Announcement

**Udog** · 03-20-2017, 08:47 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Former NBA star Penny Hardaway is a high school coach in Tennessee; his Memphis East team won the state championship this weekend.

— Only once in last 21 years have all four 2-seeds made it to the Sweet 16.

— Steve Alford has a $7.8M buyout at UCLA; if he wants to go back home to Indiana to coach the Hoosiers, adidas is expected to pay the $7.8M.

— Indians 2B Jason Kipnis is out 4-5 more weeks with shoulder inflammation.

— Big change in MLB this year; there is a 10-day disabled list now, not 15 days.

— Arkansas State hired Louisville assistant Mike Balado as its new hoop coach; little weird that they announced it while Louisville was playing Michigan Sunday.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball weekend…….

13) Michigan 73, Louisville 69— Wolverines shot just 6-17 on arc; they shouldn’t win this game with those numbers, especially with Walton going 3-13 from floor. Snider was 0-9 for Louisville, 0-7 on arc, bad time for a game like that. Michigan was +5 (11-6) in turnovers; they’re on the roll of a lifetime here, finding ways to win.

12) Kentucky 65, Wichita State 62— Just like 2014, these teams play a tense second round game and Wildcats prevail. Whats next for a Wichita team that returns all its players next year? Will they be in a different league? Will Gregg Marshall still be there? UCLA whacked the Wildcats back in December in Lexington; the rematch should be fun.

11) Kansas 90, Michigan State 70— Spartans were #323 experience team in country; they played #49 non-conference schedule, had some injury issues, but got to the round of 32. Izzo is a great coach, but tough coaching such a young group, albeit a very talented team. Since 2010, Kansas is just 5-3 in this round; this is a solid win- they move on to play Purdue in regional semis.

Jayhawks scored 1.31 pts/possession in first two tournament games, which is really good.

10) North Carolina 72, Arkansas 65— Razorbacks were down 30-13 early, rallied to take the lead, led as late as when score was 65-60, but Tar Heels scored the last 12 points of the game, holding Arkansas scoreless over 3:30 of game. Razorbacks needed to keep game chaotic; when it slowed down, they fell apart.

9) Oregon 75, Rhode Island 72— Conference of Champions wins again; this was a hard-fought game, with Rams up 46-38 at half, but they only scored 26 in 2nd half. Oregon plays Michigan next in Kansas City- they outscored URI 18-6 on foul line, made 7-16 on arc. Rams shot 65% inside arc, but were just 6-8 on foul line, 6-22 on arc. This was a fun game to watch.

Bobby Hurley was with his brother Danny this weekend in Sacramento; had to be weird for him, since he played for the NBA’s Kings and got into a car accident outside the old arena there that ruined his playing career. Bobby was a much better player than his brother, but Danny Hurley seems like he is the better coach.

8) Baylor 82, USC 78— Trojans’ Metu killed the Bears inside (28 points), but Baylor’s bench outscored USC’s 25-4- they were +11 on boards and Lecomte took over a segment of the game that put Baylor ahead for good. USC was 9-22 on arc; they had a great week, but fell little bit short here.

7) South Carolina 88, Duke 81— This regional was supposed to be played in North Carolina, but was yanked because of the Bathroom Law, so Duke, a team that refuses to play true road games in pre-conference play, winds up playing the Gamecocks in Greenville, SC, basically a road game in the Round of 32.

Gamecocks were down 30-23 at halftime, but stormed back in 2nd half, scoring 65 points, most points a Duke team has allowed in one half under Krzyzewski. South Carolina is in Sweet 16 for first time ever; last time they had even won one tournament game was in 1973.

6) UCLA 79, Cincinnati 67— Bearcats led 33-30 at half, then UCLA scored 30 points in first 9:50 of second half, and pulled away in last ten minutes. Underdogs were 6-2 vs spread on Sunday.

There are rumors on the Interweb that Indiana will offer Steve Alford $31.7M for seven years to be its new coach, but now all that has to wait. UCLA is headed to Memphis to play Kentucky in the gym that John Calipari used to call home. Bruins beat Kentucky 97-92 in Rupp Arena in December.

5) Washington hired Syracuse assistant Mike Hopkins as its new hoop coach. Hopkins was supposed to be Jim Boeheim’s successor (and he may still be), but he is 47, which is a little late to be getting your first head coaching job- guess he got tired of waiting.

4) A Las Vegas gambler risked $20,000 to win only $500, playing Louisville on the money line against Jacksonville State Friday.

3) Another investor risked $50,000 on a Villanova/Gonzaga money line parlay, which went down the drain when Wisconsin upset the Wildcats. Thats a bad day.

2) Here’s a good day: When Kansas State won their play-in game with Wake Forest, K-State coach Bruce Weber banked a $164,000 bonus for winning an NCAA tournament game. Hope he sends his agent a nice gift.

1— World Baseball Classic has to be a financial bonanza; they put 65,000+ fans in Petco Park for two separate admissions Saturday. Not sure what tickets cost, but they should have good crowds in Dodger Stadium for the finals this coming week.

**Udog** · 03-20-2017, 09:07 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 20

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PHILADELPHIA (26 - 43) at ORLANDO (25 - 45) - 3/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-22 ATS (+19.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 29-40 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
ORLANDO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games this season.
ORLANDO is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 7-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (37 - 32) at CHARLOTTE (30 - 39) - 3/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (43 - 27) at INDIANA (35 - 34) - 3/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 158-122 ATS (+23.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (42 - 27) at BOSTON (44 - 26) - 3/20/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (33 - 36) at HOUSTON (48 - 22) - 3/20/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (55 - 14) at OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 29) - 3/20/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 174-125 ATS (+36.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 136-113 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 82-60 ATS (+16.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 81-58 ATS (+17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 11-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (27 - 42) at LA CLIPPERS (41 - 29) - 3/20/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 210-168 ATS (+25.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-20-2017, 09:08 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 20

76ers won three of last four games, covered 15 of last 18 games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Magic lost four of last five games; they’re 4-9 vs spread in last 13 home games. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Road team won six of last seven Philly-Orlando games; 76ers won three of last five visits to Magic Kingdom. Six of last eight series games went over.

Atlanta lost its last three games; they’re 5-7 vs spread in last 12 road games. Three of their last four road games stayed under. Charlotte lost three of last four games; 3-10 vs spread in last 13 home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Hornets won three of last four games with Atlanta; Hawks lost four of last five visits here (0-4-1 vs spread). Last seven series games stayed under the total.

Utah lost three of last five games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games- their last three games stayed under the total. Pacers won their last four home games; 5-0-1 vs spread in game following their last six losses. Under is 12-2 in their last 14 games. Jazz won their last three games with Indiana, but they lost four of last five visits here. Three of last four series games went over.

Washington lost three of last four games; they’re 9-4-2 vs spread in last 15 road games. Over is 9-1 in their last ten games. Boston won three of last four games; they won/covered last three home games. Under is 11-1-2 in their last 14 games. Celtics won five of last seven games with Washington; last two series games went over. Wizards lost last four visits to Boston (0-4 vs spread).

Nuggets won/covered four of last five games, including last three on road. Seven of their last nine road games stayed under. Houston won four of last five games; they’re 7-10 vs spread in last 17 home games. Eight of their last ten home games went over. Rockets won six of last nine games with Denver; Nuggets lost two of last three games played here. Under is 3-2 in last five series games.

Golden State won its last three games; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 11-1 in their last 12 games. Thunder won/covered last five games; they’re 10-2 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Warriors won their last six games with Oklahoma City, beating them by 26-21-16 this season. Teams split last four series games played here- four of last five series games stayed under the total.

New York lost four of last five games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Clippers lost three of last four games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten home games. Under is 6-3-2 in their last 11 games. Knicks lost their last nine games with the Clippers (2-7 vs spread); they lost last four series games played here (2-2 vs spread). Seven of last nine series games stayed under.

**Udog** · 03-20-2017, 09:10 AM

NBA

Monday, March 20

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ORLANDO
Philadelphia is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Orlando is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 12 games on the road
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Charlotte is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. BOSTON
Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. HOUSTON
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Golden State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Oklahoma City is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Golden State

10:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
New York is 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games at home
LA Clippers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing at home against New York

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**Udog** · 03-20-2017, 11:15 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 20

New York @ LA Clippers

Game 613-614
March 20, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
115.161
LA Clippers
133.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 18
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 10 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-10 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Oklahoma City

Game 611-612
March 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.839
Oklahoma City
122.924
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 5
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 1
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-1); Over

Denver @ Houston

Game 609-610
March 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.655
Houston
133.325
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 15 1/2
244
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 9
236 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-9); Over

Washington @ Boston

Game 607-608
March 20, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.607
Boston
120.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+2 1/2); Under

Utah @ Indiana

Game 605-606
March 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
123.167
Indiana
115.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 7 1/2
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 2 1/2
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-2 1/2); Under

Atlanta @ Charlotte

Game 603-604
March 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
115.725
Charlotte
118.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 3
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+5 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Orlando

Game 601-602
March 20, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
109.628
Orlando
118.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 9
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 5
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-5); Over

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/20

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/20

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