Announcement

**Udog** · 03-07-2017, 08:29 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Cubs had 12 runs in first five innings Monday against the pitching-poor Angels.

— Saints turned down a trade of WR Brandin Cooks to the Patriots for the 32nd pick in this spring’s draft.

— Wright State hooper Grant Benzinger is the son of former big league 1B Todd Benzinger.

— Turns out the college degree a state senator from Iowa listed on his resume was a training course from the Sizzler Steak House where he used to work. Oy.

— Rams’ coach Sean McVay played WR at Miami, OH, after Miami alum Ben Roethlisberger had already been in the NFL for a couple of years.

— Search the Interweb for George W Bush’s interview on Jimmy Kimmel’s show last week. Good comedy. President Bush put together a book with his paintings in it that benefits our veterans, an excellent cause.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: College tournament tidbits………

Here are some tidbits for college tournaments starting this week. Hope they help.

13) American, Hartford— SMU won this event in 2015, their first conference tourney wins since 2006. Cincinnati went out in first round of this tourney last two years, losing in 4OT’s to UConn LY. UConn is 15-3 in its last five conference tournaments; hard to believe they’ll make much noise here, even with tourney in Hartford- they’ve run out of healthy players.

12) ACC, Brooklyn— North Carolina won this tournament LY for first time since 2008. #2 seed Florida State won this event in 2012, went W-L last four years. Last five years, Duke is 5-5 in ACC tourney; they last won it in 2011. Duke/UNC have met only once in last 12 ACC tournaments (Duke won ’11 final).

11) Atlantic 14, Pittsburgh— Only twice in last 13 years has top seed won this tournament. #1 seed Dayton is 5-5 in its five A-14 tourneys. Richmond is 2-5 here the last five years. St Joe’s won this two of last three years but has zero chance this year. VCU is 10-3 in this tourney last four years, but only won it once, two years ago.

10) Big East, NYC— Top seed won this tourney only four of last 13 years; all eastern teams have won this tournament in three years since the league re-organized with five midwestern members. Butler is 0-3 in Big East tourney, Villanova is 5-1 the last two years. This is St John’s home court; last time they won a game here was 2011.

9) Big 14, Washington— Michigan State was in finals last three years (2-1); they’re 12-2 in last five tourneys. Host Maryland last won a conference tourney in 2004. Michigan won its first tourney game the last 10 years. Last nine years, Iowa is 2-9 in this tourney. Over last decade, higher-seeded team won Big 14 title game eight of nine times (one year teams had same record).

8) Big X, Kansas City— Kansas won last 13 regular season titles; they won this tournament seven of last 11 years. Baylor is 7-5 in this event last five years but hasn’t won it. Iowa State won it in ’14/’15, lost in first round eight of other nine years. West Virginia won Big East tourney in 2010; since then, they’re 2-6 in conference tourneys, 2-4 in this tournament.

7) Big Sky, Reno— A top seed won this tourney last six years, but now event is more inclusive and is on a true neutral court in Reno. Weber State won Big Sky tourney two of last three years; but they come into this on a 1-4 skid. Montana won this event five times in nine years from ’05-’13, but hasn’t won it the last three years. North Dakota is top seed; this is only their 8th season of Division I basketball.

6) Big West, Anaheim— League was awful this season, dropping from 13th to 29th in national ranking; league POY Nelson played in only 13 games this season. Can Nelson’s hamstring hold up with three games in three days? Cal-Irvine is VERY young; they’re also best team. I’m looking at Cal State-Fullerton as a sleeper here; they’ve won eight of last 10 games, have a senior PG.

5) Conference USA, Birmingham— Three different teams won this tournament since kingpin Memphis bolted to AAC. Middle Tennessee is 30-6 in this league last two years; they’re by far best team this year. Louisiana Tech is 54-15 in four regular seasons in C-USA; they’re only 3-3 in this tournament. Host UAB comes in on a 2-6 skid; they’re 5-6 in this tourney last seven years, winning it two years ago.

4) Mountain West, Las Vegas— Nevada, Colorado State have best teams, but also have zero depth; can one of them win three games in three days? Fresno State won this LY, after going 2-9 in previous nine tourneys. New Mexico lost its first game last two years, after winning tourney three years in row, from ’12-’14. San Diego State hasn’t won this tourney since 2011. Lower-seeded team won last three conference finals.

3) Pac-12, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas— Arizona is 11-5 in this tourney last six years, but has only one Pac-12 tourney title (2015). Cal is 3-6 here the last six years. Colorado won its first tourney game the last six years. Oregon is 9-2 last four years, winning tourney in ’13/’16. UCLA won this tourney once in last eight years; since ’06, they’re 15-8 in this tournament. New site this year, the big new arena in Vegas.

2) SEC, Nashville— Kentucky is 8-1 in this tournament last three years, winning its last couple years- they’re 16-3 here last seven yearsVanderbilt is home team; they’re 0-3 in this event last three years. In six years as a head coach, Florida coach White is 73-29 in conference games; he is only 6-5 in conference tourney games.

1— Sun Belt, New Orleans— Last four years, four different schools won this tournament. Six of last seven years, tourney final was decided by 4 or less points. Texas-Arlington is best team, at 27-11 in Sun Belt last two years, but they lost here to ULM last year- lot of pressure on them. Sun Belt jumped to #15 league in country this year, its best rating in 12 years.

**Udog** · 03-07-2017, 08:47 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 7

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PORTLAND (26 - 35) at OKLAHOMA CITY (35 - 28) - 3/7/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 172-124 ATS (+35.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (19 - 44) at DALLAS (26 - 36) - 3/7/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 63-79 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 81-67 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 10-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (37 - 24) at PHOENIX (21 - 42) - 3/7/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHOENIX is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 7

Portland lost seven of last ten road games; they won last two overall, both at home. Last four Blazer games went over total. Oklahoma City is back from 0-3 road trip; they won/covered seven of last eight home games. Four of their last five games went over. Home side won last nine Blazer-Thunder games; Portland lost its last four visits to Oklahoma City (0-4 vs spread). Four of last six series games went over.

Lakers lost their last seven games (0-7 vs spread); they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road tilts. Four of last five Laker games stayed under total. Mavericks won/covered six of their last seven home games- they won four of last five games overall. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Lakers lost their last ten games with Dallas (1-6 vs spread in last seven); under is 7-2 in last nine series games. LA lost its last four games in this building (1-3 vs spread).

Washington won three of its last four games; they’re 7-2 vs spread in last nine road games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Suns won/covered their last four home games; they won last three games overall, by 7-7-3 points. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Wizards won their last three games with Phoenix by 3-7-5 points; they won three of last four visits to desert. Under is 7-0-1 in last eight series games.

NBA

Tuesday, March 7

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Portland is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
Portland is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games ,
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. DALLAS
LA Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

9:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHOENIX
Washington is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

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**Udog** · 03-07-2017, 10:17 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 7

Washington @ Phoenix

Game 705-706
March 7, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.546
Phoenix
111.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 10
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4); Over

LA Lakers @ Dallas

Game 703-704
March 7, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
110.709
Dallas
114.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 3 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 10
205
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+10); Under

Portland @ Oklahoma City

Game 701-702
March 7, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
123.665
Oklahoma City
121.437
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 6 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+6 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 03-07-2017, 05:18 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, March 7

Portland at Oklahoma City, 8:05 PM ET
Portland: 6-16 ATS as a road underdog
Oklahoma City: 12-1 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4

Los Angeles at Dallas, 8:35 PM ET
Los Angeles: 3-12 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games
Dallas: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite

Washington at Phoenix, 9:05 PM ET
Washington: 17-8 ATS off a home win
Phoenix: 3-13 ATS after a win by 6 points or less

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/7

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/7

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