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  • Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 22

    Good Luck on day #81 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Match Play championship this week:

    6-1— Rory McIlroy

    7-1— Dustin Johnson

    10-1— Jordan Spieth

    13-1— Jason Day

    20-1— Hideki Matsuyama

    22-1– Jon Rahm

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings………

    13) Cam Newton is having rotator cuff surgery next Thursday; not sure of the recovery timeframe, or why the operation is happening now and not two months ago, but question is: Will he be ready for the regular season? Big question for the Panthers.

    12) If I owned a major league baseball team, all my coaches would know both English and Spanish; have to be able to communicate with players. Would also want our players to know English; how the hell can you live in a country and not know at least some of the language?

    Sometimes, players know more of the language than they let on, so they can avoid talking to the media. Being bilingual is a big advantage in today’s baseball.

    11) Oklahoma State’s star guard Juwan Evans is leaving school for the NBA; at 6-1, he is a marginal prospect who could wind up in the D-League. He helped us some this year when we picked the Cowboys; we wish him well, but wish he was coming back for another season in Stillwater.

    10) Will Wade leaves VCU for LSU and everyone on Twitter asks why; is it a better basketball job? Money is (surprisingly) similar, they care more about basketball at VCU, since there is no football and he had a top 20 recruiting class coming to VCU in September.

    I’ve said this before here; sometimes big fish/smaller pond works better.

    9) UMass hires Winthrop coach Pat Kelsey to take over its hoop program; Kelsey went 102-59 at Winthrop, 56-30 in Big South games- he replaced Gregg Marshall there.

    8) New Jersey Jets have drafted six QB’s since 2009, yet still paid 37-year old Josh McCown $6M to come in and play for one year. This is called mismanagement; not the McCown part, but draft one guy who can play, will ya?

    7) Went into a LIDS store in the **** the other day; had good talk with young person who works there, who happens to be a fellow A’s fan. Major league fitted caps are now $35; caps for the World Baseball Classic are $37. Glad my hat collection is already too big- no thanks.

    6) They were talking on the Padres’ spring training game the other night how sometimes guys go down to the minor league camp and play in B games to get extra at-bats. A major leaguer would play in one of those games and lead off every inning, just to get more AB’s. Minor leaguers are not necessarily fond of that, since it costs them some AB’s, but thats how it works.

    5) Cincinnati Reds’ announcers are different than most local baseball announcers- they’ll rip the home team if they deserve it. “Boy, this is like a circus.” moaned Thom Brennaman during a bad inning by the Reds in their game with the Angels Tuesday.

    Two oddities from this Reds-Angels game:
    a) Both teams wore red jerseys; it is 2017, we can’t get different color jerseys?
    b) Angels used a DH, Reds did not. People bet on these games. Wonder how many people bet on this game not knowing that little nugget?

    4) RIP Jerry Krause, 77— he was GM of the Jordan-era Bulls who later became a baseball scout after leaving the NBA. Krause brought Toni Kukoc over from Europe to join Jordan/Pippen, which didn’t go over well with his two stars. Krause probably didn’t get enough credit for the Bulls’ success.

    3) Fans sitting behind the announcers at the Bakersfield-Colorado State NIT game Monday nite weren’t very happy with the officiating and were letting the refs know it— the mikes picked up some of their R-rated criticisms. I’m thinking someone with ESPN must’ve asked them to cool it, since they weren’t as vocal near the end of the game

    2) Nicole Auerbach reports that of the 351 Division I basketball teams, only five haven’t had a kid transfer out in the last two years. North Carolina hasn’t lost a transfer since 2011.

    1— The night the Knicks beat the Lakers to win the 1970 NBA title, when Willis Reed limped out and inspired the Knicks to win by scoring the first two hoops of the game on basically one leg, one of the ballboys that night was Steve Albert, now the Phoenix Suns’ play-by-play guy on TV.

    1a) One of my heroes passed away late Tuesday night; Chuck Barris, the wacky host of The Gong Show, died at age 87. Creator of game shows like The Dating Game and Newlywed Game, Barris was a creative genius with a bizarre sense of humor. He made me laugh more than just about anyone other than Steve Martin. RIP, sir, you will be missed.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, March 22


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHARLOTTE (31 - 39) at ORLANDO (26 - 45) - 3/22/2017, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHARLOTTE is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
      CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
      ORLANDO is 29-41 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games this season.
      ORLANDO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CHARLOTTE is 7-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      CHARLOTTE is 8-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      INDIANA (36 - 34) at BOSTON (45 - 26) - 3/22/2017, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      INDIANA is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DETROIT (34 - 36) at CHICAGO (33 - 37) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DETROIT is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
      DETROIT is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.
      CHICAGO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DETROIT is 8-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      DETROIT is 7-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ATLANTA (37 - 33) at WASHINGTON (42 - 28) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ATLANTA is 31-39 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
      ATLANTA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
      ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 9-7 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 10-7 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHILADELPHIA (26 - 44) at OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 30) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 13-0 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CLEVELAND (46 - 23) at DENVER (33 - 37) - 3/22/2017, 9:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MILWAUKEE (34 - 35) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 43) - 3/22/2017, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MILWAUKEE is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
      MILWAUKEE is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.
      MILWAUKEE is 354-426 ATS (-114.6 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 250-308 ATS (-88.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      SACRAMENTO is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW YORK (27 - 43) at UTAH (43 - 28) - 3/22/2017, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW YORK is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW YORK is 211-168 ATS (+26.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
      UTAH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      UTAH is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-22-2017, 12:19 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Wednesday, March 22


        Hornets won last two games, both at home; they lost three of last four on road, are 6-4 vs spread in last 10 road games- their last three games stayed under. Magic won last two games, are 4-10 vs spread in last 14 home games. Four of their last five home games went over total. Charlotte won its last six games with Orlando (5-1 vs spread); Hornets won/covered four of their last five visits here- four of those five games went over total.

        Pacers lost its last four road games (0-4 vs spread); they’re 6-6 SU since All-Star break. Under is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Boston won four of last five games; they’re 4-0 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 12-1-2 in their last fifteen games. Celtics won three of last four games with Indiana; under is 7-1 in last eight series games. Pacers lost three of last four visits to Boston.

        Detroit lost four of last five games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Bulls lost eight of last ten games; they blew a 15-point lead in 4th quarter in Toronto last nite. Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games. Pistons won seven of last ten games with Chicago; teams split last four series games played here. Six of last eight series games stayed under.

        Hawks lost their last four games; they’re 5-8 against the spread in last 13 road games. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Washington lost four of last five games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 9-2 in their last eleven games. Wizards won three of their last four games with Atlanta (under 3-1). Hawks lost by 11-3 points in last two visits to Washington.

        76ers are 4-9 in their last 13 games, but 16-3 vs spread in their last 19 games, covering last five games on foreign soil. Three of their last four games stayed under. OKC won five of last six games; they’re 10-3 vs spread in last 13 home games. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Thunder won their last ten games with Philly but 76ers covered four of last five; Sixers lost three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Seven of last eight series games stayed under.

        Cleveland won three of its last four games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road tilts. Under is 11-4 in their last fifteen games. Nuggets won three of last four home games; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games overall. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Denver; Cavaliers won last three games here (2-0-1 vs spread). Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.

        Milwaukee won nine of its last 11 games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games. Under is 12-1-1 in their last 14 games. Sacramento lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 11-5 in their last sixteen games. Bucks-Kings split their last ten games; Milwaukee lost three of last five visits to Sacramento. Last eight series games went over total.

        New York lost five of last six games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four games went over. Jazz lost their last three games, all on road; they’re 4-8 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of last four Utah games stayed under. Knicks lost four of last five games with Utah; they lost by 5-21 points in last two visits here. Last four series games played here stayed under.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-22-2017, 12:19 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Wednesday, March 22


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          CHARLOTTE vs. ORLANDO
          Charlotte is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Charlotte's last 19 games
          Orlando is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Charlotte
          Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

          7:30 PM
          INDIANA vs. BOSTON
          The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 15 games
          Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games

          8:00 PM
          ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
          Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games

          8:00 PM
          PHILADELPHIA vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
          Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

          8:00 PM
          DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
          Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games

          9:00 PM
          CLEVELAND vs. DENVER
          Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games on the road
          Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
          Denver is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland

          10:30 PM
          NEW YORK vs. UTAH
          New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
          Utah is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
          Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

          10:30 PM
          MILWAUKEE vs. SACRAMENTO
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
          Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-22-2017, 12:20 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Dunkel

            Wednesday, March 22



            New York @ Utah

            Game 765-766
            March 22, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            New York
            114.318
            Utah
            128.701
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 14 1/2
            197
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 10 1/2
            203 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-10 1/2); Under

            Milwaukee @ Sacramento


            Game 763-764
            March 22, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            116.434
            Sacramento
            117.211
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Sacramento
            by 1
            196
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 4
            204 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Sacramento
            (+4); Under

            Cleveland @ Denver


            Game 761-762
            March 22, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Cleveland
            118.509
            Denver
            127.141
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Denver
            by 8 1/2
            236
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Cleveland
            by 3 1/2
            228 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Denver
            (+3 1/2); Over

            Philadelphia @ Oklahoma City


            Game 759-760
            March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Philadelphia
            114.591
            Oklahoma City
            125.077
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 8 1/2
            225
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 11
            218
            Dunkel Pick:
            Philadelphia
            (+11); Over

            Atlanta @ Washington


            Game 757-758
            March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Atlanta
            114.138
            Washington
            123.920
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Washington
            by 10
            218
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington
            by 7
            213 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Washington
            (-7); Over

            Detroit @ Chicago


            Game 755-756
            March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Detroit
            119.271
            Chicago
            113.196
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Detroit
            by 6
            204
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Chicago
            by 1
            198 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Detroit
            (+1); Over

            Indiana @ Boston


            Game 753-754
            March 22, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Indiana
            117.852
            Boston
            123.460
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Boston
            by 5 1/2
            204
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston
            by 7 1/2
            208 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Indiana
            (+7 1/2); Under

            Charlotte @ Orlando


            Game 751-752
            March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Charlotte
            117.935
            Orlando
            119.473
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Orlando
            by 1 1/2
            202
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Charlotte
            by 5
            208
            Dunkel Pick:
            Orlando
            (+5); Under
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-22-2017, 12:21 PM.

            Comment

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