Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/22

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, May 22

Good Luck on day #141 of 2017!
NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Some over/under win totals for college football this coming fall:

— Texas 7.5, under -$120

— UCLA 6, over -$135

— Nebraska 6, over -$125

— Michigan State 6.5, under -$130

— USC 9.5, over -$135

— LSU 9, over -$120

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a fun weekend…….

13) Had an excellent time Sunday night at the Upstate New York Basketball Hall of Fame induction dinner in Troy; my friend Rob got inducted- he was a great player at U of Albany and also won a gold medal in the 1980 Empire State Games, when he was a teammate of Mavericks’ coach Rick Carlisle- their team played small ball and beat teams with more famous players.

Carlisle, former NBA coach Kevin O’Neill and former Marquette coach Mike Deane all spoke at the dinner. Albany Great Danes’ coach Will Brown was also inducted into the Hall of Fame. All in all, an excellent evening.

12) Odd Sunday in baseball; 30 of 32 starting pitchers got decisions in their games. None of the 16 games played saw the game-winning run score after the 6th inning. Very unusual day.

11) Over is 14-1 in last fifteen games played at Wrigley Field; wind was blowing straight in on Friday and the game still went over the total.

10) Friday night, the Dodgers’ Corey Seager swung at a 3-0 pitch while LA led 5-0, which for some reason ticked off Miami manager Don Mattingly. Soon after that, the Marlins drilled Brett Eibner with a pitch, so then the Dodgers threw a ball behind Giancarlo Stanton.

Stanton got hit in the face with a pitch a couple years ago in Milwaukee and still wears an extra face guard, so Mattingly endangered his best player’s health because an opponent swung at a 3-0 pitch in a 5-0 game. Brilliant!!!

9) Movie recommendation: Wizard of Lies on HBO, with Robert DeNiro playing Bernie Madoff, the Ponzi scheme huckster who bilked a lot of people out of billions of dollars. It isn’t a pleasant movie or at all uplifting, but it is really well done.

8) Indiana Tech, a college in Fort Wayne, is offering scholarships to video gamers who play League of Legends and Hearthstone. This is a world I know nothing about, but apparently it is a growing industry. Go figure.

Too bad they didn’t offer Pac-Man scholarships back in the day; could’ve saved some money.

7) Astros catcher Brian McCann (concussion) goes on 7-day DL. Dodgers sent Julio Urias down to AAA, called Josh Ravin up for some bullpen depth.

6) Brewers-Cubs game was rained out very early Saturday morning, but then it didn’t rain in the afternoon, so the game could/should have been played. It was the Cubs’ decision and the Milwaukee people didn’t see too happy about it; they also seemed a little mystified as to why.

Milwaukee called up pitcher Tyler Cravy from AAA Saturday; the game got rained out, then Ryan Braun got activated off the DL and Cravy was sent back to Colorado Springs. No bueno.

5) Jose Reyes got his 2,000th hit Saturday night; 1,398 of them have come with the Mets. He sat out Sunday’s game with a “tweaked rib cage”.

4) Looks like Kawhi Leonard will sit out tonight’s Game 4 of Spurs-Warriors series, meaning we won’t see him play until next fall, since Golden State will end this series tonite.

David Lee has a partially torn patella; been a rough couple weeks for the Spurs.

3) In the last 24 days, utility infielder Chase d’Arnaud has gone from the Braves to the Red Sox to the Padres, who need all the major leaguers they can get. He was a 1.000 hitter for Boston (1-1 with two runs scored in two games).

2) Celtics 111, Cavaliers 108— Cleveland led by 21 points against a Boston team playing without star Isaiah Thomas, but Celtics rallied and pulled a huge upset. Good for the Celtics, good for Brad Stevens, great for the NBA, which desperately needs some competitive playoff games.

1) What would happen if American Idol had one season where all the contestants were 50+ years old? I think it would be a big hit. Would be a gamble, but in my opinion, a winning one.

[Udog]

Rance, how was the rest of your computer running? Could be from storms. Did you run a virus scan?

Good morning, Monte! Everything was working as it should except browsers. Now, here's what's weird. After I had run every security program I have, I went to a wireless unit that has an older version of Firefox installed and clicked "sync" as soon as it opened. From that moment, every browser on every computer has worked normally. I can't explain it, I'm just glad of it!

[Udog]

Monday's Western Conference finals Game 4 betting preview: Warriors at Spurs

The Warriors are big 11.5-point road favorites to defeat the Spurs in Game 4 and advance to the NBA Finals for the third consecutive season.

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs (+11.5, 216)

Warriors lead series 3-0

The Golden State Warriors seem to be on a collision course with the Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA Finals, and the San Antonio Spurs are struggling to get into the fight. The Warriors can close out the Spurs, clinch a third straight trip to the NBA Finals and move to 12-0 in the postseason when they visit San Antonio for Game 4 on Monday.

The Spurs put up a better effort at home in Game 3 than they managed in Game 2, but the absence of Kawhi Leonard left them without a go-to scorer to combat Golden State's runs in the 120-108 setback. "You have to give everything you have for the next one," San Antonio guard Manu Ginobili, who scored 21 points off the bench in Game 3, told reporters. "For us to win, we have to play at a 10 level, and (the Warriors) have to play at a seven. And we have to make them play a seven and play our best game." Golden State played at a 10 for most of the last two games but isn't taking anything for granted against a proud Spurs squad. "Nah, it's not inevitable," Warriors forward Draymond Green told reporters. "We've lost a lead before, so we've got to come out on Monday and try to close this thing out."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

SERIES PRICE: Off the board.

LINE HISTORY: With Leonord unlikely to play in Game 4, oddsmakers opened the Spurs as hefty 11-point home underdogs and bettors have pushed the line to Spurs +11.5. The total opened at 216.5 and has been bet down slightly to 216.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "As we learned last night with Cavs-Celtics, sometimes it is wrong to prematurely write off an underdog's chances. But down Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker, the Spurs definitely seem 'up against it' for Game 4. I'm more interested in the total as each of the first three games have gone Over. " - Power Sports.

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - PG S. Curry (Probable Monday, elbow), SG A. Iguodala (Probable Monday, knee), C Z. Pachulia (Questionable Monday, heel), SF K. Looney (Out indefinitely, hip).

Spurs - SF K. Leonard (Doubtful Monday, ankle), PF D. Lee (Out Monday, knee), PG T. Parker (Out for season, quadricep).

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Kevin Durant took control of Game 3 with 19 of his 33 points in the third quarter and went 11-of-19 from the floor in the contest to mark his fifth straight postseason game shooting 50 percent or better. "The third quarter, I just went out there and played, not worrying about anything," Durant told reporters. "Just played every possession, tried to play hard as I can, and I was able to score." Durant isn't the only Warriors player not having much trouble scoring, as fellow former MVP Stephen Curry is averaging 30 points on 55.6 percent shooting in the first three games of the series.

ABOUT THE SPURS: San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich called it "likely" that Leonard will miss Game 4, and forward David Lee is likely to sit as well after suffering a reported partial tear of his left patella tendon. The shorthanded Spurs will continue to lean on the likes of 39-year-old Ginobili and second-year guard Jonathan Simmons, who is starting in place of Leonard. "The competitiveness was great," Popovich told reporters of his club after Game 3. "Every time you look up, you're playing against four All-Stars, so you better be pretty perfect, and competitiveness-wise, I couldn't ask for anything more. We turned it over too much, and we've got to make some more shots. But it's a helluva team."

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 10-0 in their last 10 road games.
* Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. Pacific Division opponents.
* Over is 6-1 in Warriors last seven road games.
* Over is 5-0 in Spurs last five home games.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, May 22


Golden State @ San Antonio

Game 725-726
May 22, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
141.745
San Antonio
121.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 20 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 12
216
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-12); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, May 22

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GOLDEN STATE (78 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (69 - 28) - 5/22/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1004-878 ATS (+38.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 510-429 ATS (+38.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 181-135 ATS (+32.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 105-88 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 98-84 ATS (+5.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 92-67 ATS (+18.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-48 ATS (+9.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, May 22

Golden State is 11-0 (7-4 vs spread) in playoffs, 5-0 on road (5-0 vs spread) with four of five road wins by 11+ points. Leonard is out here, so are Parker/Lee; Spurs led by 23 when Leonard went out in Game 1, have been outscored by 73 points in 9.5 quarters since then. Warriors are 3-3 in last five visits to San Antonio; five of last six series games went over the total. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Seven of Warriors’ last eight wins were by 11+ points- over is 7-2 in their last nine games overall. Over is 9-2 in Spurs’ last eleven games.

Conference finals:
San Antonio-Golden State
GState 113-111, -10, O209.5
GState 136-100, -13, O211
GState 120-108, -9.5, U215.5

Cleveland-Boston
Clev 117-104, -4.5, O219
Clev 130-86, -5, U218.5
Boston 111-108, +16, O215.5




NBA

Monday, May 22

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Golden State
San Antonio is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Golden State


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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, May 22

Western Conference – Finals – Best of 7 – Game 4 – GSW Leads 3-0

Golden State at San Antonio, 9:00 PM ET
Golden State: 25-40 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games
San Antonio: 14-6 ATS after back to back ATS losses

[BettorsChat]

Good morning, Monte! Everything was working as it should except browsers. Now, here's what's weird. After I had run every security program I have, I went to a wireless unit that has an older version of Firefox installed and clicked "sync" as soon as it opened. From that moment, every browser on every computer has worked normally. I can't explain it, I'm just glad of it!

Computers can be a weird bunch