Thursday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/6

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, July 6

Good Luck on day #186 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds on various NFL teams to make the playoffs this fall:

— Cincinnati Bengals Yes +$140, No -$160

— Cleveland Browns Yes +$2,000, No -$10,000

— Jacksonville Jaguars Yes +$400, No -$500

— Kansas City Chiefs Yes -$150, No +$130

— Los Angeles Chargers Yes +$270, No -$350

— Oakland Raiders Yes -$160, No +$140


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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Lets see the analytics guys try to quantify this, because you can’t:

In Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewer game, 3B Travis Shaw threw a ball to first base that wound up going into foul territory, and the runner advanced. Scorer ruled: E5, which ended a 52-game errorless streak for Shaw.

After the game, Brewers’ 1B Eric Thames called the official scorer and told him the error should be his; it was a good throw and he missed it. The error was changed to E3 and Shaw’s errorless streak extended to 53.

Not everyone would do that, but a selfless guy on an overachieving team did it, and there is no way you can quantify that and factor it into his WAR. Too bad, because it matters.

12) Cincinnati Reds’ OF Scott Schebler is a pretty good big leaguer; he is a .259 hitter in 180 major league games. Coming out of high school in Iowa, he had zero baseball scholarship offers, but he did have a couple to play football. Things have turned out pretty well for him.

11) 70 hot dogs (and buns) in 10 minutes. Oy.

I almost get nauseous just thinking about what it must feel like to eat 70 hot dogs in ten minutes. How long before you eat again? Do you just find a restroom and puke your guts out?

10) Orlando Magic waived big guy Stephen Zimmerman, who will be 21 in September and could be heading into his junior year at UNLV, had he gotten/taken intelligent advice. He wasn’t even a first round pick— he was the 41st player taken in the 2016 draft.

Instead, Zimmerman scored 23 points in 108 minutes of garbage time spread out over 19 NBA games, a classic case of a kid turning pro before he is ready. Now he’ll have to climb back to the NBA the hard way— it can still be done, but it ain’t gonna be easy.

He scored 13.4 pts/game in 21 D-League games last year. Now he is either headed back there or over to Europe, when he could still be in college and improving his game and getting a college education, in case this NBA thing never works out for him.

Zimmerman scored 10.5 pts/game for a sub-par UNLV squad in 2015-16; their coach got fired during the season, thats how cruddy the team played. But Zimmerman and his family were convinced he was an NBA star-in-waiting, so he bolted to the draft despite having a game that needed more maturity to be NBA-ready. He shot 62% from the line, both at UNLV and in the D-League last year- -shooting is one part of his game he needs to sharpen up.

9) Pretty cool to see Stan Van Gundy watching games at the Orlando Summer League while sitting next to his dad Bill, a coaching lifer who was a small college coach for years.

Flash back to November 1980, I’m a student manager at Albany- we’re in a tip-off tournament at Brockport State near Rochester, NY. Host Brockport plays Upsala in the first round; Brockport’s coach has a neck brace on from a car accident- Bill Van Gundy. Upsala is the #1 preseason team in the country, according to Sports Illustrated.

We sneak by RIT in the first game, Upsala beats Brockport, then we beat Upsala in the title game, beating the #1 team in the country. Basketball without a shot clock; our team ran its offense until Upsala got sick of defending it. It wasn’t pretty, but it damn sure worked.

Who knew that the guy with neck brace would wind up with two famous sons?

8) They had 15,664 fans in Albuquerque Tuesday night for baseball/fireworks, but the game lasted only 2:03, so the fans had to wait a while for the fireworks- the sun hadn’t set yet when the ballgame ended.

7) I’ve never understood why people like fireworks; seriously. They have a free fireworks show in downtown Albany every July 4, and it draws 50,000 people. I know its free, but I just don’t see what the big deal is. Thats what makes the world interesting; different people like different stuff.

6) RIP Gene Conley 86, who played on a World Series champ with the Milwaukee Braves and three NBA championship teams with the Celtics. Not many humans pitched to Willie Mays and also guarded Wilt Chamberlain. RIP, sir.

5) NBA doings:
— You may have heard; Boston gave Gordon Hayward $128M for four years.
— Golden State signed Omar Casspi for one year, $2.1M
— Sacramento signed Zach Randolph for two years, $24M
— Sacramento signed George Hill for three years, $57M.
— Mike Scott gets one year, $1.17M from Washington
— Clippers acquired Danilo Gallinari and gave him three years, $65M.
— Nick Young somehow gets $5.2M for one year from the Warriors.
— Andre Roberson gets $30M for three years from Oklahoma City.

4) Celtics have to trade at least one of these three players: Marcus Smart, Jae Crowder and Avery Bradley, to clear cap room for Hayward. Crowder might be the most marketable of the three, because his contract is very team-friendly.

3) Handicapping baseball is difficult; Cincinnati’s Homer Bailey allowed 14 runs in 4.2 IP in his first two starts this year- with start #3 at Coors Field, it didn’t look good for Bailey breaking his cold spell, but he did. Colorado won 8-1; Bailey put only eight men on base on six innings.

Go figure.

2) Former Louisville guard Russ Smith scored 61 pts/game in his first five games in a Chinese pro league- he had 81 in one game. Smith also owns the G-League scoring record: 65 points.

He has played in 27 NBA games for the Pelicans/Grizzlies, scoring 2.0 pts/game.

1) Marlins 9, Cardinals 6— Giancarlo Stanton homered in innings 1-2, his 22nd multi-homer game. Stanton is incredibly streaky, but when he gets hot, he is great fun to watch.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 6

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LOS ANGELES (12 - 3) at MINNESOTA (12 - 1) - 7/6/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 172-218 ATS (-67.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 8-7 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 9-6 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (7 - 7) at SEATTLE (7 - 8) - 7/6/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
NEW YORK is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
NEW YORK is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents since 1997.
NEW YORK is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, July 6

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Trend Report
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8:30 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. MINNESOTA
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

10:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 6


New York @ Seattle

Game 609-610
July 6, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
107.812
Seattle
114.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 6 1/2
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 2
162
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-2); Over

Los Angeles @ Minnesota

Game 607-608
July 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
117.371
Minnesota
121.925
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6 1/2
165
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+6 1/2); Under