Announcement

**Udog** · 03-25-2017, 06:11 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

— Celtics 130, Suns 120— Devin Booker scored 70 points in a losing cause, 51 in 2nd half.

— Keep in mind that if Booker hadn’t left school early, he’d be a junior at Kentucky.

— 76ers 117, Bulls 107— Three of five Sixers who scored in double figures didn’t start.

— Nuggets 125, Pacers 117— Denver was 40-43 on line, Indiana 8-11. Game was in Indy.

— Cavaliers 112, Hornets 105— Four Charlotte subs played 79:00, were a combined -79.

— Nine different NBA players have scored 50+ points in a game this season.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) California and Oklahoma State both hired on the cheap with new basketball coaches, two guys I’ve never heard of who were mainly recruiters up until now. Maybe one or both will be the next John Wooden, but they’re both rookies who will be coaching in very deep water.

Cal hired Wyking Jones, who was on Cuonzo Martin’s staff; OSU hired Mike Boynton, who had been with Brad Underwood for the last four years— he played ball at South Carolina.

12) Duquesne fired its basketball coach after the season, but can’t find a replacement; guys keeping dropping out of the coaching search. Dukes haven’t been in NCAA’s since ’77; they’re in the Atlantic 14, a pretty good league. Not sure why they’re never good- maybe they need to commit a few more resources into trying to win.

11) Mirage Casino in Las Vegas offers “first team to 15 points” prop bet; that would be fun to research and see which coaches’ team got ahead the most early in games. Actually, would be fun to see the results; doing the research would be a major pain-in-the-butt. ��

10) Mets’ TV analyst Keith Hernandez is having a knee replaced on June 2, which means Mets’ fans get to listen to him whine about his knee for the first two months of the season. Hernandez is a good analyst when he isn’t bored, but if it is a bad game, he complains about traffic, weather, his health, etc…..

9) Was watching Tampa Bay Rays in a spring training game in Port Charlotte the other day; the dugouts there are HUGE, not long, just very large, from front-to-back.

8) 43 years ago Friday was my favorite college basketball game ever: NC State 80, UCLA 77 in double OT at the 1974 Final Four, a game that ended UCLA’s streak of seven national titles in a row.

I was 14, a big NC State fan— David Thompson-Tom Burleson-Monte Towe. Also Tim Stoddard, who later pitched for the Orioles in the ’79 World Series. Used to listen to their games on radio station WBT in Charlotte- they beat Maryland in OT in ACC title game, back when you had to be the league champ, just to get into the NCAA’s.

About 10-12 years ago, I met Monte Towe at an AAU tournament in Florida; he was an assistant for NC State then. Good guy. Too bad ESPN didn’t exist back then; people have very little idea how great a player David Thompson was.

7) Odd stat: Last two years, Louisville is 0-8 vs spread as a road underdog in ACC games.

6) Mets’ SS Asdrubel Cabrera got thrown out of a spring training game this week- he asked for time while batting, didn’t get it, jawed at umpire Angel Hernandez and got tossed. Don’t see that a lot.

5) Kansas Jayhawks are first team since UConn in ’05 that scored 90+ points in its first three NCAA tournament games.

4) North Carolina 92, Butler 80— Not much of a game; Butler just couldn’t stop them- they had beaten Winthrop/Middle Tennessee to get here, and didn’t handle the sep up in class very well.

3) South Carolina 70, Baylor 50— Complete ass-kicking. Baylor’s players looked intimidated by their opponents. I’m thinking Frank Martin’s family didn’t have the Gamecocks going this far in their brackets- they play in their first-ever regional final Sunday.

Last time a 7-seed or lower won a Sweet 16 game by 15+ points? Davidson in ’08- they had a pretty good guard named Steph Curry.

2) Kentucky 86, UCLA 75— Game stayed under the outrageous 183.5 total; Wildcats play more defense— now they play the Tar Heels Sunday.

Now Lonzo Ball is off to the NBA, soon to be followed by half the Kentucky team. Will Indiana hire Steve Alford? A season ends and then things change very quickly for these people.

My biggest thing will be if Steve Alford leaves UCLA, who the hell do they bring in to replace him? Not an easy job, having to deal with the #2 and #3 Ball brothers.

1—Florida 84, Wisconsin 83 OT— Gators led by 8 with 2:10 left, then didn’t foul on last possession when Wisconsin had ball down 3, so of course Badgers hit a 3-pointer with 0:02.5 left. CBS gets their late night drama- this would’ve been first tournament since 1970 with no OT games thru the Sweet 16.

Chris Chiozza hit a running 3-pointer to win the game; we’ll be seeing that on TV for the next 30 years. What a ballgame.

Early in game, CBS showed golfer Andy North sitting next to Aaron Rodgers at this game; North is a big Badger booster who I believe paid for the new basketball court in the Wisconsin arena a few years ago, but he went to college at Florida- golfers need warm weather. No mistake though, North always roots for the Badgers.

Wisconsin had won its last eight overtime games.

Three of the Elite 8 are SEC teams? Didn’t see that coming.

**Udog** · 03-25-2017, 06:22 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 25

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OREGON (32 - 5) vs. KANSAS (31 - 4) - 3/25/2017, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
OREGON is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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XAVIER (24 - 13) vs. GONZAGA (35 - 1) - 3/25/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
GONZAGA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
GONZAGA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against Big East conference opponents since 1997.
GONZAGA is 144-104 ATS (+29.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
GONZAGA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
XAVIER is 332-280 ATS (+24.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
XAVIER is 332-280 ATS (+24.0 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
XAVIER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
XAVIER is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in March games this season.
XAVIER is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
XAVIER is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
XAVIER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
XAVIER is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
XAVIER is 226-176 ATS (+32.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FURMAN (22 - 11) at CAMPBELL (19 - 17) - 3/25/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FURMAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
FURMAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
FURMAN is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST PETERS (20 - 13) at TEXAS ST (22 - 13) - 3/25/2017, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games this season.
ST PETERS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST PETERS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games this season.
ST PETERS is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
ST PETERS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
TEXAS ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Short Sheet

Saturday, March 25

Oregon at Kansas, 8:45 PM ET
Oregon: 10-2 UNDER in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games
Kansas: 19-6 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more

Xavier at Gonzaga, 6:05 PM ET
Xavier: 9-19 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Gonzaga: 14-4 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5

Furman at Campbell, 2:00 PM ET
Furman: 22-11 ATS as a favorite
Campbell: 2-5 ATS after playing a game as favorite

St. Peter’s at Texas State, 5:00 PM ET
St Peter’s: 8-1 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3
Texas St: 0-6 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 25

Saturday’s NCAA games
Kansas won 11 of last 12 games, losing to TCU in Big X tourney; they beat pair of Big 14 teams in last two games. Jayhawks beat Stanford by 15 in only Pac-12 game this year. Oregon lost at Baylor of Big X in November. Since ’07, favorites are 6-2 vs spread when 1-seed plays a 3-seed in regional final; only 3-seed of those eight to win was Villanova (+2) over Pitt in ’09. Bill Self is 2-4 in regional finals at Kansas; he lost to Villanova in this round LY. Big X teams are 11-4-1 vs spread this postseason, 9-2 as favorites; Pac-12 teams are 7-6-1 vs spread, 2-1 as underdogs. Over last two seasons, Big X teams are 13-5 SU vs Pac-12 squads, 7-5 vs spread when favored.

Double digit seeds covered last five regional finals, winning 3 of 5 SU. Last non-cover? Kent St with vs Indiana in ’02.Xavier is 13-2 outside Big East, losing by 5 at Baylor, by 2 at Colorado in a western swing in early December; Musketeers three starters played 36:00+ in their upset of Arizona Thursday- two subs played 21-19 minutes. Gonzaga won a rock fight with West Virginia Thursday; they played one guy (Williams-Goss) more than 29:00- they’re 15-0 outside WCC; their only loss was at home to BYU in regular season finale. Zags are 4-0 vs top 30 teams, beating Florida/Iowa State/Arizona in addition to West Va Thursday.

Saturday’s extra games
Furman is 1-3 vs Big South teams this season, losing at home to NC-Asheville; other three games were on road. Paladins haven’t played in nine days- they’re #156 experience team that is 2-3 in its last five games- they’re 8-6 outside SoCon, 10-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Campbell won six of last seven games; they’re 2-1 vs SoCon this year, but wins were over VMI, Citadel, worst teams in league. Camels are #318 experience team that won three games to get to finals of Big South tourney. Both teams prefer a slowish pace. Favorites are 5-0 vs spread in SoCon’s postseason games; Big South underdogs are 0-3 vs spread in postseason.

St Peter’s is 6-7 outside MAAC; they’ve won eight of last nine games, have been off for nine days. Peacocks won their last five true road games- their last road loss was at Monmouth in OT Feb 3. St Peter’s is #35 experience team that plays pace #348. Texas State plays pace #345; they’ve won seven of last nine games, are 7-5 outside Sun Belt. Bobcats are #155 experience team- they beat Idaho at home Wednesday- they start three seniors. Texas State won its last seven home games; their last home loss was Jan 21 to UL-Lafayette.

**Udog** · 03-25-2017, 08:03 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, March 25

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Trend Report
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2:00 PM
FURMAN vs. CAMPBELL
Furman is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Furman's last 11 games on the road
No trends available

5:00 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. TEXAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Peter's last 5 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas State's last 9 games at home

6:09 PM
XAVIER vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
Gonzaga is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:49 PM
OREGON vs. KANSAS
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 5 games
Kansas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

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**Udog** · 03-25-2017, 08:06 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, March 25

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NCAA Tournament Elite Eight betting preview and odds: Xavier vs. Gonzaga
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The Musketeers are striving to become just the fourth 11th seed to reach a Final Four and are 15-2-1 ATS in their last 18 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.

Xavier Musketeers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs (-8.5, 145.5)

Game to be played at SAP Center, San Jose, California

Top-seeded Gonzaga and 11th-seeded Xavier are both shooting to reach the Final Four for the first time in school history when they meet in Saturday's West Region final at San Jose, Calif. Each school is also part of the Elite Eight for just the third time while the Musketeers are striving to become just the fourth 11th seed to reach a Final Four.

Xavier closed the game with a 9-0 run to post a 73-71 upset victory over second-seeded Arizona on Thursday and senior guard Malcolm Bernard feels his team is ready to join LSU (1986), George Mason (2006) and VCU (2011) as 11 seeds to crash the Final Four. "We worked so hard, not only in the offseason but throughout the year battling adversity," Bernard said in the postgame press conference. "and I just didn't think it was time for our season to end." There is certainly more pressure on the Bulldogs as the school's inability to reach a Final Four has been frequently brought up during their best-ever campaign. "First of all, I don't know that I have a monkey on my back," Gonzaga coach Mark Few said after a 61-58 victory over fourth-seeded West Virginia. "I certainly don't wake up with one or walk around with one. So I don't think these guys think I have one. ... It would be phenomenal to get these guys, this team that I love deeply, the experience to go to a Final Four."

TV: 6:09 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY: The Bulldogs hit the board as 8.5-point chalk against the Cinderella Musketeers and as of Friday afternoon that number hasn’t moved. The total opened at 145.5 and like the spread has yet to move off that number. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "With Michigan out of the tourney, Xavier is the certified Cinderella and rightfully so. A 13-loss team that has caught fire at the right time of the season, with a ton of NCAA tourney pedigree (24-4-2 ATS in this event since 2004). The Zags have turned it up defensively, allowing just 59 PPG in this tourney. A classic case of a top seed taking on Cinderella at this stage of the tournament." Marc Lawrence

WHAT BOOKS SAY: “The line opened at Gonzaga -8, then quickly moved to 8.5, however the action has been coming in on Xavier at a 3-1 clip, for both side bets and parlays. Looks like everyone thinks this 11 seed is going to be able to fend off that 8.5 points.” - Lines Manager at GTBets

INJURY REPORT:

Xavier - G Edmond Sumner (Out For Season, Knee)

Gonzaga - C Jacob Larsen (Out For Season, Knee)

ABOUT XAVIER: The Musketeers are led by red-hot junior guard Trevon Bluiett, who scored 25 points against Arizona and is averaging 25 in the NCAA tourney to raise his season-mark to 18.3 with 88 3-pointers. Bernard (6.5 average) scored a career-high 15 against the Wildcats and junior power forward Sean O'Mara (6.3) scored the tiebreaking inside basket with 44.1 seconds to play. Junior guard J.P. Macura contributes 13.9 points to go with 60 3-pointers for a team that has made its impressive postseason dash despite losing star sophomore point guard Edmond Sumner (averages of 15 points and five assists) to a season-ending knee injury in late January.

ABOUT GONZAGA: Shooting guard Jordan Mathews, who averages 10.7 points, drained the go-ahead 3-pointer with 57.3 seconds remaining in a victory over West Virginia that also featured the Bulldogs limiting the Mountaineers to 26.7-percent shooting from the field. Junior point guard Nigel Williams-Goss leads Gonzaga in scoring (16.5) and assists (4.7) but is a meager 12-of-42 shooting in three NCAA Tournament games. The Bulldogs outrebound opponents by 7.4 per game and rely on the sturdy interior trio of senior center Przemek Karnowski (12.4 points, 5.9 rebounds), junior power forward Johnathan Williams (10.1 points, team-best 6.6 boards) and freshman reserve 7-footer Zach Collins (10-point average, 5.7 rebounds).

TRENDS:

* Musketeers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Musketeers are 15-2-1 ATS in their last 18 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.
* Bulldogs are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
* Under is 5-1-1 in Musketeers last 7 overall.
* Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 vs. Big East.

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**Udog** · 03-25-2017, 08:09 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, March 25

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NCAA Tournament Elite Eight betting preview and odds: Oregon vs Kansas
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The Kansas Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight NCAA tournament games as betting favorites. Kansas gives 6.5 points to Oregon Saturday.

Oregon Ducks vs Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5, 156.5)

Game to be played at Sprint Center, Kansas City, Missouri

The Jayhawks are led by the talented backcourt duo of senior Frank Mason III and junior Devonte’ Graham, who each recorded 26 points in the 98-66 victory over Purdue on Thursday.

“We’re spoiled,” Kansas coach Bill Self told reporters, “. … on the perimeter you’ve always got, in my opinion, an All-American-type guard to be the leader and run your team. To have two guys out there playing like they’re playing, I think, just gives everybody confidence and it can help totally control the pace of the game.”

Oregon lost third-leading scorer and rim protector Chris Boucher to a knee injury in the Pac-12 tournament, but has battled its way into the Elite Eight with a versatile roster.

“We never quit,” Ducks sophomore guard Tyler Dorsey told reporters after the 69-68 win over Michigan on Thursday. “We just keep fighting. We know how to win.”

TV: 8:49 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY: The Jayhawks opened as 6-point favorites against the Ducks and by Friday afternoon that number was bet up a half point to 6.5. The total hit the board at 156.5 and hasn’t moved off that number.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The wounded Ducks continue their flight in this tournament, escaping with wins of 1 and 3 points in their last two games. Meanwhile, Kansas is hitting on all cylinders, topping 90 or more points in all three contests, averaging 96 PPG. Rallying around the loss of star F Ed Boucher has been the rallying cry of Oregon. Beating team like a drum has been Kansas’ mantra. This should prove interesting." Marc Lawrence

WHAT BOOKS SAY: “Kansas opened as a 5 point favorite, but the line has made its way up to 6.5 pretty quickly. The action is pretty close to even, with the Jayhawks seeing slightly more side action at this point.” - Lines Manager at GTBets

INJURY REPORT:

Oregon - F Chris Boucher (Out For Season, knee), F M.J. Cage (Out Indefinitely, knee)

Kansas - C Udoka Azubuike (Out For Season, wrist)

ABOUT OREGON (32-5): Dorsey has been nicknamed “Mr. March” by his teammates for good reason as the Los Angeles product is averaging 23.7 points in the first three games of the NCAA Tournament and 23 in the last six contests overall. Junior forward Dillon Brooks is the team’s leading scorer overall (16.3) and has matched that in the Big Dance while junior forward Jordan Bell has registered 13 points and 12.3 boards per game in the last three. The Ducks could use some added offense from senior guard Dylan Ennis, who is scoring 10.7 per game overall this season but is just 7-for-22 from the field for 22 total points in the NCAAs.

ABOUT KANSAS (31-4): Mason has been outstanding in his last NCAA Tournament, averaging 22.7 points on 23-of-41 shooting and 6.7 assists, and has scored at least 20 in nine of the last 10 contests. Graham became the first player to drain at least four 3-pointers in four straight NCAA Tournament games since Stephen Curry accomplished the feat with Davidson in 2008 and knocked down five against Purdue as Mason told reporters, “It’s probably one of the best games I’ve seen him play.” Freshman swingman Josh Jackson has also been solid in the Big Dance while averaging 18.3 points on 56 percent shooting.

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
* Over is 5-1 in Ducks last 6 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
* Over is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 games as a favorite.
* Over is 4-0 in Jayhawks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

CONSENSUS: 52 percent of spread bets are on Oregon while 72 percent of totals bets are on the Over.

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**Udog** · 03-25-2017, 08:12 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 25

St Peter's @ Texas State

Game 517-518
March 25, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Peter's
57.047
Texas State
61.103
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 4
115
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Peter's
by 1
120
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+1); Under

Furman @ Campbell

Game 515-516
March 25, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Furman
54.536
Campbell
56.124
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Campbell
by 1 1/2
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Furman
by 6
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Campbell
(+6); Under

Xavier @ Gonzaga

Game 513-514
March 25, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Xavier
63.177
Gonzaga
76.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 13
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gonzaga
by 8
145
Dunkel Pick:
Gonzaga
(-8); Over

Oregon @ Kansas

Game 511-512
March 25, 2017 @ 8:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon
76.634
Kansas
76.588
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
Even
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas
by 7
156
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(+7); Over

Announcement

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/25

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/25

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