Announcement

**Udog** · 03-22-2017, 08:20 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Match Play championship this week:

6-1— Rory McIlroy

7-1— Dustin Johnson

10-1— Jordan Spieth

13-1— Jason Day

20-1— Hideki Matsuyama

22-1– Jon Rahm

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings………

13) Cam Newton is having rotator cuff surgery next Thursday; not sure of the recovery timeframe, or why the operation is happening now and not two months ago, but question is: Will he be ready for the regular season? Big question for the Panthers.

12) If I owned a major league baseball team, all my coaches would know both English and Spanish; have to be able to communicate with players. Would also want our players to know English; how the hell can you live in a country and not know at least some of the language?

Sometimes, players know more of the language than they let on, so they can avoid talking to the media. Being bilingual is a big advantage in today’s baseball.

11) Oklahoma State’s star guard Juwan Evans is leaving school for the NBA; at 6-1, he is a marginal prospect who could wind up in the D-League. He helped us some this year when we picked the Cowboys; we wish him well, but wish he was coming back for another season in Stillwater.

10) Will Wade leaves VCU for LSU and everyone on Twitter asks why; is it a better basketball job? Money is (surprisingly) similar, they care more about basketball at VCU, since there is no football and he had a top 20 recruiting class coming to VCU in September.

I’ve said this before here; sometimes big fish/smaller pond works better.

9) UMass hires Winthrop coach Pat Kelsey to take over its hoop program; Kelsey went 102-59 at Winthrop, 56-30 in Big South games- he replaced Gregg Marshall there.

8) New Jersey Jets have drafted six QB’s since 2009, yet still paid 37-year old Josh McCown $6M to come in and play for one year. This is called mismanagement; not the McCown part, but draft one guy who can play, will ya?

7) Went into a LIDS store in the **** the other day; had good talk with young person who works there, who happens to be a fellow A’s fan. Major league fitted caps are now $35; caps for the World Baseball Classic are $37. Glad my hat collection is already too big- no thanks.

6) They were talking on the Padres’ spring training game the other night how sometimes guys go down to the minor league camp and play in B games to get extra at-bats. A major leaguer would play in one of those games and lead off every inning, just to get more AB’s. Minor leaguers are not necessarily fond of that, since it costs them some AB’s, but thats how it works.

5) Cincinnati Reds’ announcers are different than most local baseball announcers- they’ll rip the home team if they deserve it. “Boy, this is like a circus.” moaned Thom Brennaman during a bad inning by the Reds in their game with the Angels Tuesday.

Two oddities from this Reds-Angels game:
a) Both teams wore red jerseys; it is 2017, we can’t get different color jerseys?
b) Angels used a DH, Reds did not. People bet on these games. Wonder how many people bet on this game not knowing that little nugget?

4) RIP Jerry Krause, 77— he was GM of the Jordan-era Bulls who later became a baseball scout after leaving the NBA. Krause brought Toni Kukoc over from Europe to join Jordan/Pippen, which didn’t go over well with his two stars. Krause probably didn’t get enough credit for the Bulls’ success.

3) Fans sitting behind the announcers at the Bakersfield-Colorado State NIT game Monday nite weren’t very happy with the officiating and were letting the refs know it— the mikes picked up some of their R-rated criticisms. I’m thinking someone with ESPN must’ve asked them to cool it, since they weren’t as vocal near the end of the game

2) Nicole Auerbach reports that of the 351 Division I basketball teams, only five haven’t had a kid transfer out in the last two years. North Carolina hasn’t lost a transfer since 2011.

1— The night the Knicks beat the Lakers to win the 1970 NBA title, when Willis Reed limped out and inspired the Knicks to win by scoring the first two hoops of the game on basically one leg, one of the ballboys that night was Steve Albert, now the Phoenix Suns’ play-by-play guy on TV.

1a) One of my heroes passed away late Tuesday night; Chuck Barris, the wacky host of The Gong Show, died at age 87. Creator of game shows like The Dating Game and Newlywed Game, Barris was a creative genius with a bizarre sense of humor. He made me laugh more than just about anyone other than Steve Martin. RIP, sir, you will be missed.

**Udog** · 03-22-2017, 08:42 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 22

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UCF (23 - 11) at ILLINOIS (20 - 14) - 3/22/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CS-BAKERSFIELD (24 - 9) at TX-ARLINGTON (27 - 8) - 3/22/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-ARLINGTON is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CS-BAKERSFIELD is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-BAKERSFIELD is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CS-BAKERSFIELD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CS-BAKERSFIELD is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IDAHO (19 - 13) at TEXAS ST (21 - 13) - 3/22/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
TEXAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
IDAHO is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IL-CHICAGO (17 - 18) at COASTAL CAROLINA (18 - 17) - 3/22/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 120-89 ATS (+22.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH VALLEY ST (17 - 16) at WYOMING (20 - 14) - 3/22/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
WYOMING is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
WYOMING is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
WYOMING is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WYOMING is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WYOMING is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WYOMING is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
WYOMING is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, March 22

Illinois at Central FL, 7:00 PM ET
Illinois: 1-5 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
Central FL: 5-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins

CS Bakersfield at UT Arlington, 9:00 PM ET
CS Bakersfield: 9-2 ATS in non-conference games
UT Arlington: 3-6 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

Idaho at Texas State, 8:00 PM ET
Idaho: 8-1 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more
Texas St: 10-3 UNDER as a favorite

Illinois Chicago at Coastal Carolina, 7:00 PM ET
Illinois Chicago: 6-0 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog
Coastal Carolina: 1-6 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Utah Valley at Wyoming, 9:00 PM ET
Utah Valley: 1-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more
Wyoming: 10-3 ATS in non-conference games

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 22

Central Florida coach Dawkins has already won two NIT titles; his Knights won eight of last nine games, winning on tough Illinois State court Monday. UCF played two starters 40:00, a third 38:00, the other two 30:00- they only used seven guys in game by 13 at half. UCF is 11-3 outside AAC; their two NIT wins are by total of six points. Illinois has an interim coach while new coach Underwood observes from stands; Illini won last two games by 25-15 points, both at home- they are 12-3 outside Big 14 and start three seniors. Last two years, AAC teams are 9-7 vs Big 14 teams.

Texas-Arlington is 10-3 outside Sun Belt; they’re 14-0 at home this year and won their first two NIT games by 16 points each- none of their guys played 30:00 Monday vs Akron. Mavericks are #14 experience team, starting three juniors, two seniors. Cal-Bakersfield is the #15 experience team, starting two juniors, three seniors; Roadrunners played two guys 33:00+ in surprisingly easy win at Colorado State Monday. Bakersfield is only 9-6 outside WAC but they’ve won road games at Cal/Colorado State in this tournament, scoring 77 pts/game- they have #3 eFG% defense in country.

Idaho is 4-6 outside Big Sky, but they won by 8 at Little Rock of Sun Belt back in November; Vandals won six of last seven games, winning last two true road games, at No Arizona/So Utah. Texas State lost six of last eight games; they KO’d #1-seed Arlington from Sun Belt tourney, then lost final by 6 to Troy State. Bobcats play one of 10 slowest tempos in country and Idaho plays #270 tempo, so this should be half-court game. Big Sky/Sun Belt teams split six meetings over last two years and Sun Belt team was favored in all six games.

17-18 Ill-Chicago needs win here to get to .500 for season; they’re least experienced team in the country, turning ball over 22% of time (#339)- they lost last three true road games, with last true road win Feb 17 at Detroit. Coastal Carolina is 5-8 outside Sun Belt; they won first two home games in this tournament by 16-9 points. Chanticleers won six of last seven home games; they can’t shoot (#327 on foul line, #254 on arc), but they’re 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Coastal is #115 experience team in country. Last two years, Sun Belt teams are 3-0 vs Horizon teams (2-1 vs spread).

Utah Valley won six of its last seven games; they’re 8-7 outside WAC, winning road games at Georgia Southern/Rice in this tournament. Wolverines are deep team that plays #13 pace- the Wyoming altitude won’t bother them. Wyoming is 10-3 outside Mountain West; they beat UMKC of WAC by 11 in last game. Cowboys play #14 pace, so we have two teams in high altitude who will go up and down court. Wyoming won its last four home games. Utah Valley won its last five true road games. WAC has higher rating than Ivy League; it is best league in country that isn’t in Las Vegas rotation during season.

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 22

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Trend Report
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TBA
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. ILLINOIS
Central Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Illinois's last 15 games
Illinois is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

TBA
COASTAL CAROLINA vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
No trends available
Illinois-Chicago is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Illinois-Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO vs. COASTAL CAROLINA
Illinois-Chicago is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois-Chicago's last 9 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Illinois is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Illinois is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Central Florida8-1-1 SU in its last 10 games
Central Florida is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

8:00 PM
IDAHO vs. TEXAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Idaho's last 8 games on the road
Idaho is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Texas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 8 games at home

9:00 PM
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. TEXAS-ARLINGTON
CS Bakersfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas-Arlington is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-Arlington's last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
UTAH VALLEY vs. WYOMING
Utah Valley is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wyoming's last 6 games
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 03-22-2017, 09:28 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 22

Utah Valley @ Wyoming

Game 781-782
March 22, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah Valley
49.729
Wyoming
56.304
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 6 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 3
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(-3); Under

Illinois-Chicago @ Coastal Carolina

Game 779-780
March 22, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois-Chicago
47.734
Coastal Carolina
55.308
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 7 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 3 1/2
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(-3 1/2); Over

Idaho @ Texas State

Game 771-772
March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho
49.770
Texas State
61.386
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 11 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas State
by 5
131
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(-5); Over

CS-Bakersfield @ TX-Arlington

Game 769-770
March 22, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
CS-Bakersfield
60.282
TX-Arlington
63.307
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-Arlington
by 3
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-Arlington
by 6 1/2
144
Dunkel Pick:
CS-Bakersfield
(+6 1/2); Under

Illinois @ UCF

Game 767-768
March 22, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
60.482
UCF
68.048
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 7 1/2
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCF
by 3 1/2
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(-3 1/2); Under

Announcement

Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/22

Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/22

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