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Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/27

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  • Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 27

    Good Luck on day #86 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Matchup Links

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    NASCAR Schedule

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds to win National League MVP this season:

    5-2– Kris Bryant

    7-2– Bryce Harper

    4-1– Nolan Arenado

    6-1– Corey Seager

    10-1– Giancarlo Stanton, Yoenis Cespedes

    12-1– Anthony Rizzo

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13:Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

    a sports weekend…….

    13) South Carolina 77, Florida 70— Before last weekend, South Carolina’s last win in NCAA tournament was in 1973. They have some basketball tradition: Alex English, John Roche, Mike Dunleavy Sr played there, Frank Maguire coached there, but not a lot of winning.

    Until this month. Now the Gamecocks are headed to the Final Four. Congrats.

    12) Gamecocks are first team since VCU in 2011 to get to the Final Four without being favored in any of their first four tournament games.- VCU had to win a play-in game, so they weren’t favored in any of their first five tournament games. South Carolina was pick ‘em in their first round game with Marquette last weekend.

    11) South Carolina coach Frank Martin was once both a high school teacher and a bouncer in a nightclub; imagine him getting mad at some drunk guy and tossing him out the door?

    10) North Carolina 75, Kentucky 73— Mailk Monk scored 47 against Carolina in December, out in Las Vegas; he had 12 points here. This was a terrific ballgame that would’ve made a great national title game. Tough push if you had the Tar Heels -2.

    9) What do you think of Chris Webber as a TV analyst? He talks more X’s and O’s than most analysts (good), he is passionate about the game (good) but he doesn’t seem to like anyone except players (not good).

    Referees are competing to advance in the tournament too; I’m guessing Webber knows this, but doesn’t seem to care (not good). Coaches get fired if they lose; I mean, Bill Self is taking grief today- Webber definitely doesn’t seem to care about that (bad). I think he is mostly good; if only he would stop yelling when guys dunk— it is two points. Relax.

    8) Odd coincidence that going into Saturday, Xavier/Gonzaga were tied with 27 tournament wins, most of any school that had never been in a Final Four. Now Xavier owns that unfortunate mark, with Boston College in second with 22 wins.

    7) Not often the SEC wins more NCAA tournament games than bowl games. SEC is 8-4 in NCAA tournament games this year; they were 6-7 in bowl games.

    6) I’m guessing the Mets have already been informed, but it hasn’t been made public how long Jeurys Familia’s suspension for domestic violence will be. He is their closer, so they would need to know to plan contingency plans.

    5) Since 2006, Saints/Seahawks have drafted only two QB’s each, least in NFL.

    4) This is the fifth year in a row a team seeded 7th or lower made the Final Four:
    2016— Syracuse, a 10-seed lost to UNC in semi-finals
    2015— Michigan State, a 7-seed, lost to Duke in semi-finals
    2014— UConn, a 7-seed, beat Kentucky, an 8-seed, for the national title
    2013— Wichita State, a 9-seed, lost to Louisville in semi-finals

    3) This is only second time since 2009 that two or more 1-seeds made the Final Four— three of them made it in 2015, two made it this year.

    2) Of the 18,797,085 brackets on ESPN.com‘s contest, only 657 had North Carolina, Oregon, Gonzaga and South Carolina in the Final Four.

    1— Gonzaga is a 6.5-point favorite over South Carolina Saturday in Arizona. North Carolina is a 5-point favorite over Oregon in the nightcap.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Monday, March 27



      Wyoming @ Coastal Carolina

      Game 743-744
      March 27, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Wyoming
      56.766
      Coastal Carolina
      53.227
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Wyoming
      by 3 1/2
      148
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Wyoming
      by 1
      154
      Dunkel Pick:
      Wyoming
      (-1); Under





      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Monday, March 27


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WYOMING (21 - 14) at COASTAL CAROLINA (19 - 17) - 3/27/2017, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WYOMING is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
      WYOMING is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
      WYOMING is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
      WYOMING is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      WYOMING is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      WYOMING is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      WYOMING is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



      NCAAB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Monday, March 27


      Long road trip from Wyoming to Coastal Carolina; this is a best-of-3 series that resumes in Laramie Wednesday. Wyoming is 11-3 outside Mountain West; they beat Troy State of Sun Belt 72-66 in Laramie Dec 19. Cowboys won four of last five games overall but lost last three true road games- their last true road win was Feb 4 at Air Force. Coastal Carolina is 6-8 outside the Sun Belt; they’ve won last four games overall. Chanticleers are ##117 experience team that plays pace #135. Wyoming is #138 experience team that plays pace #14.




      NCAAB

      Monday, March 27


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      8:30 PM
      WYOMING vs. COASTAL CAROLINA
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games on the road
      Wyoming is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      No trends available


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-27-2017, 02:27 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Final Four lines hit the board and early betting action causes adjustments

        North Carolina is back in the Final Four for the second straight year, getting there with a thrilling victory Sunday in the South Region final.

        We’ve got a fascinating Final Four on tap, with one blueblood and a whole lot of new blood. Patrick Everson checks on the opening lines for Saturday’s national semifinals, with insights from Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at The Mirage on the Las Vegas Strip, and Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

        No. 7 South Carolina Gamecocks vs. No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)

        For all the years Gonzaga has been in the NCAA Tournament, often as a high seed, this will mark its first trip to the Final Four. The Bulldogs (36-1 SU, 23-9-2 ATS) have a nearly perfect record on the floor, and for much of the season were the best team against the oddsmakers. The Zags rate No. 2 now, cashing more than 71 percent of the time.

        Mark Few’s squad had tough second- and third-round games, fending off No. 8 seed Northwestern and No. 4 seed West Virginia. But the Zags had no such issues with tourney upstart and No. 11 seed Xavier in the Elite Eight, pummeling the Musketeers 83-59 as an 8.5-point favorite Saturday.

        South Carolina is also making its first trip to the Final Four, and a surprising one at that, when one looks at how Frank Martin’s team entered the tournament. The Gamecocks (26-10 SU, 15-16-2 ATS) went 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in seven games prior to the NCAAs, but have caught fire the last week and a half.

        South Carolina drubbed No. 10 Marquette by 20 in the tourney opener, then upset No. 2 seed Duke 88-81 as a 6.5-point underdog. Another 20-point win followed in the Sweet 16, over No. 3 Baylor, and the Gamecocks sealed their trip to Glendale, Ariz., by outlasting SEC rival and fourth-seeded Florida 77-70 as a 3-point ‘dog in the East Region final Sunday.

        Bookmaker.eu opened the Zags -7 but quickly dropped that number to 6.5.

        “We’ve seen early action on the Gamecocks,” Cooley said. “We've received a handful of limit bets from smart players. We could see South Carolina closing at +6 or less.”

        Offshore books moving to 6.5 made it natural for The Mirage and MGM Resorts sportsbooks to open Gonzaga -6.5.

        “That was basically the number out there, and that’s what we hung,” Stoneback said of the line for Saturday’s first semifinal, which tips at 6:09 p.m. ET. “South Carolina-Gonzaga is obviously not gonna be the marquee matchup, but as a basketball fan, I think it’s a really good matchup. We’ll see how Gonzaga handles a red-hot South Carolina team.”


        No. 3 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (-4.5)

        North Carolina is back in the Final Four for the second straight year, getting there with a thrilling victory Sunday in the South Region final. The Tar Heels (30-7 SU, 19-15-2 ATS) went back-and-forth with No. 2 seed Kentucky over the last few minutes, but got the dagger bucket in the last second to notch a 75-73 win and push as a 2-point favorite.

        Carolina reached the national championship game last year, where it had a similar back-and-forth with Villanova as the Heels lost on a last-second 3-pointer, 77-74 giving 2 points.

        Oregon played in the very first Final Four, in 1939, and ended up winning it all. But the Ducks hadn’t been back since then before breaking through this year. Oregon (33-5 SU, 21-15-1 ATS) lost 6-foot-10 forward Chris Boucher (11.8 ppg, 6.1 rpg) during the Pac-12 tournament, but recovered quite well in winning the Midwest Region.

        Dana Altman’s troops had a couple tight victories in the second and third rounds, rallying to beat No. 11 seed Rhode Island and hanging on against No. 7 Michigan. But in Saturday’s regional final against No. 1 seed Kansas, Oregon rolled to a 74-60 upset catching 6.5 points.

        Cooley said this second semifinal, with an 8:49 ET start Saturday night, also received some limit bets early on from sharp bettors. And the total was already on the move, after opening at 148.5.

        “The over is seeing respected money, and we've moved that up 1.5 points to 150,” Cooley said.

        The Mirage opened North Carolina at -5.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-27-2017, 02:29 PM.

        Comment

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