Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/25

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, July 25

Good Luck on day #205 of 2017!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the PGA Championship, August 10-13th

8-1— Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy

10-1— Dustin Johnson

15-1— Jason Day, Rickie Fowler

20-1— Hideki Matsuyama, Jon Rahm

25-1— Koepka, Rose, Stenson, Garcia

30-1— Adam Scott, Justin Thomas


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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Tampa Bay Rays traded for struggling reliever Sergio Romo this weekend; why? Rays are 51-49 this season, right in the playoff mix, but they’re 14-23 in games where the winning run scores after the 6th inning.

If games were five innings long and not nine, Tampa Bay would be 54-29-17, so they’ve taken a hit in late inning situations this season. Maybe Romo can help. At least it is a sign from the front office to the players that they’re trying to win.

12) Aaron Boone was gushing on Sunday Night Baseball about how fun/exciting this week is, because of trade deadline activity- the trade deadline is Monday.

I’ve been an A’s fan since 1965; since 1975, the A’s have spent a lot of time dealing their better/more expensive players to wealthy teams at the trade deadline. Trade deadline week isn’t fun for me or anyone else who roots for the A’s or small market teams who aren’t miraculously contending that year.

11) Colts’ QB Andrew Luck had shoulder surgery in the offseason; he starts training camp on the PUP List (Physically Unable to Perform), but has been throwing footballs and can come off that list at any time.

10) Read an article over the weekend about Red Sox pitcher David Price cursing out Hall of Famer Dennis Eckersley on the Red Sox team charter, because Eckersley is often honest on the air and actually criticizes players now and then. That is his job.

Eckersley doesn’t do many road games, so he seldom travels with the team. It is sad that neither the manager or GM or Price have apologized to Eckersley, who took criticism like a man when he wore the uniform, and he was a damn good pitcher.

I watch a ridiculous amount of baseball every day for six months a year; most announce teams are glorified cheerleaders for the home team. Cincinnati would be an exception, Minnesota and St Louis to an extent, but just about all of the others are see-no-evil, hear-no-evil types.

9) I’ll say this about Michael Kay or whoever else is working on the YES Network doing Bronx Bomber games; Joe Girardi takes a lot of grief for his decisions. Saturday night, Girardi pinch-ran Jacoby Ellsbury at first and let Ronald Torreyes bat, with the tying run on first. The two guys in the booth raised an eyebrow that Ellsbury didn’t pinch-hit instead- you don’t hear that on local TV very often.

Torreyes got a hit that tied the game; Girardi is a really good manager who is not exempt from taking a good deal of grief. Was just surprised to hear it.

8) Texas Longhorns refurbished their football locker room this summer; it cost $1.1M to refurbish 126 lockers- that works out to $8,700 each. Could’ve bought each kid a crummy used car for that amount.

7) A 65-year old woman stole a taxi cab in Philadelphia, then picked up a fare before police apprehended her. The woman had picked up a 23-year old woman and her infant daughter. No word on whether got a tip from the young woman before she was arrested,

6) Jimmer Fredette has apparently signed up for two more years of playing ball in China; the BYU alum scored 37 a game over in China last season. In foreign countries, the American stars are expected to score a lot of points. Jimmer can score a lot of points.

5) Good state from theMMQB.com: In NFL history, 24 players have been targeted more than 180 times in a season, and not one of them won a Super Bowl during that season. First of these 24 players was Sterling Sharpe, in 1993.

Moral of the story; winning teams have more balance on offense.

4) Clayton Kershaw is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with his bad back.

3) Former Washington/USC coach Steve Sarkisian replaces Kyle Shanahan as OC of the Falcons. Unusual for a Super Bowl team to bring in a coordinator from outside the organization the next season. What a rollercoaster Sarkisian’s life has been the last few years, on and off the field.

2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not), they would look like this:
NL: Washington-Brewers-Dodgers. Wild Cards: Arizona-Colorado
AL: Boston-Cleveland-Houston. Wild Cards: New York-Kansas City

1) Happy birthday, Biff Pocoroba; the former Atlanta Braves’ catcher (1978 All-Star) was one of my boyhood heroes. He caught Phil Niekro’s knuckleball, once hit a game-winning, bases-loaded double off of Tom Seaver on national TV; he turns 63 today. Happy birthday, sir.

[Udog]

WNBA Betting Recap - 7/10-7/23

League Betting Notes (Monday, July 10 through Sunday, July 23)

-- Favorites went 14-8 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 12-10 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 14-8 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 12-10 ATS record
-- The 'over/under' went 11-11

Team Betting Notes

-- Atlanta (9-11) has been decent at home and awful on the road, and that hasn't changed over the past two weeks before the All-Star break. The Dream has dropped five in a row on the road, including a narrow 100-96 loss to the Mystics on July 19. The non-cover snapped a 5-0 ATS run for the Dream.

-- The 'over' has cashed in five in a row for Atlanta heading into the All-Star break. They'll put that streak on the line Tuesday at home against the Mercury. The over cashed in an 89-84 loss against Phoenix (11-9) in the most recent meeting July12.

-- Chicago (8-13) continued their dramatic turnaround with a pair of road wins last week in Seattle (9-11) and Los Angeles (14-6). Their 82-80 win in L.A. came as 12-point underdogs, or plus-550 on the moneyline. After opening 3-12 SU over the first 15 outings the Sky has posted a 5-1 SU/ATS mark over the past six outings.

-- Connecticut (12-9) dropped their final game before the break, but they're still an impressive 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS over the past eight outings. They'll take on the red-hot Sky in the first game out of the break on Tuesday.

-- Dallas (10-12) sputtered down the stretch in the first half, losing four of their final six before the break while also going 2-4 ATS during the span. While they weren't terribly productive against the spread, total bettors love the Wings for their 5-0 'over' mark across the past five outings.

-- Indiana (8-13) stumbled down the stretch, wrapping up the first half on a 1-6 SU/ATS run over the final seven outings. Total bettors are big fans of the Fever, though, as the 'under' is 9-3 over their past 12 outings.

-- As mentioned, the Sparks had an ugly loss against the Sky to close out the first half. It was especially shocking considering they entered the game 9-0 SU at home with a 6-3 ATS mark. The 'under' also continues to hit on a regular basis for the Sparks, going 6-0 over the past six and 10-1 over the past 11 outings.

-- Minnesota (16-2) was the class of the WNBA in the first half, with losses June 17 against the Sun and July 8 on the road against the Sky. That's it. They have been a bit shaky over the past few weeks against the number, going just 5-4 ATS over the past nine outings.

-- The Mercury lost Brittney Griner in the fourth quarter of their game July 12 against the Dream. In the three games she has missed, the Mercury are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS while averaging just 71.3 points per game (PPG). They were averaging 83.2 PPG in the previous 17 outings before Griner went down.

-- San Antonio (3-18) lost their first 14 games, but they're a respectable 3-4 SU/4-3 ATS over their last seven outings. Two of the wins came against the slumping Fever, once in Indianapolis as eight-point underdogs (plus-325 on the moneyline) on July 12 and once at home as five-point 'dogs on July 20 (plus-180 on the moneyline).

-- Washington (12-9) won just two of their final six games down the stretch in the first half, also going 2-4 ATS during the span. The Mystics did get well in their final game, winning 100-96 against the Mystics, the third time this season they've hit the century mark. They're 8-2 SU/6-4 ATS in 10 games at home this season while going just 4-7 SU/ATS in 11 outings on the road.

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, July 25


Seattle @ Los Angeles

Game 611-612
July 25, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
109.783
Los Angeles
117.841
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 8
168
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 11
162 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+11); Over

Indiana @ Dallas

Game 607-608
July 25, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
100.553
Dallas
109.458
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 9
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6 1/2
166
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6 1/2); Under

New York @ Minnesota

Game 609-610
July 25, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
107.595
Minnesota
129.022
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 21 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 12 1/2
160
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-12 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Connecticut

Game 605-606
July 25, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
110.477
Connecticut
114.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 4
175
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 7
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7); Over

Phoenix @ Atlanta

Game 603-604
July 25, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
106.732
Atlanta
113.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 6 1/2
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
164
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-4 1/2); Under

Washington @ San Antonio

Game 601-602
July 25, 2017 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
115.296
San Antonio
102.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4 1/2); Over

[Udog]

WNBA

Tuesday, July 25

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Trend Report
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12:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games at home
San Antonio is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Washington

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. CONNECTICUT
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Connecticut's last 15 games
Connecticut is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. ATLANTA
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Phoenix's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. DALLAS
Indiana is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Indiana is 3-8-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Dallas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing New York

10:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. LOS ANGELES
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Los Angeles's last 15 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games


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[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, July 25

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WASHINGTON (12 - 9) at SAN ANTONIO (3 - 18) - 7/25/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 304-361 ATS (-93.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 178-225 ATS (-69.5 Units) after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (11 - 9) at ATLANTA (9 - 11) - 7/25/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (8 - 13) at CONNECTICUT (12 - 9) - 7/25/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a division game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 5-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (8 - 13) at DALLAS (10 - 12) - 7/25/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (10 - 9) at MINNESOTA (16 - 2) - 7/25/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
NEW YORK is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents since 1997.
NEW YORK is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (9 - 11) at LOS ANGELES (14 - 6) - 7/25/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 62-91 ATS (-38.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 173-221 ATS (-70.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 86-119 ATS (-44.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-2 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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