Announcement

**Udog** · 03-12-2017, 09:29 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win major league strikeout title this season:

7-2— Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw

8-1— Madison Bumgarner

10-1— Chris Archer, Chris Sale

14-1— Corey Kluber, Noah Syndergaard

18-1— Justin Verlander

20-1— Michael Pineda, David Price

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a super Saturday…….

13) Arizona 83, Oregon 80— High-level game; Wildcats jumped out quickly, held on at the end. I’m not big on debating seeding, but I do think that right now, both these teams are better than Gonzaga, if only because they’ve been tested so much more in the last nine weeks.

12) VCU 87, Richmond 77 OT— Spiders (+6.5) are our Bad Beat of the Day (they led by 3 with 0:30 left in regulation), but also they lost to their crosstown rival for third time this season. Has to be frustrating.

Bad beat #2: Penn (+7) lost by 8 in OT at home to Princeton.

Champ Week is great fun because of games like this one; VCU was in NCAA’s no matter what, but Richmond could’ve been a bid stealer, so teams like USC, Illinois State, Kansas State had to be rooting like hell for VCU, maybe harder than VCU fans.

11) Big Sky final: North Dakota 93, Weber State 89, OT— They used to be called the Fighting Sioux before the world became politically correct; now they’re the Fighting Hawks. Fitting that a team whose best player is Quinton Hooker won the first Big Sky tournament played in Nevada.

10) Duke 75, Notre Dame 69— Blue Devils are first ACC team to win conference tournament by winning four games in four days- they came from behind in second half the last three days.

9) Oregon lost Chris Boucher, its best shot blocker, with a torn ACL, damaging blow to their NCAA hopes. He was scoring 11.8 pts/game, grabbing 6.1 rebounds/game. Boucher played 12:00 last night AFTER the injury, which was found by an MRI today. Tough kid.

Minnesota lost senior guard Akeem Springs for the season with an achilles injury, big blow for the Gophers.

8) First day of the first-ever Ivy League tournament was an on-court success; Princeton snuck past the host Penn Quakers in overtime, while Yale beat rival Harvard to advance to the finals.

Princeton was 14-0 during regular season; would’ve been a bitter pill to lose to a 6-8 team that was playing on its home court. Harvard has a really good senior point guard, but their other four starters are freshmen. Unusual.

7) Random fact: Over last eight NCAA tournaments, the overall #1 seed has only won the national championship twice.

6) Nevada 79, Colorado State 71— CSU coach Larry Eustachy got every last drop out of his seven-man squad that had five frosh/sophs on it, but it wasn’t enough to win three games in three days in a conference tournament.

Question for Nevada is this: can they keep their coach now? Eric Musselman was an NBA head coach (Golden State/Sacramento); his salary in Reno isn’t that great (less than $400K). He was an assistant at LSU a few years ago; he’d be a great hire for them.

5) Illinois went 37-53 in conference play the last five years; they fired John Groce Saturday. Illini played for the national title in 2005 under Bruce Weber, but has only made tournament in three of last ten years.

Bob Williams is out after 19 years at Cal-Santa Barbara; Gauchos had a horrible year this season, but the three years before this one, UCSB was 34-14 in the Big West- they haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2011, but this seems like a quick hook.

4) Texas State 83, Texas-Arlington 62— UTA was a team I was looking at to be a Cinderella next week; they beat St Mary’s easily in Moraga, but they got upset in the semis of their conference tournament, so they’re off to the NIT. Texas State plays Troy State Sunday for the Sun Belt title; will the winner be headed to Dayton for a Wednesday play-in game?

3) Cincinnati 81, UConn 71— Bearcats beat UConn three times this season, all by double digits, twice in the Nutmeg State. Cincy will be a trendy sleeper pick in brackets next week.

2) What could the biggest possible “worlds colliding” matchup in the first round of the NCAA’s? In 1986, Montana State played St John’s; something like that. How often does a team from NYC play a team from Bozeman, Montana?

How about North Dakota-UCLA? Vermont-West Virginia?

1— Random observation; officials called way fewer fouls in Champ Week than they did during the regular season. Watched games from all over the country: the Big West tournament could’ve been played on an outdoor court at Venice Beach— tremendous amount of contact was ignored.

**Udog** · 03-12-2017, 09:56 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 12

Philadelphia @ LA Lakers

Game 881-882
March 12, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
108.666
LA Lakers
117.994
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 9 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 3 1/2
221
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-3 1/2); Over

Portland @ Phoenix

Game 879-880
March 12, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
126.300
Phoenix
117.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 8 1/2
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 1 1/2
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-1 1/2); Over

Cleveland @ Houston

Game 877-878
March 12, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
120.065
Houston
133.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 13
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
231
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-5 1/2); Over

New York @ Brooklyn

Game 875-876
March 12, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
121.373
Brooklyn
113.171
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 8
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 1
221
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-1); Over

Miami @ Indiana

Game 873-874
March 12, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
124.422
Indiana
122.877
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4
207
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+4); Under

Chicago @ Boston

Game 871-872
March 12, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
118.787
Boston
124.836
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 6
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (31 - 34) at BOSTON (41 - 25) - 3/12/2017, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 66-80 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (32 - 34) at INDIANA (33 - 32) - 3/12/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MIAMI is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (26 - 40) at BROOKLYN (11 - 53) - 3/12/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (43 - 21) at HOUSTON (45 - 21) - 3/12/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season.
HOUSTON is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (28 - 36) at PHOENIX (22 - 44) - 3/12/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 26-38 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (23 - 42) at LA LAKERS (20 - 45) - 3/12/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
LA LAKERS are 64-80 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 168-213 ATS (-66.3 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 195-243 ATS (-72.3 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 150-197 ATS (-66.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 60-88 ATS (-36.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 12

Bulls lost their last four games, are 1-5 against spread in last six road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Celtics lost three of last four games; they’re 3-8 vs spread in last 11 home games. Under is 8-0-2 in their last ten games. Home side won/covered last six Chicago-Boston games; four of last five stayed under total. Bulls lost last three visits to Boston by 5-9-7 points.

Miami Miami won four in row, eight of last ten games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Pacers are 4-0 vs spread in game following their last four losses; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games. Home side won last nine Miami-Indiana games; Heat lost last four visits to Indiana (0-4 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under the total.

New York lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Nets lost 20 of last 22 games but covered five of their last seven; four of their last five games went over total. Home side won five of last six New York-Brooklyn games, with Knicks winning last three; they lost four of last five games in Barclays Center. Last three series games stayed under.

Cavaliers lost three of last four games; they’re 7-9 vs spread in last 16 road games. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Houston split its last six games; they’re 6-9 vs spread in last fifteen home games. Three of their last four games went over. Rockets won seven of last nine games with Cleveland; three of last four series games played here stayed under. Cavaliers lost three of last four visits to Houston (1-3 vs spread).

Trailblazers won four of last five games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 road games. Last seven Blazer games went over total. Suns won four of last six games but lost six in row on road; they are 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Portland won five of last eight games with Phoenix; teams split last four series games played in desert. Six of last eight series games stayed under.

76ers lost seven of last eight games, but covered six of last seven road games. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Los Angeles lost eight of last nine games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Lakers won five of last six games with Philly; teams split last four series games played here. Six of last seven series games stayed under.

NBA

Sunday, March 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Chicago

6:00 PM
MIAMI vs. INDIANA
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Miami is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games
Indiana is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

6:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 9 games at home
Brooklyn is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against New York

9:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. PHOENIX
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Phoenix is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games

9:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. LA LAKERS
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Philadelphia is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Lakers are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/12

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/12

Comment

Comment