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Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/1

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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, April 1

    Good Luck on day #91 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Proposition bets for Saturday’s Final Four:

    — Combined scores of Gonzaga/Oregon (-1.5) over combined scores of the two Carolina schools.

    — First half lines: Gonzaga -3.5, North Carolina -2.5

    — Will South Carolina win national title? Yes +$800, No -$1,200

    — Will North Carolina win national title? Yes +$150, No -$170

    — Will Oregon win national title? Yes +$500, No -$700

    — Will Gonzaga win national title? Yes +$160, No -$180

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Baseball knowledge for April Fools’ Day………

    13) Last time Washington Nationals won 90+ games in consecutive years, they weren’t the Nationals- they were the Montreal Expos and it was 1979-1980. Washington was 95-67 last year.

    12) Last year was first time in four years Pittsburgh missed the playoffs; someone has to remind me why the Colorado Rockies fired Clint Hurdle- damn good manager.

    11) Atlanta Braves started 9-29 last year, were 37-35 after the All-Star Game; they were 29th in runs scored, 30th (last) in home runs.

    10) Braves went all of last season without a lefty pitcher starting a game; that will change quickly this year- they added Jaime Garcia from the Cardinals, who I think will be their #3 starter.

    Last lefty pitcher to start a Braves game? Manny Banuelos, in September, 2015.

    9) Mets finished 5th in home runs LY, but tied for 25th in runs scored- they were 23rd in on-base %age. New York stole 42 bases; their opponents stole 135 against them.

    8) One way for the Tigers to move up in the standings? Do better against Cleveland. Detroit was 4-14 against the Tribe last year- they finished 86-75, eight games behind the Indians.

    7) Phoenix Suns started a lineup Thursday night that was younger than most of the college teams that played in the Sweet 16 that night.

    6) Giancarlo Stanton has played 123 or fewer games four of last five years; Marlins desperately need him to stay healthy- they were 13th in on-base %age last yer, but 27th in runs scored, and Stanton can produce runs in a hurry.

    5) Phillies play in a small ballpark, a bandbox, a hitters’ paradise; how in the name of Mike Schmidt did they finish last in runs scored? Their pitchers were 26th in ERA.

    4) Chicago Cubs started six guys age 25 or younger in postseason last year; they’ve added Wade Davis as their new closer. Who plays centerfield is probably their biggest ??? entering this season.

    3) St Louis Cardinals were 74-45 LY when they hit a home run, 12-31 when they didn’t.

    2) Cincinnati Reds used 52 players last year, 12 of whom were making their major league debuts. Five of those 12 were starting pitchers.

    1— In nine years since Barry Bonds retired, Giants have used one different left fielders on Opening Day- they’ve used 25 LF’s overall since then, who combined to knock in 585 runs, least by any team’s left fielders during that time.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Saturday, April 1



      Phoenix @ Portland

      Game 809-810
      April 1, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Phoenix
      107.885
      Portland
      128.413
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Portland
      by 20 1/2
      228
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Portland
      by 12
      222
      Dunkel Pick:
      Portland
      (-12); Over

      Sacramento @ Minnesota


      Game 807-808
      April 1, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Sacramento
      107.274
      Minnesota
      121.670
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Minnesota
      by 14 1/2
      204
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Minnesota
      by 11
      210
      Dunkel Pick:
      Minnesota
      (-11); Under

      Orlando @ Brooklyn


      Game 805-806
      April 1, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Orlando
      120.308
      Brooklyn
      118.071
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Orlando
      by 2
      227
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Brooklyn
      by 3 1/2
      222
      Dunkel Pick:
      Orlando
      (+3 1/2); Over

      Atlanta @ Chicago


      Game 803-804
      April 1, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Atlanta
      111.737
      Chicago
      122.298
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Chicago
      by 10 1/2
      208
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago
      by 4 1/2
      203
      Dunkel Pick:
      Chicago
      (-4 1/2); Over

      LA Lakers @ LA Clippers


      Game 801-802
      April 1, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA Lakers
      106.834
      LA Clippers
      126.334
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      LA Clippers
      by 19 1/2
      228
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      LA Clippers
      by 14 1/2
      224
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA Clippers
      (-14 1/2); Ove
      r




      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Saturday, April 1


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA LAKERS (21 - 54) at LA CLIPPERS (46 - 31) - 4/1/2017, 3:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LA LAKERS are 31-42 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games this season.
      LA LAKERS are 61-75 ATS (-21.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      LA LAKERS are 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      LA LAKERS are 202-247 ATS (-69.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
      LA LAKERS are 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      LA CLIPPERS are 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      LA CLIPPERS are 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      LA LAKERS is 6-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      LA CLIPPERS is 10-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
      8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ATLANTA (39 - 36) at CHICAGO (36 - 39) - 4/1/2017, 5:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ATLANTA is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      CHICAGO is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 60-94 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 8-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 9-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ORLANDO (27 - 49) at BROOKLYN (16 - 59) - 4/1/2017, 6:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ORLANDO is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games this season.
      ORLANDO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
      ORLANDO is 71-99 ATS (-37.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
      ORLANDO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
      ORLANDO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
      BROOKLYN is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ORLANDO is 6-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      ORLANDO is 5-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SACRAMENTO (29 - 47) at MINNESOTA (30 - 44) - 4/1/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MINNESOTA is 49-68 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      MINNESOTA is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
      MINNESOTA is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
      MINNESOTA is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MINNESOTA is 7-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      MINNESOTA is 5-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHOENIX (22 - 54) at PORTLAND (37 - 38) - 4/1/2017, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 151-109 ATS (+31.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PORTLAND is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      PORTLAND is 6-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Saturday, April 1


      Lakers lost 17 of last 19 games; they’re 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games in Staples. Five of their last six games went over. Clippers won five of last seven games, are 4-2 vs spread in six games at Staples. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Clippers won nine of last ten games with the Lakers, but are 3-5 vs spread in last eight series games. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

      Atlanta won its last two games after losing previous six; they’re 7-9 vs spread in last 16 road games. Last eight Hawk games stayed under total. Bulls won four of last six games, covered six of last seven; they covered three of last four at home. Hawks won their last six games with Chicago (5-1 vs spread); Atlanta won three of their last four visits here, covered eight of last ten series games. Four of last six series games stayed under.

      Magic lost four of last five games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 road games. Five of their last six games went over total. Nets lost three of last four games, are 2-4 vs spread in last six home games- their last three games stayed under. Orlando won its last five games with Brooklyn (3-1-1 vs spread); four of last six series games stayed under total. Magic won by 23-6 points in last two games in Barclays’ Center.

      Sacramento lost six of its last eight games; they’re 5-7 vs spread in last 12 road games- their last five games stayed under. Timberwolves won last two games after an 0-6 skid; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Minnesota won five of its last seven games with Sacramento; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Kings won three of last five visits to Twin Cities.

      Suns lost their last ten games but covered three of last four; four of their last five games went over the total. Trailblazers won/covered their last five games, four of which were at home. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Portland won three of its last four games with Phoenix; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Suns lost four of last five games in Oregon (2-3 vs spread).




      NBA

      Saturday, April 1


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      3:30 PM
      LA LAKERS vs. LA CLIPPERS
      LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
      LA Lakers are 1-13 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 10 games when playing LA Lakers
      LA Clippers are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Lakers

      5:00 PM
      ATLANTA vs. CHICAGO
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
      Atlanta is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
      Chicago is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Atlanta
      Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

      6:00 PM
      ORLANDO vs. BROOKLYN
      Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 13 of Orlando's last 18 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing at home against Orlando
      Brooklyn is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

      8:00 PM
      SACRAMENTO vs. MINNESOTA
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
      Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
      The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games at home

      10:00 PM
      PHOENIX vs. PORTLAND
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
      Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
      Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-01-2017, 01:07 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Short Sheet

        Saturday, April 1


        LA Lakers at LA Clippers, 3:35 PM ET
        LA Lakers: 8-17 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
        LA Clippers: 24-10 UNDER in home games after playing a road game

        Atlanta at Chicago, 5:05 PM ET
        Atlanta: 14-4 UNDER off a road win
        Chicago: 18-35 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

        Orlando at Brooklyn, 6:05 PM ET
        Orlando: 70-43 UNDER in road games in April
        Brooklyn: 44-29 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

        Sacramento at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
        Sacramento: 18-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
        Minnesota: 21-9 OVER after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

        Phoenix at Portland, 10:05 PM ET
        Phoenix: 42-22 ATS in road games off a loss against a division rival
        Portland: 9-1 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Saturday, April 1


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Saturday’s NBA Game of the Day: Lakers at Clippers
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Under is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 vs. a team with a winning SU record and the Clippers are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing SU record.

          Los Angeles Lakers at Los Angeles Clippers (-14.5, 224.5)

          The Los Angeles Clippers are bidding for the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference and homecourt advantage in the first round of the playoffs while their arena-mates are trying to maximize their ping pong balls for the draft lottery. The Clippers will serve as host and try to take advantage of the Los Angeles Lakers when they meet on Saturday.

          The Clippers are still trying to figure out some things on the defensive end but made up for it on the other end of the floor while averaging 128.5 points in back-to-back wins. The Clippers pulled within one game of the Utah Jazz for the No. 4 spot with Thursday's 124-118 win at the Phoenix Suns and will play four of their final five games as the home team, with the lone road date a trip to San Antonio on April 8. The Lakers sit a half-game behind the Suns in last place in the West and are losers of three straight and 17 of the last 19. First-year coach Luke Walton is leaning heavily on the youngest players on his roster as the team tries to figure out the building blocks for the next great Lakers' teams.

          TV:
          3:30 p.m. ET, Spectrum Sportsnet (Lakers), Prime Ticket (Clippers)

          LINE HISTORY:
          The Clippers opened as 14.5 chalk over the tanking Lakers and that line appears fine with bettors as it has yet to move. As for the total, it hit the betting board at 224 and like the spread hasn’t moved off that opening number.

          INJURY REPORT:


          Lakers - SF Brandon Ingram (Probable, knee), SG Nick Young (Out indefinitely, Coach’s Decision), C Ivica Zubac (Out For Season, ankle), SF Luol Deng (Out For Season, Coach’s Decision), C Timofey Mozgov (Out For Season, Coach’s Decision)

          Clippers - PG Austin Rivers (Mid-April, Hamstring), C Diamond Stone (Out Indefinitely, knee)

          POWER RANKINGS:
          Lakers (4.8) - Clippers (-6.4) + home court (-3) = Clippers -14.2

          ABOUT THE LAKERS (21-54 SU, 31-42-2 ATS, 43-31-1 O/U):
          One potential building block - rookie small forward Brandon Ingram - sat out the last three games with patellar tendinitis but hopes to return before the end of the season. The 19-year-old Duke product averaged 35.5 minutes in the first 11 games of March and responded to the increase in playing time by posting 13.5 points on 51.7 percent shooting - his best numbers in any month this season. The Lakers are hoping to get more consistency from 22-year-old power forward Julius Randle, who posted a double-double in Thursday's 119-104 loss at Minnesota after totaling 10 points on 4-of-14 shooting in the previous two games.

          ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (46-31 SU, 37-40 ATS, 42-34-1 O/U):
          The Clippers shot 56.6 percent from the floor in a win over Washington on Wednesday and 55 percent in Thursday's triumph, and the recent scoring surge is being led by stars Blake Griffin and Chris Paul. Griffin came up one assist shy of a triple-double in Wednesday's game and followed it up with 31 points on 12-of-19 shooting the next night. Paul posted back-to-back double-doubles for the first time this month in the last two games while shooting a combined 19-of-32 from the field and totaling two turnovers against 23 assists.

          TRENDS:


          * Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
          * Under is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
          * Under is 8-2 in Clippers last 10 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
          * Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
          * Lakers are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles.

          CONSENSUS:
          The underdog Lakers are getting 53 percent of the point spread action and total wagers are split 50/50 among users.


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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