Announcement

**Udog** · 03-16-2017, 08:14 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Cuonzo Martin gets $21M for seven years to be hoop coach at Missouri. What a country.

— Siena coach Jimmy Patsos will be in the Turner TV studios Saturday/Sunday.

— Rashaun Madison of NC Central went to four high schools, three colleges. Must be some interesting stories in between those stops.

— Tex-Arlington 105, BYU 89– Cougars were indifferent on defense.

— TCU 66, Fresno State 59– Horned Frogs get their 20th win.

— Washington fired hoop coach Lorenzo Romar, which means they lose #1 recruit Michael Porter Jr, whose dad is Romar’s best friend. Young Porter is the #1 recruit in Class of ’17. His dad was an assistant with Romar at Washington.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) I was thinking abut Baylor as a possible Final Four team; problem is, the last two years Bears lost first round games as a 3-seed and a 5-seed- that is not good and hasn’t happened very often.

Last year, Baylor was a 6-point favorite over Yale; they lost to the 12-seed Bulldogs, 79-75. Year before, they were favored by 7.5 points over Georgia State, but lost to the 14-seed Panthers 57-56. This year, Baylor is a 3-seed again and gets New Mexico State- Bears are favored by 12 points. Proceed at your own risk.

12) If Kentucky gets to the Sweet 16, and they should, John Calipari returns to Memphis, where he once led the Tigers to the national title game. Things haven’t gone so well for Memphis since Calipari left for Kentucky. Curious to see what kind of a reaction he’ll get.

11) Note to self: If I ever go to a baseball game in Japan, DO NOT sit in front of the guy who blows a whistle for the whole nine innings.

10) Back in 1986, I was a big fan of the Bradley Braves, coached by Dick Versace and with Hersey Hawkins as the star player; they won an NCAA tourney game before losing in second round to Louisville. Point guard on that team was Jim Les, who played in the NBA for a while and now got his Cal-Davis Aggies in the NCAA’s for the first time. Good coach.

9) According to Baseball America, two of Tampa Bay Rays’ top 12 minor league prospects are from the Albany, NY area, where I live. Garrett Whitley, an OF and Jaime Schultz a pitcher who pitched at High Point U in North Carolina (where the basketball coach is Scott Cherry, who is from Saratoga, 25 miles north of Albany).

Albany is not exactly a hotbed of high school baseball, maybe because as I type this on March 15, my front lawn has two feet of snow on it.

8) Surprising fact: In the six years since the NCAA tournament field was expanded to 68 teams, one of the play-in winners has also won a first round game.

7) So 5-seed Minnesota is a 1-point favorite over 12-seed Middle Tennessee? Last time a 5-seed got this little respect in the first round was 2006, when 12-seed Texas A&M was favored by 1.5 points over Syracuse- they beat the Orangemen, 66-58.

Middle Tennessee was an 18-point underdog when they upset Michigan State last year. Perception of the Blue Raiders has changed a lot.

6) When the Houston Texans signed Brock Osweiler last year, they had never met him? How is that possible? Guy is hopefully your franchise QB; you’d think you’d like to talk with him before he signs a contract with $37M guaranteed in it.

5) Thanks to Jim Boeheim’s comments about there being “no value” to the ACC hoop tournament been held in Greensboro, the Greensboro Grasshoppers, Class A affiliate of Miami Marlins, will give away $20 worth of food and drinks on April 11 to anyone who shows up with a driver’s license that lists Syracuse on it.

Even better, Syracuse played NC-Greensboro in the first round of the NIT- Orange won by 13. Whoever made that happen though, they had to have a good chuckle about it.

4) 10-seed Wichita State is a 6.5-point favorite over 7-seed Dayton; whose opinion do you respect more, Las Vegas oddsmakers or a bunch of college administrators sitting in a hotel conference room? This is the most points a 10-seed has been favored by over a 7-seed.

3) Red Sox 2B Dustin Pedroia once walked on to the baseball team at Arizona State; he had to ask three times before they even let him try out. “We already have our second baseman” was the response he got, but finally, they let him try out. Smart move.

Things have worked out pretty well for Pedroia, and also for the second baseman who was the starter at ASU at the time— Ian Kinsler.

2) Cal-Davis 67, North Carolina Central 63— Aggies were +10 on boards, held NC Central to 5-26 on arc and advance on to get whacked by 1-seed Kansas in the next round. Thats just the reality of it, but Davis has had a great year- first NCAA tournament and they won a game.

1— USC 75, Providence 71— Trojans were down 17 early in second win; their win is 7th-largest comeback in NCAA tournament history and also avenges 70-69 loss to Friars last year. USC will play Southern Methodist next, Friday in Tulsa.

**Udog** · 03-16-2017, 08:32 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 16

Orlando @ Golden State

Game 711-712
March 16, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
113.638
Golden State
132.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 18 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-13 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Denver

Game 709-710
March 16, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
125.284
Denver
121.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-1 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ New York

Game 707-708
March 16, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
111.798
New York
119.372
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 7 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 3 1/2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-3 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
March 16, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
120.764
Atlanta
118.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 2 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+4); Over

Oklahoma City @ Toronto

Game 703-704
March 16, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
119.960
Toronto
124.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 5
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-2 1/2); Under

Utah @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
March 16, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
118.388
Cleveland
129.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 11
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-6 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 03-16-2017, 08:32 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 16

Utah won six of its last seven games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games. Five of their last seven games went over total. Cavaliers lost four of last six games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 9-3 in their last twelve games. Home side won eight of last nine Utah-Cleveland games; Jazz lost last four visits to Ohio (1-3 vs spread). Four of last six series games stayed under.

Oklahoma City won/covered its last three games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Toronto won eight of last 11 games, won last four at home, covering last three. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Road team won six of last eight Raptor-Thunder games; OKC won three of last four visits to Canada. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Grizzlies won last two games after losing five in row before that; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Six of their last eight games went over. Atlanta won three of last four games, are 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Four of their last five games went over. Hawks won four of last five games with Memphis; five of last six series games stayed under. Grizzlies lost three of last four visits here, losing by 12-10-11 points.

Brooklyn lost five of last seven games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Six of their last seven games went over. New York lost five of last seven games, is 2-6 vs spread in last six away games. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Knicks won three of last four games with Brooklyn, but lost to Nets Sunday at Barclays. Three of last four series games stayed under. Nets lost last three visits here (0-3 vs spread).

Clippers lost four of last six road games; they’re 8-4 vs spread in last 12 road games- they play Cleveland at home Saturday. Over is 9-5-1 in their last fifteen road games. Nuggets won six of last eight games, are 11-5 vs spread in last 16 home games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Clippers won six of last nine games with Denver but lost last two; teams split last four games in this building. Nine of last ten series games stayed under.

Magic lost five of last six games, are 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Five of their last seven games went over. Golden State is 3-5 since Durant got hurt; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games. Warriors won their last seven games with Orlando (5-2 vs spread); Magic lost last three visits to Oakland, but covered two of them. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

**Udog** · 03-16-2017, 08:32 AM

NBA

Thursday, March 16

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
UTAH vs. CLEVELAND
Utah is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Utah is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Cleveland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. TORONTO
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

7:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. NEW YORK
Brooklyn is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Brooklyn is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
New York is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. ATLANTA
Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DENVER
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games on the road
Denver is 15-4 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Denver is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Clippers

10:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games
Golden State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

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**Udog** · 03-16-2017, 09:35 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 16

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UTAH (43 - 25) at CLEVELAND (44 - 22) - 3/16/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (38 - 29) at TORONTO (39 - 28) - 3/16/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 173-125 ATS (+35.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
TORONTO is 183-226 ATS (-65.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (38 - 30) at ATLANTA (37 - 30) - 3/16/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 73-54 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (12 - 54) at NEW YORK (27 - 41) - 3/16/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 7-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (40 - 28) at DENVER (32 - 35) - 3/16/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (24 - 44) at GOLDEN STATE (53 - 14) - 3/16/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 28-39 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 77-57 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 79-110 ATS (-42.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/16

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/16

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