Announcement

**Udog** · 04-06-2017, 08:33 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the 2018 college basketball championship:

10-1— Kentucky, Louisville, Duke

12-1— Kansas, North Carolina, Villanova, Gonzaga

15-1— Arizona

20-1— Michigan, Indiana, Wichita St, Florida, Michigan St

25-1— West Virginia, Butler, UCLA

30-1— Virginia

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Dustin Johnson fell down a flight of stairs Wednesday, is a ???? for The Masters today, which wreaked havoc with odds here in Las Vegas, and also in my golf pool. Hope he is OK; Wednesday was a rainy day in Augusta; otherwise Johnson would’ve been at the Par 3 tournament they usually have the day before the tournament starts.

12) People who paid to see the Par 3 tournament (some as much as $1,800) were out of luck Wednesday. I’m assuming they gave out refunds, but I couldn’t find anything that said one way or the other if that happened.

11) Del Mar Deli by the SouthPoint sports book has superior pizza; they also have Dr Brown’s soda, which isn’t easy to find. If you’re looking for an excellent place to stay in Las Vegas that is a little more casual than some places, SouthPoint would be a great choice.

This weekend: bowling tournaments and a cheerleading competition are here. Oy.

10) Akron hired former Ohio U/Illinois coach John Grace to replace Keith Dambrot, who is now the coach at Duquesne.

9) Memphis Tigers lost two of their top three scorers when the Lawson brothers bolted with their father to a school to be named- the dad was a program assistant. Lawsons were two of Memphis’ top three scorers, so their talent pool takes a big hit, but you get the idea reading between the lines that chemistry-wise, this could be addition by subtraction.

8) Cubs are batting their pitcher 8th again this spring, which is Joe Maddon playing mind games with his competitors. If he really thought this was a good idea, they would’ve done it during the playoffs- thats when you show your hand as to what your best strategy is.

Seriously, other teams batted their pitcher 8th last year and their managers basically didn’t have any good reason to do it, other than, “…well (Tony) LaRussa and Maddon did it.”

7) Rumors on the Interweb say Jeb Bush may buy the Miami Marlins; hey, it worked for his brother, who once owned the Texas Rangers before becoming President.

6) Cleveland’s Tristan Thompson didn’t play last night, missing his first NBA game since February 10, 2012, when he was a rookie- he had played in 447 consecutive games.

5) Last guy to win The Masters in his first try? Fuzzy Zoeller, in 1979.

4) Bartolo Colon made his MLB 20 years ago for Cleveland, against an Angels’ team managed by Terry Collins. Colon pitched against the Mets last nite, managed by Terry Collins.

3) Astros 5, Mariners 3 (13)— Seattle went to Houston, scored total of five runs in losing their first three games of the season. Mariners led 3-2 in 13th inning before George Springer hit a 3-run walk-off tater. If you had Seattle and the under (7.5), not your finest hour.

2) Masters prop bets: Which par-5 hole will yield the most birdies this weekend?
13th hole: 7-5, 15th hole: 2-1, 2nd hole: 2-1, 8th hole: 4-1.

1— Which par-3 hole will yield the most birdies?
16th hole: 2-7, 12th hole: 13-5, 6th hole: 14-5, 4th hole: 20-1.

**Udog** · 04-06-2017, 08:45 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 6

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BROOKLYN (19 - 59) at ORLANDO (27 - 51) - 4/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games after a division game since 1996.
ORLANDO is 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games this season.
ORLANDO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (38 - 40) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 50) - 4/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 29-44 ATS (-19.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (40 - 38) at INDIANA (38 - 40) - 4/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 34-44 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 358-431 ATS (-116.1 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
INDIANA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (47 - 31) at NEW YORK (30 - 48) - 4/6/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (50 - 28) at ATLANTA (39 - 38) - 4/6/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 75-55 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-7 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (31 - 46) at PORTLAND (38 - 40) - 4/6/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 04-06-2017, 08:46 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 6

Brooklyn won its last three games, covered its last four; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last nine away games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Magic lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread)- they’re 4-8 vs spread in last 12 home games. Over is 7-1 in last eight Orlando games. Orlando won five of last six games with Brooklyn; last three series games went over the total. Nets lost last three visits to Magic Kingdom (1-1-1 vs spread).

Chicago won four of its last five games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight gams. 76ers lost their last four games, are 2-4 vs spread in last six games at home. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Bulls won nine of last ten games with Philly (5-2 vs spread in last seven). Over is 9-1 in last ten series games. Chicago won its last five visits here (3-1 vs spread in last four).

Milwaukee lost its last two games by 4-31 points; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Pacers lost four of last five games; they’re 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Eight of last ten Indiana games went over the total. Bucks won/covered their last three games with Indiana; six of last nine series games went over the total. Milwaukee won last two visits here, by 4-16 points.

Wizards lost three of last four games overall, losing last three on road (0-3 vs spread); six of their last seven games went over total. New York is 3-2 in its last five games, 5-3 vs spread in last eight home games. Knicks’ last five games stayed under. Washington won nine of last ten games with the Knicks, covering last five. Wizards won/covered their last four games in Manhattan. Five of last six series games went over.

Celtics won six of last eight games; they got drilled last night by Cleveland. Boston is 2-5 vs the spread in last seven road games. Four of their last six games went over. Atlanta lost nine of last 11 games, is 1-10 vs spread in last 11 home games. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games. Hawks won three of last four games with Boston; under is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. Celtics lost four of last five games in Atlanta (2-3 vs spread).

Minnesota lost 8 of last 11 games; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight road games. Last five Wolves games went over total. Trailblazers won/covered their last five home games- they lost last two games overall, are 7-1 vs spread in last eight. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Portland won six of its last eight games with Minnesota; four of last five stayed under the total. Timberwolves lost three of last four games in Oregon (2-2 vs spread).

**Udog** · 04-06-2017, 08:49 AM

NBA

Thursday, April 6

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Brooklyn's last 18 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
Orlando is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games at home
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New York
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
New York is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PORTLAND
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota

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**Udog** · 04-06-2017, 01:12 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 6

Minnesota @ Portland

Game 711-712
April 6, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
120.899
Portland
121.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 1
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 6
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+6); Under

Boston @ Atlanta

Game 709-710
April 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
124.422
Atlanta
121.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-1); Over

Washington @ New York

Game 707-708
April 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
124.418
New York
110.896
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 13 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

Milwaukee @ Indiana

Game 705-706
April 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
117.887
Indiana
118.206
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
Even
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+4 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Philadelphia

Game 703-704
April 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
119.118
Philadelphia
117.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 6 1/2
211
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+6 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ Orlando

Game 701-702
April 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
117.807
Orlando
115.206
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 2 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 2 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+2 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 04-06-2017, 01:14 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 6

Brooklyn at Orlando, 7:05 PM ET
Brooklyn: 25-10 ATS in road games after a division game
Orlando: 12-25 ATS in home games

Chicago at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Chicago: 7-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5
Philadelphia: 25-11 ATS as a home underdog

Milwaukee at Indiana, 7:05 PM ET
Milwaukee: 23-8 OVER off a road loss by 10 points or more
Indiana: 14-4 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5

Washington at New York, 7:05 PM ET
Washington: 15-5 ATS in April games
New York: 4-11 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog

Boston at Atlanta, 8:00 PM ET
Boston: 30-15 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more
Atlanta: 1-9 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses

Minnesota at Portland, 10:30 PM ET
Minnesota: 15-30 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more
Portland: 21-12 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders

**Udog** · 04-06-2017, 02:31 PM

NBA

Thursday, April 6

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Thursday’s NBA Game of the Day: Celtics at Hawks
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The Atlanta Hawks are sliding in the wrong direction with nine losses in 11 games and aim to begin a turnaround when they host the Boston Celtics on Thursday

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks (+1.5, 209)

The Atlanta Hawks are sliding in the wrong direction with nine losses in 11 games and aim to begin a turnaround when they host the Boston Celtics on Thursday. It won't be easy for the Hawks as the game against Boston, the second-place team in the Eastern Conference, is followed by consecutive contests versus East-leading Cleveland.

The Celtics limp into Atlanta after being thrashed 114-91 by the Cavaliers on Wednesday to fall one game back in the battle for the No. 1 seed. "You name it, they were better in every category and made it really tough on us," Boston coach Brad Stevens told reporters. "They played with more purpose, more pace. Again, you name it, they won it." Atlanta's decline has seen it dip to sixth place in the East - one-half game behind Milwaukee - in a congested playoff race. All-Star power forward Paul Millsap (knee) returned from an eight-game absence on Sunday but scored just 14 points on 4-of-14 shooting in Sunday's 91-82 loss to lowly Brooklyn.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Celtics opened as 1.5-point road favorites over the Hawks, that line was quickly dropped to 1 before being bet up to 2, before fading back to the opening number. The total hit the betting board at 209 and was bet down a full point to 208, before returning to 209 Friday morning. Check out the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Celtics - SF Jae Crowder (Probable, elbow), C Tyler Zeller (Questionable, personal).

Hawks - SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (Probable, knee), PF Paul Millsap (Probable, knee), SF Kent Bazemore (Probable, knee), PG Malcolm Delaney (Questionable, back), SF Thabo Sefolosha (Out, groin)

POWER RANKINGS: Cavaliers (-5.8) - Celtics (-6.1) + home court (-3) = Celtics -3.3

CHAMPIONSHIP FUTURES:

Celtics +1600
Hawks +12500

ABOUT THE CELTICS (50-28 SU, 38-38-2 ATS, 37-38-3 O/U): Boston covets the No. 1 overall seed in case of a potential Game 7 against the Cavaliers in the postseason, so the blowout loss was a huge setback. Standout guard Isaiah Thomas, who hit a game-winning basket against the Hawks earlier this season, recorded 26 points against Cleveland and has topped 20 in 13 of his last 14 contests. Small forward Jae Crowder (elbow) played against Cleveland and scored 13 points but definitely is less than full strength.

ABOUT THE HAWKS (39-38 SU, 35-42 ATS, 29-46-2 O/U): Millsap isn’t operating at full strength but has had time to recover from Sunday's tilt with a three-day stretch without a game. His return couldn't halt Atlanta's recent woes and Millsap was highly frustrated over the loss to the NBA's worst team. "I think everyone is disappointed with the loss," Millsap told reporters. "But at the end of the day, we have to get some wins. We know that. As long as everyone else keeps losing under us, we just have to make it to the playoffs. If we get there, we feel like we have a really good chance."

TRENDS:

* Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
* Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 9-1-2 in Celtics last 12 road games.
* Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
* Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.

CONSENSUS: 64 percent of the spread wagers are on the road chalk Celtics while 52 percent of the totals selections are on the Under.

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**Udog** · 04-06-2017, 02:38 PM

NBA

Thursday, April 6

Brooklyn has covered 7 of last 8 road games & Magic are 1-7 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .400.
Line: Orlando -2.5

Wizards have covered the point spread in their last 6 visits to MSG to play the Knicks.
Today's line: Wizards -5.5

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/6

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/6

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