Announcement

**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

— Ole Miss won their NIT game at Syracuse, 85-80.

— North Carolina PG Joel Berry (ankle) is questionable for UNC today against Arkansas.

— Lebron James had to “rest” last night; looked like he was drinking coffee on the Cavs’ bench.

— Arizona Cardinals lost six defensive players from LY to free agency; those six guys played a total of 4,657 snaps LY. Not good.

— Americans beat Dominican Republic 6-3 to move on the semi-finals of the WBC in Dodger Stadium this coming week. Adam Jones made a great catch in CF, robbing his Oriole teammate Manny Machado of a home run. Great catch.

— RIP Chuck Berry, a great musician who passed away this weekend at age 90.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…….

13) Wisconsin 65, Villanova 62— Wildcats won national title LY, but since 2010, they’re now 1-4 in 2nd round games- they were favored by 4.5-4.5-9.5-5.5 points in the losses. Wisconsin has a lot of big-game experience- they were down 57-50 in this game, finished strong- they shot 64.5% inside arc, surviving 7-16 shooting on foul line.

12) West Virginia 83, Notre Dame 71— Mountaineers put relentless pressure on you and it tires teams out. West Virginia was 8-14 on arc, which doesn’t happen much (first time since Dec 10 they made more than half their 3’s)- when they shoot well, they can pressure the ball more and then they’re very hard to beat.

Notre Dame took 28 3-pointers, 26 2-pointers in this game, not usually a winning formula.

11) Gonzaga 79, Northwestern 73— I’m glad Zags won, but this game clearly swung on a blown goaltending call the refs missed, when Wildcats were making huge run, after trailing by 20 at one point. Collins got T’d up because of the missed call, which happened with 4:57 left and Gonzaga up by 5— goaltending would’ve made it a 3-point game.

Gonzaga moves on; Northwestern goes home after a historic season for them, making NCAA’s for first time. A Big 14 school near Chicago should never have been this bad for so long, but now Evanston should become a more fashionable destination for good players.

10) Xavier 91, Florida State 66— I think Steve Lavin is a great game analyst, so fun to listen to, much better than in studio, where he can only say so much. Lavin was at his best in this game with Ian Eagle, throwing in movie/pop culture references. Good stuff.

As for the game, Chris Mack can really coach; he is playing with a freshman backup PG (who has no backup), yet his team won this game easily, leading by 10 at the half. Disappointing end to the season for FSU, a young team that often struggled away from home.

9) Butler 74, Middle Tennessee 65— Three of Blue Raiders’ starters didn’t score, which makes it hard to win- their leading scorer Potts was averaging 15.6 pts/game- he didn’t score, but this was still a 5-point game late. Last four years, 12-seeds are 1-5 vs spread in second round when facing a 4-seed. Butler gets monkey off its back; they lost in second round last two years.

8) Arizona 69, St Mary’s 60— Gaels led 30-29 at the half, but superior athleticism took over in the second half as Arizona wore St Mary’s down and pulled away late. Sean Miller faces his old team Xavier in the next round out in San Jose.

7) Florida 65, Virginia 39— Horrendous exhibition by the Cavaliers, shooting 1-15 on the arc in a non-competitive performance. Florida won/covered its last five second round games, though they did miss tournament the last two years. This was just an awful game.

6) Purdue 80, Iowa State 76— Cyclones were incredibly bad for the first 22:00, then they made an epic comeback, rallying back from 19 down to take a 73-71 lead, but Purdue won this game in the last 3:00 and moves on and will play the Kansas-Michigan State winner in Kansas City. Cyclones were 7-23 on arc, their worst mark in any game since Jan 21st.

5) When John Chaney was coaching at Temple, it basically became expected that once a player got his second foul in the first half, he was done until the second half. Now all of a sudden this year, some TV people are criticizing that strategy, including some guys who coached against Chaney and did it themselves when they coached.

4) Brad Underwood bolts Oklahoma State after one year for Illinois; apparently the AD at OSU told Underwood he would re-negotiate his contract if the Cowboys won, which they did. But then the AD reneged on his word and Underwood bolted, quickly.

The term “carpet-bagger” comes to mind, but Underwood gets a huge pay upgrade for going to Illinois, and this is a capitalist society, so good for him.

This, by the way, is why some college players get annoyed— coaches jump ship for big bucks, while kids get in trouble with the NCAA for taking extra benefits. It is called “how the real world works”, but I can also see their point.

3) Since 1987, Villanova is 16th 1-seed to lose in 2nd round; of previous 15 teams to upset the 1-seed, those teams went 8-7 SU in regional semi-finals, 1-2 vs spread as a favorite, 7-5 as the underdog. Surprisingly, North Carolina has twice upset a 1-seed in 2nd round, in ’90 and 2000.

2) Looking at the eight teams who pulled those 2nd round upsets, then won again in regional semis, they went 5-3 SU if they got to the regional final- they were underdog in four of five wins.

1— Since 2001, Florida (’07) is only defending national champ that made it to a regional final the next year- they won back/back titles, in ’06/‘07. Villanova’s loss drops defending champs to 8-2 in last ten second round games (since ’01).

**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 09:08 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 19

Cleveland @ LA Lakers

Game 715-716
March 19, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
118.509
LA Lakers
112.600
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 6
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

Sacramento @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
March 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
114.024
San Antonio
123.625
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 9 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 13 1/2
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+13 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
March 19, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
114.024
San Antonio
123.625
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 9 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 13 1/2
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+13); Under

Minnesota @ New Orleans

Game 711-712
March 19, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
120.200
New Orleans
126.374
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 6
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
208
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-3); Over

Indiana @ Toronto

Game 709-710
March 19, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.607
Toronto
121.432
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3 1/2); Under

Portland @ Miami

Game 707-708
March 19, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
118.809
Miami
129.342
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 11
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 7
214
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-7); Under

Phoenix @ Detroit

Game 705-706
March 19, 2017 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
108.467
Detroit
126.359
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 13
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 9 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-9 1/2); Under

Boston @ Philadelphia

Game 703-704
March 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
120.534
Philadelphia
117.955
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+5 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Brooklyn

Game 701-702
March 19, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
113.932
Brooklyn
119.172
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 5
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 5
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+5); Under

**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 09:10 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 19

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DALLAS (29 - 39) at BROOKLYN (13 - 55) - 3/19/2017, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 478-402 ATS (+35.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) on Sunday games this season.
DALLAS is 317-265 ATS (+25.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (44 - 25) at PHILADELPHIA (25 - 43) - 3/19/2017, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BOSTON is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (22 - 47) at DETROIT (33 - 36) - 3/19/2017, 4:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (31 - 37) at MIAMI (34 - 35) - 3/19/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 29-39 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games this season.
MIAMI is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
MIAMI is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (35 - 33) at TORONTO (40 - 29) - 3/19/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 183-227 ATS (-66.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-6 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (28 - 40) at NEW ORLEANS (28 - 41) - 3/19/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 7-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (27 - 42) at SAN ANTONIO (52 - 16) - 3/19/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 990-864 ATS (+39.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 80-66 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 503-420 ATS (+41.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 203-143 ATS (+45.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 403-323 ATS (+47.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (45 - 23) at LA LAKERS (20 - 49) - 3/19/2017, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 09:11 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 19

Mavericks lost three of last four games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Nets are 4-8 since All-Star break; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven home tilts. Seven of their last nine games went over total. Dallas won four of last five games with Brooklyn; they won three of last four games in Barclays’ Center. Four of last five series games stayed under total.

Celtics won their last three games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Under is 9-1-2 in their last 12 games. Philly lost five of last seven game but covered last five; 14-2 vs spread in last 16 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Boston won its last ten games with the 76ers but Philly covered last three; Celtics won last four games in this building (3-1 vs spread). Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Suns lost five of last six games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games- their last four games stayed under the total. Detroit lost its last three games; they’re 11-4 vs spread in last 1 home games (0-2 in last two). Pistons won three of last four games with Phoenix; Suns lost three of last four visits here (0-4 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over total. Four of their last five games stayed under.

Portland won seven of its last nine games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Heat won six of last seven games; they’re 7-0 vs spread in last seven home games. Three of their last four home games went over. Home side won last six Portland-Miami games; Trailblazers lost their last four visits to South Beach (1-3 vs spread). Four of last six series games stayed under total.

Indiana is 1-6 vs spread in game following their last seven wins; Pacers are 0-3 vs spread in last three road games. Under is 12-1 in their last 13 games. Raptors won four of last five home games; they’re 7-5 vs spread since All-Star break. Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games. Toronto won six of last nine games with Indiana; Pacers lost last three visits to Canada, but covered three of last four. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Timberwolves lost three of last four games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Last three Minnesota games went over. New Orleans won three of last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five home games. Three of their last four games went over. Pelicans won eight of last ten games with Minnesota; last six series games went over the total. Wolves lost four of last five games on Bourbon Street (1-4 vs spread).

Sacramento lost four of last five road games; they’re 3-6-1 vs spread in last ten games overall. Three pf their last four games stayed under. San Antonio lost three of last five games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Spurs won their last nine games with Sacramento; Kings are 3-0-1 vs spread in last four; Kings lost last four visits to Alamo, but Kings covered three of four games. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Cavaliers are 3-5 in last eight games, 4-5 vs spread in last nine road games. Under is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Lakers lost 12 of last 13 games; they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Four of their last six games went over. Lakers lost their last five games with Cleveland (2-3 vs spread); Cavaliers won last three series games in Staples, by 2-7-12 points. Last seven series games went over total.

**Udog** · 03-19-2017, 09:13 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:00 PM
DALLAS vs. BROOKLYN
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
Brooklyn is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games at home

1:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing at home against Boston
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

4:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home

6:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MIAMI
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Portland
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

6:00 PM
INDIANA vs. TORONTO
Indiana is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

7:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
San Antonio is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games

9:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games
LA Lakers are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games

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Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/19

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/19

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