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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/25

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, March 25

    Good Luck on day #84 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Celtics 130, Suns 120— Devin Booker scored 70 points in a losing cause, 51 in 2nd half.

    — Keep in mind that if Booker hadn’t left school early, he’d be a junior at Kentucky.

    — 76ers 117, Bulls 107— Three of five Sixers who scored in double figures didn’t start.

    — Nuggets 125, Pacers 117— Denver was 40-43 on line, Indiana 8-11. Game was in Indy.

    — Cavaliers 112, Hornets 105— Four Charlotte subs played 79:00, were a combined -79.

    — Nine different NBA players have scored 50+ points in a game this season.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) California and Oklahoma State both hired on the cheap with new basketball coaches, two guys I’ve never heard of who were mainly recruiters up until now. Maybe one or both will be the next John Wooden, but they’re both rookies who will be coaching in very deep water.

    Cal hired Wyking Jones, who was on Cuonzo Martin’s staff; OSU hired Mike Boynton, who had been with Brad Underwood for the last four years— he played ball at South Carolina.

    12) Duquesne fired its basketball coach after the season, but can’t find a replacement; guys keeping dropping out of the coaching search. Dukes haven’t been in NCAA’s since ’77; they’re in the Atlantic 14, a pretty good league. Not sure why they’re never good- maybe they need to commit a few more resources into trying to win.

    11) Mirage Casino in Las Vegas offers “first team to 15 points” prop bet; that would be fun to research and see which coaches’ team got ahead the most early in games. Actually, would be fun to see the results; doing the research would be a major pain-in-the-butt. ��

    10) Mets’ TV analyst Keith Hernandez is having a knee replaced on June 2, which means Mets’ fans get to listen to him whine about his knee for the first two months of the season. Hernandez is a good analyst when he isn’t bored, but if it is a bad game, he complains about traffic, weather, his health, etc…..

    9) Was watching Tampa Bay Rays in a spring training game in Port Charlotte the other day; the dugouts there are HUGE, not long, just very large, from front-to-back.

    8) 43 years ago Friday was my favorite college basketball game ever: NC State 80, UCLA 77 in double OT at the 1974 Final Four, a game that ended UCLA’s streak of seven national titles in a row.

    I was 14, a big NC State fan— David Thompson-Tom Burleson-Monte Towe. Also Tim Stoddard, who later pitched for the Orioles in the ’79 World Series. Used to listen to their games on radio station WBT in Charlotte- they beat Maryland in OT in ACC title game, back when you had to be the league champ, just to get into the NCAA’s.

    About 10-12 years ago, I met Monte Towe at an AAU tournament in Florida; he was an assistant for NC State then. Good guy. Too bad ESPN didn’t exist back then; people have very little idea how great a player David Thompson was.

    7) Odd stat: Last two years, Louisville is 0-8 vs spread as a road underdog in ACC games.

    6) Mets’ SS Asdrubel Cabrera got thrown out of a spring training game this week- he asked for time while batting, didn’t get it, jawed at umpire Angel Hernandez and got tossed. Don’t see that a lot.

    5) Kansas Jayhawks are first team since UConn in ’05 that scored 90+ points in its first three NCAA tournament games.

    4) North Carolina 92, Butler 80— Not much of a game; Butler just couldn’t stop them- they had beaten Winthrop/Middle Tennessee to get here, and didn’t handle the sep up in class very well.

    3) South Carolina 70, Baylor 50— Complete ass-kicking. Baylor’s players looked intimidated by their opponents. I’m thinking Frank Martin’s family didn’t have the Gamecocks going this far in their brackets- they play in their first-ever regional final Sunday.

    Last time a 7-seed or lower won a Sweet 16 game by 15+ points? Davidson in ’08- they had a pretty good guard named Steph Curry.

    2) Kentucky 86, UCLA 75— Game stayed under the outrageous 183.5 total; Wildcats play more defense— now they play the Tar Heels Sunday.

    Now Lonzo Ball is off to the NBA, soon to be followed by half the Kentucky team. Will Indiana hire Steve Alford? A season ends and then things change very quickly for these people.

    My biggest thing will be if Steve Alford leaves UCLA, who the hell do they bring in to replace him? Not an easy job, having to deal with the #2 and #3 Ball brothers.

    1—Florida 84, Wisconsin 83 OT— Gators led by 8 with 2:10 left, then didn’t foul on last possession when Wisconsin had ball down 3, so of course Badgers hit a 3-pointer with 0:02.5 left. CBS gets their late night drama- this would’ve been first tournament since 1970 with no OT games thru the Sweet 16.

    Chris Chiozza hit a running 3-pointer to win the game; we’ll be seeing that on TV for the next 30 years. What a ballgame.

    Early in game, CBS showed golfer Andy North sitting next to Aaron Rodgers at this game; North is a big Badger booster who I believe paid for the new basketball court in the Wisconsin arena a few years ago, but he went to college at Florida- golfers need warm weather. No mistake though, North always roots for the Badgers.

    Wisconsin had won its last eight overtime games.

    Three of the Elite 8 are SEC teams? Didn’t see that coming.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2017, 11:33 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Saturday, March 25


      Utah lost three of last four games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Clippers won three of last four games, are 4-9 vs spread in last 13 games at Staples. Under is 7-5-2 in their last 14 games. Clippers won eight of last ten games with Utah, covering four of last five; Jazz lost three of last four series games played here (3-1 vs spread). Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

      Wizards won last three home games, but are 1-6 vs spread in last seven games overall. Three of their last four games stayed under. Cleveland won four of last six games; they’re 1-3-1 vs spread in last five home games- their last three games went over total. Cavaliers won seven of last nine games with Washington, covering last three; Wizards lost three of last four visits to Ohio (2-2 vs spread). Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

      New York lost seven of last eight games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Spurs won five of last seven games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine home games. Four of their last six games went over the total. Knicks are actually 5-4 in their last nine games with the Spurs; they split last four visits to Alamo. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

      Raptors won their last four games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 12-6 in their last 18 games. Mavericks won seven of last nine home games (6-3 vs spread); six of their last eight games overall stayed under the total. Toronto won its last three games with Dallas by 11-4-22 points; they lost three of last five visits to Dallas. Five of last six series games stayed under.

      Timberwolves lost to the Lakers in OT last nite, their 5th loss in row; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five road games. Five of their last six games went over. Portland won four of last five games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Trailblazers won five of last six games with Minnesota; last three series games stayed under total. Wolves lost four of last five games in Oregon (2-2-1 vs spread).




      NBA

      Saturday, March 25


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      Trend Report
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      3:30 PM
      UTAH vs. LA CLIPPERS
      Utah is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
      Utah is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
      LA Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games
      LA Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at home

      7:30 PM
      WASHINGTON vs. CLEVELAND
      Washington is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
      The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Washington's last 21 games when playing Cleveland
      Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games

      8:30 PM
      NEW YORK vs. SAN ANTONIO
      New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      New York is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
      San Antonio is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against New York
      San Antonio is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

      8:30 PM
      TORONTO vs. DALLAS
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Dallas
      Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
      Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

      10:00 PM
      MINNESOTA vs. PORTLAND
      Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
      Minnesota is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Portland
      Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2017, 11:35 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Dunkel

        Saturday, March 25


        Minnesota @ Portland

        Game 509-510
        March 25, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Minnesota
        120.506
        Portland
        123.954
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Portland
        by 3 1/2
        220
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Portland
        by 7 1/2
        213 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Minnesota
        (+7 1/2); Over

        Toronto @ Dallas


        Game 507-508
        March 25, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Toronto
        118.203
        Dallas
        121.752
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Dallas
        by 3 1/2
        190
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Dallas
        by 1
        195
        Dunkel Pick:
        Dallas
        (-1); Under

        New York @ San Antonio


        Game 505-506
        March 25, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        New York
        111.329
        San Antonio
        126.397
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        San Antonio
        by 15
        202
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        San Antonio
        No Line
        N/A
        Dunkel Pick:
        San Antonio
        N/A

        Washington @ Cleveland


        Game 503-504
        March 25, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Washington
        119.284
        Cleveland
        122.423
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Cleveland
        by 3
        223
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Cleveland
        No Line
        N/A
        Dunkel Pick:
        Cleveland
        N/A

        Utah @ LA Clippers


        Game 501-502
        March 25, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Utah
        116.957
        LA Clippers
        126.772
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        LA Clippers
        by 10
        209
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        LA Clippers
        by 4
        202
        Dunkel Pick:
        LA Clippers
        (-4); Over





        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, March 25


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTAH (44 - 28) at LA CLIPPERS (43 - 30) - 3/25/2017, 3:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTAH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        UTAH is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        LA CLIPPERS are 203-259 ATS (-81.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
        LA CLIPPERS is 8-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON (44 - 28) at CLEVELAND (47 - 24) - 3/25/2017, 7:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CLEVELAND is 5-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        CLEVELAND is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW YORK (27 - 45) at SAN ANTONIO (55 - 16) - 3/25/2017, 8:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
        SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TORONTO (43 - 29) at DALLAS (31 - 40) - 3/25/2017, 8:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DALLAS is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (28 - 43) at PORTLAND (33 - 38) - 3/25/2017, 10:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MINNESOTA is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
        MINNESOTA is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PORTLAND is 31-40 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PORTLAND is 4-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Saturday, March 25


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Saturday’s NBA Game of the Day: Wizards at Cavaliers
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          The Cavaliers have covered in each of their last three meetings with the Wizards, including two this season and Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.

          Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers (+2, 215)

          The Washington Wizards face a road-heavy stretch to end the regular season, and it begins Saturday against the host Cleveland Cavaliers. The contest is the opener of a five-game road trip as the Wizards play eight of their final 10 games away from home.

          Washington resides in third place in the Eastern Conference, one game ahead of Toronto, and clinched a playoff berth with Friday's 129-108 home victory over Brooklyn. "It's great," All-Star point guard John Wall told reporters. "The way we dealt with last year wasn't good for us. We wanted to go to the playoffs. We fell short of that. The way we started this season (2-8) wasn't the way we wanted. ... We all stayed together as a team. That's the most important thing." The Cavaliers lead the East by one game over Boston after registering a 112-105 win at Charlotte on Friday. Cleveland posted a 140-135 overtime victory over the Wizards on Feb. 6 in the most recent meeting as Cavaliers superstar LeBron James recorded 32 points and a career-best 17 assists while Washington guard Bradley Beal poured in 41 points.

          TV:
          7:30 p.m. ET, CSN Mid-Atlantic (Washington), FSN Ohio (Cleveland)

          LINE HISTORY:
          The Wizard opened as 2-point road favorites over the Cavaliers and a questionable LeBron James. The total hit the betting board at 215 and neither number has yet to move.

          INJURY REPORT:


          Washington - No injuries to report

          Cleveland - SF LeBron James (Questionable, eye)

          POWER RANKINGS:
          Wizards (-4.9) - Cavaliers (—6.5) + home court (-3) = Cavaliers -4.6

          ABOUT THE WIZARDS (44-28 SU, 37-34-1 ATS, 45-27 O/U):
          Washington has posted a 9-5 record this month and is averaging a solid 122 points per contest, pleasing coach Scott Brooks. "We knew March was going to be pretty demanding, challenging," Brooks told reporters after the win over the Nets. "We were hoping we were playing well at that time. We're not playing bad." Wall scored 22 points in 24 minutes against Brooklyn after nearly missing the game due to a migraine headache and backup Brandon Jennings picked up the slack with 18 points and nine assists.

          ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (47-24 SU, 32-36-3 ATS, 40-30-1 O/U):
          Cleveland held Charlotte to 42.2 percent shooting on Friday as the defensive charge was significantly better than it was in Wednesday's 126-113 setback against Denver. "The effort was definitely there," coach Tyronn Lue told reporters. "The guys took the challenge. We helped, got back out. That team shot 42 percent from the field, so the effort was great. That's how we've got to play. That's who we are." Point guard Kyrie Irving scored 26 points, reaching 20 for a career-best 20th consecutive game and the 54th time this season.

          TRENDS:


          * Wizards are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
          * Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
          * Over is 10-2 in Wizards last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
          * Over is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
          * Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

          CONSENSUS:
          Users are split 50/50 on the spread while the OVER is getting 70 percent of the totals bets.


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