Announcement

**Udog** · 03-12-2017, 09:31 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win major league strikeout title this season:

7-2— Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw

8-1— Madison Bumgarner

10-1— Chris Archer, Chris Sale

14-1— Corey Kluber, Noah Syndergaard

18-1— Justin Verlander

20-1— Michael Pineda, David Price

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a super Saturday…….

13) Arizona 83, Oregon 80— High-level game; Wildcats jumped out quickly, held on at the end. I’m not big on debating seeding, but I do think that right now, both these teams are better than Gonzaga, if only because they’ve been tested so much more in the last nine weeks.

12) VCU 87, Richmond 77 OT— Spiders (+6.5) are our Bad Beat of the Day (they led by 3 with 0:30 left in regulation), but also they lost to their crosstown rival for third time this season. Has to be frustrating.

Bad beat #2: Penn (+7) lost by 8 in OT at home to Princeton.

Champ Week is great fun because of games like this one; VCU was in NCAA’s no matter what, but Richmond could’ve been a bid stealer, so teams like USC, Illinois State, Kansas State had to be rooting like hell for VCU, maybe harder than VCU fans.

11) Big Sky final: North Dakota 93, Weber State 89, OT— They used to be called the Fighting Sioux before the world became politically correct; now they’re the Fighting Hawks. Fitting that a team whose best player is Quinton Hooker won the first Big Sky tournament played in Nevada.

10) Duke 75, Notre Dame 69— Blue Devils are first ACC team to win conference tournament by winning four games in four days- they came from behind in second half the last three days.

9) Oregon lost Chris Boucher, its best shot blocker, with a torn ACL, damaging blow to their NCAA hopes. He was scoring 11.8 pts/game, grabbing 6.1 rebounds/game. Boucher played 12:00 last night AFTER the injury, which was found by an MRI today. Tough kid.

Minnesota lost senior guard Akeem Springs for the season with an achilles injury, big blow for the Gophers.

8) First day of the first-ever Ivy League tournament was an on-court success; Princeton snuck past the host Penn Quakers in overtime, while Yale beat rival Harvard to advance to the finals.

Princeton was 14-0 during regular season; would’ve been a bitter pill to lose to a 6-8 team that was playing on its home court. Harvard has a really good senior point guard, but their other four starters are freshmen. Unusual.

7) Random fact: Over last eight NCAA tournaments, the overall #1 seed has only won the national championship twice.

6) Nevada 79, Colorado State 71— CSU coach Larry Eustachy got every last drop out of his seven-man squad that had five frosh/sophs on it, but it wasn’t enough to win three games in three days in a conference tournament.

Question for Nevada is this: can they keep their coach now? Eric Musselman was an NBA head coach (Golden State/Sacramento); his salary in Reno isn’t that great (less than $400K). He was an assistant at LSU a few years ago; he’d be a great hire for them.

5) Illinois went 37-53 in conference play the last five years; they fired John Groce Saturday. Illini played for the national title in 2005 under Bruce Weber, but has only made tournament in three of last ten years.

Bob Williams is out after 19 years at Cal-Santa Barbara; Gauchos had a horrible year this season, but the three years before this one, UCSB was 34-14 in the Big West- they haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2011, but this seems like a quick hook.

4) Texas State 83, Texas-Arlington 62— UTA was a team I was looking at to be a Cinderella next week; they beat St Mary’s easily in Moraga, but they got upset in the semis of their conference tournament, so they’re off to the NIT. Texas State plays Troy State Sunday for the Sun Belt title; will the winner be headed to Dayton for a Wednesday play-in game?

3) Cincinnati 81, UConn 71— Bearcats beat UConn three times this season, all by double digits, twice in the Nutmeg State. Cincy will be a trendy sleeper pick in brackets next week.

2) What could the biggest possible “worlds colliding” matchup in the first round of the NCAA’s? In 1986, Montana State played St John’s; something like that. How often does a team from NYC play a team from Bozeman, Montana?

How about North Dakota-UCLA? Vermont-West Virginia?

1— Random observation; officials called way fewer fouls in Champ Week than they did during the regular season. Watched games from all over the country: the Big West tournament could’ve been played on an outdoor court at Venice Beach— tremendous amount of contact was ignored.

**Udog** · 03-12-2017, 09:50 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 12

Yale @ Princeton

Game 893-894
March 12, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Yale
57.087
Princeton
61.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Princeton
by 4
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Princeton
by 7
130 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Yale
(+7); Under

Cincinnati @ SMU

Game 891-892
March 12, 2017 @ 3:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
71.306
SMU
70.244
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 2
129 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+2); Under

Michigan @ Wisconsin

Game 889-890
March 12, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
67.810
Wisconsin
75.348
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 7 1/2
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 1
127 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-1); Under

Troy @ Texas State

Game 887-888
March 12, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
54.139
Texas State
50.936
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 3
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 1
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-1); Under

Arkansas @ Kentucky

Game 885-886
March 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
70.545
Kentucky
75.930
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 5 1/2
165
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 8 1/2
160 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(+8 1/2); Over

Rhode Island @ VA-Commonwealth

Game 883-884
March 12, 2017 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rhode Island
68.653
VA-Commonwealth
63.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rhode Island
by 5
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rhode Island
Pick
135
Dunkel Pick:
Rhode Island
Over

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 12

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RHODE ISLAND (23 - 9) vs. VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 7) - 3/12/2017, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-1 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-1 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (25 - 8) vs. KENTUCKY (28 - 5) - 3/12/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 76-118 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 76-117 ATS (-52.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 4-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 4-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (21 - 14) vs. TEXAS ST (20 - 12) - 3/12/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
TEXAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
TROY is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TROY is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 5-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS ST is 5-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (23 - 11) vs. WISCONSIN (25 - 8) - 3/12/2017, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 4-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (29 - 4) vs. SMU (29 - 4) - 3/12/2017, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
SMU is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games this season.
SMU is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
SMU is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
SMU is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
SMU is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SMU is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
SMU is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
SMU is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
SMU is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SMU is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
SMU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
SMU is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SMU is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SMU is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-2 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-2 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

YALE (18 - 10) vs. PRINCETON (22 - 6) - 3/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRINCETON is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
YALE is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PRINCETON is 3-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 3-3 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 12

Atlantic 14 tournament, Pittsburgh
VCU is in A-14 tourney final for 5th year in row; they went 1-3 in finals last four years. VCU beat crosstown rival Richmond in OT yesterday, is already in NCAA’s; Rhode Island needs win here to make NCAAs. URI was 31-39 on foul line in 69-59 home win over VCU 15 days ago, only meeting this season, when VCU was 1-15 on arc- that was Rhode Island’s first win in five A-14 games vs VCU. URI had easy time with Davidson yesterday; too one played more than 28:00. VCU played nine kids 9+ minutes yesterday; Lewis played 37:00, Alie-Cox 36:00.

SEC tournament, Nashville
Kentucky is 18-3 in SEC tournament the last eight years; they won this event the last two years. Arkansas lost 97-71 in Rupp Arena Jan 7, but game was 41-38 at half; Wildcats were 28-40 on foul line at home. Razorbacks won eight of last nine games; they whacked a good Vanderbilt team by 14 yesterday, playing no one more than 29:00. Over last decade, Arkansas is 0-3 in SEC tourney final, last making it two years ago (lost 78-63 to Kentucky). Wildcats won their last four games vs Arkansas, winning by 17-15-14-26 points.

Sun Belt tournament, New Orleans
Troy is playing for 4th time in five days; Texas State for third day in row. Trojans won five in row, nine of last 11 games; they’re #58 in experience, starting three juniors, one senior. Texas State starts three seniors, plays 8th-slowest tempo in country; they upset #1-seed Tex-Arlington by 21 yesterday, scoring an uncharacteristically high 83 points, Bobcats swept Troy State this year, winning both games by four points; they’re 4-4 overall in Sun Belt games with Troy. Troy played four guys 30:00+ yesterday in win over Georgia State; Texas State played two guys 32:00+.

Big 14 tournament, Washington DC
Michigan is playing 4th day in row, Wisconsin third day in row. Wolverines won four games in row, nine of last 11; they’re #60 experience team in country. Badgers allowed 54 pts/game in wins over Indiana/Northwestern last two days; they’re #62 experience team, used one guy more than 30:00 yesterday. Teams split pair of games this year; Badgers won 68-64 at home Jan 17, after being down 8 in second half. Michigan won rematch 64-58 Feb 16, when Badgers were just 3-16 on arc. Walton/Irvin both played 37:00 yesterday in Wolverines’ win vs Minnesota.

AAC tournament, Hartford
Cincinnati/SMU will both be popular sleepers in brackets next week; teams split pair of wins this season- Bearcats won first meeting 66-64 at home Jan 17, going 12-26 on arc. Mustangs won rematch 60-51 at home Feb 12; they played only six guys that day. SMU used three kids 38+ minutes yesterday in an easy win- again, only six guys played- they’ve won 15 games in a row since the loss at Cincinnati. Bearcats won 22 of last 24 games, with only other loss at Central Florida. SMU shot 41.7% on arc in AAC games; Cincy is #2 in AAC at defending the arc.

Ivy League tournament, Philadelphia
Princeton is 15-0 in Ivy League games this year, but needs win here to make NCAA’s; they needed OT to beat 13-15 Penn on its home court yesterday. Tigers haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2011- they also haven’t lost since Monmouth beat them Dec 20. Princeton swept its games with Yale this season, 66-58 at home Jan 14, 71-52 in New Haven Feb 17. Bulldogs used three guys 30:00+ yesterday. Tigers are #65 experience team in country; Yale is #286. These teams normally play back/back days, unlike most leagues.

NCAAB

Sunday, March 12

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
YALE vs. PRINCETON
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Princeton's last 13 games
Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

12:30 PM
RHODE ISLAND vs. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
No trends available
Virginia Commonwealth is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Virginia Commonwealth is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

1:00 PM
ARKANSAS vs. KENTUCKY
No trends available
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games

2:00 PM
TROY vs. TEXAS STATE
No trends available
Texas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Troy
Texas State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Troy

3:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. WISCONSIN
No trends available
Wisconsin is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Michigan
Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan

3:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
No trends available
Southern Methodist is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

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**Udog** · 03-12-2017, 09:59 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEC Tournament Final betting preview: Arkansas vs Kentucky
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Wildcats can breathe a sigh of relief after freshman phenom Malik Monk (20.5 points) broke out of a brief two-game shooting slump to score 20 points in Saturday's semifinal.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Kentucky Wildcats (-8, 159.5)

Tournament being played at Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee

Kentucky and its freshman-heavy lineup appear to be peaking just in time to be a national championship contender, and the top-seeded Wildcats will try to keep their hot streak rolling in the SEC Tournament championship game against Arkansas on Sunday. The Wildcats have won a season-best 10 straight following a 79-74 win over Alabama in Saturday’s semifinals.

The Razorbacks reached the tournament final for the second time in three years with a 76-62 win over Vanderbilt on Saturday, while Kentucky is in the title game for the seventh time in coach John Calipari’s eight seasons. The Wildcats are 30-10 all-time in the SEC Tournament final and have won four tournament titles under Calipari. Arkansas is looking for just its second SEC Tournament title and its first since 2000, when the Razorbacks also were the No. 3 seed. The Wildcats routed the Razorbacks 97-71 at home on Jan. 7, but Arkansas has been a different team of late, winning eight of its last nine games.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The top seeded Kentucky Wildcats opened as 8.5-point favorites over the Arkansas Razorbacks and the total hit the betting board at 161. Check out the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Arkansas - G RJ Glasper (Out Indefinitely, shoulder).

Kentucky - F Sacha Killeya-Jones (Questionable, illness).

POWER RANKINGS: Arkansas (-5.6) - Kentucky (-17.7) + neutral site (0) = Kentucky -12.1

ABOUT ARKANSAS (25-8 SU, 17-14 ATS, 16-15 O/U): The Razorbacks displayed their balance against Vanderbilt, as Jaylen Barford led four players in double-figures. Barford (12.6 points) has scored in double digits in eight straight games and has led the team in scoring five times in the last eight games. Leading scorer Dusty Hannahs (14.6 points) and reserve guard Daryl Macon (13.3 points) also have been in double figures in both tournament games, and big man Moses Kingsley (11.9 points, 7.9 rebounds) posted a double-double with 12 points and 13 rebounds on Saturday.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (28-5 SU, 17-16 ATS, 17-16 O/U): The Wildcats can breathe a sigh of relief after freshman phenom Malik Monk (20.5 points) broke out of a brief two-game shooting slump to score 20 points, but fellow freshman De’Aaron Fox continued his hot streak with a career-high 28 points against Alabama. Fox (16.1 points, 4.9 assists, 4.2 rebounds) has averaged 22.3 points over the past three games, and his big game against the Crimson Tide helped offset a quiet outing from backcourt mate Isaiah Briscoe (12.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, 4.3 assists). Freshman big man Bam Adebayo has averaged 14 points and 10 rebounds over the past nine games with three double-doubles over that span.

TRENDS:

* Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
* Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
* Under is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 games following a straight up win.
* Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games as a favorite.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

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**Udog** · 03-12-2017, 10:01 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 12

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Big Ten Conference Tournament Final betting preview: Michigan vs. Wisconsin
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Michigan has overcome a lot to get to the Big Ten Final, but one one has looked better than Wisconsin during this tourney.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Wisconsin Badgers (-1.5, 128)

Game to be played at Verizon Center, Washington, District of Columbia

Michigan may be able to claim to be the Big Ten's hottest team, but 23rd-ranked Wisconsin has made it clear no squad in the conference has played better over the last week. The second-seeded Badgers eye their second Big Ten tournament title in three years and fourth overall on Sunday, when they face the eighth-seeded Wolverines in the championship game in Washington D.C.

Wisconsin dropped five of six games to fall out of contention for the regular-season conference title, but it has flashed the same form over the last week - especially on defense - that allowed it to race out to a 21-3 start to the campaign. Following a 17-point home victory last Sunday over Minnesota in its regular-season finale, Wisconsin held Indiana's league-best offense more than 20 points below its season average in Friday's 70-60 quarterfinal triumph before limiting Northwestern to a season-low point total in a 76-48 semifinal rout the following day. Michigan shot 63.3 percent in the first half and led by as many as 16 points before settling for an 84-77 victory over Minnesota in Saturday's other semifinal - its fourth straight win and ninth in 11 games. The Wolverines, who are the lowest seed to reach the conference tournament final since No. 10 seed Illinois did so in 2008, are seeking their first Big Ten championship since the inaugural event in 1998 - a title the school was forced to later vacate due to NCAA sanctions.

TV: 3 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: The Badgers opened the Big Ten championship favored by one-point and have been bet up to the current number of -1.5. The total hit the board at 128 and was bet up to 128.5, before being bet down to the current number of 127.5. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT MICHIGAN: Derrick Walton Jr. (15 points, 4.7 assists) recorded 19 of his career-high 29 points - one shy of Trey Burke's school record for a Big Ten tournament game - in the second half Saturday and either scored or assisted on 18 of his team's final 20. Moritz Wagner (12.1 points), who registered 21 points in a meeting with Wisconsin on Feb. 16, poured in 17 on 6-for-7 shooting versus Minnesota after going 3-of-11 for 11 over his first two tournament games. Playing their fourth contest in as many days, the Wolverines likely will need more from their bench, which has produced only 28 of the team's 233 points in this tournament.

ABOUT WISCONSIN: Ethan Happ (13.9 points, 9.1 rebounds) produced his highest-scoring output in six games with 16 points Saturday - uncharacteristically doing much of his damage from the free-throw line, where the sophomore forward was 8-of-11 after entering the game as a 47.5-percent foul shooter. Nigel Hayes (13.5 points, 6.4 boards) posted game highs of 18 points and 10 rebounds against Northwestern and was the only other Badger to attempt a free throw (2-of-4) but one of five to hit exactly two 3-pointers as the team finished with 12. Since going scoreless in a loss at Ohio State on Feb. 23, Zak Showalter (8.3 points) is averaging 12 points on 23-of-38 shooting, including 11-of-22 from beyond the arc.

TRENDS:

* Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral site games.
* Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in Michigan's last six neutral site games as an underdog.
* Under is 9-1 in Wisconsin's last 10 neutral site games.

CONSENSUS: The very early consensus is backing the underdog Wolverines, with 53 percent of wagers on Michigan.

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**Udog** · 03-12-2017, 10:03 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 12

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AAC Tournament Finals betting preview and odds: Cincinnati vs. Southern Methodist
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU is one of the best bets in the nation this year at 20-6-1 ATS and are 2-point chalk for the AAC championship vs. Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Bears vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs (-2, 128.5)

Game to be played at XL Center, Hartford, Connecticut

No. 15 SMU has won 15 games in a row and 25 of its last 26 as it rolls into Sunday’s American Athletic Conference tournament title game in Hartford, Conn., against 18th-ranked Cincinnati after posting its school-record 29th victory of the season in Saturday’s semifinal contest versus Central Florida. The top-seeded Mustangs shot 55 percent as their starting five accounted for all the offense in a 70-59 victory, with Sterling Brown scoring 22 points.

The Mustangs also are playing well defensively, allowing 66 points or fewer in 23 of their last 26 games. The second-seeded Bearcats are the last team to have defeated SMU, posting a 66-64 home victory on Jan. 12, but the Mustangs got even with a 60-51 home triumph on Feb. 12. Cincinnati has captured seven of its last eight games as Gary Clark scored a team-high 25 points off the bench in an 81-71 semifinal victory over Connecticut. Sunday's matchup features two of the best defensive teams in the nation, as SMU is third with 59.9 points allowed while the Bearcats are fourth at 60.5.

TV: 3:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Mustangs, who are one of the nation's best bets at 21-6-1 ATS, hit the board as 2-point chalk for the AAC Final. The total hit the board at 130.5 and has seen nothing but under moving, moving down to 128.5. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT CINCINNATI: Clark, who rebounded from a five-point performance in Friday’s quarterfinal contest against Tulsa, finished 15-of-16 from the free-throw line against UConn and pulled down nine rebounds. Jacob Evans has scored 41 points in two games during the tournament, while leading scorer Kyle Washington looks to bounce back after foul trouble rendered him scoreless on Saturday. The Bearcats have allowed more than 68 points only once in their last 13 games.

ABOUT SMU: AAC Player of the Year Semi Ojeleye has scored 52 points through two games of the tournament, while Brown is shooting 64.1 percent overall and 13-of-23 from 3-point range over his last four contests. SMU is limiting opponents to 38.6 percent shooting. The Mustangs have reached the NCAA Tournament just once since 1993 (two seasons ago) and have not won a game in the event since 1988.

TRENDS:

* Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.
* Southern Methodist is 23-5-1 ATS in is last 29 games as a favorite.
* Over is 5-1 in Cincinnati's last six neutral site games.
* Over is 7-0 in Southern Methodist's last seven games overall.

CONSENSUS: The very early consensus is seeing 55 percent of bettors backing Cincinnati in this matchup.

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Announcement

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/12

Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/12

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