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**Udog** · 04-30-2017, 10:18 AM

Armadillo:Sunday's six-pack

— Nationals’ OF Adam Eaton tore his ACL Friday; is done for the season.

— Ottawa 6, NY Rangers 5 OT— Senators head to NYC leading series 2-0.

— Dolphins didn’t pick an offensive player until the 5th round, latest of any team.

— Michigan had 11 players drafted by the NFL this weekend, most of any school- remember, they were Brady Hoke’s recruits, not Jim Harbaugh’s.

— 53 SEC players were drafted, 11th year in a row SEC had the most players taken.

— Dodgers 6, Phillies 5– LA hit three consecutive HR’s in bottom of 9th inning to tie game, then scored on a Philly error to win it.

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

13) Ominous note for the Atlanta Falcons: Last team to lose the Super Bowl and get back to the Super Bowl the next year? Buffalo Bills, in 1993.

12) There is only one Game 7 in the first round of the NBA playoffs; there were none in the first round of the NHL playoffs, which seems unusual.

11) What time do garbagemen begin their work day? They switched my garbage collection day from Monday to Tuesday; truck came thru my neighborhood at 5:55am last week- thats a lot of noise for 5:55am.

10) It is snowing in Colorado this weekend; if the Rockies had been scheduled at home this weekend, they wouldn’t be playing.

9) Washington Redskins had the most passing yards to tight ends LY, which explains why the Rams drafted TE Gerald Everett from South Alabama— Sean McVay obviously isn’t too impressed with the Rams’ TE’s from last year.

Rams drafted two guys from Eastern Washington, which went 12-2 LY and lost in national semifinals at the I-AA level.

8) Raiders drafted T David Sharpe from Florida in the 4th round. Florida’s QB LY was Luke Del Rio, son of Raiders’ coach Jack Del Rio.

7) Those 100 or so people ESPN fired this week; what do they do now? You figure some of them will hook up with other TV networks, but probably not that many— how many openings can there be? There have to be a lot of people wondering what direction their life will take next.

6) Minnesota Vikings had only two games started by rookies LY, fewest in the NFL.

5) 49ers drafted QB CJ Beathard from Iowa, grandson of former Redskins’ GM Bobby Beathard. From ESPN.com:

“Beathard lacks an elite physical skill, but he is an unselfish leader and tireless worker — all of which may allow him to overcome his physical deficiencies. He possesses a strong combination of competitiveness, toughness and football IQ to potentially develop into a serviceable backup.” Kevin Weidl

4) From everything said on TV, Philadelphia did a great job hosting the NFL Draft; they had a ton of people there Thursday/Friday night.

3) Nike, adidas, UnderArmour all passed on endorsement deals with UCLA PG Lonzo Ball; this becomes more interesting if the kid is the #1 pick in the NBA Draft. Been a while since a father’s big mouth cost his son this much money.

2) Denver drafted Jim Kelly’s nephew (Ole Miss QB Chad) with the last pick in the draft. I’ll make a prediction that Mr Kelly winds up (maybe in 2018) as the Broncos’ starting QB.

1— If every American did his/her job as well as Mel Kiper Jr does his job, this would be a better country. The man is totally prepared.

**Udog** · 04-30-2017, 10:48 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, April 30

Washington @ Boston

Game 735-736
April 30, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
125.022
Boston
124.291
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+4 1/2); Over

Utah @ LA Clippers

Game 721-722
April 30, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
123.919
LA Clippers
130.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 7
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
190 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-3 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 30

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UTAH (54 - 34) at LA CLIPPERS (54 - 34) - 4/30/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
UTAH is 38-16 ATS (+20.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 209-263 ATS (-80.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 191-235 ATS (-67.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 9-8 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 12-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (53 - 35) at BOSTON (57 - 31) - 4/30/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BOSTON is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
BOSTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, April 30

Western Conference – Round 1 – Best of 7 – Game 7 – Series Tied At 3-3

Utah at LA Clippers, 10:35 PM ET
Utah: 38-16 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent
LA Clippers: 17-5 UNDER in home games against Northwest division opponents

Eastern Conference – Semifinals – Best of 7 – Game 1

Washington at Boston, 1:00 PM ET
Washington: 31-17 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent
Boston: 7-0 OVER after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, April 30

Wizards won Game 6 in Atlanta Friday nite, have quick turnaround here in Boston, where they lost last four visits (0-4 vs spread). Home side won eight of last ten series games; under is 3-2 in last five meetings. Washington lost three of last four road tilts; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games overall. Celtics were down 2-0 to Bulls, then Rondo broke his thumb and Boston won four straight. C’s are 2-3 vs spread in last five home games; three of their last four games stayed under total. This is first time Boston is past 1st round since 2012; Celtics are 4-3 in last seven 2nd round series.

Utah bench was -48 in Game 6 home loss, shooting 8-29 from floor, when they could’ve finished off series; they had outscored Clipper subs 102-53 in Games 4-5, but were outscored 26-20 last game- Crawford had 12 points for LA. Road team is 4-2 SU in this series; under is 4-2. Gobert turned his ankle late in game, his status here is ??able. Underdogs covered four of six series games; Utah split last four games here vs Clippers- they covered their last four road tilts overall. LA is 4-2 in last six first round series. Jazz last won a playoff series in 2010; this is first time they have been even been in playoffs in five years. Griffin is out for the Clippers.

First round playoff series:
Boston-Chicago
Chi 106-102, +7, O207
Chi 111-97, +7.5, O206.5
Bos 104-87, -2.5, U206
Bos 104-95, -1.5, U204
Bos 108-97, –7.5, U205.5
Bos 105-83, -2, U203
Celtics win series 4-2

Cleveland-Indiana
Clev 109-108, -9, O208.5
Clev 117-111, -9, O210
Clev 119-114, –1.5, O210
Clev 106-102, -4, U214
Cavaliers win series, 4-0

Toronto-Milwaukee
Mil 97-83, +7.5, U197.5
Tor 106-100, -8, O195
Mil 104-77, –2, U197
Tor 87-76, +2.5, U194
Tor 118-93, -6, O193
Tor 92-89, +1.5, U196.5
Raptors win series, 4-2

Washington-Atlanta
Wash 114-107, -5.5, O209.5
Wash 109-101, -6.5, U211.5
All 110-108, -2.5, O211
Atl 111-101, -2.5 U212.5
Wash 103-99, -6.5, U212
Wash 115-99, +3, O208.5
Wizards win series, 4-2

Golden State-Portland
GState 121-109, -15.5, O220
GState 110-81, –12, U219
GState 119-113, -5, O217.5
GState 128-103, -9, O222.5
Warriors win series, 4-0

San Antonio-Memphis
SA 111-82, -9.5, O190.5
SA 96-82, -10.5, U189
Mem 105-94, +3.5, O188
Mem 110-108, +5.5, O187
SA 116-103, -10.5, O188.5
SA 103-96, -5.5, O190.5
Spurs win series, 4-2

Houston-Oklahoma City
Hst 118-87 -7.5, U227.5
Hst 115-111, -7.5, O225.5
OC 115-113, -2.5, O224
Hst 113-109, +1, U223.5
Hst 105-99, -7.5, U223.5
Rockets win series, 4-1

LA Clippers-Utah
Utah 97-95, +6, U198.5
LAC 99-91, -9, U200
LAC 111-106, -1.5, O197.5
Utah 105-98, -5, O196
Utah 96-92, +3, U195.5
LAC 96-93, +5.5, U195.5

Favorites: 19-23-1 vs spread
Over: 22-21

NBA

Sunday, April 30

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. BOSTON
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington

1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Chicago's last 23 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Chicago

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**Udog** · 04-30-2017, 10:50 AM

Sunday’s NBA Playoffs Betting Preview and Odds

Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics (-4.5, 215)

ABOUT THE WIZARDS (53-35 SU, 45-42-1 ATS, 54-33-1 O/U): John Wall scored a postseason career-high 42 points in Friday's closeout game at Atlanta and drew raves for his defensive effort, especially a chase-down block in the fourth quarter that helped cut off a Hawks run. "It’s really not fair - a point guard being able to do what he does," Washington coach Scott Brooks told reporters. "It’s only one player in the league who does that, and we all know who that is. But (Wall) does it every game. That’s a sign of a champion. You chase down plays. You stay in plays." Wall, who averaged 29.5 points and 10.3 assists in the first round, was held to 17.8 points on 37.3 percent shooting in four meetings with Boston in the regular season.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (57-31 SU, 44-42-2 ATS, 42-42-4 O/U): Isaiah Thomas averaged 28.9 points in the regular season but watched his shooting numbers take a dip as he averaged 23 points in the six games against Chicago and went a combined 3-of-26 from 3-point range in the final three games of the series. Boston's other players picked up their hurting leader over the final four games, with Avery Bradley emerging as the hero of Friday's 105-83 Game 6 triumph. "I was really proud of our guys for how they treated each other, how they stood together, stuck together, and how nobody pointed fingers," coach Brad Stevens told reporters. "They were just a great support network for one another, and especially for Isaiah."

LINE HISTORY: The Celtics opened as 4.5-point home chalk in this opening game of the Eastern Conference semifinals and that number has held. The total hit the betting books at 214.5 and has gone up slightly to 215.

INJURY REPORT:

Wizards - C Ian Mahinmi (Out Indefinitely, calf).

Celtics - No injuries to report.

TRENDS:

* Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Wizards last 4 road games.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Celtics last 4 home games.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
* Wizards are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers (-3.5, 189.5)

Series tied 3-3

ABOUT THE JAZZ (54-34 SU, 40-44-4 ATS, 44-44-0 O/U): Utah hasn't won a playoff series since 2010 and it squandered a big opportunity by losing Game 6 at home. The Jazz received poor shooting performances from series star Joe Johnson (nine points on 3-of-9 shooting) and backup shooting guard Rodney Hood (four points on 2-of-10 shooting) and that sabotaged their ability to score. "I'm not sure if we got tired or got tired of missing," Utah coach Quin Snyder told reporters. "(The Clippers) were the more energetic team. Their physicality on the defensive end, we didn't respond offensively the way that we needed to, or as forceful as we needed to be. When you're not aggressive enough with your frame of mind, I don't think you shoot the ball as well."

ABOUT THE CELTICS (54-34 SU, 42-45-1 ATS, 46-41-1 O/U): Los Angeles held a 91-77 edge with 3:58 left in Game 6 and had to hold off a frantic Utah charge to even the series. Chris Paul helped quell the comeback attempt and will again be counted on heavily Sunday in a series in which he is averaging 27.3 points and 10 assists and topped 20 points in all six games. "He's so unselfish he wants to get other guys going, but sometimes we need him to get going," Jordan told reporters of Paul. "He's been able to do that in this series and just take advantage of whatever they're giving him and then still be able to get other guys involved and keep everybody engaged. As one of the leaders of this team, he's done a great job of that all season and even more in the playoffs."

LINE HISTORY: The Clippers opened as 3.5-point home favorites in this single elimination game and some early action on the chalk bumped that number to -4 before returning to the opening number of -3.5 Sunday morning. The total opened at 193 and has been bet all of the way down to 189.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Jazz - SG Alec Burks (Doubtful Friday, knee).

Clippers - PF Blake Griffin (Out for Season, toe), C Diamond Stone (Out Indefinitely, knee).

TRENDS:

* Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss.
* Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
* Under is 5-0 in Jazz last five road games.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.
* Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

**Udog** · 04-30-2017, 10:55 AM

Game 1's in second round of NBA Playoffs producing a crazy total trend

The total for Game 1 of the Raptors-Cavaliers series on Monday has a total of 208.5 and the Over has been cashing at a remarkable rate in opening games of the second round since 2010.

The first round of the NBA playoffs is winding down. Teams like the Warriors and Cavaliers have already advanced while most other series are nearing their conclusions. So that means it’s time to start looking ahead to Round 2.

The second round may be the most interesting to bet in the NBA playoffs. Some teams are coming off long breaks while others are riding the momentum of battling through a tough series.

The big difference between the first and second round seems to be on the offensive side of the ball. Where no matter how you got to the second round, you are more than likely used to the bright lights of the postseason and the jitters of the first round as passed.

This has created one of the most profitable wagering opportunities in the NBA playoffs – betting the Over in Game 1 of Round 2.

The Over is a remarkable 21-7 in Game 1’s in the second round since 2010. That’s a success rate of 75 percent.

What makes the number more remarkable is while obviously scoring is up in the NBA over that past few years, it appears sportsbooks have tried to adjust to this trend and it still hasn’t worked.

Between 2010 and 2013 the average total in these second round Game 1’s was 189.1 with the Over going 12-4, once again a 75 percent success rate. Compare that to the last three years and the average total is over 10 points higher per game at 199.8 and yet the Overs still went 9-3, for, say it with us, a 75 percent success rate.

What's worth more to NBA playoff oddsmakers: rest or rhythm?: Live From Las Vegas
As we enter the second round of the NBA playoffs, teams like Cleveland will be well rested after sweeping its first round opponent while other teams will be coming off grueling series battles. How do those situations impact the oddsmaking for series and Game 1 prices? We talk to Jay Rood, vice president of race and sports for MGM Resorts.

Last year the Overs went 3-1 (75 percent) in second round Game 1’s with an average total of 200.4. It was the highest average total in second round Game 1’s since 2010. Not only did those three of the four games go Over last season, they did so easily, doing so by a margin of 17.3 points per contest.

Looking ahead to this year, there are only three of the four second round Game 1’s on the board, but a quick look tells you two things: scoring is up once again in the NBA and books are still trying to catch up to this trend.

The average total for the three games this year is currently 212.8. That’s another 10 points higher even just compared to last year. Not to mention the fact, that number may go even higher with Golden State still waiting in the wings for the winner of Utah and Los Angeles.

Heck, the highest total in the Game 1’s last year was 210 and that was between the Warriors and Trail Blazers.

So while this trend is red-hot, make sure to study the matchups wisely and exercise caution when diving into your NBA Playoffs second round Game 1 total bets this year.

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Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/30

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/30

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