Thursday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/13

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, July 13

Good Luck on day #193 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Top 6 over umpires, and top 6 under umpires in first half:

Gonzalez, over 11-2-2
Hoberg, over 9-3-1
Eddings, Hallion, both over 12-5-1
Hernandez over 11-5, Walcott 11-5-1
Marquez over 10-4-1
Iassogna over 9-4, Woodring 9-4-3

Blakney, under 8-1-3
Bellino, under 13-3
Barksdale, Tichenor, both 10-4-1
Kulpa, under 11-5
Nauert, under 10-5
Davis, under 8-4-3


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Armadillo: Looking at AL teams at the All-Star break…….

60-29 Astros— Houston is 33-11 on road; they’ve got a .884 OPS on road, .823 at home. Astros are only 15-11 vs lefties- they’d like to avoid Dodgers (Kershaw-Hill-Wood) if they get to World Series. Altuve makes $4,687,500 this year; starting next year, he’s going to get really rich.

50-39 Red Sox— Will play 11 more home games (25-14) than road games (25-25) the rest of the way. David Price is 4-2, 3.91 in nine starts this year; he’s been sparring with local media. Seeing as he is on the books for $31M a year for the next five years, thats a problem.

47-40 Indians— 21-24 at home, 26-16 on road; unusual. They’re 22-9 when Kluber/Carrasco start, 25-31 with anyone else. Need more production from 1B Carlos Santana, who is hitting .238- he has generally been a better second half player (.835 OPS/.781) in his career.

45-41 New York— Severino is 0-2, 5.75 in his last five starts; Pineda is 1-1, 8.39 in his last five. NY is 7-18 in its last 25 games. This is their lowest payroll in 10 years; Sabathia/Holliday/ARod come off the books this winter— when do they resume trying to sign big $$$ free agents?

47-43 Rays— They’re 27-19 at home, hold 2nd Wild Card right now. Rookie P Faria has 2.11 ERA in his first six MLB starts. Need to find a solid 5th starter for last nine weeks of season. Tampa has four guys under contract for 2018; they’ll be avoiding arbitration a lot this winter.

45-43 Twins— 25-15 on road, 20-28 at home; they’re 18-11 when Santana/Berrios start, 27-32 with anyone else. Rumored to be trying to trade for another starter; Santiago is 0-5, 9.31 in his last five starts. Sano has 21 HR, 62 RBI, .368 OB%, he has become a star.

44-43 Royals— Rebounded from 7-16 April; they’re 22-13 since June 1. Need more from the leadoff spot; their #1 hitters have .207 BA, .236 OB%, which is feeble. KC is 13-4 in Vargas starts- he is 7-0, 2.96 in his last 8 starts. Their $143M payroll is $50M higher than in 2014.

45-47 Angels— Trout comes back Friday; they’re still in contention, Halos are locked into $62M a year for Trout/Pujols for 3 more years. Rookie P Bridwell is 3-1, 3.72 in five starts; he’s been a life saver. #5 hitters are batting only .218 for Angels; they need a bat to protect Trout/Pujols.

43-45 Rangers— Texas has seven players making $10M+ this year; Hamels is 2-0, 1.26 in his last two starts- they need a big 2nd half from him. Could use more from Odor (.220 BA); Texas is 13-16 in games where GW run scores after 6th inning.

43-47 Mariners— Felix Hernandez (4-3, 4.44) is a junker now; they’re 4-5 in his starts, and owe him $27M a year thru 2019. Team ERA is 3.98 at home, 5.30 on road. Mike Zunino had one HR, 4 RBI on May 31; he hit 10 HR’s, had 31 RBI in June, has only one RBI in July.

42-46 Orioles— Despite their struggles, Orioles are 16-6 in games where winning run scores after 6th inning- they’re 25-16 at home, 17-30 on road- their pitchers have 5.78 ERA on road. O’s are 26-20 vs division foes, but are 16-26 vs everyone else.

41-47 Blue Jays— Underachieving team with payroll of $163,381,937; will they deal guys before July 31? Had strong 18-10 May, but are 15-20 since June 1. Estrada/Liriano/Happ earn $41M combined this year; Toronto is 21-22 in their starts, 10-12 at home.

39-48 Tigers— Aging roster with payroll of $199,750,600; they have six guys making $16M+ this year- they’re not getting their money’s worth. They’re hitting .275 at home (.815 OPS), only .234 on road (.691 OPS). Owner Mike Ilitch passed away earlier this year; not sure what they’ll do.

38-49 White Sox— Team to watch for rest of this month; will they dump salary? Cabrera/Frazier make combined $27M, closer Robertson makes $12.5M. Sox are 19-18 at home, 19-31 on road; they have 13 home games to make up in 2nd half. Chicago has some good prospects at AAA.

39-50 A’s— Can’t keep starting pitchers healthy, defense has deteriorated badly with infield coach Ron Washington off to Atlanta. Brought up couple of promising young players, but 1B Alonso is a free agent. Three of their eight highest-paid players are relievers. Go figure.

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 13

Connecticut @ Los Angeles

Game 659-660
July 13, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
115.766
Los Angeles
116.963
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 6 1/2
165 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+6 1/2); Over




WNBA

Thursday, July 13

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Trend Report
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10:30 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. LOS ANGELES
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games on the road
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games


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[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 13

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CONNECTICUT (11 - 7) at LOS ANGELES (12 - 5) - 7/13/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 60-90 ATS (-39.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 72-99 ATS (-36.9 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 84-118 ATS (-45.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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