Announcement

**Udog** · 03-17-2017, 08:24 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— Kind of cheesy of Indiana to fire Tom Crean about 90 seconds after the NCAA tournament started. Will they go after native son Steve Alford?

— Clippers actually gave Blake Griffin his birthday off; he didn’t go to Denver for LA’s game last night. Oy.

— North Dakota hoop coach Brian Jones makes $100,000 a year. Not a lot for a D-I coach.

— Dwayne Wade is out for the year with a fractured elbow.

— Friend of mine who works at a sports book in Las Vegas wrote 867 betting tickets in just over nine hours Wednesday night. This is a great week to be in the desert.

— Virginia is only team in NCAA tournament with only one player averaging double figures.

**********

Armadillo: Wrapping up the first real day of March Madness

Night games
Xavier 76, Maryland 65— When Xavier’s kids sat down to watch TV at 5:30 Sunday, they had to nervous as to whether they were in the field of 68 or not. Now they’ve advanced to the round of 32. Terrapins won a lot of games with an extremely young nucleus held together by junior PG Trimble; that wasn’t enough here, as Xavier big man O’Mara had a career night, scoring 18 points.

Villanova 76, Mt St Mary’s 56— Wildcats dozed thru first half, led 30-29, then did what they had to do in second half to advance. Villanova needs to step up its game Saturday. Over last seven years, #1 seeds are 23-5 SU in second round games, but they did lose five times, as favorites of 11.5-8-6.5-4.5.9.5 points. Wildcats were last of those five teams, losing to NC State in 2015.

Purdue 80, Vermont 70— Game was only 37-36 at half, but Boilermakers win/cover- Vermont didn’t score in last 1:16 as Purdue covered on a FT with 0:28 left America East teams are now 6-7 vs spread in this round the last 13 years- Albany 5-1, rest of the league 1-6.

St Mary’s 85, VCU 77— Announcer on A-14 tournament last weekend said this: “If VCU plays a team with experienced guards, they could be in trouble in NCAA’s.” That is exactly what went on here. Gaels ran a clinic on half-court offense and move on to play Saturday.

Florida State 86, Florida Gulf Coast 80— Not often a game starts 2-2 with both baskets on dunks, but this one did. This game was like a fierce playground battle between arch-rivals; teams combined to go 10-41 on the arc, but Seminoles got to foul line 39 times. Bacon had 25 for FSU; you could say he was…..sizzling.

Wisconsin 84, Virginia Tech 74— Badgers made 13-31 on arc, will next play Villanova, which could be a good game— Wisconsin starts four seniors who’ve played a lot of ball together. Bronson Koenig was 8-17 behind the arc; thats a lot of 3’s for one guy to take.

Iowa State 84, Nevada 73— Wolf Pack only played six guys in this game; difficult to play as hard as they do and not sub much— their legs go late in game, which shows in their shooting. When Nevada has better depth next year, they’re going to be a handful.

Good trivia; Nevada player Jordan Caroline’s dad is Simeon Rice, who was a really good player in the NFL. His granddad is JC Caroline, who played 10 years for the Bears and intercepted Johnny Unitas’ first career pass and ran it back for a touchdown.

Arizona 100, North Dakota 82— Fighting Hawks went right at Arizona and got their butts kicked, but what a year they had, making NCAA’s for first time. In 2018-19 they move to the Summit League, which is a better league, so they’ll need to upgrade their recruiting. Video from this game won’t hurt, at least the offensive part of it.

Arizona-St Mary’s Saturday will be an interesting game.

Afternoon games
Notre Dame 60, Princeton 58— Tigers had a wide-open 3-pointer to take lead with 0:05 but Cannady missed, and Irish survive/advance. Cannady grew up five minutes outside South Bend. Princeton won Ivy title on Sunday; thought noon Thursday game was a tough draw for them, but they played well- too bad they were 8-31 on arc.

Virginia 76, NC-Wilmington 71— Seahawks led by 14 in first half, but Cavaliers used big run to grab 30-29 lead at half- Virginia held UNCW off in second half. Hard to believe Kevin Keatts will still be Seahawks’ coach next year; he’s done great work there, and the $$$ leagues should come calling this week or next.

Butler 76, Winthrop 64— Bulldogs outscored Winthrop 20-5 on foul line; Woodson made 6-10 on arc for Butler. Big South is now 2-6 vs spread in this round the last nine years. This was Eagles’ first trip to NCAA’s since 2010, when Gregg Marshall was their coach— terrific year for them.

Gonzaga 66, South Dakota State 46— Zags were only up 26-22 at half, but they methodically pulled away in second half and won easily- they held Jackrabbits’ star Daum to 17 points. Zags might’ve covered spread had they not gone 8-18 on foul line. There will be pressure on Gonzaga Saturday, when they play Vandy-Northwestern winner to get to Sweet 16.

West Virginia 86, Bucknell 80— Mountaineers were up 27-12 eight minutes in; there was a few minutes when Bucknell couldn’t get ball over half-court, but then Bison got gritty and hung in there- they got within five points a few times in second half. West Virginia-Notre Dame is a high quality second round game Saturday.

Florida 80, East Tennessee State 65— Game was 33-32 at half, but Gators outscored ETSU 21-6 on foul line, got lot of run-out hoops after Bucs’ turnovers to pull away in second half. Second round game with Virginia will be a much different style game.

Middle Tennessee State 81, Minnesota 72— Last two seasons, Blue Raiders are 5-0 vs SEC/Big 14 teams, winning by average of 12.6 pts/game. This was a 12-seed beating a 5-seed, but not an upset. MTSU was favored by a point. Richard Pitino lost his poise, got T’d up near the end when Gophers were down nine- -they were already going to lose, but not his finest moment.

Northwestern 68, Vanderbilt 66— Vandy scored with 0:17 left to take lead, then one of their best guys screwed up, fouling on purpose— did he think a) they were behind? b) they were up 3? c) they had a foul to give? Whatever, it was a colossal screw-up.

Northwestern makes their foul shots and advances, so we get 120 more shots of the Seinfeld lady on TV Saturday (her son is a sub on Northwestern).

**Udog** · 03-17-2017, 08:35 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 17

Milwaukee @ LA Lakers

Game 815-816
March 17, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
120.428
LA Lakers
110.830
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 9 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 6 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-6 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Phoenix

Game 813-814
March 17, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
114.813
Phoenix
113.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 3 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+3 1/2); Over

Houston @ New Orleans

Game 811-812
March 17, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
128.342
New Orleans
120.853
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
227
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-4 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Miami

Game 809-810
March 17, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.390
Miami
124.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 8 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 4 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-4 1/2); Under

Boston @ Brooklyn

Game 807-808
March 17, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
125.911
Brooklyn
115.049
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 11
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 9
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-9); Under

Toronto @ Detroit

Game 805-806
March 17, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
119.422
Detroit
116.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 4
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+4); Over

Chicago @ Washington

Game 803-804
March 17, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.781
Washington
125.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 17
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
N/A

Dallas @ Philadelphia

Game 801-802
March 17, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.349
Philadelphia
109.813
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 03-17-2017, 08:38 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (29 - 38) at PHILADELPHIA (24 - 43) - 3/17/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 478-401 ATS (+36.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 317-264 ATS (+26.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (32 - 36) at WASHINGTON (41 - 26) - 3/17/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (39 - 29) at DETROIT (33 - 35) - 3/17/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 136-173 ATS (-54.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
TORONTO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (43 - 25) at BROOKLYN (13 - 54) - 3/17/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (28 - 39) at MIAMI (33 - 35) - 3/17/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
MIAMI is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (47 - 21) at NEW ORLEANS (27 - 41) - 3/17/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (24 - 45) at PHOENIX (22 - 46) - 3/17/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 28-40 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ORLANDO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ORLANDO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (33 - 34) at LA LAKERS (20 - 48) - 3/17/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 354-424 ATS (-112.4 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 250-306 ATS (-86.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA LAKERS are 128-91 ATS (+27.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 168-214 ATS (-67.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-17-2017, 08:38 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 17

Mavericks won seven of last ten games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. 76ers lost five of last six games but covered last four; they are 13-2 vs spread in last 15 home games. Three of their last four home games stayed under. Dallas won its last eight games with Philly (4-4 vs spread); they won last three visits here, but Sixers covered all three. Three of last four series games went over total.

Chicago lost six of its last seven games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Washington won five of last seven games; they’re 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight home games- their last eight games went over total. Wizards won three of last four games with Chicago (under 3-1); Bulls lost last three games in this building (1-2 vs spread). Chicago lost six of its last seven games; seven of their last eight games stayed under. Bulls

Raptors lost three of last four games, are 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Pistons won seven of last 11 games, are 11-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Under is 9-5 in their last fourteen games. Toronto is 6-4 in its last ten games with Detroit; Raptors won three of last five games in Motor City. Eight of last ten series games went over total.

Boston won three of last four games, is 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 9-1-2 in their last 12 games. Nets split their last six games, are 7-3 vs spread in last ten; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Seven of last eight Brooklyn games went over. Celtics won six of last eight games with Brooklyn; they won four of last five games in Barclays’ Center. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Minnesota lost its last three road games; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight games overall, 7-5 vs spread in last 12 on road. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Heat won five of last six games; they’re 13-2 vs spread in last 15 home games. Under is 7-4 in their last eleven games. Road team won seven of last ten Minnesota-Miami games; Wolves teams split last four series games played here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Houston won five of last seven games; they’re 5-0 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Pelicans split their last eight games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 11-3 in their last fourteen games. Rockets won seven of last eight games with New Orleans; they won three of last four visits to Bourbon Street. Last three series games stayed under total.

Magic lost six of last seven games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Phoenix lost four of last five games, is 0-3-1 vs spread in last four home games- their last three games stayed under total. Suns won six of their last seven games with Orlando (5-2 vs spread); teams split last four games played in desert. Four of last six series games stayed under.

Milwaukee won seven of last eight games, is 5-2 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. Lakers lost 11 of last 12 games; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six home games. Four of their last five games went over total. Lakers won three of last four games with Milwaukee; four of last five series games went over total. Bucks lost three of last four series games played here.

**Udog** · 03-17-2017, 08:40 AM

NBA

Friday, March 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Dallas

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chicago's last 20 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 20 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. DETROIT
Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. BROOKLYN
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Houston's last 17 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 18 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New Orleans's last 17 games when playing Houston

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PHOENIX
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando

10:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA LAKERS
Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games
LA Lakers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/17

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/17

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment