Announcement

**Udog** · 05-01-2017, 09:10 AM

Armadillo:Monday's six-pack

— Nationals 23, Mets 5— Noah Syndegaard is headed to the DL (lat). No bueno.

— Anthony Rendon was 6-6 with three HR’s, 10 RBI; his 16 total bases is three short of the all-time record (Shawn Green).

— Jazz 104, Clippers 91— People who run the Clippers have some hard decisions to make this summer.

— Diamondbacks 2, Rockies 0 (13)— Weirdly low-scoring game between these division rivals.

— Cold-weather Cleveland Browns traded up to draft a kicker from Arizona State; what could possibly go wrong?

— Buffalo Bills fired their GM the day AFTER the draft, which is very strange.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: NFL over/under win totals for 2017…….

South Point Casino’s NFL over/under win totals for 2017:

New England 11, over -$120

Pittsburgh 10.5, over -$120, Seattle 10.5, over/under -$110

Atlanta 10, under -$120, Green Bay 10, under -$120

Dallas 9.5, over -$120, Oakland 9.5, over -$120, Tennessee 9.5, under -$120, Baltimore 9.5, under -$125

Carolina 9, over -$120, Kansas City 9, over -$120, NJ Giants 9, over -$115 Indianapolis 9, under -$115

Cincinnati 8.5, over -$120, Denver 8.5, over -$120, Houston 8.5, over -$120

Minnesota 8.5, over/under -$110, Philadelphia 8.5, over/under -$110, New Orleans 8.5, under -$120

Detroit 8, over/under -$110, Tampa Bay 8, over/under -$110

Washington 7.5, over -$120, Arizona 7.5, over/under -$110, Chargers 7.5, over/under -$110, Miami 7.5, over/under -$110

Buffalo 6, over/under -$110

Jacksonville 5.5, over -$120, LA Rams 5.5, over -$120, NJ Jets 5.5, over -$120

Chicago 5, over/under -$110

San Francisco 4.5, over/under -$110

Cleveland 4, over/under -$110

**Udog** · 05-01-2017, 09:20 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, May 1

Houston @ San Antonio

Game 725-726
May 1, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
120.234
San Antonio
123.768
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 6
213
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+6); Over

Toronto @ Cleveland

Game 723-724
May 1, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
115.327
Cleveland
128.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 13 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-6 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, May 1

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TORONTO (55 - 33) at CLEVELAND (55 - 31) - 5/1/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 48-39 ATS (+5.1 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-45 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 9-8 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 11-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (59 - 28) at SAN ANTONIO (65 - 23) - 5/1/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1000-873 ATS (+39.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 89-75 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 509-426 ATS (+40.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 80-51 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 282-233 ATS (+25.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 180-132 ATS (+34.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, May 1

Eastern Conference – Semifinals – Best of 7 – Game 1

Toronto at Cleveland, 7:00 PM ET
Toronto: 28-15 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Cleveland: 45-24 OVER as a favorite

Western Conference – Semifinals – Best of 7 – Game 1

Houston at San Antonio, 9:30 PM ET
Houston: 13-2 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent
San Antonio: 17-8 OVER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, May 1

Cavaliers won five of last six games with Toronto (over is 5-5 in last ten series games). Raptors won/covered once in last five visits to Ohio. Toronto had three days’ rest since beating Bucks in six; they won/covered five of last six road games overall. Under is 5-2 in Raptors’ last seven games. Cavaliers swept Indiana by total of 16 points; they split last four home games overall. Six of their last eight games went over total. Cavaliers are 4-3 in this round with Lebron. This is only 3rd time Toronto has been in this round; they won two years ago, lost in 2001.

San Antonio won eight of last ten games with Houston (6-4 vs spread); Rockets lost four of last five visits to the Alamo (2-3 vs spread). Under is 4-0-1 in last five series games. Houston has been off for six days since beating Thunder- they split last four road games. Spurs eliminated Grizzlies in Memphis Thursday; they won/covered last three home games. Over is 7-1 in their last eight games. Over last 20 years, this is only 3rd time Rockets have been in this round (1-1); they won two years ago, lost in 2009. Spurs won five of last seven series in this round.

Second round playoff series:
Boston-Washington
Bos 123-111, -4.5, O216

Cleveland-Toronto

San Antonio-Houston

Golden State-Utah

First round playoff series:
Boston-Chicago
Chi 106-102, +7, O207
Chi 111-97, +7.5, O206.5
Bos 104-87, -2.5, U206
Bos 104-95, -1.5, U204
Bos 108-97, –7.5, U205.5
Bos 105-83, -2, U203
Celtics win series 4-2

Cleveland-Indiana
Clev 109-108, -9, O208.5
Clev 117-111, -9, O210
Clev 119-114, –1.5, O210
Clev 106-102, -4, U214
Cavaliers win series, 4-0

Toronto-Milwaukee
Mil 97-83, +7.5, U197.5
Tor 106-100, -8, O195
Mil 104-77, –2, U197
Tor 87-76, +2.5, U194
Tor 118-93, -6, O193
Tor 92-89, +1.5, U196.5
Raptors win series, 4-2

Washington-Atlanta
Wash 114-107, -5.5, O209.5
Wash 109-101, -6.5, U211.5
All 110-108, -2.5, O211
Atl 111-101, -2.5 U212.5
Wash 103-99, -6.5, U212
Wash 115-99, +3, O208.5
Wizards win series, 4-2

Golden State-Portland
GState 121-109, -15.5, O220
GState 110-81, –12, U219
GState 119-113, -5, O217.5
GState 128-103, -9, O222.5
Warriors win series, 4-0

San Antonio-Memphis
SA 111-82, -9.5, O190.5
SA 96-82, -10.5, U189
Mem 105-94, +3.5, O188
Mem 110-108, +5.5, O187
SA 116-103, -10.5, O188.5
SA 103-96, -5.5, O190.5
Spurs win series, 4-2

Houston-Oklahoma City
Hst 118-87 -7.5, U227.5
Hst 115-111, -7.5, O225.5
OC 115-113, -2.5, O224
Hst 113-109, +1, U223.5
Hst 105-99, -7.5, U223.5
Rockets win series, 4-1

LA Clippers-Utah
Utah 97-95, +6, U198.5
LAC 99-91, -9, U200
LAC 111-106, -1.5, O197.5
Utah 105-98, -5, O196
Utah 96-92, +3, U195.5
LAC 96-93, +5.5, U195.5
Utah 104-91, +3.5, O190.5
Jazz wins series, 4-3

Favorites: 19-24-1 vs spread
Over: 23-21

NBA

Monday, May 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games on the road
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home

9:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

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**Udog** · 05-01-2017, 09:23 AM

Monday’s NBA Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds

Kawhi Leonard averaged 31.2 points on 54.8 percent shooting, six rebounds and two steals in the six-game win over the Memphis Grizzlies in the first round.

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5, 208.5)

Series tied 0-0

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (55-33 SU, 48-39-1 ATS, 46-42 O/U): The Toronto Raptors took the Cleveland Cavaliers to the sixth game of the Eastern Conference finals last spring and get another crack at the defending champs one round earlier this spring. The Raptors developed a stronger defensive identity with the acquisitions of P.J. Tucker and Serge Ibaka during the regular season and limited the Bucks to an average of 86 points while winning the final three games of the first-round series. The additions of Ibaka and Tucker give Toronto better defensive options against LeBron James and Kevin Love this time around, and the two made their presence felt in the last series. "We had to go out and really fight and get our hands dirty, which in the past hasn’t been one of the things you would say about the Raptors," Tucker told the Toronto Star. "But we had to do that to beat Milwaukee. We had to really go out there and fight and grind it out, and I think we’re going to have to take pieces of that series into this one." The Raptors could use more on the offensive end from point guard Kyle Lowry, who was held to an average of 14.3 points in the first round after posting 22.4 in the regular season.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (55-31 SU, 38-45-3 ATS, 50-35-1 O/U): The Cavaliers are not as strong on the defensive end and became the first team since the 1995 Houston Rockets to sweep a first-round series while allowing their opponent to score 100 or more points in each game, but coach Tyronn Lue saw progress throughout the series. James, 32, is logging more minutes than ever and averaged 43.8 in the first round. The superstar, who got eight days off to rest after the first-round sweep, averaged 32.8 points, 9.8 rebounds and nine assists against the Pacers. "For me, I just go out and try to win every game and do whatever it takes to help our team be successful," James told reporters. "(We are) going to a hostile building in Game 3 and Game 4 (at the Air Canada Centre), and we know that. Their fans are unbelievable. I stated that last year after we closed that series out. Doesn't mean we're going to be able to win this year. We've got to go out and make it happen. We have to worry about Game 1 first."

LINE HISTORY: The Cavs opened as 6.5-point home favorites over the visiting Raptors in Game 1 and the spread has yet to move. The total hit the board at 209.5 and was dropped slightly to 208.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Raptors - No injuries to report.

Cavaliers - PG K. Felder (Questionable, leg).

TRENDS:

* Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
* Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
* Under is 13-3 in Raptors last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Over is 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 home games.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs (-5.5, 213)

Series tied 0-0

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (59-28 SU, 45-42 ATS, 43-43-1 O/U): James Harden averaged 33.2 points, seven assists and 6.4 rebounds in the five-game, first-round win over the Thunder but went 13-of-41 from the floor over the final two cont-ests while dealing with an ankle injury. Houston is ready for the step up in competition and knows it needs to focus on execution at the end of the game against the veteran-laden Spurs. "We understand what type of team that we're playing," reserve shooting guard Lou Williams told the Houston Chronicle. "They're a very sharp team. They're not one of those teams that's going to go out there and beat themselves. You're going to have to go out there and really put in a good effort, put four good quarters together and just go win the game." Williams was second on the team in scoring in the first round behind Harden, averaging 18.8 points on 47.8 percent shooting.

ABOUT THE SPURS (65-23 SU, 45-41-2 ATS, 48-38-2 O/U): Kawhi Leonard averaged 31.2 points on 54.8 percent shooting, six rebounds and two steals in the six-game win over the Memphis Grizzlies in the first round and consistently attacked the basket, leading to a 59-of-61 effort from the free-throw line. While Leonard carried the heaviest load for San Antonio in the first round, the team also enjoyed strong performances from some of its veterans. Manu Ginobili turned back the clock with 10 points in Game 5 while point guard Tony Parker averaged 16.3 points in the series and exploded for 27 in the Game 6 clincher. "Tony wasn’t just effective today," Popovich told reporters after Game 6. "He’s done a masterful job of getting in shape down the stretch of the season and playing his best basketball during this playoff -- finding people, scoring himself, working hard defensively. He had a magnificent playoff."

LINE HISTORY: The Spurs opened as 4.5-point home favorites for Game 1 and that point spread was bet up to -5.5 by Sunday night. The total hit the betting board at 215.5 and was dropped all of the way down to 213.

INJURY REPORT:

Rockets - SF S. Dekker (Probable, hand).

Spurs - No injuries to report.

TRENDS:

* Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
* Over is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
* Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/1

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/1

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