Announcement

**Udog** · 09-06-2017, 07:40 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win this year’s Super Bowl:

New England Patriots +385

Green Bay Packers +950

Seattle Seahawks +1000

Pittsburgh Steelers +1050

Dallas Cowboys +1225

Atlanta Falcons +1400

Buccaneers, Dolphins both have their bye week in Week 11; play this week’s game on November 19 and let teams/families stay together during Hurricane Irma this week.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) From the New York Times:

“Investigators for Major League Baseball have determined that the Boston Red Sox, who are in first place in the American League East and likely headed to the playoffs, executed a scheme to illicitly steal hand signals from opponents’ catchers in games against the second-place Yankees and other teams, according to several people briefed on the matter.”

So the Patriots and now the Red Sox are cheaters? Terrific…….

Red Sox, by the way, are claiming that their rivals from New York are doing the same thing as far as stealing signals go. The A’s? Our guys can’t afford Apple watches.

12) Tennessee 42, Georgia Tech 41 OT— Great ballgame; has a team ever rushed for 535 yards and lost? Tech went for 2 points and the win in the second OT— I HATE THIS STRATEGY. Here is why I hate this strategy:

— Tennessee was favored; all the pressure to win was on them.
— Georgia Tech has the better QB; the longer you play, the better off you are.
— It is free TV exposure (for recruiting purposes)!!!!! There was nothing else on TV.
— To me, there is no point in putting the whole game on your offense’s shoulders. Your team played a great game— now they feel like they screwed the game up.
— If you had Tennessee -4 (I did not), you also hate this strategy, because it cost you any chance to win your wager, but that really isn’t relevant, unless you gave the four points.

Terrific ballgame; great fun to watch. But the better team lost this game.

11) Georgia Tech ran the ball for 535 yards; they ran 96 plays, Tennessee 59. It’ll be a long time before another team runs the ball for 535 yards and loses.

10) Umpire Will Little guided the Bronx Bombers to victory again Monday; last 3 years, New York is now 7-0 with Little behind plate, allowing 17 runs in the seven games.

9) If you had Texas A&M on the moneyline Sunday night, you feel as if God hates you, since the Aggies led 44-10 in the third quarter- they lost 45-44 at UCLA.

8) Random stat: Since beginning of the 2015 season, ACC teams are 15-11 vs spread when playing an SEC opponent.

7) Now that Deondre Francois is out of this season, it will be interesting to see if Florida State has any WR’s/RB’s who were high school QB’s who could run a Wildcat-type offense in the red zone. With a totally inexperienced freshman QB at the helm now, a more mobile QB near the goal line could be a big help for the Seminoles. We’ll see how creative Jimbo Fisher gets.

6) More than 20,000 acres of Oregon’s landscape is currently on fire; it is also unseasonably warm in Oregon— those two things have poisoned the air around Eugene, forcing the Oregon Ducks to move their practices closer to the Pacific Coast. Ducks play Nebraska Saturday.

5) Only 18 players have hit four home runs in a major league game, making JD Martinez’ feat against the Dodgers Monday even more impressive.

4) JJ Watt has now raised over $20 million to help the people in Texas. His original goal was $200,000. Amazing.

3) I have to laugh when Dodger fans or Red Sox fans go into a panic when their team loses 2 or 3 games in a row; I root for the Oakland A’s, who were eliminated from the pennant race the day after I got my income tax return, and I file my return early.

2) Former New Mexico coach Mike Locksley’s 25-year old son Meiko died Sunday night after he was shot in Columbia, MD. Mike Locksley is now WR coach/co-offensive coordinator at Alabama. Very sad thing; our thoughts/prayers go out to the family.

1) What happens if some of these 800,000 “dreamers” are carrying a gun in Iraq or driving a tank in Afghanistan? Will they be kicked out of the military in six months? These people are protecting American interests, if not America itself.

At some point, hopefully common sense and common decency will win out here.

**Udog** · 09-06-2017, 07:43 AM

WNBA Cheat Sheet - First Round

The first round of the WNBA playoffs begin on Wednesday with a single-elimination format. The winners of these games will travel to either No. 3 New York or No. 4 Connecticut for second round matchups on Sunday.

Those games will be single-elimination as well with the winners advancing to the semifinals against either No. 1 Minnesota or No. 2 Los Angeles for a five-game series.

No. 7 Dallas at No. 6 Washington (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Wings went 2-1 both straight up and against the spread versus the Mystics this season.

-- The road team went 3-0 in the three regular season encounters and the visitor has win eight straight meetings in this head-to-head series.

-- The ‘under’ went 2-1 in the three meetings this season and the low side cashed in both matchups from D.C.

-- Dallas went 6-11 SU as a visitor this season but managed to produce a winning record (9-8) at the betting counter.

-- The Wings saw the ‘over’ go 12-5 in their away games.

-- Washington went 11-6 SU and 9-8 ATS at home while the ‘over’ went 9-8.

-- The Mystics closed the season with a 2-5 (1-6 ATS) record and one of the losses came versus Dallas.

-- The Wings finished 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the final two weeks of the season and the two losses came by a combined seven points.

-- Dallas went 9-9 versus the Eastern Conference this season while Washington was just 6-12 against the West.

-- Washington hasn’t had much success in the playoffs, going 4-16 overall since the 2002 postseason. They are a combined 1-4 in their most recent trips (2014, 2015) and bettors should note that the ‘over’ has gone 10-2 in the last 12 playoff battles.

-- This will be the first playoff game for the Wings since they moved the franchise to Dallas.

No. 8 Seattle at No. 5 Phoenix (ESPN2, 10:00 p.m. ET)

-- Phoenix won and covered two of its three meetings against Seattle this season.

-- The Mercury won both of those games on the road, but the Storm earned a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Aug. 12 as a five-point road underdog.

-- Including those results, Phoenix is 7-3 in the last 10 encounters versus Seattle and the ‘over’ has gone 6-4 during this stretch.

-- Among the eight playoff teams, Seattle owns the worst road mark at 5-12 SU and 7-9-1 ATS.

-- The Storm did close the season with a 3-2 mark both SU and ATS as visitors and the offense helped that cause by averaging 95 points per game.

-- Phoenix went 9-8 SU and 8-10 ATS at Talking Stick Resort Arena this season.

-- After mired in a 2-7 slump, the Mercury ended the regular season with three straight wins and covers. The defense only allowed 69 PPG during this stretch, which helped the ‘under’ go 3-0.

-- Seattle stopped Chicago 85-50 last Sunday in their road finale, which snapped a three-game losing skid.

-- Phoenix went 2-0 in last year’s playoffs, winning both single-elimination games before getting swept by Minnesota in the semifinals.

-- Seattle dropped a 94-85 decision at Atlanta in the first round of last year’s playoffs.

**Udog** · 09-06-2017, 07:57 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 6

Seattle @ Phoenix

Game 679-680
September 6, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
107.319
Phoenix
114.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 7 1/2
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 4
164
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-4); Over

Dallas @ Washington

Game 677-678
September 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
104.146
Washington
115.521
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
176
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (16 - 18) at WASHINGTON (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 309-369 ATS (-96.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (15 - 19) at PHOENIX (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games on Wednesday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SEATTLE is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WNBA

Wednesday, September 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 23 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. PHOENIX
Seattle is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Seattle is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Phoenix is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Wednesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/6

Wednesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/6

Comment

Comment

Comment