Announcement

**Udog** · 03-15-2017, 08:07 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Over/under on wins by conference in NCAA’s:

ACC: 14.5, over -$120

Big X: 8.5, over -$150

Big East: 7.5, 0ver -$130

SEC: 5.5, 0ver -$130

Big 14: 6.5, under -$120

Pac-12: 7.5, under -$150

WCC: 3.5, over -$145

AAC: 1.5, over -$220

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

13) K-State 95, Wake Forest 88— Wildcats were 25-31 (80.6%) inside arc; Deacons didn’t play whole lot of defense. Big X teams are now 5-1 vs ACC teams this year, with one win North Carolina crowning Oklahoma State in Maui Classic.

12) Mt St Mary’s 67, New Orleans 66— Mount was 10-19 on arc, UNO 1-9; plus, with 6:41 left, the Privateers’ big guy tried to strangle his teammate (the point guard) as they went into a TV timeout- the big guy was yanked from game and never returned. Have feeling the better team lost. Mt St Mary’s advances to play Villanova next.

11) How play-in teams who advance make out in round of 64: “JV (16-seed)” play-in winners are 5-7 vs spread when facing a #1 seed…….”Varsity (11-12 seed)” play-in winners are 7-5 vs spread in round of 64- those 12 teams have gone 1-1 SU in round of 64 all six years they’ve had it.

10) Venezuela played its play-in game in the WBC Monday with Jose Altuve on the bench; interesting decision by manager Omaz Vizquel, who used Rougned Odor instead. Now that they’ve advanced to San Diego, will be curious to see who they start at 2B in the next round.

9) Is there anyone who thinks Magic Johnson will do a better job than Mitch Kupchak did as the Lakers GM? Magic was a great, great player; wasn’t a very good coach- these are all different skills.

8) Of the eight 15-seeds who won first round NCAA tourney games, only Florida Gulf Coast in 2013 won its second round game- those teams are 2-5-1 vs spread in their second round games.

7) Coaching carousel; George Washington named interim coach Maurice Joseph its full time coach; South Florida named former Dayton/Ga Tech coach Brian Gregory its new coach, after Akron’s Keith Dambrot (Lebron James’ HS coach) turned them down.

6) Thank the Lord for spring training baseball on TV; Tuesday afternoon, I could barely see the house across the street from mine, thats how hard it was snowing. Watched Phillies-Braves, then Giants-Indians and was warm vicariously thru those broadcasts.

5) Atlanta Braves are leaving Disney’s Wide World of Sports for the Sarasota area next spring, as they reduce travel time to/from spring training games. Used to go to WWOS in July to watch AAU games; Tampa Bay Bucs had training camp there then- remember seeing Tom Crean (then at Marquette) watching the Bucs practice with his young son sitting on his shoulders.

4) No team lost its first conference tournament game, then won a national title that year. This year; Kansas, Louisville, Baylor, Purdue fall into that group this year.

3) If you care about such things, Kansas State was the last at-large team to make the NCAA tournament.

2) What exactly does Joe Lunardi do for the next ten months?

1— Here is my Final Four; North Carolina-Arizona-Villanova-Oregon. I’ll pick the Wildcats to repeat as national champs. Enjoy the games!!!

**Udog** · 03-15-2017, 08:28 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 15

Hornets lost three of last four games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Pacers lost in NY last night; they’re 5-5 since All-Star break, but won last three home games. Under is 11-1 in their last 12 games. Charlotte won five of last six games with Indiana; teams split last four series games played here- under is 4-1 in last five series games in Indiana. Hornets

Mavericks lost its last five road games (1-4 vs spread)- they’re 6-3 in last nine games overall, losing last two. Four of their last five games stayed under. Wizards won five of last six games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Last seven Washington games went over. Dallas won nine of last ten games with Washington, covered seven of last eight; Mavericks won/covered last four games in this building. Four of last five series games went over total.

Minnesota won seven of last ten games; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Celtics lost three of last five games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 9-0-2 in their last 11 games. Home side won eight of last nine Minnesota-Boston games; Wolves lost last four visits here (0-4 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over.

New Orleans is 4-3 in its last seven games, covering three of last four home games. Under is 11-2 in their last 13 games. Heat won four of last five games, is 7-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Pelicans won four of their last six games with Miami; they lost four of last five visits to South Beach. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Utah won five of its last six games, is 5-11 vs spread in last 16 road games. Five of their last six games went over total. Pistons lost by 32 in Cleveland last night; they’re 11-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Last three Detroit home games stayed under. Jazz won seven of last ten games with Detroit; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Utah won three of last four visits to Motor City.

Memphis lost five of last six games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Six of their last seven games went over total. Bulls lost five of last six games, are 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Road side won six of last eight Memphis-Chicago games; Grizzlies won three of last four games here. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

Portland won five of last seven games; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 road games. Seven of their last nine games went over. San Antonio is 11-1 in its last 12 games, 2-4 vs spread in last six at home- they won last nine home games SU. Under is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Spurs won their last five games with Portland (4-1 vs spread); over is 7-2 in last nine series tilts. Trailblazers lost last four visits to Alamo (1-3 vs spread).

Lakers lost 10 of last 11 games, are 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Rockets won 10 of last 14 games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games. Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Houston, losing last three visits here (0-3 vs spread) by 29-20-39 points. Last four series games went over total.

Sacramento lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Suns lost three of last four games, are 0-2-1 vs spread in losing last three home games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Kings won six of last eight games with Phoenix, winning four of last five games in desert; six of last eight series games stayed under.

Bucks won six of last seven games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Clippers won four of last six games, are 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 4-2-2 in their last eight games. Clippers won eight of last ten games with Milwaukee but Bucks covered four of last six; they lost last five series games in Staples Center (3-2 vs spread, under 4-1).

NBA

Wednesday, March 15

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. INDIANA
Charlotte is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Charlotte is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Indiana is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BOSTON
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Minnesota is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MIAMI
New Orleans is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

7:30 PM
UTAH vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 9 games on the road
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Utah
Detroit is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games when playing Utah

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games
Chicago is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
Portland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Portland

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

10:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PHOENIX
Sacramento is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

10:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA CLIPPERS
Milwaukee is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2017, 09:55 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 15

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CHARLOTTE (29 - 38) at INDIANA (34 - 33) - 3/15/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
INDIANA is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 7-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (28 - 38) at WASHINGTON (41 - 25) - 3/15/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DALLAS is 373-307 ATS (+35.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 477-401 ATS (+35.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 316-264 ATS (+25.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 262-215 ATS (+25.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (28 - 38) at BOSTON (42 - 25) - 3/15/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 125-162 ATS (-53.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (27 - 40) at MIAMI (32 - 35) - 3/15/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 38-65 ATS (-33.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MIAMI is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MIAMI is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (42 - 25) at DETROIT (33 - 34) - 3/15/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 67-95 ATS (-37.5 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 111-156 ATS (-60.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (37 - 30) at CHICAGO (32 - 35) - 3/15/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 156-121 ATS (+22.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 67-81 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 123-168 ATS (-61.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 59-92 ATS (-42.2 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (29 - 37) at SAN ANTONIO (52 - 14) - 3/15/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 27-39 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 990-862 ATS (+41.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 80-64 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 503-419 ATS (+42.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 182-138 ATS (+30.2 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 403-322 ATS (+48.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (20 - 47) at HOUSTON (46 - 21) - 3/15/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 136-173 ATS (-54.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (26 - 41) at PHOENIX (22 - 45) - 3/15/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 156-198 ATS (-61.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 7-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 7-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (32 - 34) at LA CLIPPERS (40 - 27) - 3/15/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 353-424 ATS (-113.4 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 249-306 ATS (-87.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-15-2017, 12:06 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 15

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers

Game 619-620
March 15, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
113.765
LA Clippers
125.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 12
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8
209
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-8); Under

Sacramento @ Phoenix

Game 617-618
March 15, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
110.908
Phoenix
109.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 6
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+6); Under

LA Lakers @ Houston

Game 615-616
March 15, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
109.330
Houston
128.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 19 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 17
235
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-17); Under

Portland @ San Antonio

Game 613-614
March 15, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
114.667
San Antonio
128.518
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 14
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 10 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-10 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Chicago

Game 611-612
March 15, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
121.911
Chicago
117.088
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 4
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-2); Over

Utah @ Detroit

Game 609-610
March 15, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
122.536
Detroit
113.259
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 9
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 3 1/2
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-3 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Miami

Game 607-608
March 15, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
118.791
Miami
128.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 9 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-6); Under

Minnesota @ Boston

Game 605-606
March 15, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
119.348
Boston
127.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 8
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-6); Under

Dallas @ Washington

Game 603-604
March 15, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
116.939
Washington
130.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 13
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-7 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Indiana

Game 601-602
March 15, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
120.940
Indiana
119.751
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 1
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+2 1/2); Over

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/15

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/15

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