Announcement

**Udog** · 03-23-2017, 07:30 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Prop bets for tonight’s NCAA tournament games:

— Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Purdue-Kansas game: 16.5

— Over/under, total 3-pointers made in West Va-Gonzaga game: 14.5

— Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Michigan-Oregon game: 17.5

— Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Xavier-Arizona game: 13.5

— Largest lead by either team in Purdue-Kansas game: 15.5 points

— Largest lead by either team in West Va-Gonzaga game: 14 points

— Largest lead by either team in Michigan-Oregon game: 12.5 points

— Largest lead by either team in Xavier-Arizona game: 16.5 points

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Worlds colliding: Madcap comedian Carrot Top was at Phillies’ spring training Wednesday, and was seen talking to former Phils’ manager Charlie Manuel.

Carrot Top’s dad worked for NASA; he was a rocket scientist. Seriously.

12) You know it might be a bad day when you’re a marginal major league player, you get a start in a road spring training game, and you forget your jersey. Oy.

Happened to Allen Webster of the Rangers, a guy who has pitched in 28 big league games (23 starts), so he should know better. Webster wound up giving up three runs in three IP, putting eight guys on base in a game Texas won 7-4.

11) In the 1987-88 NBA season, home teams won 67.9% of games; this season, that number is down to an all-time low of 57.4%. Teams traveling on private planes plays into that some, but an article on ESPN.com says one of the main reasons why road teams win more now is that players on the road party a lot less than they used to.

10) Basketball TV guy Doug Gottlieb, who recently jumped from CBS to FOX, will interview for the head coaching job at Oklahoma State (his alma mater) today. Gottlieb’s dad was a high school coach; his brother is an assistant coach at Oregon State.

9) Didn’t take VCU long to replace Will Wade with former Rice coach Mike Rhoades, who went 23-12 with the Owls this season— he was 47-52 in three years at Rice, after inheriting a 7-23 team three years ago.

By the way, as part of Wade’s contract at VCU, LSU will have to play a home/home series with the Rams- that was part of Wade’s buyout in his contract.

8) At the WBC, Team USA was DH’ing Giancarlo Stanton and sitting Paul Goldschmidt; why? I’ve had Stanton on my fantasy team since he was an 18-year old in the Florida State League. He is one of my favorite players, but no way in hell is he as good a hitter as Goldschmidt.

7) Padres’ TV guys were saying the ballclub wasn’t real happy about how little Yangervis Solarte played for Venezuela; they used him mostly as a pinch-runner. Bottom line is this: these teams are getting ready for the season- they want their guys getting AB’s in late March, not being subs.

6) Rory McIlroy lost 2 & 1 to Soren Kjeldsen at the World Golf Match Play tournament, but he did hit a drive 410 yards. Don’t see that a lot.

Jason Day withdrew from the tournament to be with his ailing mother. We wish her well.

5) In 13 years as a major league manager, Terry Collins is 925-925.

4) It is amazing to me that in most states, high school basketball doesn’t have a shot clock. There is a shot clock here in New York; protects the sport from overbearing coaches who strangle the game. Basketball is a much better spectator sport with a shot clock.

3) I don’t mind the WBC, I fully understand why it exists (to grow the game), but I’d much rather watch a spring training game. Just means more to me; I’m not a big nationalistic guy.

2) United States 8, Puerto Rico 0— Guy doing play-by-play on MLB Network oversold this tournament like he was Al Michaels in Lake Placid in 1980, but Americans win this event for first time ever. Puerto Rico didn’t get a hit until the 7th inning. Now everyone can go back to their major league teams and we can get ready for the season to start in ten days.

1— Mentioned yesterday that Chuck Barris passed away; the host of The Gong Show wrote an article for a magazine back in the 80’s, talking about how he was a vendor at Shibe Park during the 1950 World Series. He cut his hand at the same time one of the pitchers got hit with a line drive. In the First Aid room, everyone tended to the pitcher and ignored his bleeding hand. He got promoted as a vendor because they felt guilty about ignoring him.

Later in the same article, Barris tells a story about how he proposed to his second wife- they’re making out on the couch while he’s trying to watch the Raiders’ game on TV over her shoulder— he had bet on Oakland. She is bugging him to get married, so he tells her if the Raiders win this game, they’ll get married. Raymond Chester scores a touchdown, the Raiders win, and he was on the hook.

A great character; he was also a hell of a lot smarter than he let on.

**Udog** · 03-23-2017, 07:33 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 23

Toronto won four of last five games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Miami won seven of last nine games; they’re 10-2 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won last six Toronto-Miami games; Raptors lost last three visits to South Beach (0-3 vs spread) by 7-12-15 points. Under is 3-1 in last four series games played here.

Phoenix lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Their last six games stayed under total. Brooklyn is 4-7 in last 11 games, 7-12 vs spread in last 19 home games. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Nets won last three games with Phoenix; they covered five of last seven series games, Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Suns lost three of last four visits to Brooklyn (1-3 vs spread).

Clippers won their last three games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six true road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Mavericks lost four of last six games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Clippers won three of last four games with Dallas; teams split last four series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Grizzlies won four of last five games, are 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. San Antonio won four of last six games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games went over. Spurs lost their last two games with Memphis but both games were on road; Grizzlies lost their last four visits to Alamo (1-3 vs spread). Five of last seven series games stayed under.

New York lost six of last seven games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last five games went over. Trailblazers won three of last four games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Knicks lost seven of last nine games with Portland; they lost three of last four games in Oregon (1-3 vs spread). Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

NBA

Thursday, March 23

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
Toronto is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. BROOKLYN
Phoenix is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Brooklyn
Phoenix is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
Brooklyn is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

8:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DALLAS
LA Clippers are 7-16 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Dallas is 5-12 SU in their last 17 games when playing LA Clippers

10:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. PORTLAND
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing New York

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**Udog** · 03-23-2017, 09:14 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 23

New York @ Portland

Game 809-810
March 23, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.220
Portland
125.731
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 13 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 9 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-9 1/2); Over

Memphis @ San Antonio

Game 807-808
March 23, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.908
San Antonio
125.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 5 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8
199
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+8); Under

LA Clippers @ Dallas

Game 805-806
March 23, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
119.179
Dallas
127.523
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 8 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 4 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Brooklyn

Game 803-804
March 23, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.443
Brooklyn
118.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 9
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 4
223
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(-4); Over

Toronto @ Miami

Game 801-802
March 23, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
116.473
Miami
125.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 9
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 4
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-4); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 23

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TORONTO (42 - 29) at MIAMI (35 - 36) - 3/23/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 74-102 ATS (-38.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MIAMI is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-7 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (22 - 49) at BROOKLYN (14 - 56) - 3/23/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
PHOENIX is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (43 - 29) at DALLAS (30 - 40) - 3/23/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 374-308 ATS (+35.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (40 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (54 - 16) - 3/23/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 992-864 ATS (+41.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 82-66 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 504-420 ATS (+42.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 184-140 ATS (+30.0 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 277-229 ATS (+25.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 175-128 ATS (+34.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (27 - 44) at PORTLAND (32 - 38) - 3/23/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/23

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/23

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