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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, April 15

    Good Luck on day #104 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Cleveland -$1200 vs Indiana +$750
    — Toronto -$390 vs Milwaukee +$310
    — Washington -$230 vs Atlanta +$195
    — Boston -$460 vs +Chicago $360
    — San Antonio -$1100 vs Memphis +$700
    — LA Clippers -$260 vs Utah -$220
    — Golden State -$10,000 vs Portland +$2000
    — Houston -$380 vs Oklahoma City +$300

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) Somehow, someway, Phil Jackson gets two more years to run the Knicks, despite an 80-166 record that screams out that Jackson has no clue how to run an NBA franchise. At $12M a year, the least Jackson could’ve done was get rid of of Carmelo Anthony, who is getting older and did not try much on defense, even when he was young.

    12) We talked briefly yesterday about “exit meetings” with players after a season; apparently Kristaps Porzingis, one of the Knicks’ few bright spots, skipped his exit meeting with the club because of “his displeasure with the “dysfunction” and “drama” that has enveloped the franchise”, according to ESPN.com.

    11) Was surprised to see that major league umpire Joe West is only 64 years old; he’s been a big league umpire since 1976, which means he made it to the majors at age 23.

    10) Calgary Flames have to win at least one game in Anaheim to win their opening round playoff series; problem is, the Flames have now lost 28 games in a row in Anaheim- their last win in the Pond was in a 2006 playoff game. No bueno.

    9) John Daly played in Darius Rucker’s charity golf tournament this week, which raises money for kids in South Carolina; at one point. he used a full beer can as a tee, then chugged the beer after he hit the ball off the top of the can, all while playing barefoot. Alrighty then.

    8) Baseball commissioner Rob Manfred is open to the idea of geographic realignment, but Bud Selig was also in favor of that— it just never appealed to anyone else.

    Geographic realignment would reduce travel costs and create more games with local rivalries, but then, no more American/National Leagues. I’d be OK either way— what do you do with the DH? (hopefully, get rid of it)

    7) If you like obscure trivia, Ender Inciarte got the first hit in the new SunTrust Stadium in Atlanta.

    6) Mets are just third team in history (’83 Brewers, ’03 Rockies) to win consecutive games when they gave up a grand slam in both games- Mikael Franco hit one against them Wednesday, Marcell Ozuna Thursday.

    5) Mets beat the Miami Marlins in 16 innings Thursday night, which drained both bullpens. Marlins’ reliever Nick Wittgren threw three scoreless innings, but because he has options left and needed a couple days off anyway, he was sent back to AAA, not the best reward for pitching well, but he’ll be back in the majors soon.

    4) Colorado pitcher Jon Gray has a stress fracture in his foot, will miss at least a month.

    3) When Hall of Fame baseball player Rod Carew received a heart transplant in December, he got the heart of the late Konrad Reuland, who played tight end for the Baltimore Ravens before he passed away at age 29 after having a brain aneurysm.

    2) Seattle Mariners sell toasted grasshoppers at their concession stands- they sold 901 orders of the insects over the first three home games. The grasshoppers are toasted in a chili lime salt and come in a four-ounce cup for $4.

    The team called in an emergency order so that they last throughout this weekend; they’re also imposing a per-game order limit for the rest of the season.

    There is no way in hell I would eat grasshoppers…….ever.

    1— A very courageous 10-year old boy threw out the first pitch at the Dodgers’ game last night; the young man is the first person to receive a double hand transplant. Zion Harvey also lost both his legs below the knees as a result of a virus he had at age 2.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Saturday, April 15


      Utah @ LA Clippers

      Game 507-508
      April 15, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Utah
      123.169
      LA Clippers
      131.588
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      LA Clippers
      by 8 1/2
      208
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      LA Clippers
      by 5
      200
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA Clippers
      (-5); Over

      Memphis @ San Antonio


      Game 505-506
      April 15, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Memphis
      116.805
      San Antonio
      122.928
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 6
      195
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 9 1/2
      190 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Memphis
      (+9 1/2); Over

      Milwaukee @ Toronto


      Game 503-504
      April 15, 2017 @ 5:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Milwaukee
      115.577
      Toronto
      124.021
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Toronto
      by 8 1/2
      196
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Toronto
      by 7
      202
      Dunkel Pick:
      Toronto
      (-7); Under

      Indiana @ Cleveland


      Game 501-502
      April 15, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Indiana
      118.639
      Cleveland
      124.642
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Cleveland
      by 6
      209
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Cleveland
      by 8 1/2
      212 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Indiana
      (+8 1/2); Under



      Sunday, April 16

      Oklahoma City @ Houston

      Game 515-516
      April 16, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Oklahoma City
      113.442
      Houston
      126.724
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Houston
      by 13 1/2
      232
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      by 7
      228
      Dunkel Pick:
      Houston
      (-7); Over

      Chicago @ Boston


      Game 513-514
      April 16, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago
      118.151
      Boston
      127.694
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Boston
      by 9 1/2
      204
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boston
      by 7 1/2
      207 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Boston
      (-7 1/2); Under

      Portland @ Golden State


      Game 511-512
      April 16, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Portland
      117.617
      Golden State
      137.152
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Golden State
      by 19 1/2
      226
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Golden State
      by 14
      222 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Golden State
      (-14); Over

      Atlanta @ Washington


      Game 509-510
      April 16, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Atlanta
      119.011
      Washington
      121.055
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Washington
      by 2
      206
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Washington
      by 5
      211
      Dunkel Pick:
      Atlanta
      (+5); Under
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-15-2017, 12:39 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, April 15


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        INDIANA (42 - 40) at CLEVELAND (51 - 31) - 4/15/2017, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        INDIANA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        INDIANA is 9-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        CLEVELAND is 8-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MILWAUKEE (42 - 40) at TORONTO (51 - 31) - 4/15/2017, 5:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MILWAUKEE is 36-46 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games this season.
        MILWAUKEE is 360-433 ATS (-116.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
        MILWAUKEE is 146-186 ATS (-58.6 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
        TORONTO is 45-36 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
        MILWAUKEE is 127-94 ATS (+23.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
        MILWAUKEE is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
        TORONTO is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
        TORONTO is 178-220 ATS (-64.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TORONTO is 8-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
        TORONTO is 9-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MEMPHIS (43 - 39) at SAN ANTONIO (61 - 21) - 4/15/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MEMPHIS is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
        MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a division game this season.
        MEMPHIS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN ANTONIO is 996-871 ATS (+37.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 800-682 ATS (+49.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 506-426 ATS (+37.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 77-51 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 177-132 ATS (+31.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN ANTONIO is 8-8 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTAH (51 - 31) at LA CLIPPERS (51 - 31) - 4/15/2017, 10:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTAH is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
        UTAH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) on Saturday games this season.
        UTAH is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
        UTAH is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA CLIPPERS is 6-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
        LA CLIPPERS is 9-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Sunday, April 16

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ATLANTA (43 - 39) at WASHINGTON (49 - 33) - 4/16/2017, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ATLANTA is 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
        ATLANTA is 78-56 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 10-7 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 10-8 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PORTLAND (41 - 41) at GOLDEN STATE (67 - 15) - 4/16/2017, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GOLDEN STATE is 98-84 ATS (+5.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 143-116 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 83-60 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 124-90 ATS (+25.0 Units) in April games since 1996.
        GOLDEN STATE is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
        GOLDEN STATE is 87-63 ATS (+17.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 51-26 ATS (+22.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GOLDEN STATE is 11-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
        GOLDEN STATE is 14-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
        12 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHICAGO (41 - 41) at BOSTON (53 - 29) - 4/16/2017, 6:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHICAGO is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
        BOSTON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BOSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        CHICAGO is 6-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA CITY (47 - 35) at HOUSTON (55 - 27) - 4/16/2017, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-74 ATS (-26.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-36 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 177-130 ATS (+34.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
        HOUSTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        HOUSTON is 9-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
        HOUSTON is 8-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-15-2017, 12:40 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Saturday, April 15


          Cavaliers played in Finals last two years, winning title LY; they won last seven first round series (last first round loss, ’98). Pacers are in playoffs for sixth time in last seven years; they won three of last four first round series. Cleveland won its last three games with Indiana this season, by 15-9-5 points, with last win 135-130 in double OT April 3. Cavs lost their last four games overall, but Lebron sat some of those out; they’re 4-7 in last 11. Six of last eight Cleveland games went over the total. Indiana won its last five games, covered its last six; over is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

          Bucks are in playoffs for first time since 2015; they’re 0-6 in playoff series the last 15 years- their last first round series win was in 2001. Raptors are in playoffs for 4th year in row; they lost in Eastern Conference final LY, first year they got by first round since 2001. Bucks lost three of last four games with Toronto this year, losing here by 22-16 points, but Milwaukee won 101-94 in last meeting March 4. Milwaukee lost four of its last six games; under is 4-0-1 in their last five. Toronto won its last four games, 12 of last 14; six of their last nine games went over.

          San Antonio has won five NBA titles, with last one in 2014; they’re 5-3 in last eight first round series. Grizzlies are in playoffs for 7th year in row; they’re 3-3 in first round series the last six years. Home side won all four series games this year; Memphis lost its two visits here this season, by 7-6 points, with last loss here 95-89 eleven days ago- they beat Spurs by 15-8 points in two games played in Memphis this season. Memphis lost nine of its last 12 games (under 8-4). San Antonio lost its last three games; three of their last four games went over.

          Utah is in playoffs for first time in five years; since 2001, they’re 2-6 in first round series. Clippers are in playoffs for 6th year in row; they’re 3-2 in first round series the last five seasons. Jazz lost three of four games with the Clippers this season, losing by 13 points in both their visits to Staples Center (to play Clips). Utah won seven of its last nine games; under is 5-3 in their last eight. Teams split pair in Utah, with only Jazz win 114-108 at home March 13. Clippers won their last seven games (4-2-1 vs spread); over is 7-5 in their last dozen games.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-15-2017, 12:41 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Saturday, April 15


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            3:00 PM
            INDIANA vs. CLEVELAND
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games
            Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
            Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home

            5:30 PM
            MILWAUKEE vs. TORONTO
            Milwaukee is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
            Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

            8:00 PM
            MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
            Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
            Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
            San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis

            10:30 PM
            UTAH vs. LA CLIPPERS
            Utah is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            Utah is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
            LA Clippers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Utah


            Sunday, April 16

            1:00 PM
            ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
            Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
            The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 15 games
            Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
            Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

            3:30 PM
            PORTLAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
            Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
            Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games

            6:30 PM
            CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
            Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
            The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chicago's last 20 games when playing on the road against Boston
            Boston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
            Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

            9:00 PM
            OKLAHOMA CITY vs. HOUSTON
            Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-15-2017, 12:42 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA

              Saturday, April 15


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Saturday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              The defending-champion Cavaliers remain the favorites to come out of the East despite stumbling since the All-Star break and dropping down to the No. 2 seed.

              Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers (-8.5, 212.5)

              ABOUT THE PACERS (42-40 SU, 39-42-1 ATS, 41-41 O/U):
              All-Star small forward Paul Goerge led the charge over the last five games, averaging 30.8 points on 56.9 percent shooting while recording three double-doubles in that span. "I guess it's because we're doing everything right," Paul said of the five-game winning streak. "When our back is against the wall, we figure things out. It just showed the character of this team, that we knew all along that we should have been a playoff team, we just hadn't figured out how to play the game the right way. I think we did that at the right time." That streak began after a 135-130 double-overtime loss at Cleveland in which George scored 19 of his 43 points in the overtime periods.

              ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (51-31 SU, 36-43-3 ATS, 47-34-1 O/U):
              James, who collected 41 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists in that April 2 win over Indiana, is looking to advance to the NBA Finals for the seventh straight season. Cleveland is heading in the postseason healthy after resting nagging injuries down the stretch but needs to address a defense that finished 20th in the NBA in points allowed at an average of 107.2 "At the end of the day, I'm not going to harp on what happened in the regular season through injuries, through bad losses, through good wins, through whatever the case may be," James told reporters. "We have a good club going into the postseason. That's all you can ask for."

              LINE HISTORY:
              The defending NBA champion Cavaliers opened as 8.5 home favorites against the Pacers and the line hasn’t moved off the opening number. The total hit the betting board at 213 and has been bet down half-point to 212.5.

              INJURY REPORT:


              Pacers - PG Jeff Teague (Probable, ankle), SG Glenn Robinson III (Questionable, calf), C Al Jefferson (Questionable, ankle)

              Cavaliers - PG Kyrie Irving (Probable, knee), PG Kay Felder (Questionable, leg)

              TRENDS:


              * Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
              * Cavaliers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
              * Over is 7-0 in Pacers last 7 road games.
              * Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 home games.
              * Pacers are 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.




              Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors (-7, 201)


              ABOUT THE BUCKS (42-40 SU, 36-46 ATS, 41-39-2 O/U):
              All-Star small forward Giannis Antetokounmpo will be expected to carry Milwaukee after becoming the fifth player in NBA history to lead his team in scoring (22.9), rebounding (8.8), assists (5.4), blocked shots (1.9) and steals (1.6) in the same season. The 22-year-old Antetokounmpo averaged 24.8 points, 7.8 rebounds and seven assists in four games against Toronto this season and feels his club's strong second half is a good sign in terms of performing better than the first-round exit against the Chicago Bulls two seasons ago. "We feel good about ourselves," Antetokounmpo told reporters. "In the second half after the All-Star break, we played great basketball, team basketball. A lot of people expect a lot from us, to do better than two years ago."

              ABOUT THE RAPTORS (51-31 SU, 45-36-1 ATS, 44-38 O/U):
              The Raptors lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers in six games in the East finals last season and shooting guard DeMar DeRozan is pointing to another sustained postseason run. "We understand what it takes to get there," DeRozan told reporters. "Let's take it one game at a time and with that understand what we've got to do to get there and how hard it is. That's our mentality this time around." DeRozan, who had 32 30-point outings while averaging 27.3 points this season, averaged 22.3 points in three outings against the Bucks.

              LINE HISTORY:
              The Raptors opened as 7-point home chalk and that number has yet to move. The total hit the betting board at 201.5 and has dropped a full point to 200.5.

              INJURY REPORT:


              Bucks - PF Jabari Parker (Out For Season, knee)

              Raptors - SG DeMar DeRozan (Probable, illness)

              TRENDS:


              * Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
              * Under is 9-2-2 in Bucks last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games.
              * Under is 8-2 in Bucks last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
              * Under is 11-2 in Raptors last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
              * Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.




              Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs (-9, 190.5)

              ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (43-39 SU, 41-41 ATS, 38-41-3 O/U):
              Defensive guru Tony Allen (calf) was injured in the regular-season finale and is sidelined indefinitely, so it is probable that he will miss the entire series. The veteran guard averaged 9.1 points and 5.5 rebounds and his defensive prowess will be badly missed. "It's an unfortunate injury for Tony and the team," general manager Chris Wallace told reporters. "With treatment and recovery, we hope to get him back as soon as possible."

              ABOUT THE SPURS (61-21 SU, 41-39-2 ATS, 43-37-2 O/U):
              All-Star small forward Kawhi Leonard averaged a career-best 25.5 points during the regular season and will be counted on to carry San Antonio in the postseason. Leonard scored 30 or more points on 26 occasions and is vying to earn his third consecutive Defensive Player of the Year award. "He's a really unique individual," coach Gregg Popovich told reporters. "I think he's the best two-way player in the league. I don't think anybody else does what he does at both ends of the court, night after night. He's a pretty special guy."

              LINE HISTORY:
              The Southwest division winning Spurs opened up as 8.5-point favorites over the Grizzlies and that line has been bet up to an even 9. The total hit the betting board at 192.5 and has been faded two-full points to 190.5.

              INJURY REPORT:


              Grizzlies - SF James Ennis III (Questionable, knee), SG Tony Allen (Out Indefinitely, calf), SF Chandler Parsons (Out For Season, knee)

              Spurs - No injuries to report

              TRENDS:


              * Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
              * Spurs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
              * Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southwest.
              * Under is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 road games.
              * Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio.




              Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers (-5, 200.5)


              ABOUT THE JAZZ (51-31 SU, 36-42-4 ATS, 42-40 O/U):
              Forward Gordon Hayward was the catalyst behind Utah's first playoff berth since 2012, as the Butler product registered career highs in scoring (21.9) and rebounding (5.4) while shooting a healthy 39.8 percent from long range. Forward Derrick Favors, who missed 31 games with knee issues as his production suffered a sharp dip, managed to play three games in the final week of the season after sitting out most of March and told reporters he could play 30 minutes a night if needed. Center Rudy Gobert finish tied for fourth in the NBA in double-doubles (58) and had one in each of the final three meetings with Clippers and their big man DeAndre Jordan, including 26 points and 14 rebounds in a loss at Los Angeles on March 25.

              ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (51-31 SU, 40-41-1 ATS, 44-37-1 O/U):
              Los Angeles scored at least 112 points six times during its seven-game winning streak and had 124 or better on three occasions as an oft-injured bunch finds its rhythm behind floor general Paul. The nine-time All-Star averaged 23.1 points and 10.3 assists while shooting 56 percent in the streak while backup Austin Rivers recovers from a hamstring injury that is expected to sideline him for a few more games. Jordan had five straight double-doubles to finish the regular season but he was limited to an average of nine points in four meetings with Utah while shooting 51.6 percent, the lowest mark he had against any opponent other than Portland (50 percent).

              LINE HISTORY:
              The Clippers opened as 5.5-home chalk over the Northwest division champion Jazz and that number appears fine with bettors as it has yet to move. The total hit the betting board at 200.5 and briefly dropped to an even 200 before returning to the opening number, where it stands.

              INJURY REPORT:


              Jazz - PG Raul Neto (Late April, ankle)

              Clippers - PG Austin Rivers (Out, Hamstring), C Diamond Stone (Out Indefinitely, knee)

              TRENDS:


              * Jazz are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
              * Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
              * Under is 13-3 in Clippers last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.
              * Under is 5-1-1 in Clippers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
              * Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-15-2017, 12:43 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Is there any value in betting anything other than LeBron-Steph Part III?
                By: Joe Fortenbaugh

                Let me ask you a serious question: Have you ever questioned the integrity of the National Basketball Association?

                I ask simply because as we get set to analyze both series prices and NBA futures in advance of the 2016-2017 NBA postseason, I find it extremely hard to justify any wager that doesn’t pit Golden State against Cleveland in this year’s iteration of the Finals. Granted, by most metrics, the Warriors and Cavaliers are the two best teams in the Association. But that doesn’t always tell the story as to which two clubs will play for the Larry O’Brien Championship Trophy in mid-June.

                Call me a conspiracy theorist, but I’m not sure how any franchise other than Cleveland and Golden State will play for the title, barring a disastrous injury.

                For starters, NBA ratings are down anywhere from 15-20 percent, depending upon the source of the information. Additionally, the league has a growing problem on its hands as it pertains to superstar players taking nights off for rest during marquee, primetime showdowns. And that’s before you even commence a conversation about how big of a joke the final night of the regular season turned out to be, as the Association offered exactly zero drama on its last evening of action before the start of the playoffs.

                Bottom line: the NBA needs a win in the playoffs. For its fans, the television networks, the sponsors and, most importantly, the viability of the product.

                Which leads us back to Golden State-Cleveland and a very important question: Outside of a Steph-LeBron trilogy, is there any other combination of playoff teams that would get you as excited as Warriors-Cavaliers Part III? Would you be as excited to watch the Raptors do battle with the Spurs or the Rockets challenge the Wizards? Would either one of those options appeal to you at all?

                I thought not.

                “Three terrific veteran officials—Bob Delaney, Dick Bavetta and Ted Bernhardt—called what I still consider the single worst-officiated game in the 28 years I’ve been covering professional basketball. It was egregiously, embarrassingly bad for the league and for the Kings. It’s the only time, I think, I’ve ever written an entire column about referring for the purpose of being critical.”

                That’s the great Michal Wilbon of both the Washington Post and ESPN’s “Pardon the Interruption” in 2008 talking about the infamous Game 6 of the 2002 Western Conference Finals in which the Los Angeles Lakers—who were trailing 3 games to 2 in the series—shot 27 fourth quarter free throws to Sacramento’s 9 en route to a 106-102 victory that eventually led to both a Game 7 win and NBA Finals victory.

                Again, call me a conspiracy theorist, but there’s no way I’m predicting anything other than Golden State-Cleveland in this year’s version of the NBA Finals.

                With that being said…

                (2) Cleveland Cavaliers (-1000) vs. (7) Indiana Pacers (+650)

                Game 1: Saturday at 3:00pm eastern (Cavaliers -8.5/212.5)
                Season series: Cleveland 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 to the OVER
                Note: Indiana is 8-2-1 ATS over its last 11 meetings with the Cavaliers and 4-1 ATS over its last five trips to Cleveland.

                (3) Toronto Raptors (-380) vs. (6) Milwaukee Bucks (+320)

                Game 1: Saturday at 5:30pm eastern (Raptors -7/202)
                Season series: Toronto 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 3-1 to the UNDER
                Note: The favorite is 20-8-1 ATS over the last 29 meetings between these two franchises and the UNDER is 8-2 over the last ten showdowns between Toronto and Milwaukee.

                (2) San Antonio Spurs (-1000) vs. (7) Memphis Grizzlies (+650)

                Game 1: Saturday at 8:00pm eastern (Spurs -9/191.5)
                Season series: Tied at 2-2 SU, Memphis 4-0 ATS, 3-1 to the UNDER
                Note: The UNDER is 7-2 over the last nine meetings between these two teams, San Antonio is just 1-4 ATS over its last five home dates.

                (4) Los Angeles Clippers (-210) vs. (5) Utah Jazz (+180)

                Game 1: Saturday at 10:30pm eastern (Clippers -5/201)
                Season series: Los Angeles 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 to the OVER
                Note: The Jazz have covered the spread just once over their last six games against the Clippers, the UNDER is 13-3 in Los Angeles’ last 16 games when playing on 2 days of rest.

                (4) Washington Wizards (-200) vs. (5) Atlanta Hawks (+175)

                Game 1: Sunday at 1:00pm eastern (Wizards -5/212)
                Season series: Washington 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 to the UNDER
                Note: The Wizards are 6-0 ATS over their last six conference quarterfinal games while the UNDER is 11-4 in Atlanta’s last 15 games overall.

                (1) Golden State Warriors (-20000) vs. (8) Portland Trail Blazers (+5000)

                Game 1: Sunday at 3:30pm eastern (Warriors -14/222)
                Season series: Golden State 4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 to the OVER
                Note: The Warriors have covered the spread in 12 of the last 17 meetings between these two clubs while the OVER has cashed in 18 of the last 24 meetings between Golden State and Portland.

                (1) Boston Celtics (-500) vs. (8) Chicago Bulls (+400)

                Game 1: Sunday at 6:30pm eastern (Celtics -7.5/207.5)
                Season series: Tied at 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 4-0 to the UNDER
                Note: The home team is 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two franchises and the favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight encounters between Boston and Chicago.

                (3) Houston Rockets (-380) vs. (6) Oklahoma City Thunder (+320)

                Game 1: Sunday at 9:00pm eastern (Rockets -7/228)
                Season series: Houston 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 to the OVER
                Note: The Thunder have covered the number just once in their last ten matchups with the Rockets, while the OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams that have taken place in Houston.

                NBA TITLE

                Golden State Warriors: 1/2, opened at 3/2
                Cleveland Cavaliers: 7/2, opened at 5/2
                San Antonio Spurs: 9/1, opened at 6/1
                Boston Celtics: 20/1, opened at 20/1
                Houston Rockets: 25/1, opened at 60/1
                Los Angeles Clippers: 25/1, opened at 16/1
                Toronto Raptors: 30/1, opened at 25/1
                Washington Wizards: 30/1, opened 100/1
                Oklahoma City Thunder: 100/1, opened at 8/1
                Utah Jazz: 100/1, opened at 80/1
                Atlanta Hawks: 200/1, opened at 40/1
                Chicago Bulls: 200/1, opened at 40/1
                Memphis Grizzlies: 200/1, opened at 80/1
                Indiana Pacers: 200/1, opened at 100/1
                Milwaukee Bucks: 200/1, opened at 100/1
                Portland Trail Blazers: 300/1, opened at 60/1

                EASTERN CONFERENCE TITLE

                Cleveland Cavaliers: 1/2, opened at 1/2
                Boston Celtics: 9/2, opened at 8/1
                Toronto Raptors: 6/1, opened at 8/1
                Washington Wizards: 6/1, opened at 35/1
                Chicago Bulls: 80/1, opened at 17/1
                Atlanta Hawks: 80/1, opened at 17/1
                Indiana Pacers: 80/1, opened at 35/1
                Milwaukee Bucks: 80/1, opened at 35/1

                WESTERN CONFERENCE TITLE

                Golden State Warriors: 1/4, opened at 10/11
                San Antonio Spurs: 9/2, opened at 3/1
                Los Angeles Clippers: 12/1, opened at 8/1
                Houston Rockets: 12/1, opened at 30/1
                Portland Trail Blazers: 15/1, opened at 30/1
                Oklahoma City Thunder: 50/1, opened at 4/1
                Utah Jazz: 50/1, opened at 40/1
                Memphis Grizzlies: 100/1, opened at 40/1
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-15-2017, 12:44 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Even the NBA's best Over bets have trouble topping the playoff totals
                  By: Ashton Grewal

                  The 2000s were a crazy decade. Technology moved so fast it was hard to keep up with the changes the online world was forcing the real world to normalize.

                  The negative stigma of online dating took a long time to dissolve. If a buddy told you he was going on a date with a girl he met on the Internet, the snickering would last longer than five consecutive Aretha Franklin renditions of the Star Spangled Banner.

                  The theory was a guy could easily be tricked, with the proper camera tricks, sucky-cheek faces and side-angle views, into thinking a 5 was an 8 or even a 9.

                  The avatar picture had you expecting The Wire Season 1, but instead you got Season 2 and all of Ziggy’s warts staring back at you from the other side of the table in a suddenly not-dimly-enough-lit restaurant.

                  The NBA regular season can be as misleading for bettors when the postseason rolls around – particularly in a campaign like the one we just witnessed.

                  NBA teams have been filling up the score sheets since the opening tipoff. As ESPN’s Zach Lowe pointed out in a January column, this season ranks in the Top 5 of the NBA history in terms of average points per 100 possessions.

                  The high-scoring flow affected the results at the betting window too. Since 2003, only six teams have played Over the total in 50 or more of their regular season games – three of those teams are from this season (Those teams are: 06-07 T-Wolves, 07-08 Knicks, 13-14 Pistons, 16-17 Nuggets, 16-17 Suns, 16-17 Wizards).

                  This year’s Washington Wizards will be the first among those six teams to qualify for the postseason. Over teams are usually bad defensively which doesn’t help get you into the playoffs.

                  We broke down all the NBA playoff teams that finished with at least 45 regular season Overs since 2003 to see if those sides hit at the same rate in the postseason.

                  The data tells us, as it often does, that oddsmakers are good at their job. The Over is 96-104-3 for playoff teams with 45 or more regular season Overs. However, if you take away last year’s crazy results, when playoff teams went 33-52-1 Over/Under in the 2016 playoffs, the number changes to 86-83-2.

                  One thing total bettors can bank on is the Over/Under numbers dropping by a point or two in the playoffs. Points per game tend to drop a little bit once players are defensively motivated.

                  The Wizards host the Atlanta Hawks Sunday in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference playoff series. The Over is 12-9 in Washington’s last two postseason appearances.

                  The Cleveland Cavaliers are the next biggest Over winner to qualify for the playoffs. LeBron & Co. went Over the total in 47 of their 82 regular season games with one push. The Cavs are 17-22-2 Over/Under in the playoffs since LBJ returned to Ohio.

                  Cleveland opens its playoff fixtures on Saturday when it hosts the Indiana Pacers.
                  Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-15-2017, 12:44 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NBA
                    Short Sheet

                    Saturday, April 15


                    Indiana at Cleveland, 3:00 PM ET
                    Indiana: 22-10 ATS vs. division opponents
                    Cleveland: 42-23 OVER as a favorite

                    Milwaukee at Toronto, 5:30 PM ET
                    Milwaukee: 6-2 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders
                    Toronto: 18-8 OVER in home games after a game where they covered the spread

                    Memphis at San Antonio, 8:00 PM ET
                    Memphis: 14-4 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games
                    San Antonio: 15-5 ATS in home games after a loss by 6 points or less

                    Utah at LA Clippers, 10:30 PM ET
                    Utah: 74-47 UNDER in all playoff games
                    LA Clippers: 11-4 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread


                    Sun – April. 16

                    Atlanta at Washington, 3:00 PM ET
                    Atlanta: 13-3 UNDER vs. division opponents
                    Washington: 16-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5

                    Portland at Golden State, 3:30 PM ET
                    Portland: 28-11 UNDER in road games revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent
                    Golden State: 19-9 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more

                    Chicago at Boston, 6:30 PM ET
                    Chicago: 23-11 ATS in road games off a home win
                    Boston: 26-14 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders

                    Oklahoma City at Houston, 9:00 PM ET
                    Oklahoma City: 20-9 UNDER after a division game
                    Houston: 25-15 ATS after playing a home game

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