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Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/11

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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, April 11

    Good Luck on day #100 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Stanley Cup this spring:

    3-1— Chicago, Washington

    7-2— Minnesota

    5-1— Columbus

    8-1— San Jose, Montreal, Pittsburgh

    10-1— Edmonton

    16-1— Anaheim

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Steve Fisher retired as San Diego State’s coach Monday night, ending a 26-year career where he compiled a 495-288 record, winning the 1989 national title with Michigan, when he replaced Bill Frieder just before the NCAA tournament, after Frieder bolted for Arizona State.

    Fisher later built San Diego State’s program up from practically nothing to one of the best programs in the west- he will be missed.

    12) Cubs raised their World Series championship banner last night; they’ve moved the bullpens to under the outfield bleachers, and put in 500 new, premium-priced seats down each foul line, where the bullpens used to be. Cubs beat the Dodgers 3-2 to win their home opener.

    11) What have you done for me lately?

    NHL’s Los Angeles Kings won the Stanley Cup in 2012 and 2014, their only Cups in 52 years of existence, but they fired coach Daryl Sutter Monday, after six full seasons with the Kings- he won two of the last five Stanley Cups, but got canned- doubt he’ll be out of work long.

    10) Reminder; if you’re in Las Vegas and come to the SouthPoint Casino, bring a fleece or a light jacket- excellent place to watch sports, but a little cool in here.

    9) You meet people from all over the country here; was talking to a guy from Louisiana Sunday night— he told me one of the main reasons Ben Simmons chose to play basketball at LSU was that lot of the bigger-name schools wouldn’t OK a camera crew following Simmons around all the time so Showtime could do their infomercial/documentary on him.

    Hard to figure out why LSU’s season went so far into the dumper that season.

    8) Then there was the conversation between two friends sitting behind me last night, while I was watching the Padres-Rockies game. These two guys were talking politics and apparently they hadn’t seen each other since last November’s election. It was a spirited discussion between two friends, but it got heated now and then- they didn’t agree on too much.

    7) Padres 5, Rockies 3— Wil Myers hit for the cycle, just the second Padre (Matt Kemp) ever to do that.

    6) Mets 4, Phillies 3— Teams carry so many pitchers these days, their benches are short; Mets were tied 2-2 in the 7th inning last night- they had go-ahead run on second with two out and a righty on the mound for the Phils.

    Terry Collins had Michael Conforto in the on-deck circle, but if he uses Conforto there, Philly puts a lefty in, and Collins counters with Wilmer Flores. So he used Flores against the righty, preserving Conforto for later in the game (he never got in) if he needed him. Smart.

    5) Heat 124, Cavaliers 121— Miami stays alive in the playoff race, barely beating a Cleveland team playing without Lebron James/Kyrie Irving. Heat still needs the Pacers to lose a game to make the playoffs— Indiana beat the 76ers in Philly last night.

    4) Giants 4, Diamondbacks 1— Buster Posey got beaned in his first at-bat yesterday, was removed from the game as a precaution. Giants later scored three runs on a ground ball to the pitcher, something you rarely see, even in a Little League game.

    3) NFL announced the Saints-Dolphins game from London will be one of those hideous 9:30am ET kickoffs. Imagine working in a sports book here in Las Vegas, with a 6:30am kickoff? Oy.

    2) Active managers who will be in the Hall of Fame someday: Bruce Bochy, Joe Maddon and Terry Francona. Cubs’ GM Theo Epstein will also get in.

    1— Lawson brothers bolted Memphis’ basketball team last week; four of their teammates have since followed them out of town, gutting the Tigers’ roster- they’re basically an expansion team right now, a total rebuild.

    Lawsons surfaced Monday at Kansas; we’ll see how that goes.

    I know this; recruiting is a cut-throat business and it never seems to end.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, April 11


      Charlotte lost its last four games; they’re 4-5 vs spread in last nine road games. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Hawks won their last three games, covered five of last six; they’re 3-10 vs spread in last 13 home games. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Hornets won four of last five games with Atlanta; home side won eight of last ten series games. Last eight series games stayed under. Charlotte lost four of its last five visits here (2-3 vs spread).

      Thunder won three of last four games; they’re 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Wolves lost their last four games, are 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Oklahoma City won eight of last ten games with Minnesota (5-5 vs spread); they won three of last four visits to Twin Cities (1-3 vs spread). Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

      Denver is 3-5 in its last eight games; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last ten road games. Nuggets’ last three games stayed under total. Dallas lost its last four games; they’re 15–1 vs spread in last seven home tilts. Four of their last five games went over. Home side won eight of last ten Denver-Dallas games; Nuggets lost their last four games in Dallas (0-3-1 vs spread). Four of last six series games went over.

      Pelicans lost their last four games, are 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Lakers won their last four games, covered their last five; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 4-1 in their last five games. New Orleans is 7-3 in its last ten games with the Lakers, 3-1 in last four games played here. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

      Suns won their last two games after an 0-13 skid; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Sacramento lost four of last six games; they’re 5-3-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Kings won/covered seven of last nine games with Phoenix; last five series games stayed under the total. Suns lost three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread).




      NBA

      Tuesday, April 11


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      7:30 PM
      CHARLOTTE vs. ATLANTA
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
      Charlotte is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games on the road
      Atlanta is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
      Atlanta is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games at home

      8:00 PM
      OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MINNESOTA
      Oklahoma City is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
      Minnesota is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Oklahoma City

      8:30 PM
      DENVER vs. DALLAS
      Denver is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
      Denver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Denver
      Dallas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

      10:30 PM
      PHOENIX vs. SACRAMENTO
      Phoenix is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
      Sacramento is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home

      10:30 PM
      NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAKERS
      New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      LA Lakers are 6-18 SU in their last 24 games
      LA Lakers are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against New Orleans


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-11-2017, 05:35 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Tuesday, April 11


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHARLOTTE (36 - 45) at ATLANTA (42 - 38) - 4/11/2017, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHARLOTTE is 35-43 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
        ATLANTA is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
        ATLANTA is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHARLOTTE is 7-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
        CHARLOTTE is 6-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
        9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA CITY (46 - 34) at MINNESOTA (31 - 49) - 4/11/2017, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 54-74 ATS (-27.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 176-130 ATS (+33.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        MINNESOTA is 36-44 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
        MINNESOTA is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
        MINNESOTA is 49-70 ATS (-28.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 38-64 ATS (-32.4 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DENVER (38 - 42) at DALLAS (32 - 48) - 4/11/2017, 8:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DALLAS is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
        DALLAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        DENVER is 43-35 ATS (+4.5 Units) in all games this season.
        DENVER is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW ORLEANS (33 - 47) at LA LAKERS (25 - 55) - 4/11/2017, 10:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW ORLEANS is 121-157 ATS (-51.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1996.
        LA LAKERS are 72-87 ATS (-23.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        LA LAKERS are 174-217 ATS (-64.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
        LA LAKERS are 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        LA LAKERS are 154-199 ATS (-64.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
        LA LAKERS are 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        NEW ORLEANS is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PHOENIX (24 - 57) at SACRAMENTO (31 - 49) - 4/11/2017, 10:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHOENIX is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        PHOENIX is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SACRAMENTO is 8-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
        SACRAMENTO is 8-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NBA
        Dunkel

        Tuesday, April 11



        Phoenix @ Sacramento

        Game 509-510
        April 11, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Phoenix
        112.738
        Sacramento
        118.373
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Sacramento
        by 5 1/2
        215
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Sacramento
        by 3 1/2
        219 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Sacramento
        (-3 1/2); Under

        New Orleans @ LA Lakers


        Game 507-508
        April 11, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        New Orleans
        115.601
        LA Lakers
        122.924
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        LA Lakers
        by 7 1/2
        210
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        LA Lakers
        by 3
        217
        Dunkel Pick:
        LA Lakers
        (-3); Under

        Denver @ Dallas


        Game 505-506
        April 11, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Denver
        121.749
        Dallas
        117.426
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Denver
        by 4 1/2
        216
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Denver
        Pick
        212 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Denver
        Over

        Oklahoma City @ Minnesota


        Game 503-504
        April 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Oklahoma City
        118.536
        Minnesota
        119.594
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Minnesota
        by 1
        216
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Minnesota
        by 4 1/2
        213 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Oklahoma City
        (+4 1/2); Over

        Charlotte @ Atlanta


        Game 501-502
        April 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Charlotte
        116.204
        Atlanta
        120.981
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Atlanta
        by 5
        210
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Atlanta
        by 7 1/2
        204 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Charlotte
        (+7 1/2); Over
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-11-2017, 05:36 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Short Sheet

          Tuesday, April 11


          Charlotte at Atlanta, 7:35 PM ET
          Charlotte: 19-10 UNDER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6
          Atlanta: 19-32 ATS as a favorite

          Oklahoma City at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
          Oklahoma City: 30-16 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent
          Minnesota: 20-46 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less

          Denver at Dallas, 8:35 PM ET
          Denver: 11-0 OVER on the road when the line is +3 to -3
          Dallas: 21-10 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

          New Orleans at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
          New Orleans: 44-23 ATS in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses
          Los Angeles: 15-5 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins

          Phoenix at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
          Phoenix: 4-14 ATS in road games after scoring 115 points or more
          Sacramento: 77-56 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-11-2017, 05:37 PM.

          Comment

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