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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/31

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 31

    Good Luck on day #90 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Matchup Links

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries


    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Clippers’ DeAndre Jordan has missed only six games the last six years.

    — Orlando’s Elfrid Payton’s hair gets in the way when he shoots foul shots; seriously. His hands actually make contact with his hair- it is weird.

    — Walt Frazier turned 72 years old this week, which makes me feel old.

    — TCU 88, Georgia Tech 56— Horned Frogs win NIT title.

    — Cardinals signed catcher Yadier Molina to a 3-year contract extension. Since 2011, Cardinals are 458-322 (.587) when Molina starts, 93-99 (.484) when he does not.

    — Saints signed backup QB Chase Daniel, who has thrown 78 passes in seven years in the NFL, starting two games (1-1).

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Baseball knowledge on the last day of March……

    13) Atlanta Braves open a new stadium this season, baseball’s first new stadium since Miami Marlins opened their ballpark in 2012.

    12) Joey Votto’s career on-base percentage is an astoundingly-good .425.

    11) Detroit Tigers had a $198M payroll last year, but went 87-75 and missed the playoffs. Now their beloved owner has passed away- will they downsize their payroll?

    10) Dodgers haven’t won a World Series since 1988 (we don’t talk about that one in my house) but they’ve been in playoffs ten times since then, going 23-37 in playoff games.

    9) Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen was once a catcher who played for The Netherlands in the World Baseball Classic. Becoming a pitcher has worked out really well for him and the Dodgers.

    8) Last time the Red Sox finished in first place in consecutive seasons: 1915-16. Really.

    7) Orioles have a new pitching coach; Roger McDowell, who was Atlanta’s pitching coach the last eleven years. Can’t be lot of fun being a pitching coach for a team with a small stadium; your guys give up more home runs.

    6) Speaking of which, Baltimore hit the most homers in the major leagues LY, but were only #12 in runs scored, #21 in on-base %age.

    5) Indians skipper Terry Francona has had a winning record 12 years in a row, making playoffs seven times, winning World Series twice. Good to see an easy-going guy have great success.

    4) Is batting average overrated? (Yes) Kansas City slipped from 95-67 to 81-81 LY- they were #7 in batting average, but #26 in on-base% and #23 in runs scored.

    3) Texas Rangers had 49 come-from-behind wins LY, eight of which came when they trailed after the 8th inning. Ranger relievers had 41 wins LY, tied for the most ever.

    2) This is crazy; Ryan Raburn has 352 RBI in his 11-year major league career. 82 of them have come against the White Sox. His next highest vs any team? 25 against the Royals and Rangers.

    1— The Curse of Cespedes lives: A’s were 66-41 when they traded Yoenis Cespedes to Boston on July 31, 2014. Since that fateful day, Oakland is 159-220- they still made the playoffs in 2014, but have been awful the last two years. The costly Josh Donaldson trade didn’t help, either.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Friday, March 31


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      COASTAL CAROLINA (20 - 18) at WYOMING (22 - 15) - 3/31/2017, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WYOMING is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
      WYOMING is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
      WYOMING is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
      WYOMING is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all home games this season.
      WYOMING is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in home lined games this season.
      WYOMING is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      WYOMING is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      WYOMING is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      WYOMING is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
      WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ST PETERS (22 - 13) at TEXAS A&M CC (24 - 11) - 3/31/2017, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ST PETERS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
      ST PETERS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
      ST PETERS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
      ST PETERS is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games this season.
      ST PETERS is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
      ST PETERS is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
      ST PETERS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      ST PETERS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
      ST PETERS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      ST PETERS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NCAAB
      Short Sheet

      Friday, March 31


      Coastal Carolina at Wyoming, 7:00 PM ET
      Coastal Carolina: 1-5 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games
      Wyoming: 9-1 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better

      Texas AM CC at St Peter’s, 9:00 PM ET
      Texas AM CC: 1-6 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds
      St Peter’s: 10-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less




      NCAAB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, March 31


      Coastal Carolina scored 1.18 pts/possession in 91-81 home win over Wyoming, then 0.77 ppp in 81-57 loss in Laramie Wednesday- both fast-paced games. Wyoming is 25-65 (.38.5%) on arc in its first two Finals games- they’ve taken only 53 shots inside arc. Cowboys are 6-6 in last 12 games but won last six home games- their last home loss was to Colorado St Feb 14. Coastal lost six of last eight true road games, with wins at Little Rock/So Alabama. Chanticleers are 4-15 this season vs teams ranked in top 150- their only true road win over a top 200 team was at #173 Texas State. Wyoming is 8-4 vs teams ranked #200 or lower.

      CIT finals
      A&M-Corpus Christi tied for 2nd in Southland, lost tourney final in OT; Islanders are #116 team playing pace #155- they’ve won 15 of last 17 games. A&M-CC forces turnovers 22.9% of time, #11 in country, are 4-4 vs teams in top 200, 8-4 outside Southland. Islanders scored 85 pts/game in winning first three tourney games. St Peter’s won nine of its last ten games, finished 2nd in MAAC; they’re #35 experience team playing pace #348. Peacocks are 8-7 outside MAAC. St Peter’s is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, splitting pair with Monmouth. St Peter’s won its last six true road games- their last two road losses both came in overtime.




      NCAAB

      Friday, March 31


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      7:00 PM
      COASTAL CAROLINA vs. WYOMING
      No trends available
      Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 7 games

      9:00 PM
      SAINT PETER'S vs. TEXAS A&M C.C.
      Saint Peter's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Peter's last 6 games on the road
      No trends available


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2017, 11:11 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Saturday, April 1



        Oregon @ North Carolina

        Game 813-814
        April 1, 2017 @ 8:45 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Oregon
        76.634
        North Carolina
        75.783
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Oregon
        by 1
        144
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        North Carolina
        by 5
        150 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Oregon
        (+5); Under

        South Carolina @ Gonzaga


        Game 811-812
        April 1, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        South Carolina
        67.238
        Gonzaga
        76.367
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Gonzaga
        by 9
        134
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Gonzaga
        by 6 1/2
        138
        Dunkel Pick:
        Gonzaga
        (-6 1/2); Under





        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, April 1


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        S CAROLINA (26 - 10) vs. GONZAGA (36 - 1) - 4/1/2017, 6:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        S CAROLINA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        GONZAGA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
        GONZAGA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
        GONZAGA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
        GONZAGA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
        GONZAGA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
        GONZAGA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in tournament semi-final games since 1997.
        GONZAGA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        S CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OREGON (33 - 5) vs. N CAROLINA (31 - 7) - 4/1/2017, 8:45 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OREGON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.5 since 1997.
        N CAROLINA is 293-240 ATS (+29.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
        N CAROLINA is 165-130 ATS (+22.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
        OREGON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
        OREGON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
        OREGON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) on Saturday games this season.
        OREGON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
        OREGON is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        OREGON is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
        OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
        OREGON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NCAAB
        Short Sheet

        Saturday, April 1


        South Carolina at Gonzaga, 6:05 PM ET
        South Carolina: 12-5 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5
        Gonzaga: 11-3 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds

        Oregon at North Carolina, 8:35 PM ET
        Oregon: 19-8 ATS after having won 8 or more of their last 10
        N Carolina: 13-4 UNDER after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more




        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Saturday, April 1


        Over last 30 years, teams seeded 7th or worse are 3-6-1 vs spread in national semifinals- South Carolina forces turnovers 25.4% of time (#4 in country)- they have two really good seniors leading a team that is otherwise very young. Gamecocks were 3-6 in their last nine games before NCAA’s. Gonzaga is 2-0 vs SEC teams this season, beating Florida by 5 in Orlando, Tennessee by 12 in Nashville. South Carolina/Gonzaga are both in Final Four for first time. WCC teams are 2-5-1 vs spread this postseason, 2-3-1 when favored; SEC teams are 9-7-1 vs spread, 5-0-1 as an underdog. Since 2005, #1 seeds are 7-5 vs spread in national semifinal games when facing a non-#1-seed.

        Since ’05, #1 seeds are 7-5 vs spread in national semifinal games when facing a non-#1-seed. North Carolina is 16-2 outside ACC; they lost national title game at buzzer LY. Tar Heels are #112 experience team that plays pace #50- they’re 5-4 vs top 20 teams this season. Oregon is in Final Four for first time since 1939; they’re #154 experience team that plays pace #241. Ducks are 15-2 outside Pac-12, 4-2 vs top 20 teams. Oregon is 12-1 in its last 13 games, losing Pac-12 final to Arizona. ACC teams are 6-15-1 vs spread this postseason, 4-11-1 if favored; Pac-12 teams are 8-6-1 vs spread, 3-1 if an underdog. This is where not having 6-10 shot blocker Boucher could hurt Oregon- they played six guys vs Kansas, just aren’t as deep as the Tar Heels.




        NCAAB

        Saturday, April 1


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        6:09 PM
        SOUTH CAROLINA vs. GONZAGA
        No trends available
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Gonzaga's last 5 games
        Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

        8:49 PM
        OREGON vs. NORTH CAROLINA
        No trends available
        North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2017, 11:12 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Saturday, April 1


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          NCAA Tournament Final Four betting preview and odds: South Carolina vs Gonzaga
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Sindarius Thornwell - "Why not us? Why not go win it all? And that's our mindset. We feel like we can compete with anybody right now in the country."

          (7) South Carolina Gamecocks vs (1) Gonzaga Bulldogs (-7, 138)

          Game to be played at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

          Top-seeded Gonzaga and seventh-seeded South Carolina are both part of the Final Four for the first time in school history and the winner of Saturday's NCAA Tournament national semifinal contest in Glendale, Ariz. will face either North Carolina or Oregon in Monday's championship game. Gonzaga lost one game all season to enjoy the top campaign in program history while the Gamecocks overcame a poor end to the regular season with an electric tournament run that included an upset of Duke.

          South Carolina's superb run has been fueled by star senior guard Sindarius Thornwell, who missed Thursday's practice with an illness but insisted earlier in the week that his squad isn't satisfied with the unprecedented success that includes a school record for victories. "We're not going to settle for this and we still feel like, we got one more game," Thornwell said at a press conference. "Why not us? Why not go win it all? And that's our mindset. We feel like we can compete with anybody right now in the country." Gonzaga no longer will have to hear about never reaching the Final Four and senior shooting guard Jordan Mathews is glad about that. "The Final Four doesn't validate or discredit a season," Mathews told reporters. "It's not an end-all, be-all. Gonzaga has been a great program, and we're just happy to keep carrying the torch."

          TV:
          6:09 p.m. ET, CBS

          LINE HISTORY:
          The No. 1 seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs opened as 6.5-point favorites and by Thursday evening that spread crept up to -7. The total hit the betting board at 138 and has been stable all week.

          ABOUT SOUTH CAROLINA (26-10 SU, 15-16-2 ATS, 14-18-1 O/U):
          Thornwell averages 21.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per game and was named the Most Outstanding Player of the East Regional after averaging 25.8 points in the Gamecocks' four tourney wins, including 26 points in the 77-70 victory over Florida in the regional final. Sophomore guard PJ Dozier (13.8 scoring average) and senior guard Duane Notice (10.2, team-best 67 3-pointers) are forces on the perimeter while sophomore forward Chris Silva (10.1 points, 5.9 rebounds) is the Gamecocks' top inside player. Coach Frank Martin preaches tenacious defense and South Carolina allows 64.9 per game - limiting third-seeded Baylor to 50 in a 20-point trouncing in the Sweet 16.

          ABOUT GONZAGA (36-1 SU, 23-9-2 ATS, 16-18 O/U):
          Junior point guard Nigel-Williams Goss (16.7 average, 4.6 assists) has been a difference-maker and scored 23 points in the 83-59 rout of Xavier that catapulted the Bulldogs into the Final Four. Williams-Goss, a standout defender with a team-best 64 steals, is averaging 15.5 points in the NCAA Tournament but is just 19-of-61 shooting from the field. Senior center Przemek Karnowski (12.2 points, 5.8 rebounds), Mathews (10.7 points, 79 3-pointers) and junior power forward Johnathan Williams (10.3 points, team-leading 6.6 rebounds) also score in double digits.

          TRENDS:


          * Gamecocks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
          * Bulldogs are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
          * Over is 8-1 in Gamecocks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
          * Over is 6-1 in Bulldogs last 7 vs. Southeastern.

          CONSENSUS:
          55 percent of users are taking the points with the Gamecocks and the Over is picking up 58 percent of the totals wagers.


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2017, 11:13 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Saturday, April 1


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            NCAA Tournament Final Four betting preview and odds: Oregon vs North Carolina
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            “Their offensive rebounding numbers are off the charts, so we have to do a great job on the boards,” Oregon coach Dana Altman told reporters.

            (3) Oregon Ducks vs (1) North Carolina Tar Heels (-5, 152)

            Game to be played at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

            North Carolina is hoping for another chance to finish the job in the NCAA Tournament and Oregon looks to ride the momentum of its deepest run since 1939 when the teams meet in the national semifinals Saturday at the University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale. Ariz. While Oregon reached the Final Four despite losing a key player to injury in the Pac-12 tournament, the Tar Heels return for the second straight year after having their hearts broken in the title game.

            “I think our kids really used it a great deal as motivation during the offseason,” North Carolina coach Roy Williams told reporters of the 77-74 loss to Villanova in the final. “Once we started practice, you know, you’re putting together a team then, and I’d make reference to it periodically … about what’s the most fun you’ve had, just remind them, because everybody said it was the run to the national championship game last year.” The Tar Heels hope to have a healthy Joel Berry II (two sprained ankles) to run the show against the Ducks, who have been led by the hot shooting of sophomore guard Tyler Dorsey and some solid defense despite being without 6-10 senior Chris Boucher (knee) since the Pac-12 semifinal. North Carolina needed a last-second jumper from reserve Luke Maye to beat Kentucky 75-73 while Oregon held Kansas to 35 percent shooting in a 74-60 victory at the Elite Eight last weekend. “We’re just staying in the moment, enjoying it and having fun,” Ducks guard Casey Benson told reporters. “… We have a real opportunity to be a national championship team.”

            TV:
            8:49 p.m. ET, CBS

            LINE HISTORY:
            North Carolina opened the betting week as 4.5-point favorites and the spread was bumped slightly to 5 on Thursday. The total hit the board at 150 and rose steadily all week to the current number of 152.

            ABOUT OREGON (33-5 SU, 21-15-1 ATS, 17-20 O/U):
            The Ducks have done a decent job on the boards this season (plus-4.2 margin), but will need to raise that level higher against the Tar Heels: “Their offensive rebounding numbers are off the charts, so we have to do a great job on the boards,” coach Dana Altman told reporters. Dorsey has been nicknamed “Mr. March” by his teammates, scoring at least 20 in seven straight games while averaging 24.5 in the tournament and making 17-of-26 from 3-point range. Junior Jordan Bell stepped up his game in Boucher’s absence, averaging 12.5 points and 12.5 rebounds in the NCAAs after blocking eight shots against Kansas.

            ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (31-7 SU, 18-15-3 ATS, 14-21-1 O/U):
            Maye, a former walk-on, was named the Most Outstanding Player of the South Regional after scoring 17 against Kentucky and is averaging 12.5 in the first four games of the tournament. Junior swingman Justin Jackson, the ACC Player of the Year, is averaging 19.8 points in the NCAAs but will need the talented Berry (14.6 overall) to provide him room to operate although the junior point guard is 6-for-26 from behind the arc in the Big Dance. Senior forward Kennedy Meeks, who is averaging 13 rebounds in the tournament after hauling in a career-best 17 against Kentucky, will play a big role against Oregon’s physical lineup.

            TRENDS:


            * Ducks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
            * Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Pacific-12.
            * Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
            * Under is 10-2-1 in Tar Heels last 13 games following a straight up win.

            CONSENSUS:
            54 percent of users are taking the points with the Oregon Ducks and the Over is picking up 74 percent of the totals wagers.


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2017, 11:13 AM.

            Comment

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