Announcement

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 10:45 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Last year, UNLV fired hoop coach Dave Rice three games into conference play; as an alumnus, he deserved much better. Now Rice is in the NCAA’s as an assistant for Nevada. Have to feel good for the guy.

— Cardinals-Pirates will play a Sunday night game in Williamsport during the Little League World Series in August.

— Random musical knowledge: Michael Jackson did 22 shows at the Tokyo Dome.

— Cleveland Browns have five of the first 65 picks in this year’s NFL Draft and four picks in the first two rounds next season. All they have to do now is pick the right guys.

— Cleveland Browns will start their 5th different QB in last five years in Week 1 in September.

— Showtime has a special on the 1976 Indiana basketball team that finished unbeaten, the last college basketball team to do that. If you like basketball history, it is worth a look.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Quick thoughts on the field of 68

Some quick thoughts after seeing the pairings and after Champ Week.

13) Must be nice go to college at Arizona; their players were watching the pairings show while sitting outside, in the sun. I’m guessing the North Dakota kids watched the pairings show inside.

12) Early last week, was texting with a friend in Las Vegas, talking about hoop; the two mid-majors who I thought were best positioned to shock the world this week were Tex-Arlington and Monmouth— welllllll……neither one of them made it.

There will be a great set of games at some point in this tournament, I’m just not real sure it’ll be the first round this year. There are jackasses on TV who run their mouths and pick lot of upsets so they can look good if the upsets happen- no way do they really believe those upsets will happen.

11) UCLA is a 3-seed; they play Kent State, then probably the Cincy-Wake-KState survivor. One note of caution about UCLA; Lonzo Ball hurt his left thumb Friday night. No one said anything, and he played the game but you could tell it was bothering him. If he ain’t 100%, the Bruins will go out early. I’m looking at Cincinnati to upset the Bruins in the second round.

10) Providence-USC is a play-in game; Friars beat USC 70-69 in an 8-9 game LY, with Friars scoring on an OB under play at the buzzer. USC led by 5 with 2:21 left. Kris Dunn is in the NBA now, though. Long trip east for the USC kids, and also for the Cal-Davis kids who also play in Dayton Wednesday night.

9) Purdue is a 4-seed, the best seed of any Big 14 team. Was looking at Maryland as a team who would get beat in the first round, but they drew a Xavier squad whose point guard got hurt 13 games ago— Musketeers are 6-7 since he got hurt.

8) Vermont is a 13-seed, second year in row the America East champ was a 13-seed. Since 2006, America East teams are 6-6 vs spread in NCAA’s, but a closer look shows that Albany was 5-1 vs spread in NCAA games, the rest of the league 1-5. Vermont lost to Butler by 12, South Carolina by 18, Providence by 22 this season- their best wins were over Harvard, Wofford.

7) Of the teams who played on Sunday, who has to play Thursday? Princeton and Wisconsin. Thats a quick turnaround, especially if the Thursday games are during the day.

6) Last two years, ACC teams are 9-3 against the spread in the first round.

5) Last year, Wichita State beat Sean Miller’s Arizona Wildcats 65-55 in the NCAA’s; this year, Shockers play Dayton in the first round- Flyers are coached by Archie Miller, Sean’s brother.

4) Westgate Sportsbook in Las Vegas (where it is not expected to snow this week, unlike in beautiful downtown Albany) has Duke at 5-1 to win it all; North Carolina is 6-1, followed by Kansas/Kentucky/Villanova, all at 8-1, then Gonzaga 10-1.

3) Six years ago, New Orleans didn’t have a basketball team; they were out of it for two years as the school considered dropping to Division III. Now the Privateers are in the NCAA’s- they won by 16 at Washington State of the Pac-12. Great coaching job by Mark Slessinger- UNO is 16-5 this season vs teams ranked outside the top 200. Mt St Mary’s is ranked #213.

2) Several teams made the NCAA’s for the first time; Northwestern, Cal-Davis, North Dakota and Jacksonville State; for those teams, everything from this point on is gravy- they’ve already had a fabulous season.

1— Someone in the blur of last week’s TV deluge predicted a 16-seed would beat a 1-seed this season; it has never happened, but look at the four games this year- it still ain’t happening.

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 11:13 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 13

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CHICAGO (31 - 35) at CHARLOTTE (29 - 37) - 3/13/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 66-81 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHICAGO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 7-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (28 - 37) at TORONTO (38 - 28) - 3/13/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 373-306 ATS (+36.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 477-400 ATS (+37.0 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 262-214 ATS (+26.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
TORONTO is 135-172 ATS (-54.2 Units) in March games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (37 - 29) at SAN ANTONIO (51 - 14) - 3/13/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (32 - 33) at MEMPHIS (36 - 30) - 3/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 353-423 ATS (-112.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 249-305 ATS (-86.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 52-91 ATS (-48.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (41 - 24) at MINNESOTA (27 - 38) - 3/13/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 47-67 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (40 - 26) at UTAH (41 - 25) - 3/13/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (20 - 46) at DENVER (31 - 35) - 3/13/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 64-81 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (24 - 43) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 41) - 3/13/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 70-98 ATS (-37.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ORLANDO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 47-65 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 11:14 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 13

Chicago lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven road games. Bulls’ last six games stayed under the total. Charlotte is 4-0 vs spread in game following its last four losses; they’re 2-9 vs spread in last 11 home games. Hornets won three of last four games with Chicago; home side won seven of last eight series games. Over is 3-2-1 in last six series games. Michael Jordan’s old team lost last four visits to Charlotte (0-4 vs spread).

Dallas won six of its last eight games; they lost last four road games (1-3 vs spread). Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Raptors lost three of last four games on 4-3 road trip; they won five of last six home games (4-6 vs spread in last ten). Under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Toronto won five of last seven games with Dallas; four of last five series games stayed under total. Mavericks lost three of last four visits to Toronto (2-2 vs spread).

Hawks won their last three games; they’re 13-7 vs spread in last 20 road games. Three of their last four games went over. San Antonio won 10 of last 11 games, are 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 13-5 in their last 18 games. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Atlanta, covering three of last four; three of last four in series went over. Hawks lost their last five visits to the Alamo (3-2 vs spread).

Milwaukee won/covered its last six games; they covered four of last five road games. Under is 8-0-1 in their last nine road games. Grizzlies lost their last five games, are 2-8 vs spread in last ten home games. Five of their last six games went over the total. Home side won last six Milwaukee-Memphis games; Bucks lost last four visits to Memphis (1-3 vs spread). Under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games.

Washington won its last five games; they’re 9-2-2 vs spread in last 13 road games. Wizards’ last six games went over total. Timberwolves won six of last nine games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Nine of last ten Minnesota games stayed under. Wizards/Minnesota split their last ten games; Washington lost three of last four visits to Twin Cities (1-3 vs spread). Four of last six series games went over total.

Clippers won four of last five games, are 8-3 vs spread in last 11 road games. Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 road games. Jazz won four of last five games, are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 home games. Four of their last five games went over the total. Clippers won nine of last ten games with Utah; they won last six games in this building (4-1-1 vs spread). Five of last seven series games stayed under.

Lakers lost nine of their last ten games, are 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Last three LA games went over the total. Nuggets won five of their last seven games, are 10-5 vs spread in last 15 home games. Over is 8-3 in their last eleven home games. Lakers lost six of last eight games with Denver; teams split last four games played here. Last seven series games went over total.

Magic lost four of last five games, are 4-7 vs spread in last 11 road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Sacramento lost its last eight games (2-5-1 vs spread); they’re 1-4-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 9-3 in their games since they traded Cousins. Kings lost four of last five games with Orlando; Magic won by 9-7 points in last two visits here. Last three series games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 11:16 AM

NBA

Monday, March 13

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. CHARLOTTE
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 19 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

7:30 PM
DALLAS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Dallas

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MEMPHIS
Milwaukee is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Memphis
Milwaukee is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MINNESOTA
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. UTAH
LA Clippers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Utah is 1-17 SU in their last 18 games when playing LA Clippers

10:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Sacramento is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Orlando

10:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. DENVER
LA Lakers are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

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**Udog** · 03-13-2017, 01:20 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 13

Orlando @ Sacramento

Game 515-516
March 13, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
115.937
Sacramento
110.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 5
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 1
207
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+1); Over

LA Lakers @ Denver

Game 513-514
March 13, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
109.492
Denver
126.301
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 17
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 12 1/2
230
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-12 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ Utah

Game 511-512
March 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
119.215
Utah
124.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 5
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 1
202
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-1); Under

Washington @ Minnesota

Game 509-510
March 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
125.761
Minnesota
122.281
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+1 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Memphis

Game 507-508
March 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
122.758
Memphis
118.408
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 4
200
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+4); Over

Atlanta @ San Antonio

Game 505-506
March 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
124.442
San Antonio
122.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 6 1/2
200
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+6 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Toronto

Game 503-504
March 13, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
115.330
Toronto
126.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 11 1/2
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4
196 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4); Under

Chicago @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
March 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
109.699
Charlotte
124.114
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 14 1/2
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 7
199 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-7); Under

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/13

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/13

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