Announcement

**Udog** · 06-07-2017, 08:47 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Reds 13, Cardinals 1— Scooter Gennett, a free agent in our 16-team fantasy league with 26 guys on a team, hit four HR’s in this game. He had 17 total bases, two short of the all-time record (Shawn Green).

— Boston 5, New York 4- Drew Pomeranz threw 123 pitches in his five innings of work, but he got the win.

— Arizona Cardinals moved their OTA’s inside Tuesday; it was 105 in Phoenix.

— This spring, 27 of 85 NHL playoff games have gone to OT; 62% of NBA playoff games have been decided by double digit margins.

— Hope you didn’t bet the over in the Jets’ win total for this year: David Harris was first vet to go, now Eric Decker could be next. They’re trying very hard to get a lot younger.

— Headed to DL: Bartolo Colon (Braves), Yasmany Tomas (Arizona), Devon Travis (Jays), Jared Cosart (SD), Mike Napoli (Tex).

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Chicago Cubs use an odd defense against sacrifice bunts, with Anthony Rizzo playing in between the mound and 1st base, and the 2B holding the runner on first.

For fantasy baseball purposes, this has made Rizzo technically a second baseman and he is now eligible as a 2B in many leagues. It is an advantage if you have Rizzo on your fantasy team, lets you have an extra 1B in your lineup.

12) Denver Broncos have a brutal 3-week stretch in mid-season; in Week 7 they go to Carson, CA to play the Chargers, then have a Monday night game in Kansas City in Week 8, before a Week 9 game in Philly six days later. NFL teams historically have done poorly in their third consecutive road game- this one is on short rest.

11) Baseball is difficult: two weeks ago, Jose Abreu was AL Player of the Week. Last week, he was 2-23. Even the best hitters go thru slumps.

10) From Chris Fallica on Twitter: Six of the last nine Belmont Stakes favorites ran completely out of the money. American Pharaoh is the only favorite in the last 11 years to win.

9) Clippers/Rockets will play two preseason games in Hawai’i in October; doesn’t sound like training camp will be too grueling for those two teams.

8) Nashville’s Frederick Gaudreau is the first NHL player since 1944 whose first three career goals came in the Stanley Cup Finals.

7) Speaking of the Stanley Cup Finals, other than Nashville/Pittsburgh, the finals are getting their best TV ratings in this country in Buffalo.

6) Arkansas sophomore pitcher Kacey Murphy threw 74 pitches in an NCAA tournament game on Sunday; he started Monday’s game.

5) College baseball has an interesting dynamic; with the national tournament going on at the same time as the major league draft next week— the older players keep one eye on who their next team will be, and one eye on trying to win with their college team.

4) A guy on American Pickers on the History Channel had a collection of license plates on his wall; every style of license plate ever issued in Pennsylvania. Pretty cool. Some of the stuff people collect is fascinating.

3) Graduate transfer Cameron Johnson wants to transfer from Pitt to North Carolina, but the Panthers want to block him from going to another ACC team.

This could get dicey; when he was at Vanderbilt, Kevin Stallings blocked Sheldon Jeter from transferring to Pitt— Jones went to a JC for a year before winding up at Pitt, and then two years later, Stallings showed up as the Panthers’ head coach- awkward.

2) Interesting debate: Who is the best quarterback in Packers’ history? Bart Starr? Brett Favre? Aaron Rodgers? You can make a case for all three.

1) Forbes Magazine now says the Golden State Warriors are worth $2.6B, 3rd-most in NBA behind the Lakers/Knicks. In 2011, the Warriors’ worth was below the NBA average- they’ve got a new arena in San Francisco on the way, and all this winning sure helps, too.

**Udog** · 06-07-2017, 08:51 AM

Wednesday's NBA Finals Game 3 Betting Preview: Warriors at Cavaliers

"As much as the comparison wants to be drawn from last year to this year, this is a totally different team. There is no comparison even though we're down 0-2 going back home."

Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers (+3.5, 226)

Warriors lead series 2-0

The Cleveland Cavaliers didn't put up much of a fight while losing the first two games of the NBA Finals and aim to start a turnaround when they host the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Cleveland fell into a hole last season as well before winning the final three games to beat the Warriors and claim the title.

Golden State coach Steve Kerr knows his team won the first two games by an average of 20.5 points but he hasn't forgotten what occurred last season. "Well, it's been a great run but none of that matters unless we can finish the job with this series," Kerr told reporters. "Trust me, we know. It was 2-0 last year, we lost." The Cavaliers aren't willing to count on a comeback and know it might be even harder work to get back in the series this time around. "As much as the comparison wants to be drawn from last year to this year, this is a totally different team," Cleveland point guard Kyrie Irving said after Game 2. "There is no comparison even though we're down 0-2 going back home."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as two-point road favorites following Sunday's convincing win in Game 2 and the public continues to bet them which has pushed the point spread up to 3.5. The total hit the betting board at 225.5 and has been bumped up slightly to 226. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "It will be interesting to see if history repeats itself in the NBA Finals this year. Just like last season, the Warriors have gone 2-0 SU/ATS at home in the first two games. Golden State came out flat in Game 3 last year and lost by 30 points at Cleveland. The situation is similar, but also different this year. While the Warriors once again have a 2-0 series lead, they also have the memory of blowing a 3-1 series lead last year and losing the championship. Golden State now has Kevin Durant on the team and the Cavaliers have been unable to stop him. Durant was been the leading scorer in both Games 1 & 2 with 38 and 33 points. The oddsmakers have made a substantial line adjustment based on the recent results. The initial look-ahead line for Game 3 was Cleveland -2 when this series began last week, and now the Cavaliers are a +3/+3.5 point home underdog." - Steve Merril.

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - SF K. Looney (Out Indefinitely, hip).

Cavaliers - C E. Tavares (Out For Season, hand), SG I. Shumpert (Probable, conditioning), PG K. Irving (Probable, knee).

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (81-15 SU, 50-43-3 ATS, 42-54-0 O/U): Golden State has rolled to 14 consecutive postseason victories and seems even harder to beat with small forward Kevin Durant playing superbly and averaging 35.5 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists in the series. "I'm not going to take a step back," Durant told reporters of his team's 2-0 lead. "We know this is far from over. We know how hard it is to be the best team in the league." Point guard Stephen Curry is averaging 30 points 10.5 assists and eight rebounds in the series and shooting guard Klay Thompson displayed signs of breaking out of a postseason slump by scoring 22 points on 8-of-12 shooting in Game 2.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (63-34 SU, 44-49-4 ATS, 57-39-1 O/U): Cleveland has collapsed in the third quarter of each of the first two games as it wilted under Golden State's offensive firepower. Both coach Tyronn Lue and star forward LeBron James insist the Cavaliers won't try to slow down play and will stick with the style they prefer. "That's not our game. We don't play slowdown basketball," James told reporters. "We play at our pace. We play our game. We got to this point playing our way. We have won a lot of games playing the way we play, so we're not going to change."

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Cavaliers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
* Over is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 road games.
* Over is 7-0 in Cavaliers last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 56 percent of users are siding with the road favorite Golden State Warriors and 61 percent are on the Over.

**Udog** · 06-07-2017, 08:51 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, June 7

Golden State @ Cleveland

Game 705-706
June 7, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
134.314
Cleveland
137.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 3
226
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+3); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, June 7

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GOLDEN STATE (81 - 15) at CLEVELAND (63 - 34) - 6/7/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 108-88 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 101-84 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when leading in a playoff series this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 12-9 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 13-8 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
13 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 6

Warriors dominated first two Finals games, winning by 22-19 points; Cleveland was even +11 in turnovers in Game 2 and lost by 19, after being -16 in TO’s in Game 1. Golden State is 14-0 in playoffs, 6-0 on road, also covering all six road games— they won their last three games with Cleveland, by 35-22-19 points. Last four series games stayed under the total; under is 7-2-1 in last 10 series tilts. Warriors lost three of last four visits to Cleveland, with lone win in Game 4 of LY’s Finals. Over is 5-1 in Warriors’ last six games. Cavaliers are 5-1 at home in playoffs (2-4 vs spread, all as favorites)- five of those six games went over.

NBA Finals
Cleveland-Golden State
GState 113-91, U225
GState 132-113, O222

NBA

Wednesday, June 7

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Cleveland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Golden State

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**Udog** · 06-07-2017, 08:54 AM

WNBA

Wednesday, June 7

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Trend Report
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11:00 AM
ATLANTA vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 18 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
New York is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games at home
New York is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Indiana
Phoenix is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Indiana is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoeni

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**Udog** · 06-07-2017, 09:38 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, June 7

Phoenix @ Indiana

Game 619-620
June 7, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
113.804
Indiana
103.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 10
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
N/A

Atlanta @ New York

Game 617-618
June 7, 2017 @ 11:00 am

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
111.094
New York
111.848
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 3 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+3 1/2); Under

WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, June 7

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ATLANTA (4 - 2) at NEW YORK (4 - 3) - 6/7/2017, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (4 - 3) at INDIANA (3 - 4) - 6/7/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 6/7

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 6/7

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