Apparently the Denver Broncos lost interest in drafting Dak Prescott last year when he missed the flight to come visit the team after the NFL Combine. Prescott showed up later that night but you only get one chance to make a first impression. Denver drafted Paxton Lynch instead, a subplot to Sunday’s game at Mile High Stadium.

11) Marlins-Brewers series, scheduled for Miami this weekend, has been moved to Miller Park in Milwaukee as hurricane cleanup efforts continue in south Florida.

There is still no power at the Marlins’ TV studio in Miami.

10) Tuesday night in Philly, Giancarlo Stanton threw out a runner at second base, a runner at third base and another at home plate— that would’ve been the game-winning run. That was the first time an outfielder has thrown out runners and 2B, 3B and home in the same game since Dale Murphy of the Braves did it in 1991, also in Philadelphia.

9) The All-Star break isn’t the halfway mark of the season anymore; next year, the Orioles will play 98 games before the All-Star break. With the season starting in late March now to allow for four more off days per team, the halfway point in terms of games will be in June.

8) Cubs and Cardinals won’t like this; the All-Star break is four days for 28 teams, but these two teams play on Thursday, July 19, making their All-Star break only three days. That game will be the first of seven games in 11 days between Cubs/Cardinals.

All-Star Game is in Washington next summer.

7) Indians-Twins are playing a two-game series in Puerto Rico April 17-18. Figures to be a little warmer in San Juan than Minneapolis in April.

6) San Francisco Giants will open on the road in Los Angeles next year; it’ll be the 9th year in a row the Giants are opening the season on the road.

5) This guy Rhys Hoskins looks like the real deal for the Phillies; he has plate discipline, takes his walks and his power definitely plays in the Phillies’ small home ballpark. He is a keeper.

4) Dodger reliever Brandon Morrow appeared in his 39th game Tuesday night; if he appears in one more game, he nets himself a $250,000 bonus.

3) Indians 5, Tigers 3— Cleveland won its 21st straight game, but Detroit’s catcher/manager were both tossed in the 3rd inning for bitching about balls/strikes with plate umpire Quinn Wolcott, who had been squeezing pitcher Buck Farmer on balls/strikes early in the game.

Soon after play resumed after the ejections, new catcher John Hicks completely missed catching a Farmer pitch— the ball drilled Wolcott near the collarbone.

Immediately, Indians’ TV guys insinuated Hicks had missed the ball on purpose, so it would hit Wolcott. Only Hicks knows for sure.

2) They listed the attendance in Cleveland Wednesday as 29,346; looked a lot more crowded than that— people were still waiting outside to get in the ballpark in the second inning.

Their crowd of 24,000+ Tuesday night was disappointing, considering how great the Indians have been playing, but it seemed like Wednesday, everyone took the afternoon off from work and came out to the ballpark.

1) By the way, as an A’s fan, congrats to the Indians on this great streak. 2002 was so much fun for me, as the A’s found a way to win 20 games in a row at just about this same point of the season. Hope it translates to postseason success in Cleveland.

Maybe somebody will make a movie about them.

[Udog]

WNBA Cheat Sheet - Semifinals

The WNBA semifinals began with Game 1’s on Tuesday with four teams looking to advance in the postseason. These series will be best-of-five matchups and so will the WNBA Finals.

Game 2’s will take place on Thursday before the clubs travel and play Game 3’s on Sunday.

If necessary, Game 4 and 5’s will take place the following week on Tuesday Sept. 19 and Thursday Sept. 21. ESPN2 will provide national coverage of the matchups.

(1) Minnesota vs. (6) Washington

-- Washington (20-16) defeated Dallas 86-76 in the first round as a 6 ½-point home favorite last Wednesday.

-- The Mystics followed up that victory with an impressive 82-68 win at New York this past Sunday as a six-point road underdog. Washington cashed money-line tickets at plus-210 (Bet $100 to win $210).

-- Including those results, Washington has gone 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in its last five playoff contests.

-- The ‘under’ cashed in both of their first two playoff games this year.

-- The Mystics are 11-7 at home this season and 8-10 on the road, which includes the playoff results.

-- Against the Western Conference, Washington went 7-12 SU and 6-13 ATS.

-- Minnesota (27-7) finished the regular season with the best record in the WNBA and that record wasn’t surprising to the oddsmakers, who had the club favored in all but one of their games.

-- The Lynx went 15-2 SU and 8-9 ATS at home. The Lynx were a double-digit favorite 12 times and they went 5-7 ATS in those spots.

-- On the road, Minnesota was 12-5 SU and 10-7 ATS. It did struggle as a visitor down the stretch, going 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS while the ‘under’ was 5-1.

-- Minnesota went 14-4 SU and 10-8 ATS versus the Eastern Conference this season and three of the losses took place on the road.

-- Minnesota and Washington met three times in the regular season and the Lynx won and covered all of the games rather easily. All of the results were decided by double digits (14, 17, 25) between the pair.

-- The ‘over’ went 2-1 and the Lynx scored 98, 93 and 86 points.

-- Since the 2013 playoffs, Minnesota has gone 21-8 in the postseason and it’s had a solid rate of covering with a 16-11-2 record versus the spread.

(2) Los Angeles vs. (5) Phoenix

-- Phoenix (20-16) started the postseason with a pair of single-elimination victories. The Mercury stifled Seattle 79-69 last Wednesday before capturing an 88-83 win over Connecticut.

-- Including those wins, the Mercury have won and covered their last five games entering this series.

-- Total bettors should note that the ‘under’ has gone 5-1 in the last six games for Phoenix.

-- The Mercury have gone 10-8 SU and 11-7 ATS on the road this season. At home, Phoenix has posted very similar numbers – 10-8 SU, 8-10 ATS.

-- Los Angeles (26-8) was a beast at the Staples Center during the regular season, going 17-1 and the club helped bettors with a 12-6 record (67%) versus the number as well. The one loss came by two points.

-- Clubs had trouble scoring at L.A. this season (70.2 PPG) and total bettors saw the ‘under’ go 14-4 in its home games.

-- As visitors, the Sparks showed some flaws as they went 10-7 both SU and ATS. They did close the season with three straight wins on the road and the offense posted 95, 115 and 82 points during that stretch.

-- The Sparks won and covered all three encounters against the Mercury this season and two of the wins came on the road. In the lone home meeting, Los Angeles blasted Phoenix 90-59 as a 7 ½-point favorite. The ‘under’ went 2-1.

-- Including those results, Los Angeles is 7-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Phoenix.

-- During last year’s championship run, Los Angeles went 6-3 both SU and ATS. Future bettors should note that the WNBA hasn’t had a repeat champion since 2002 when the Sparks captured back-to-back titles.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 14

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WASHINGTON (20 - 17) at MINNESOTA (28 - 7) - 9/14/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 311-370 ATS (-96.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in the conference finals over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (20 - 17) at LOS ANGELES (27 - 8) - 9/14/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
PHOENIX is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in the conference finals over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in August or September games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a division game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
LOS ANGELES is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
LOS ANGELES is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 8-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 8-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, September 14

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MINNESOTA
Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

10:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. LOS ANGELES
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, September 14

Washington @ Minnesota

Game 689-690
September 14, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
110.704
Minnesota
123.488
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 13
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 10 1/2
163 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-10 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Los Angeles

Game 691-692
September 14, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.731
Los Angeles
124.508
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 14
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 9 1/2
155
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-9 1/2); Over