Announcement

**Udog** · 04-01-2017, 08:32 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Proposition bets for Saturday’s Final Four:

— Combined scores of Gonzaga/Oregon (-1.5) over combined scores of the two Carolina schools.

— First half lines: Gonzaga -3.5, North Carolina -2.5

— Will South Carolina win national title? Yes +$800, No -$1,200

— Will North Carolina win national title? Yes +$150, No -$170

— Will Oregon win national title? Yes +$500, No -$700

— Will Gonzaga win national title? Yes +$160, No -$180

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Baseball knowledge for April Fools’ Day………

13) Last time Washington Nationals won 90+ games in consecutive years, they weren’t the Nationals- they were the Montreal Expos and it was 1979-1980. Washington was 95-67 last year.

12) Last year was first time in four years Pittsburgh missed the playoffs; someone has to remind me why the Colorado Rockies fired Clint Hurdle- damn good manager.

11) Atlanta Braves started 9-29 last year, were 37-35 after the All-Star Game; they were 29th in runs scored, 30th (last) in home runs.

10) Braves went all of last season without a lefty pitcher starting a game; that will change quickly this year- they added Jaime Garcia from the Cardinals, who I think will be their #3 starter.

Last lefty pitcher to start a Braves game? Manny Banuelos, in September, 2015.

9) Mets finished 5th in home runs LY, but tied for 25th in runs scored- they were 23rd in on-base %age. New York stole 42 bases; their opponents stole 135 against them.

8) One way for the Tigers to move up in the standings? Do better against Cleveland. Detroit was 4-14 against the Tribe last year- they finished 86-75, eight games behind the Indians.

7) Phoenix Suns started a lineup Thursday night that was younger than most of the college teams that played in the Sweet 16 that night.

6) Giancarlo Stanton has played 123 or fewer games four of last five years; Marlins desperately need him to stay healthy- they were 13th in on-base %age last yer, but 27th in runs scored, and Stanton can produce runs in a hurry.

5) Phillies play in a small ballpark, a bandbox, a hitters’ paradise; how in the name of Mike Schmidt did they finish last in runs scored? Their pitchers were 26th in ERA.

4) Chicago Cubs started six guys age 25 or younger in postseason last year; they’ve added Wade Davis as their new closer. Who plays centerfield is probably their biggest ??? entering this season.

3) St Louis Cardinals were 74-45 LY when they hit a home run, 12-31 when they didn’t.

2) Cincinnati Reds used 52 players last year, 12 of whom were making their major league debuts. Five of those 12 were starting pitchers.

1— In nine years since Barry Bonds retired, Giants have used one different left fielders on Opening Day- they’ve used 25 LF’s overall since then, who combined to knock in 585 runs, least by any team’s left fielders during that time.

**Udog** · 04-01-2017, 08:43 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, April 1

Oregon @ North Carolina

Game 813-814
April 1, 2017 @ 8:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon
76.634
North Carolina
75.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 1
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 5
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(+5); Under

South Carolina @ Gonzaga

Game 811-812
April 1, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
67.238
Gonzaga
76.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 9
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gonzaga
by 6 1/2
138
Dunkel Pick:
Gonzaga
(-6 1/2); Under

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 1

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S CAROLINA (26 - 10) vs. GONZAGA (36 - 1) - 4/1/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GONZAGA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
GONZAGA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
GONZAGA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
GONZAGA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in tournament semi-final games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
S CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OREGON (33 - 5) vs. N CAROLINA (31 - 7) - 4/1/2017, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.5 since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 293-240 ATS (+29.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 165-130 ATS (+22.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
OREGON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) on Saturday games this season.
OREGON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
OREGON is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OREGON is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
OREGON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 1

South Carolina at Gonzaga, 6:05 PM ET
South Carolina: 12-5 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5
Gonzaga: 11-3 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds

Oregon at North Carolina, 8:35 PM ET
Oregon: 19-8 ATS after having won 8 or more of their last 10
N Carolina: 13-4 UNDER after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 1

Over last 30 years, teams seeded 7th or worse are 3-6-1 vs spread in national semifinals- South Carolina forces turnovers 25.4% of time (#4 in country)- they have two really good seniors leading a team that is otherwise very young. Gamecocks were 3-6 in their last nine games before NCAA’s. Gonzaga is 2-0 vs SEC teams this season, beating Florida by 5 in Orlando, Tennessee by 12 in Nashville. South Carolina/Gonzaga are both in Final Four for first time. WCC teams are 2-5-1 vs spread this postseason, 2-3-1 when favored; SEC teams are 9-7-1 vs spread, 5-0-1 as an underdog. Since 2005, #1 seeds are 7-5 vs spread in national semifinal games when facing a non-#1-seed.

Since ’05, #1 seeds are 7-5 vs spread in national semifinal games when facing a non-#1-seed. North Carolina is 16-2 outside ACC; they lost national title game at buzzer LY. Tar Heels are #112 experience team that plays pace #50- they’re 5-4 vs top 20 teams this season. Oregon is in Final Four for first time since 1939; they’re #154 experience team that plays pace #241. Ducks are 15-2 outside Pac-12, 4-2 vs top 20 teams. Oregon is 12-1 in its last 13 games, losing Pac-12 final to Arizona. ACC teams are 6-15-1 vs spread this postseason, 4-11-1 if favored; Pac-12 teams are 8-6-1 vs spread, 3-1 if an underdog. This is where not having 6-10 shot blocker Boucher could hurt Oregon- they played six guys vs Kansas, just aren’t as deep as the Tar Heels.

NCAAB

Saturday, April 1

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Trend Report
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6:09 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Gonzaga's last 5 games
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:49 PM
OREGON vs. NORTH CAROLINA
No trends available
North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

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**Udog** · 04-01-2017, 08:44 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, April 1

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NCAA Tournament Final Four betting preview and odds: South Carolina vs Gonzaga
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Sindarius Thornwell - "Why not us? Why not go win it all? And that's our mindset. We feel like we can compete with anybody right now in the country."

(7) South Carolina Gamecocks vs (1) Gonzaga Bulldogs (-7, 138)

Game to be played at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

Top-seeded Gonzaga and seventh-seeded South Carolina are both part of the Final Four for the first time in school history and the winner of Saturday's NCAA Tournament national semifinal contest in Glendale, Ariz. will face either North Carolina or Oregon in Monday's championship game. Gonzaga lost one game all season to enjoy the top campaign in program history while the Gamecocks overcame a poor end to the regular season with an electric tournament run that included an upset of Duke.

South Carolina's superb run has been fueled by star senior guard Sindarius Thornwell, who missed Thursday's practice with an illness but insisted earlier in the week that his squad isn't satisfied with the unprecedented success that includes a school record for victories. "We're not going to settle for this and we still feel like, we got one more game," Thornwell said at a press conference. "Why not us? Why not go win it all? And that's our mindset. We feel like we can compete with anybody right now in the country." Gonzaga no longer will have to hear about never reaching the Final Four and senior shooting guard Jordan Mathews is glad about that. "The Final Four doesn't validate or discredit a season," Mathews told reporters. "It's not an end-all, be-all. Gonzaga has been a great program, and we're just happy to keep carrying the torch."

TV: 6:09 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: The No. 1 seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs opened as 6.5-point favorites and by Thursday evening that spread crept up to -7. The total hit the betting board at 138 and has been stable all week.

ABOUT SOUTH CAROLINA (26-10 SU, 15-16-2 ATS, 14-18-1 O/U): Thornwell averages 21.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per game and was named the Most Outstanding Player of the East Regional after averaging 25.8 points in the Gamecocks' four tourney wins, including 26 points in the 77-70 victory over Florida in the regional final. Sophomore guard PJ Dozier (13.8 scoring average) and senior guard Duane Notice (10.2, team-best 67 3-pointers) are forces on the perimeter while sophomore forward Chris Silva (10.1 points, 5.9 rebounds) is the Gamecocks' top inside player. Coach Frank Martin preaches tenacious defense and South Carolina allows 64.9 per game - limiting third-seeded Baylor to 50 in a 20-point trouncing in the Sweet 16.

ABOUT GONZAGA (36-1 SU, 23-9-2 ATS, 16-18 O/U): Junior point guard Nigel-Williams Goss (16.7 average, 4.6 assists) has been a difference-maker and scored 23 points in the 83-59 rout of Xavier that catapulted the Bulldogs into the Final Four. Williams-Goss, a standout defender with a team-best 64 steals, is averaging 15.5 points in the NCAA Tournament but is just 19-of-61 shooting from the field. Senior center Przemek Karnowski (12.2 points, 5.8 rebounds), Mathews (10.7 points, 79 3-pointers) and junior power forward Johnathan Williams (10.3 points, team-leading 6.6 rebounds) also score in double digits.

TRENDS:

* Gamecocks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Bulldogs are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Over is 8-1 in Gamecocks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Over is 6-1 in Bulldogs last 7 vs. Southeastern.

CONSENSUS: 55 percent of users are taking the points with the Gamecocks and the Over is picking up 58 percent of the totals wagers.

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**Udog** · 04-01-2017, 08:44 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, April 1

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NCAA Tournament Final Four betting preview and odds: Oregon vs North Carolina
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“Their offensive rebounding numbers are off the charts, so we have to do a great job on the boards,” Oregon coach Dana Altman told reporters.

(3) Oregon Ducks vs (1) North Carolina Tar Heels (-5, 152)

Game to be played at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

North Carolina is hoping for another chance to finish the job in the NCAA Tournament and Oregon looks to ride the momentum of its deepest run since 1939 when the teams meet in the national semifinals Saturday at the University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale. Ariz. While Oregon reached the Final Four despite losing a key player to injury in the Pac-12 tournament, the Tar Heels return for the second straight year after having their hearts broken in the title game.

“I think our kids really used it a great deal as motivation during the offseason,” North Carolina coach Roy Williams told reporters of the 77-74 loss to Villanova in the final. “Once we started practice, you know, you’re putting together a team then, and I’d make reference to it periodically … about what’s the most fun you’ve had, just remind them, because everybody said it was the run to the national championship game last year.” The Tar Heels hope to have a healthy Joel Berry II (two sprained ankles) to run the show against the Ducks, who have been led by the hot shooting of sophomore guard Tyler Dorsey and some solid defense despite being without 6-10 senior Chris Boucher (knee) since the Pac-12 semifinal. North Carolina needed a last-second jumper from reserve Luke Maye to beat Kentucky 75-73 while Oregon held Kansas to 35 percent shooting in a 74-60 victory at the Elite Eight last weekend. “We’re just staying in the moment, enjoying it and having fun,” Ducks guard Casey Benson told reporters. “… We have a real opportunity to be a national championship team.”

TV: 8:49 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: North Carolina opened the betting week as 4.5-point favorites and the spread was bumped slightly to 5 on Thursday. The total hit the board at 150 and rose steadily all week to the current number of 152.

ABOUT OREGON (33-5 SU, 21-15-1 ATS, 17-20 O/U): The Ducks have done a decent job on the boards this season (plus-4.2 margin), but will need to raise that level higher against the Tar Heels: “Their offensive rebounding numbers are off the charts, so we have to do a great job on the boards,” coach Dana Altman told reporters. Dorsey has been nicknamed “Mr. March” by his teammates, scoring at least 20 in seven straight games while averaging 24.5 in the tournament and making 17-of-26 from 3-point range. Junior Jordan Bell stepped up his game in Boucher’s absence, averaging 12.5 points and 12.5 rebounds in the NCAAs after blocking eight shots against Kansas.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (31-7 SU, 18-15-3 ATS, 14-21-1 O/U): Maye, a former walk-on, was named the Most Outstanding Player of the South Regional after scoring 17 against Kentucky and is averaging 12.5 in the first four games of the tournament. Junior swingman Justin Jackson, the ACC Player of the Year, is averaging 19.8 points in the NCAAs but will need the talented Berry (14.6 overall) to provide him room to operate although the junior point guard is 6-for-26 from behind the arc in the Big Dance. Senior forward Kennedy Meeks, who is averaging 13 rebounds in the tournament after hauling in a career-best 17 against Kentucky, will play a big role against Oregon’s physical lineup.

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
* Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Pacific-12.
* Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
* Under is 10-2-1 in Tar Heels last 13 games following a straight up win.

CONSENSUS: 54 percent of users are taking the points with the Oregon Ducks and the Over is picking up 74 percent of the totals wagers.

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Announcement

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/1

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/1

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