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**Udog** · 06-27-2017, 07:18 AM

Armadillo:Tuesday's six-pack

— Indians 15, Rangers 9— Cleveland trailed this game 9-2 in the 4th inning.

— Red Sox 4, Twins 1— Minnesota falls back out of first place in AL Central.

— Arizona 6, Phillies 1— Diamondbacks are a surprising 49-28 this year.

— Angels 4, Dodgers 0— Halos take the first game of the Freeway Series.

— Giants 9, Rockies 2— Sliding Colorado has now lost six games in a row.

— Florida 4, LSU 3— Gators take Game 1 of the best-of-3 College World Series.

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Armadillo:Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) Cody Bellinger (whose dad is from beautiful downtown Oneonta, NY- right down the road from Cooperstown) has a 34.4% HR/FB rate, meaning that 34.4% of his fly balls go over the fence, incredibly high.

Ray Flowers, who writes guruElite.com and is a fantasy sports expert, wrote that a 34.4% rate is unsustainable. He posted the last seven guys to lead MLB in HR/FB rate:

2016 Ryan Braun 28.8%
2015 Nelson Cruz 30.3%
2014 Jose Abreu 26.9%
2013 Chris Davis 29.6%
2012 Adam Dunn 29.3%
2011 Giancarlo Stanton 24.8%
2010 Joey Votto 25.0%

Will be curious to follow this thru the summer and on to next season.

12) Dodgers catcher Yasmani Grandal was at the plate Sunday with the bases loaded and LA trailing 4-3; Grandal struck out, but before he did, all three baserunners scored on a pair of wild pitches by Colorado reliever Adam Ottavino. Never saw that happen before.

11) Baltimore Orioles are 37-38, after starting the season 22-10, but they’ve still won their last eight games where the winning run scored from the 7th inning on. Starting pitching is what has been failing the Orioles.

10) St Louis Cardinals called Randal Grichuk up from AAA over the weekend and immediately put him in the lineup, batting cleanup. Not sure I’ve ever heard of that before. Most teams try to break guys in slowly when they come back from the minors. Grichuk then homered in his first two games back with the Redbirds.

9) Umpire Chad Whitson has umpired 12 games behind the plate this year- the home team won all 12 games, if you care about things like that.

8) UConn basketball player Vance Jackson transfers to New Mexico and will have three years left to play after he sits a year, a good get for new Lobos’ coach Paul Weir.

7) Wheel of Fortune host Pat Sajak and former Chiefs’ RB Christian Okoye used to own independent league baseball teams in the Golden State League, which was in business from 2004-10. Five GBL teams merged with the North American League in 2010.

6) Whats up with the CFL schedule makers? Calgary/Ottawa play twice this season, in Weeks 1-2. What genius thought that was a good idea? Do they draw the schedule out of a hat?

5) Royce Lewis was the #1 pick in the baseball draft, by Minnesota; he homered in his first at-bat in pro baseball, going 2-4 in the GCL Twins’ 5-2 win over the GCL Orioles. Lewis is an 18-year old shortstop from San Juan Capistrano, CA. Great athlete; they’re unsure if he’ll stay at SS.

4) Colorado Rockies have an infield prospect named Brendan Rodgers who just got called up to AA Hartford- he is supposed to be very good. Rodgers has already been on a roster in our 16-team fantasy league for several months— thats how deep our league is- kid who got called up to AA this weekend is already in a fantasy league.

3) Baseball transactions:
— Colorado Rockies put OF Carlos Gonzalez/P Tyler Anderson on the 10-day DL
— Rays acquired SS Adeiny Hechavarria from Miami for RHP Ethan Clark
— New York put Aaron Hicks (oblique) on the DL, activated Jacoby Ellsbury from the DL
— Milwaukee acquired C Stephen Vogt on waivers from Oakland.
— Dodgers put OF Franklin Gutierrez on the DL, activated 2B Mike Freeman

2) Virginia’s Malcolm Brogdon won NBA Rookie of the Year and he wasn’t even a first round draft pick. Brogdon played in 75 games (imagine that?!?!) and scored 10.2 pts/game. He was the 36th pick in the draft last year— excellent choice by the Bucks.

1) Ben Simmons was captured on video this weekend throwing a basketball off a wall, then catching it with one hand and dunking it, just the kind of stress his healed foot doesn’t need.

Simmons missed all of last year (his rookie season) with a broken foot, so doing dunking tricks isn’t exactly the smartest thing he should be doing— he lands the wrong way and his foot breaks again. At some point, he needs to take better care of himself.

I know I sound like the “Get off my lawn!!!” guy, but I’m thinking that behind closed doors, the 76ers’ management couldn’t have been very happy either, when they saw the video.

**Udog** · 06-27-2017, 07:22 AM

WNBA Betting Recap - 6/19-6/25

League Betting Notes (Monday, June 19 through Sunday, June 25)

-- Favorites went 6-5 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 7-4 against the spread (ATS)
-- Road teams posted a 7-4 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 9-2 ATS record
-- The 'over' went 6-5

Team Betting Notes

-- Atlanta (5-6) had just one game during the week, and they lost to Chicago (3-10). While the Sky haven't won many games this season, they have been a thorn in the side of the Dream, going 2-1 SU/ATS in three meetings to date, winning and covering both games in Georgia.

-- The Sky started out 2-5 ATS over their first seven games, but they're an impressive 5-1 ATS over their past six outings.

-- Connecticut (6-6) had their five-game winning streak halted in Dallas (8-8) on Sunday, 96-82. The Sun entered as a five-point favorite, but they left with their first loss since May 31 in Washington. The non-cover also ended a 7-0 ATS streak to Connecticut.

-- After Sunday's win, the Wings have flown to four consecutive victories. The 'over' result on Sunday snapped a 3-0 'under' streak for Dallas.

-- Indiana (6-7) split their two games last season, winning in Chicago and losing at home against L.A. The Fever were trying for their first three-game winning streak of the season before the Sparks stopped them at home, 84-73. The 'under' is 3-1 over their past four outings.

-- Los Angeles (9-3) avenged an earlier loss in Indianapolis on May 24 with their 11-point win on Saturday. The Sparks have won a season-high five straight games, although they're just 3-2 ATS during the span, and 4-6 ATS over their past 11 outings.

-- Minnesota (11-1) had a surprisingly difficult time with San Antonio (0-14) in Sunday's game, winning just 87-78 as 18 1/2-point favorites.

-- The Stars are winless through 14 games, but they have a respectable 8-6 ATS mark against the number. The 'under' has connected in four of the past five for San Antonio.

-- New York (7-5) fell in its only game of the week against the rival Sun, losing 94-89 at home on Friday. It was the fourth consecutive 'over' result for the Liberty, and the over is 8-1 across the past nine for New York.

-- Phoenix (7-5) won their only game of the week, a three-point road win in Seattle (6-6). The Mercury have been erratic by their standards, with their longest win streak of the season at two games (twice). It was a rare cover, too, as they entered 0-3 ATS.

-- Washington (8-5) stopped a two-game loss and non-cover streak with an emphatic 97-63 road win in Chicago. The Mystics are 3-0 SU/ATS against Chicago, and 5-5 SU/3-7 ATS against the rest of the WNBA.

**Udog** · 06-27-2017, 07:24 AM

WNBA

Tuesday, June 27

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

7:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. CONNECTICUT
Los Angeles is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

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**Udog** · 06-27-2017, 08:57 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, June 27

Los Angeles @ Connecticut

Game 653-654
June 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
120.247
Connecticut
112.892
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 7 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
Pick
170
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
Under

Seattle @ Washington

Game 651-652
June 27, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
108.601
Washington
116.188
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
171
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
165 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 27

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SEATTLE (6 - 6) at WASHINGTON (8 - 5) - 6/27/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
SEATTLE is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 300-357 ATS (-92.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 175-223 ATS (-70.3 Units) after a division game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (9 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (6 - 6) - 6/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 90-121 ATS (-43.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 169-218 ATS (-70.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 81-117 ATS (-47.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/27

Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/27

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