Announcement

**Udog** · 04-03-2017, 07:32 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Prop bets for tonight’s national championship game:

— points scored by Luke Maye: over/under 6.5

— points scored by Joel Berry: over/under 14.5

— points scored by Jonathan Williams: over/under 9.5

— points scored by Zach Collins: over/under 9.5

— points scored in first half by Gonzaga: over/under 36

— points scored in first half by North Carolina: over/under 36.5

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Happy Opening Day!!!

13) Diamondbacks 6, Giants 5— SF bullpen blew two saves on Opening Day, ruining a great day by Madison Bumgarner, who struck out 11 and homered twice, the first pitcher ever to do that on Opening Day.

12) Sat next to a guy Friday night who bet Mississippi State on the money line against UConn in the girls’ basketball semifinals. He put $10 on a parlay with MSU and South Carolina and he pocketed $345. He is a good guy and was excited; takes onions to bet against UConn.

11) Some genius at a William Hill sports book risked $7,000 to win $100 making the exact opposite bet, taking UConn on the money line. I’m sure he assumed it was an easy $100, but he was wrong, with a capital W.

If someone ever writes a book on how NOT to gamble, this should be in Chapter 1.

10) Watched the second half of the game without sound in the SouthPoint sports book; ESPN kept showing this guy cheering wildly for Miss State, I’m assuming it is a player’s husband, brother or boyfriend- turns out it was Dak Prescott, the Cowboys’ QB/Miss State alum. He was excited, even moreso than the guy who won $335 on the parlay.

9) If you’re in Las Vegas, the sports book here at South Point is excellent, I’d rank it #2 in town behind the Westgate, but the food options are better here and the hotel is nicer.

8) San Diego Padres are apparently starting the season with three Rule 5 players on their roster; those are minor leaguers plucked from other teams, but they have to stay in the majors all year or get offered back to their original team. Basically, they’re prospects who aren’t ready yet.

ESPN’s Keith Law says the only other team to carry three Rule 5 guys in one year were the 2003 Tigers, who went 43-119, but were in the playoffs three years later.

7) Colorado Rockies start season with seven guys on the DL, which seems excessive even for baseball, where guys drop like flies.

6) TV ratings for the Final Four Saturday were a huge success; much better games than last year. Gonzaga-UNC game figures to get good ratings, too.

5) San Antonio Spurs have had a winning road record 20 years in a row, which is remarkable.

4) If they ever make a movie about Utah Jazz coach Quin Snyder, Andrew McCarthy has to play Snyder- they look so much alike they could be brothers.

3) College hoop referee Ted Valentine worked his 10th Final Four Saturday, but his first since 2010; does that make him Comeback Ref of the Year?

2) Youngest teams in the major leagues? Cincinnati Reds, then the Padres.

1— Madison Bumgarner has 16 career homers, most of any active pitcher; he has hit two HR’s off of two pitchers— Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke. Not bad.

Happy Opening Day, everyone!!!!

**Udog** · 04-03-2017, 08:07 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, April 3

North Carolina @ Gonzaga

Game 601-602
April 3, 2017 @ 9:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
77.449
Gonzaga
79.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 2
153 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Gonzaga
(+2); Over

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 3

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N CAROLINA (32 - 7) vs. GONZAGA (37 - 1) - 4/3/2017, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
GONZAGA is 145-104 ATS (+30.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
GONZAGA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
N CAROLINA is 293-241 ATS (+27.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 3

Last three national title games had similar small spreads to tonight; underdogs won all three. North Carolina lost the national title game at the buzzer last year; they’ve waited a year for tonight, but PG Berry has a bum ankle and isn’t near 100% (2-14 from floor vs Oregon, 6-26 in last two games). Tar Heels are 17-2 outside the ACC, losing to Indiana-Kentucky in December. Gonzaga’s only loss was to BYU at home on Senior Night; Bulldogs are 7-0 vs top 20 teams, with wins over Florida/Iowa St/Arizona- they’re #134 experience team that plays pace #77. Carolina is #107 experience team that plays pace #42. UNC is #1 offensive rebounding team in country (41.7% of their misses) but Zags are #47 in country on defensive boards. My pick? North Carolina by 5 and the over.

NCAAB

Monday, April 3

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Trend Report
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9:20 PM
GONZAGA vs. NORTH CAROLINA
No trends available
North Carolina is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 04-03-2017, 08:10 AM

NCAAB

Monday, April 3

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NCAA Tournament Championship Game betting preview and odds: Gonzaga vs North Carolina
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"37 wins in a college season, I mean that's just unbelievable. And to be playing the last game of the season, we have a chance to play for it all and we're here to win it."

(1) Gonzaga Bulldogs vs (1) North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5, 153.5)

Game to be played at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

Gonzaga is in uncharted territory while North Carolina aims to make up for last season's NCAA championship game loss when the two No. 1 seeds collide on Monday in Glendale, Ariz. The Bulldogs are in the title game for the first time in school history while the Tar Heels, who lost to Villanova last season, are looking to win their sixth national crown.

North Carolina suffered a 77-74 loss last season when Villanova's Kris Jenkins drained a 3-pointer at the buzzer and the players have been constantly reminded of the fact during their NCAA Tournament run. "I think you're always going to have that in the back of your mind because it was a heartbreaking experience for us," said senior center Kennedy Meeks, who matched his career high of 25 points and collected 14 rebounds in Saturday's 77-76 victory over Oregon. Gonzaga regularly hears a different refrain that suggests they aren't a championship-caliber squad due to playing in the middling West Coast Conference. "I think the respect thing has to go out the window," junior point guard Nigel Williams-Goss said after scoring 23 points in Saturday's 77-73 win over South Carolina. "You have 37 wins in a college season, I mean that's just unbelievable. And to be playing the last game of the season, we have a chance to play for it all and we're here to win it."

TV: 9:20 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: North Carolina opened as two-point favorites but that line was quickly adjusted downward to 1.5 late Saturday night. The total hit the board at 153.5 and has yet to move.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Gonzaga defined the ‘Cinderella’ mantra of college basketball, and it will always be the first to wear the glass slipper,” Cooley said. “But that doesn’t change the fact that to the public, the Zags appear overmatched against the greatest program of all time. We anticipate action on the over, but hopefully the public action will be split on the spread." - Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

ABOUT GONZAGA (37-1 SU, 23-10-2 ATS, 17-18 O/U): Backup freshman center Zach Collins displayed why he is the program's top NBA prospect by contributing 14 points, 13 rebounds and a career-best six blocked shots versus South Carolina. The trio of Collins (averages of 10 points and 5.9 rebounds), senior center Przemek Karnowski (12.3 points, 5.8 rebounds) and junior power forward Johnathan Williams (10.2 points, team-best 6.5 boards) will be counted on to neutralize North Carolina's strong interior play. Williams-Goss (team-best 16.9 points), senior shooting guard Jordan Mathews (10.8 points, team-leading 83 3-pointers) and sophomore guard Josh Perkins (eight points per game) have combined for 130 of the Bulldogs' 263 steals.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (32-7 SU, 18-16-3 ATS, 15-21-1 O/U): Meeks has been a beast on the boards with a 13.3 rebounding average over the past four games and he is averaging 12.7 points and a team-leading 9.4 rebounds and is a big reason why the Tar Heels boast the best rebounding margin (12.7) in the country. Junior forward Justin Jackson leads the Tar Heels in scoring (18.3) and 3-pointers (105) and he has recorded three 20-point outings in the tourney, including 22 points against Oregon. Junior point guard Joel Berry II (14.5 points) is playing through two sprained ankles - he was just 2-of-14 shooting against the Ducks - while senior forward Isaiah Hicks (11.8) also averages in double digits.

TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
* Tar Heels are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
* Under is 10-1 in Bulldogs last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
* Over is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

CONSENSUS: 58 percent of users are taking the points with the Gonzaga Bulldogs and the Over is picking up 69 percent of the totals wagers.

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Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/3

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/3

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