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**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 11:23 AM

Trends and Indexes

Monday, March 13

Good Luck on day #72 of 2017!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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NCAAB Matchups

NCAAB Hot and Not

NCAAB Injuries

NASCAR Schedule

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**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 11:23 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Last year, UNLV fired hoop coach Dave Rice three games into conference play; as an alumnus, he deserved much better. Now Rice is in the NCAA’s as an assistant for Nevada. Have to feel good for the guy.

— Cardinals-Pirates will play a Sunday night game in Williamsport during the Little League World Series in August.

— Random musical knowledge: Michael Jackson did 22 shows at the Tokyo Dome.

— Cleveland Browns have five of the first 65 picks in this year’s NFL Draft and four picks in the first two rounds next season. All they have to do now is pick the right guys.

— Cleveland Browns will start their 5th different QB in last five years in Week 1 in September.

— Showtime has a special on the 1976 Indiana basketball team that finished unbeaten, the last college basketball team to do that. If you like basketball history, it is worth a look.

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Quick thoughts on the field of 68

Some quick thoughts after seeing the pairings and after Champ Week.

13) Must be nice go to college at Arizona; their players were watching the pairings show while sitting outside, in the sun. I’m guessing the North Dakota kids watched the pairings show inside.

12) Early last week, was texting with a friend in Las Vegas, talking about hoop; the two mid-majors who I thought were best positioned to shock the world this week were Tex-Arlington and Monmouth— welllllll……neither one of them made it.

There will be a great set of games at some point in this tournament, I’m just not real sure it’ll be the first round this year. There are jackasses on TV who run their mouths and pick lot of upsets so they can look good if the upsets happen- no way do they really believe those upsets will happen.

11) UCLA is a 3-seed; they play Kent State, then probably the Cincy-Wake-KState survivor. One note of caution about UCLA; Lonzo Ball hurt his left thumb Friday night. No one said anything, and he played the game but you could tell it was bothering him. If he ain’t 100%, the Bruins will go out early. I’m looking at Cincinnati to upset the Bruins in the second round.

10) Providence-USC is a play-in game; Friars beat USC 70-69 in an 8-9 game LY, with Friars scoring on an OB under play at the buzzer. USC led by 5 with 2:21 left. Kris Dunn is in the NBA now, though. Long trip east for the USC kids, and also for the Cal-Davis kids who also play in Dayton Wednesday night.

9) Purdue is a 4-seed, the best seed of any Big 14 team. Was looking at Maryland as a team who would get beat in the first round, but they drew a Xavier squad whose point guard got hurt 13 games ago— Musketeers are 6-7 since he got hurt.

8) Vermont is a 13-seed, second year in row the America East champ was a 13-seed. Since 2006, America East teams are 6-6 vs spread in NCAA’s, but a closer look shows that Albany was 5-1 vs spread in NCAA games, the rest of the league 1-5. Vermont lost to Butler by 12, South Carolina by 18, Providence by 22 this season- their best wins were over Harvard, Wofford.

7) Of the teams who played on Sunday, who has to play Thursday? Princeton and Wisconsin. Thats a quick turnaround, especially if the Thursday games are during the day.

6) Last two years, ACC teams are 9-3 against the spread in the first round.

5) Last year, Wichita State beat Sean Miller’s Arizona Wildcats 65-55 in the NCAA’s; this year, Shockers play Dayton in the first round- Flyers are coached by Archie Miller, Sean’s brother.

4) Westgate Sportsbook in Las Vegas (where it is not expected to snow this week, unlike in beautiful downtown Albany) has Duke at 5-1 to win it all; North Carolina is 6-1, followed by Kansas/Kentucky/Villanova, all at 8-1, then Gonzaga 10-1.

3) Six years ago, New Orleans didn’t have a basketball team; they were out of it for two years as the school considered dropping to Division III. Now the Privateers are in the NCAA’s- they won by 16 at Washington State of the Pac-12. Great coaching job by Mark Slessinger- UNO is 16-5 this season vs teams ranked outside the top 200. Mt St Mary’s is ranked #213.

2) Several teams made the NCAA’s for the first time; Northwestern, Cal-Davis, North Dakota and Jacksonville State; for those teams, everything from this point on is gravy- they’ve already had a fabulous season.

1— Someone in the blur of last week’s TV deluge predicted a 16-seed would beat a 1-seed this season; it has never happened, but look at the four games this year- it still ain’t happening.

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 11:26 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 13

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NORFOLK ST (17 - 16) at LIBERTY (19 - 13) - 3/13/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 13

Liberty lost three of last four games after being 13-2 in Big South; they start two frosh and a sophomore, are #294 experience team. Flames are 14-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200- they play 10th slowest tempo in country, force turnovers 21.8% of time. Norfolk State split its last six games; they’re 15-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Spartans are #38 experience team, starting two juniors, two seniors.

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 11:47 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 14

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MOUNT ST MARYS (19 - 15) vs. NEW ORLEANS (20 - 11) - 3/14/2017, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS ST (20 - 13) vs. WAKE FOREST (19 - 13) - 3/14/2017, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 74-112 ATS (-49.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 107-143 ATS (-50.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 118-152 ATS (-49.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, March 15

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NC CENTRAL (25 - 8) vs. CAL DAVIS (22 - 12) - 3/15/2017, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (24 - 9) vs. PROVIDENCE (20 - 12) - 3/15/2017, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
PROVIDENCE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
PROVIDENCE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
PROVIDENCE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PROVIDENCE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
PROVIDENCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
PROVIDENCE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
PROVIDENCE is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 13

Play-in games, Dayton
Tuesday
Mt St Mary’s went 17-4 in a bad NEC, was 2-12 out of conference; they’re 1-10 vs teams in top 200; they haven’t played one since Dec 19. Mountaineers lost this game 71-64 to Albany three years ago. NEC teams are 3-2 overall in play-in games. New Orleans didn’t even have a hoop team six years ago; Privateers won eight of last ten games, are #5 experience team- they start two juniors, three seniors, but they turn ball over 23.9% of time, 3rd-worst in country. Teams from Southland are 1-1 in play-in games.

Kansas State went 11-1 in its pre-conference schedule then was 9-11 in Big X games; Wildcats won three of last four games; they start three sophs, two seniors. K-State beat Boston College of the ACC 72-54 in November. Wake Forest beat BC three times, by 13-5-14 points. Deacons won four of last five games; they’re 9-3 out of conference. Wake starts three sophs, is #275 experience team. K-State starts two sophs, three seniors, is #218 team in experience. Last six years, underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in the “varsity (11-seed)” play-in games.

Wednesday
North Carolina Central won at Northern Kentucky and Missouri, lost by 6 at Ohio State; they’re 20-3 vs teams outside the top 200. Eagles are most experienced team in country, starting five seniors- they lost by 18 to Iowa State in NCAA’s three years ago. MEAC teams are 3-3 in play-in games, winning last two. Cal-Davis is in NCAA’s for first time; they start two senior guards, are 5-6 vs teams in top 200. Three years ago, Cal Poly of Big West won their play-in game by 12. Last six years, favorites are 5-5-1 vs spread in the “JV (16-seed) ” play-in game.

Providence beat USC 70-69 in an 8-9 first round game LY, scoring on an OB under play as the game ended, a game Trojans led by 5 with 2:21 left. Friars are in NCAA’s for 4th year in row (1-3 last three years, with USC with only win); they won six of last seven games, are #278 experience team, starting four juniors. Southern Cal is 3-5 in its last eight games; they went 13-0 vs #251 pre-conference schedule. USC is #326 experience team; they start a freshman, three sophs; this is much longer trip for them than for Friars. Trojans are 2-6 vs teams in the top 60.

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 01:25 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 13

Norfolk State @ Liberty

Game 517-518
March 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Norfolk State
47.785
Liberty
46.406
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Norfolk State
by 1 1/2
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 7 1/2
132 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Norfolk State
(+7 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 01:29 PM

Plenty of movement in NCAA Tournament opening round odds during first few hours on the board

“The Flyers had a great season, but lost in their tournament. The question was, would they get in? Wichita State has been there many times, they have good tournament experience."

Bust out your brackets, folks. The NCAA Tournament field of 68 is all set, and now the betting boards throughout Nevada and at offshore sportsbooks are bursting with opening lines. Patrick Everson checks the numbers on several intriguing games on the Thursday/Friday docket, with insights from Johnny Avello at Wynn Las Vegas, Ed Salmons at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook and Scott Kaminsky at offshore site TheGreek.com.

No. 12 Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs. No. 5 Minnesota Golden Gophers (-2)

Every year, much hay is made about where a 12-5 upset might come from, and this year, many analysts and bettors are on the Middle Tennessee State bandwagon. Winning 10 in a row and 20 of 21 games tends to get people’s attention (15-6 ATS). The Blue Raiders (30-4 SU, 23-10 ATS) rolled through the Conference USA tournament with three victories, all by double digits and all covers, capped by Sunday’s 83-72 title-game win over Marshall as a 10-point favorite.

Minnesota won eight of its last nine regular-season games (7-2 ATS) and reached the Big 10 semifinals. The Gophers (24-9 SU, 19-12 ATS) fell in that tournament’s semifinal, 84-77 catching 4 points against eventual champion Michigan.

The Superbook opened the Gophers at -1, while The Greek posted -1.5 but had to make a move in short order for this 4 p.m. ET Thursday affair in the South Region.
“They took +1.5 on Middle Tennessee State, so I went right to pick,” Kaminsky said. “Middle Tennessee will probably win the game. And that’s not even an upset.”
Added Avello: “I could see the players taking Middle Tennessee.”

Indeed, he opened Minnesota -2 at the Wynn, went to 1.5 very quickly and then to 1.

No. 12 Nevada Wolf Pack vs. No. 5 Iowa State (-7)

Thursday night brings another interesting 12-5 matchup, a 9:57 p.m. ET tipoff in the Midwest Region. Nevada, the Mountain West Conference regular-season and tournament champion, has won nine consecutive games SU and is equally hot ATS, cashing in all nine games. The Wolf Pack (28-6 SU, 23-10-1 ATS) won the MWC final Saturday, 79-71 over Colorado State as a 5.5-point favorite.

Iowa State has been nearly as hot, winning nine of its last 10 while going 8-2 ATS, including a 3-0 SU and ATS run through the Big 12 tournament as the No. 4 seed. The Cyclones (23-10 SU, 18-12 ATS) capped that run with an 80-74 victory over West Virginia as a 4-point underdog in Saturday’s final.

“I liked Nevada, until the Wolf Pack grabbed this matchup,” said Avello, who opened Iowa State -7 and actually saw a little Nevada money bring it down to 6.5. “I think Nevada has had a spectacular year, but this is a bad matchup. This Iowa State team is very athletic, so we’ll see if Nevada can hang with them.”

No. 9 Vanderbilt Commodores vs. No. 8 Northwestern Wildcats (+1)

Northwestern is the NCAA Tournament darling, in the field for the first time in school history. The Wildcats (23-11 SU, 19-12 ATS) got through two games in the Big 10 tournament, but got walloped in Saturday’s semifinals 76-48 catching 4.5 points against Wisconsin. Still, Northwestern is in the NCAAs, opening at 4:30 p.m. ET Thursday in the West Region.

Vanderbilt got two big victories over Florida in less than a week’s time, which helped seal its Big Dance berth. The Commodores (19-15 SU, 20-12 ATS) topped the Gators in the regular-season finale 73-71 getting 3.5 points at home, routed Texas A&M 66-41 giving 3 points to open the SEC tourney, then beat Florida again 72-62 in overtime as a 5.5-point pup in the SEC quarterfinals.

Vandy then fell in the semis, 76-62 as a 3.5-point favorite against Arkansas.

“I don’t like the way Northwestern finished the season,” Avello said of the blowout loss to Wisconsin. “A blowout Big 10 tournament loss, and they’re going against a team that finished pretty well.”

No. 9 Virginia Tech Hokies vs. No. 8 Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5)

Wisconsin struggled late in the regular season, with a 1-5 SU and ATS skid, but closed out with an easy home win over Minnesota, then made a run in the Big 10 tournament. The Badgers (25-9 SU, 15-16 ATS) dropped Indiana and Northwestern to reach Sunday’s final, where they lost to Michigan 71-56 as a 2-point ‘dog.

Virginia Tech won three of its last four regular-season games, then bested Wake Forest 99-90 as a 3-point underdog to open ACC tourney play. The Hokies (22-10 SU, 16-11-1 ATS) then gave Florida State a fair run in the ACC quarterfinals, losing 74-68 as an 8-point pup.

Salmons said the Superbook opened the Badgers at -4.5, and they were bet up to 5 for this 9:40 ET Thursday contest in the East Region.

No. 12 North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks vs. No. 5 Virginia Cavaliers (-9)

Virginia won four of its last five SU and ATS, including a regular-season victory over North Carolina, one of the NCAA Tournament’s four No. 1 seeds. The Cavaliers (22-10 SU, 18-10 ATS) got a win over Pittsburgh to open the ACC tournament, then lost in the quarterfinals to Notre Dame, 71-58 as a 3.5-point favorite.

UNC-Wilmington, the Colonial Athletic Association champion, has won seven straight and nine of 11. The Seahawks (29-5 SU, 14-15-1 ATS) bested Charleston 78-69 as a 2.5-point chalk in the CAA final on March 6.

“Wilmington is an offensive team, and you’ve got a defensive team in Virginia. Those are the kinds of matchups that are a little bit trickier,” Kaminsky said, noting the Seahawks average 85.2 ppg, while Virginia allows just 55.6 ppg, No. 1 in the country. “In most sports, defense controls the game, so expect Virginia to control the game. It’ll be interesting to see Wilmington try to play a game they’re not used to. It’s gonna be very difficult. Virginia is the better team and will try to dictate the tempo.”

It will be an early start for both teams in this Midwest Region tilt, set for 12:40 p.m. ET on Thursday.

No. 10 Wichita State Shockers vs. No. 7 Dayton Flyers (+7)

Wichita State is arguably the hottest team in the field, as the winner of 15 consecutive games (11-4 ATS) heading into this 7:10 p.m. ET Friday night clash in the South Region. The Shockers won the Missouri Valley Conference tournament, drubbing Illinois State 71-51 in the March 5 final as a 7-point chalk.

Dayton (24-7 SU, 19-10 ATS) made a nine-game late-season surge, which helped offset the fact that it lost its last two games: the regular-season finale at George Washington and, as the Atlantic 10’s No. 1 seed, its tournament opener to No. 9 seed Davidson, 73-67 laying 4 points.

“I just took a good play on Dayton,” Avello said shortly after posting his numbers Sunday night, noting he adjusted the opener from Shockers -7 to -6.5, and later the line went to 6. “The Flyers had a great season, but lost in their tournament. The question was, would they get in? Wichita State has been there many times, they have good tournament experience. I look for that game to stay close.”

Kaminsky is keen on the team with the lesser seed.

“Wichita is a very, very good team,” Kaminsky said, adding The Greek opened the Shockers -6.5, then adjusted down to 6. “Dayton is gonna have to play an exceptional game to win, because Wichita is a solid team.”

No. 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. No. 7 Michigan Wolverines (-1)

Michigan had its team plane slide off the runway in an aborted takeoff en route to the Big Ten tournament, but John Beilein’s troops were flying high by Sunday afternoon. The Wolverines (24-11 SU, 16-16 ATS) entered the conference tourney seeded eighth, then won and cashed four games in four days, capped by a 71-56 victory over Wisconsin getting 2 points.

Oklahoma State (20-12 SU, 16-10-1 ATS) went on a late-season 10-1 SU spree (9-2 ATS), but lost its last three games. That included opening the Big 12 tourney with a 92-83 setback to eventual champ Iowa State, with the Cowboys a 1.5-point favorite.

Salmons said the Superbook opened Michigan -1 for one of the first games on deck Friday, at 12:15 p.m. ET in the Midwest Region. The number remained at -1 late Sunday evening.

No. 9 Michigan State Spartans vs. No. 8 Miami Hurricanes (-2)

Tom Izzo salvaged a subpar Michigan State season by getting his team back into the NCAA Tournament, but will it be a long stay? The Spartans (19-14 SU, 17-15 ATS) lost three of their last four, including a quarterfinal Big 10 setback to Minnesota, 63-58 as a 1.5-point pup.

Miami (21-11 SU, 11-19 ATS) also dropped three of its last four, with the last a bashing at the hands of North Carolina in the ACC quarterfinals, 78-53 getting 8.5 points. Prior to that was when the Hurricanes likely locked in their NCAA bid, with an 8-2 SU run that included home victories over North Carolina and Duke.

“I don’t think Michigan State has a lot of talent, even though the pointspread is very close,” Kaminsky said of this 9:20 p.m. ET Friday start in the Midwest Region. “I think Miami will beat the Spartans.”

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 02:28 PM

NCAAB March Madness Betting Bible: Book I - Momentum, Skeds, and Travel

Filling out a bracket or making some bets during the NCAA tournament? Make sure you know how close to home teams are playing in their opening games.

March Madness is spreading like a damn zombie apocalypse and seems to infect more and more people every year.

The NCAA tournament is one of three rare (and hypocritical) times of the year when the mainstream media embraces sports betting and all its sexy angles - with the others being Super Bowl and the Kentucky Derby. That means tens of millions of people who never filled out a bracket (yes, that’s a form of gambling) or placed a wager on a game before will be breaking the betting seal this March.

Whether you’re one of those new faces on the sports betting scene (in that case, welcome. Nice to see you) or you’re a veteran of many a Madness, our NCAAB March Madness Betting Bible will come in handy over the next three weeks.

BOOK I: Momentum, Skeds, and Travel

Momentum

If you’re filling out your office pool bracket or capping the Round of 64 matchups, the first thing you need to consider before looking at anything is current form. Ask any oddsmaker and they’ll tell you that how a team is playing right now makes up the majority of a spread.

Teams that finished the season strong could have finally figured out their rotation or fixed issues that plagued their games all year. And some coaches, like North Carolina’s Roy Williams or Kansas’ Bill Self, are all about getting his team to peak at the right time – just before the postseason – so any losses taken earlier in the year should be weighed a little lighter.

Conference tournaments also offer bettors a chance to cash in on red-hot runs. A perfect example was the 2011 UConn Huskies program that played its way into the NCAA tournament with an improbable run to the Big East title, building steam for a Cinderella run to the Final Four and national title. Sometimes the light switch just gets clicked at the right time.

On the other hand, teams that stumbled into the postseason – be it the conference tournament or into the NCAA after taking a bad loss in the league postseason – should be viewed with caution. Bettors need to dissect those defeats and see what was behind those losses.

Often times, an off-night for a superstar or key injury could have played into those games, putting the team in a spot it’s not normally in. Or maybe those losses came by close margins on the road in tough venues.

Sometimes, however, a team simply runs out of gas at the end of a long schedule and doesn’t have enough in the tank to push through the postseason. Looking into things like shooting percentage and turnovers per game in those home stretches can be telltale signs of a tired team.

Non-conference schedule/Weak conference

One of the favorite measuring sticks for the NCAA selection committee is strength of schedule.

For mid-major programs serious about making the tournament cut, who won’t get much attention once league play starts, lining up a solid tune-up slate is key. Finding out which teams have that giant killer potential is a great way to avoid being burned by a Cinderella run and finding hidden value in the tournament spreads.

In the 2014 NCAA tournament, No. 12 North Dakota State out of the Summit League stunned No. 5 Oklahoma in the Round of 64. That would seem like a sizable upset, except for the fact NDSU was just a 3.5-point underdog because bookmakers knew the Bison’s wouldn’t back down from OU. North Dakota State boasted the 15th toughest non-conference schedule in the country, taking on teams like St. Mary’s, Notre Dame and Ohio State before the New Year.

But battling a slew of challenges to start the season isn’t reserved to teams from small leagues. Major conference programs trying to separate from the pack have been going through a gauntlet of tough non-conference foes in order to prepare for the rigors of league play.

It’s no surprise to see elite programs like Kansas, North Carolina, Kentucky and Gonzaga take on all challengers early in the calendar. And especially in major conferences suffering through down years, like the Big Ten, getting a read on how a team performs against programs outside of its usual schedule is key for capping later round matchups.

In that same vein, bettors and bracketeers should know which conferences were the most competitive and which ones lacked true depth. This can go for mid-majors and the big boy leagues as well. A one-loss conference record for a team from a shallow talent pool may not hold up against a team that went 10-6 in league action but played tough opponents night in and night out.

Heading into this year’s tournament, basketball fans have to question top-heavy leagues like the SEC while conferences such as the ACC provided more consistent competition for its elite teams.

Travel

Depending on where they seed in the NCAA pecking order, and the selection committee’s dedication to competitive balance among their bracket principles, teams can either find itself just miles from campus or on the other side of the country for the first two games of the tournament.

Factoring in any home-court edge is a great way to milk the most out of pointspreads and can be a solid decider if you’re on the fence about who to advance in your bracket pool.

Last year, teams like Providence (played in Philadelphia) and Butler (played in Chicago) enjoyed short trips and friendly crowds in their opening games while schools like VCU (played in California) and Southern Cal (played in Philadelphia) were forced to hop long plane rides on short notice to play in a faraway venues – both failing to make it out of the weekend.

Getting a grip on which teams can play on the road is also an important task when making your next move. Some programs thrive on a serious home-court edge but flounder away from home. The Florida State Seminoles were a tough team to beat at home but look like a different team when they hit the highway.

Going over home/away splits, accounting for wins/losses, ATS road records, shooting percentage and points allowed should give you an idea of which teams are road tested and which ones will be home sick during the NCAA tournament.

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 02:30 PM

NCAAB March Madness Betting Bible: Book II - Droughts, Experience, and Coaching

Capping college basketball coaches is just as important as knowing the starting five when the NCAA tournament rolls around.

BOOK II: Droughts, Experience, and Coaching

Tournament droughts/Bubble teams

For most programs, making the NCAA field of 68 is a big deal, especially when you find smaller programs who have never been to the Big Dance before or major conference members snapping an extended tournament drought. These team offer letdown value in their opening game of the NCAA.

For mid-major teams, that perhaps stunned their conference favorite in their respective league tournament, a trip to the NCAA wasn’t in the cards until that conference championship upset. And many times, these mid-major Cinderellas fall flat in their first game with a sense of accomplishment for just making to the Final 68.

The same fate can easily be in store for major conference programs who have to blow the dust of their dancing shoes following a long hiatus from NCAA play. Despite being a recognizable name, the players can sometimes get caught up in “just being there” and lay an egg when it comes time to perform, not realizing the level of intensity needed to advance in the tournament.

Another group to watch out for are those teams usually shown on CBS Selection Sunday, gathered in the locker room or athletics center to see if they made the NCAA cut or not. Bubble teams that squeaked into the national tournament, either by a late-season run or a few impressive wins in the conference tourney, can also get caught in a letdown after escaping the ax.

Experience vs. Talent

This is one the biggest debates basketball fans – bettors or not – can get into during tournament time. What is worth more: experience or talent? Factor in their worth to the spread and you can quickly get sucked down this worm hole, created by the NBA’s draft rules.

Since players can’t jump to the pros straight from high school any more – needing to be 19 years old and out of high school for a year before declaring for the draft – the freshman class is often the most talented class in college. First-year players good enough for the pros leave school for the NBA – the “one and done” crew – with the leftover, less-talented group forming the sophomore class.

And if those second-year student athletes aren’t good enough to get drafted or play pro ball overseas or in the NBADL, they stick around the college ranks joining a watered-down junior and senior group of players.

Heavyweight programs like Kentucky, North Carolina, and Kansas get the most exposure, which is an easy sell to a high school kid looking to juice his draft stock in one year of NCAA ball. That’s why you usually see the five-star studs keep landing in the same spots. These are hands down the most talented teams.

Kentucky proved that talent can trump experience with their dominant run to the national title in 2012, fueled by a stellar crop of freshman, headlined by Anthony Davis. But, on the flip side of that argument, the Butler Bulldogs – out of the Horizon League - made runs to the national title game in 2010 and 2011 with a roster loaded with experience (three seniors, five juniors/five seniors, three juniors).

Perhaps the best way to gauge a freshman-heavy team is the supporting cast. If you have a starting lineup with three of four freshman, find out who is the upperclassmen rounding out the lineup or who is the sixth man off the bench? Does this player bring enough experience to steady the young kids and step up when needed?

This year's Kentucky team is among the youngest in the country – with eight freshmen and an average age of 19.7 years - but those talented youngsters are surrounded by four sophomores and three seniors, most of which come off the bench in a supporting role that gives UK stability when the “diaper dandies” need a break.

And for a program with a surplus of seniors and juniors, bettors and bracketologist should check into just how weathered those players really are. A group that has lost steadily for two or three years, only to finally make the NCAA, may not know what it takes to get the job done and have only experience losing – not winning.

North Carolina is one of the more experienced teams in the country with five seniors and four juniors on the roster, with those players having gone all the way to the national title game last season and the Sweet 16 the year before. Roy Williams is hoping that postseason experience intersects with his team’s surplus of top talent this March, avenging a crushing last-second loss in last year’s championship.

Some may think that an experienced team is used to the long and trying college basketball season, where a younger side may see its players hit the feared “freshman wall”. While this theory used to hold water, the key role of AAU competition (Amateur Athletic Union) in helping high school players get noticed by NCAA scouts has made high-level basketball a year-round season for college-bound players.

So, not only are the top freshmen in the country breaking through the “wall” with ease but at this point in the schedule – if they’re lucky enough to be among the field of 68 – they really can’t be considered wet behind the ears.

Coaching

College sports are often more dictated by who’s on the sidelines than the players on the floor or field. Unlike in the pros, college head coaches have full control over which players they bring in and design a program around the system they want to run. Handicapping a coach is just as important as breaking down a team’s starting five at this point in the season.

Banking on a veteran coach, with plenty of NCAA games under their belts, is a smart move later in the tournament, when the pressure is higher and adjustments are premium with the quick turnaround between games. A first-time tournament coach may not know how to react to the intensity of an opening round game or be clear-minded enough to make key calls need to win.

There’s a reason teams like Villanova with Jay Wright, Arizona with Sean Miller, Kansas with Bill Self and Duke with Mike Krzyzewski always seem to be among the names escaping the first weekend of the tournament each March.

For those capping some lesser-known NCAA contenders, take a look at the head coach’s resume and examine their coaching tree. While they may not have taken this current school to the Big Dance they could have been an assistant with a big-name program, getting on-the-job training when it comes to sealing the deal come tournament time.

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 02:33 PM

NCAAB March Madness Betting Bible: Book III - Telltale signs of a Cinderella

Cinderella NCAA tournament teams all have their tells, from strong non-conference skeds, to little-known supertars, to unique playbooks.

Everyone loves fairy tales, which is why more and more people love March Madness. The promise of the Cinderella team has captured the nation’s hearts ever since Jimmy Valvano and the upstart North Carolina State Wolfpack shocked their way to the national championship in 1983.

For basketball bettors, whether you’re wagering on NCAA games or filling out a tournament bracket for your annual March Madness pool, spotting the Cinderella before the clock strikes midnight is the road to riches. While the majority of March Madness aficionados pick their jaws up off the ground, those skilled enough to spot the tournament sleeper are counting their cash and touting a bracket free of red ink.

In the first two books of Betting Bible, we explored some overall handicapping tools that will help you get through the tournament. Now, in Book III, we look at key attributes bettors and bracketeers should look for when searching for Cinderella this March.

BOOK III: TELLTALE SIGNS OF A CINDERELLA

Non-conference schedule

Most tournament stunners hinted at their upset potential early into the college hoops season. The only problem is 99.9 percent of March Madness bettors don’t pay attention to the NCAA ranks until Selection Sunday. From the early tipoff tournaments to the conference championships, it’s a wiseguys’ game.

Before automatically penciling a recognizable program past a lower-seeded mid-major you should take a trip back in time, before the New Year, and see just who these small schools sharpened their teeth against this season, and even the year before.

Looking at previous Cinderella teams like Davidson in 2008 or Florida Gulf Coast in 2013, you’ll find a bevy of big-name programs on their non-conference schedules. The Wildcats, led by Stephen Curry, clashed with fellow Carolina rivals Duke and UNC on the regular and also took on UCLA and North Carolina that season. And the Eagles’ 2012-13 calendar was packed with notable names like Duke, St. John’s, Iowa State, and VCU.

Potential Cinderellas don’t necessarily have to knock off those Goliaths during non-conference competition, with the experience of playing at that high level preparing them for tournament time. Mid-majors with plenty of major conference foes on the docket are less likely to be overwhelmed by their opponents in the opening rounds of March Madness.

How those underdogs did against the spread versus serious non-conference competition is also, at the very least, a solid indicator of a sleeper bet early in the tournament. That 2007-08 Davidson team was 0-4 SU versus UNC, Duke, UCLA and NC State but covered the spread in each of those non-conference games. The Wildcats would go on to run through Georgetown, Gonzaga, and Wisconsin in the tournament before losing to eventual-champ Kansas by two points in the Elite Eight – going a perfect 4-0 ATS in the Big Dance.

Playmakers/Game breakers

The top talents in the NCAA making the jump to the pros each year come from the same NBA-factory programs like Kentucky, Kansas and North Carolina. However, there are always one or two mid-major guys, playing under the radar all year, that sneak into the first round of the draft. And often times, an impressive display on the national stage is what got those players from smaller schools recognized.

There are a handful of current and former NBA players that sparked a Cinderella upset during their college days, like Curry at Davidson, Courtney Lee at Western Kentucky, Eric Maynor at VCU, Gordon Hayward at Butler, and Adam Morrison at Gonzaga. Having the best player on the floor can sometimes be enough. A go-to guy keeps opponents honest on defense and makes the big shot, which is key for Cinderellas.

It's the reason "Ali Farokhmanesh" is a household name among March Madness fans.

3-point shooting/rebounding/defense

When breaking down Cinderellas from a statistical approach, some of the more common numbers that pop up are terrific 3-point shooting, the ability to rebound and keep opponents off the boards, and a defense that can hold up against talent-stuffed favorites.

The ability to knock down the 3-ball is very important for underdog teams, allowing them to keep pace with a bigger stronger opponent who may be able to bully their way to the basket for easy looks. A perfect example is Northern Iowa’s upset over Kansas (hinted at above) in the second round of the 2010 NCAA tournament. The Panthers sunk nine 3-pointers in that game and left a towering KU frontcourt powerless.

In Norfolk State’s Round of 64 upset of Missouri in 2012 – a No. 15 over No. 2 seed – the Spartans dominated the glass, pulling down 35 boards with 14 on the offensive end (including a game-winning tip-in) while holding the Tigers to just 23 totals rebounds and only six offensive boards. Norfolk State scored 16 second-chance points on those offensive putbacks, and free points can turn any mid-major team into a potential giant killer - or at least a spread coverer.

On the defensive side of the ball, a mid-major program that prides itself on defense can often turn those stops and turnovers into easy buckets. George Mason nearly rode its hard-nosed defense all the way to the national title game in 2006. The Patriots, who ranked 21st in defense (60.1 points against per game), shut down super powers Michigan State, and North Carolina in the first two games of the tournament and held Wichita State to 55 points before winning an overtime shootout with UConn in the Elite Eight.

Different styles/matchups

Half of the success of Cinderella schools is that they found favorable matchups in their opening round opponents, going against teams that have never faced an offense or defense like that presented or get stuck in a bad mismatch of pace, which can shake a team out of its game plan. This goes back to Paul Westhead’s up-tempo offense with Loyola Marymount in the late 1980’s.

A perfect example of this are the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, who used a run-and-gun style of play against the Georgetown Hoyas’ methodical Princeton offense in the Round of 64 in the 2013 NCAA tournament. The Eagles put the Hoyas on their heels, forced them out of their tempo and capitalized on 14 turnovers with fastbreak finishes.

The VCU Rams burst on to the national scene with a run in the 2011 NCAA tournament, backed behind head coach Shaka Smart’s havoc defense. The Rams went with all-out 55, full-court pressure defense, making it tough for opponents to inbound the ball, advance over half, and get into an offensive set with enough time left on the shot clock to get the look they wanted. Virginia Commonwealth forced a total of 69 turnovers in its first five NCAA games (including the play-in) for an average of 13.8 takeaways before losing to Butler in the Final Four.

When trying Cinderella’s slipper on this year’s tiny dancers, get to know the team philosophy and what sets them apart from the pack. Then measure that approach – either on offense or defense – against what their opening-round matchup brings to the table and the types of playbooks and defensive schemes they’ve dealt with during conference play (Do they milk each possession? How have they gone against a lot of zone or pressure-heavy teams?).

Teams playing on Thursday and Friday don’t have a lot of time for film study between Selection Sunday and the opening tip, especially coordinating a small army of players, coaches, assistants and training staff to travel on short notice. Perhaps Cinderella's greatest weapon is the element of surprise.

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 09:31 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 14

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MOUNT ST MARYS (19 - 15) vs. NEW ORLEANS (20 - 11) - 3/14/2017, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS ST (20 - 13) vs. WAKE FOREST (19 - 13) - 3/14/2017, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 74-112 ATS (-49.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 107-143 ATS (-50.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 118-152 ATS (-49.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UNC-GREENSBORO (25 - 9) at SYRACUSE (18 - 14) - 3/14/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OLE MISS (20 - 13) at MONMOUTH (27 - 6) - 3/14/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANA (18 - 15) at GEORGIA TECH (17 - 15) - 3/14/2017, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VALPARAISO (24 - 8) at ILLINOIS (18 - 14) - 3/14/2017, 7:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CS-BAKERSFIELD (22 - 9) at CALIFORNIA (21 - 12) - 3/14/2017, 11:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CS-BAKERSFIELD is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
CS-BAKERSFIELD is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLL OF CHARLESTON (25 - 9) at COLORADO ST (23 - 11) - 3/14/2017, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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RICHMOND (20 - 12) at ALABAMA (19 - 14) - 3/14/2017, 9:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (24 - 8) at CLEMSON (17 - 15) - 3/14/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons

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BOISE ST (19 - 11) at UTAH (20 - 11) - 3/14/2017, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST FRANCIS-PA (16 - 16) at JACKSONVILLE (17 - 15) - 3/14/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTN BAPTIST (17 - 13) at CAMPBELL (17 - 17) - 3/14/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CANISIUS (18 - 15) at SAMFORD (19 - 15) - 3/14/2017, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, March 15

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NC CENTRAL (25 - 8) vs. CAL DAVIS (22 - 12) - 3/15/2017, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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USC (24 - 9) vs. PROVIDENCE (20 - 12) - 3/15/2017, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
PROVIDENCE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
PROVIDENCE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
PROVIDENCE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PROVIDENCE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
PROVIDENCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
PROVIDENCE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
PROVIDENCE is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BELMONT (22 - 6) at GEORGIA (19 - 14) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus BELMONT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against BELMONT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TX-ARLINGTON (25 - 8) at BYU (22 - 11) - 3/15/2017, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AKRON (26 - 8) at HOUSTON (22 - 10) - 3/15/2017, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S DAKOTA (22 - 11) at IOWA (18 - 14) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (20 - 12) at TCU (19 - 15) - 3/15/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UC-IRVINE (21 - 14) at ILLINOIS ST (27 - 6) - 3/15/2017, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO (19 - 14) at UCF (21 - 11) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOYOLA-MD (15 - 16) at GEORGE MASON (20 - 13) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HAMPTON (14 - 16) at COASTAL CAROLINA (16 - 17) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TOLEDO (17 - 16) at GEORGE WASHINGTON (19 - 14) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E WASHINGTON (22 - 11) at WYOMING (18 - 14) - 3/15/2017, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WI-GREEN BAY (18 - 13) at MISSOURI-KC (17 - 16) - 3/15/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (20 - 12) at RICE (22 - 11) - 3/15/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH VALLEY ST (15 - 16) at GA SOUTHERN (18 - 14) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALL ST (21 - 12) at IUPU-FT WAYNE (19 - 12) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FAIRFIELD (16 - 14) at MD-BALT COUNTY (18 - 12) - 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA ST (20 - 12) at TEXAS A&M CC (20 - 11) - 3/15/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SF AUSTIN ST (18 - 14) at IDAHO (18 - 13) - 3/15/2017, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, March 16

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VIRGINIA TECH (22 - 10) vs. WISCONSIN (25 - 9) - 3/16/2017, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PRINCETON (23 - 6) vs. NOTRE DAME (25 - 9) - 3/16/2017, 12:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRINCETON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUCKNELL (26 - 8) vs. W VIRGINIA (26 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 2:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
BUCKNELL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
BUCKNELL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
W VIRGINIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UNC-WILMINGTON (29 - 5) vs. VIRGINIA (22 - 10) - 3/16/2017, 12:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 163-126 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E TENN ST (27 - 7) vs. FLORIDA (24 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 3:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
FLORIDA is 124-93 ATS (+21.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 73-47 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA GULF COAST (26 - 7) vs. FLORIDA ST (25 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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XAVIER (21 - 13) vs. MARYLAND (24 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 6:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
XAVIER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
XAVIER is 223-176 ATS (+29.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEVADA (28 - 6) vs. IOWA ST (23 - 10) - 3/16/2017, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IOWA ST is 153-117 ATS (+24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEVADA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEVADA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEVADA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEVADA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VERMONT (29 - 5) vs. PURDUE (25 - 7) - 3/16/2017, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
PURDUE is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against VERMONT over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (30 - 4) vs. MINNESOTA (24 - 9) - 3/16/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINTHROP (26 - 6) vs. BUTLER (23 - 8) - 3/16/2017, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 70-34 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BUTLER is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
BUTLER is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
BUTLER is 70-34 ATS (+32.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
BUTLER is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 74-42 ATS (+27.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
BUTLER is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
BUTLER is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
BUTLER is 210-163 ATS (+30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S DAKOTA ST (18 - 16) vs. GONZAGA (32 - 1) - 3/16/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
GONZAGA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
GONZAGA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
GONZAGA is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GONZAGA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
GONZAGA is 34-12 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
S DAKOTA ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (19 - 15) vs. NORTHWESTERN (23 - 11) - 3/16/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANDERBILT is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
VANDERBILT is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
VANDERBILT is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
VANDERBILT is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANDERBILT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N DAKOTA (22 - 9) vs. ARIZONA (30 - 4) - 3/16/2017, 9:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
ARIZONA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
N DAKOTA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
N DAKOTA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
N DAKOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
N DAKOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
N DAKOTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N DAKOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
ARIZONA is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 8) vs. ST MARYS-CA (28 - 4) - 3/16/2017, 7:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST PETERS (19 - 13) at ALBANY (21 - 13) - 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FURMAN (21 - 11) at USC UPSTATE (17 - 15) - 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNC-ASHEVILLE (23 - 9) at TENN-MARTIN (21 - 12) - 3/16/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LAMAR (19 - 14) at TEXAS ST (20 - 13) - 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-0 straight up against LAMAR over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WEBER ST (18 - 13) at CS-FULLERTON (17 - 14) - 3/16/2017, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STONY BROOK (18 - 13) at IL-CHICAGO (15 - 18) - 3/16/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, March 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (22 - 14) vs. DUKE (27 - 8) - 3/17/2017, 7:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
TROY is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TROY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
TROY is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
TROY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
TROY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
TROY is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DUKE is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARQUETTE (19 - 12) vs. S CAROLINA (22 - 10) - 3/17/2017, 9:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 138-95 ATS (+33.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS SOUTHERN (22 - 11) vs. N CAROLINA (27 - 7) - 3/17/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 291-239 ATS (+28.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SETON HALL (21 - 11) vs. ARKANSAS (25 - 9) - 3/17/2017, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SETON HALL is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SETON HALL is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 76-118 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 89-134 ATS (-58.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 60-90 ATS (-39.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE ST (20 - 14) vs. LOUISVILLE (24 - 8) - 3/17/2017, 2:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
LOUISVILLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE ST over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE ST over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (20 - 12) vs. MICHIGAN (24 - 11) - 3/17/2017, 12:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 114-79 ATS (+27.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N KENTUCKY (24 - 10) vs. KENTUCKY (29 - 5) - 3/17/2017, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
N KENTUCKY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
N KENTUCKY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WICHITA ST (30 - 4) vs. DAYTON (24 - 7) - 3/17/2017, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAYTON is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
DAYTON is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
DAYTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) on Friday nights this season.
WICHITA ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
WICHITA ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
WICHITA ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
WICHITA ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
WICHITA ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (28 - 5) vs. BAYLOR (25 - 7) - 3/17/2017, 12:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (19 - 14) vs. MIAMI (21 - 11) - 3/17/2017, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MIAMI is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MIAMI is 137-104 ATS (+22.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-19 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 11-19 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IONA (22 - 12) vs. OREGON (29 - 5) - 3/17/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
OREGON is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
OREGON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
OREGON is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
OREGON is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
IONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RHODE ISLAND (24 - 9) vs. CREIGHTON (25 - 9) - 3/17/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
RHODE ISLAND is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (22 - 13) vs. UCLA (29 - 4) - 3/17/2017, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
UCLA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
KENT ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
KENT ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KENT ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
UCLA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 09:52 PM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
UNC GREENSBORO vs. SYRACUSE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of UNC Greensboro's last 9 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Syracuse is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. MONMOUTH
Mississippi is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Mississippi is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Monmouth's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Monmouth's last 6 games at home

7:15 PM
VALPARAISO vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Valparaiso's last 5 games on the road
Valparaiso is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games at home
Illinois is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
CANISIUS vs. SAMFORD
No trends available
Samford is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Samford's last 20 games

8:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. CLEMSON
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Clemson's last 13 games at home
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. INDIANA
Georgia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games

9:00 PM
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON vs. COLORADO STATE
College of Charleston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Colorado State is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games

9:10 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. KANSAS STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 7 games

9:15 PM
RICHMOND vs. ALABAMA
No trends available
Alabama is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games

10:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. UTAH
Boise State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

11:15 PM
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. CALIFORNIA
CS Bakersfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
California is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
California is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games at home

Wednesday, March 15

7:00 PM
UTAH VALLEY vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Utah Valley is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Southern's last 10 games at home
Georgia Southern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. IUPU FORT WAYNE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. UMBC
Fairfield is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
BELMONT vs. GEORGIA
Belmont is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Belmont's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games at home
Georgia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
COLORADO vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games on the road
Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 6 games at home
Central Florida is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

7:00 PM
LOYOLA vs. GEORGE MASON
No trends available
George Mason is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
George Mason is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
SOUTH DAKOTA vs. IOWA
No trends available
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toledo's last 12 games on the road
Toledo is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
George Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of George Washington's last 7 games

7:30 PM
AKRON vs. HOUSTON
Akron is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Akron's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. TCU
Fresno State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games on the road
TCU is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games

8:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. RICE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
Rice is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. TEXAS A&M C.C.
Georgia State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia State is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
No trends available

8:05 PM
WISC-GREEN BAY vs. UMKC
No trends available
UMKC is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
UMKC is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

9:00 PM
TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-Arlington's last 6 games on the road
Texas-Arlington is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
BYU is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games
BYU is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. WYOMING
Eastern Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Eastern Washington's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wyoming's last 8 games at home
Wyoming is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

9:10 PM
USC vs. PROVIDENCE
No trends available
Providence is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

9:30 PM
UC IRVINE vs. ILLINOIS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UC Irvine's last 5 games on the road
UC Irvine is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Illinois State is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois State's last 6 games

11:00 PM
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN vs. IDAHO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho's last 5 games at home
Idaho is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Thursday, March 16

12:15 PM
PRINCETON vs. NOTRE DAME
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 games
Notre Dame is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

12:40 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. VIRGINIA
No trends available
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 8 games

1:30 PM
WINTHROP vs. BUTLER
No trends available
Butler is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 6 games

2:00 PM
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
Gonzaga is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Gonzaga is 19-5-1 ATS in its last 25 games

2:45 PM
BUCKNELL vs. WEST VIRGINIA
No trends available
West Virginia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
West Virginia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

3:10 PM
EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
Florida is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games

TBA
LAMAR vs. TEXAS STATE
No trends available
Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Lamar
Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

4:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. MINNESOTA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

4:30 PM
VANDERBILT vs. NORTHWESTERN
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games

6:50 PM
XAVIER vs. MARYLAND
No trends available
Maryland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Maryland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

7:00 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. ALBANY
Saint Peter's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
FURMAN vs. USC UPSTATE
Furman is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman's last 6 games on the road
No trends available

7:20 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. ST. MARY'S
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 6 games
St. Mary's is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

7:27 PM
VERMONT vs. PURDUE
No trends available
Purdue is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Purdue is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
STONY BROOK vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois-Chicago's last 6 games
Illinois-Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
UNC ASHEVILLE vs. TENNESSEE-MARTIN
No trends available
Tennessee-Martin is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Tennessee-Martin is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

9:20 PM
FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. FLORIDA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

9:40 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. WISCONSIN
No trends available
Wisconsin is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Wisconsin is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

9:50 PM
NORTH DAKOTA vs. ARIZONA
No trends available
Arizona is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games

9:57 PM
NEVADA vs. IOWA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games
Iowa State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

10:00 PM
WEBER STATE vs. CS FULLERTON
Weber State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 5 games on the road
CS Fullerton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
CS Fullerton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Friday, March 17

12:15 PM
PRINCETON vs. NOTRE DAME
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 games
Notre Dame is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

12:40 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. VIRGINIA
No trends available
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 8 games

1:30 PM
WINTHROP vs. BUTLER
No trends available
Butler is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 6 games

2:00 PM
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
Gonzaga is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Gonzaga is 19-5-1 ATS in its last 25 games

2:45 PM
BUCKNELL vs. WEST VIRGINIA
No trends available
West Virginia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
West Virginia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

3:10 PM
EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
Florida is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games

TBA
LAMAR vs. TEXAS STATE
No trends available
Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Lamar
Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

4:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. MINNESOTA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

4:30 PM
VANDERBILT vs. NORTHWESTERN
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games

6:50 PM
XAVIER vs. MARYLAND
No trends available
Maryland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Maryland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

7:00 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. ALBANY
Saint Peter's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
FURMAN vs. USC UPSTATE
Furman is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman's last 6 games on the road
No trends available

7:20 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. ST. MARY'S
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 6 games
St. Mary's is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

7:27 PM
VERMONT vs. PURDUE
No trends available
Purdue is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Purdue is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
STONY BROOK vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois-Chicago's last 6 games
Illinois-Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
UNC ASHEVILLE vs. TENNESSEE-MARTIN
No trends available
Tennessee-Martin is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Tennessee-Martin is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

9:20 PM
FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. FLORIDA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

9:40 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. WISCONSIN
No trends available
Wisconsin is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Wisconsin is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

9:50 PM
NORTH DAKOTA vs. ARIZONA
No trends available
Arizona is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games

9:57 PM
NEVADA vs. IOWA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games
Iowa State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

10:00 PM
WEBER STATE vs. CS FULLERTON
Weber State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 5 games on the road
CS Fullerton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
CS Fullerton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 10:19 PM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 14

Thursday’s NCAA games
Notre Dame lost in regional finals the last two years; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine first round games, winning last two years by 4-7 points. Princeton won its last 19 games; their last loss was 96-90 to Monmouth Dec 19. Tigers are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 9-11-11-6 points and a 72-70 win at Bucknell- they’re in NCAA’s for first time since 2011, when they lost 59-57 (+13) as a 13-seed vs Kentucky; Ivy League teams are 5-2 vs spread in first round last seven years (4-3 SU). Princeton played Sunday, now has early game Thursday; not best scenario.

Virginia went 9-7 down stretch after starting season 16-3; they won four of last five games, with all four wins by 10+ points. Cavaliers play slowest-tempo games in country, are #16 team in country at protecting ball. NC-Wilmington won its last seven games; they’re 11-2 outside CAA, with one of losses by 14 at Clemson of ACC. Seahawks are #57 experience team, starting three seniors, two sophomores; they force turnovers 20.4% of time. Virginia won their last three first round games, by 11-12-36 points. Since ’09, CAA teams are 8-2 vs spread in first round games. Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 vs spread in 5-12 first round games.

Winthrop is in NCAA’s for first time since 2010; they’re #31 experience team, starting three seniors and a junior. Eagles lost by 14 at Florida St, 16 at Dayton- they won at Illinois in their games vs “bigtime” teams. Winthrop makes 38% of its 3-pointers, accounting for 36.7% of their points. Butler lost its last two games, split their last ten games; they’re 5-1 vs teams outside top 100, with three wins by 16+ points. Bulldogs won first round games the last two years, by 8-10 points. Since ’08, Big South teams are 2-5 vs spread in first round games.

Gonzaga hammered South Dakota 102-65 Dec 21; Coyotes finished four games ahead of rival South Dakota State in Summit standings- does that make Zags overconfident here? Over last seven years, Gonzaga is 5-2 vs spread in first round games; last time they were a 1-seed (’13) they won their first round game 64-58. Jackrabbits lost first six D-I games this season; they lost by 29 at Cal, 12 to East Tennessee St, 28 at Northern Iowa, 22 to Wichita State in non-league games vs good teams. Since ’03, Summit League teams are 4-8-2 vs spread in first round, 4-4 last eight years.

Bucknell won 18 of its last 21 games, winning last six; they lost by 20 at Wake Forest, by 26 at Butler, but also won at Vanderbilt. Patriot League teams are 0-4 vs spread in this round the last four years, losing by 12-40-41-39 points; Bucknell is in tourney for first time since 68-56 (+3) loss to Butler four years ago. West Virginia lost in first round LY to SF Austin; Mountaineers force turnovers 28.1% of time, #1 in country- they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight first round games. Last three years, underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in 4-13 first round games.

Florida lost three of last four games, all to Vandy/Kentucky; Gators are 19-0 this season vs teams ranked outside top 50- this is coach White’s first NCAA tourney in his sixth year as a head coach. East Tennessee State won 13 of its last 15 games; they’re #7 experience team in country, starting a junior, four seniors. Buccaneers played two SEC teams this year, losing to Tennessee by 4 at home, winning by 2 at Miss State- ETSU coach Forbes was an assistant at Tennessee for six years. Last three years, dogs are 7-5 vs spread in 4-13 first round games.

5-seed Minnesota is a 1-point favorite over 12-seed Middle Tennessee? Gophers are in NCAA tourney for first time since ’13; they’ve won nine of last 11 games, but lost senior G Springs over weekend- they played only six guys in last game (three played 39:00+). Blue Raiders beat Michigan St in first round LY; they’re 20-1 in last 21 games, 5-1 vs top 100 teams, with wins over UNCW, Ole Miss, Vandy, Belmont. Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-14 vs spread (12-8 SU) in first round games. Last six years, C-USA teams are 4-2 vs spread in this round.

Northwestern is in NCAA’s for first time, despite going 5-7 in its last 12 games; Wildcats are 4-6 vs top 40 teams this season, with best win at Wisconsin- they start two juniors, two seniors, are healthier now with Lindsey (mono) back in lineup. Vanderbilt won seven of its last nine games; they were only 6-6 in pre-conference games, going 0-5 vs top 50 teams- they’re 6-9 overall vs top 50 teams this season. Drew was in NCAA’s twice as Valpo’s coach, losing first round games by 3-11 points. Commodores are 1-5 in last six NCAA tournament games.

Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/13

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/13

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