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  • Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 5

    Good Luck on day #64 of 2017!
    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    — Duke and North Carolina have met only once in last 12 ACC tournaments. Duke won 75-58 in 2011 tournament final.

    — Heat 120, Cavaliers 92— Cleveland is 0-8 vs spread on road if they played night before.

    — South Dakota 78, Western Illinois 69 OT— Top seed in Summit League dodges a bullet.

    — Justin Thomas leads the PGA event in Mexico; he had a hole-in-one on 13th hole.

    — Penn 75, Harvard 72— Quakers qualify for Ivy tourney, which is next week on their home court, the Palestra.

    — IUPUI 76, North Dakota State 57- -#7 seed upsets #2 seed in Summit League

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…..

    13) North Carolina 90, Duke 83— ESPN should add a UNC alum (Brad Daugherty?) to its booth for this game, to even things up a little. I mean, Mike Krzyzewski’s son-in-law calls games for ESPNU. This is a huge rivalry- a little balance would be good.

    12) Kansas 90, Oklahoma State 85— High-level game. Jayhawks had lost previous three visits to Stillwater. Bill Self is an Oklahoma State alum.

    11) Missouri Valley tournament gets the Illinois State-Wichita State final they wanted; would think both teams get into the NCAA’s. These two teams are so much better than the other eight teams in the league. Final should be an excellent game.

    10) Kentucky 71, Texas A&M 63— Wildcats fell behind 25-6, 19-4 in last two games, not a great habit now that it is March.

    9) Charleston 67, James Madison 62— CAA officials breathe a sigh of relief as host team averts an upset, which would’ve killed attendance for the semis and maybe the finals. This tournament has always been held in Richmond or Baltimore, more central locations for the schools.

    Odd thing: with 0:08 left in this game and Cougars up a point, one of the refs got a bloody nose, which delayed the game for a few minutes.

    8) Wake Forest 89, Virginia Tech 84— Danny Manning’s Deacons making a case to get in the Field of 68- this is a quality win.

    7) Villanova 81, Georgetown 55— From what you read, not lot of fun to be around the Hoyas’ program these days.

    6) Cal-Irvine 79, Cal-Davis 49— Anteaters avenge earlier loss when Cal-Davis was 35-46 on foul line. Anteaters led this by 18 at the half- they win regular season title and #1 seed at Big West tourney in Anaheim next week.

    5) Tennessee 59, Alabama 54— Vols were down 36-22 at half, won for only second time in their last seven games. Alabama can start selling tickets for the NIT.

    4) St Francis PA 71, Wagner 70— Kid on St Francis hit a really tough 3-pointer that spun around rim couple times before it dropped in at the buzzer. Shooter had man right in his face. Red Flash got the ball at the other end of the court with 0:07.3 left- big road win for them in NEC tourney.

    3) Nevada 85, Colorado State 72— Wolf Pack win Mountain West regular season title and #1 seed in Las Vegas next week. Only one team from this league is getting into NCAA’s, so the next time these teams meet could be a lot more important.

    2) Upsets of the Day: Youngstown State (+12.5) 81, Oakland 80— Cameron Morse scored 34 as the Penguins advance to the Horizon semi-finals. Youngstown’s winning hoop was as bad a defensive play as you’ll ever see- Oakland left a guy all by himself under the basket.

    Florida International (+11) 68, UAB 56— Blazers are fading late in year.
    Cal-Santa Barbara (+10) 57, Cal Poly 44
    Seton Hall (+8.5) 70, Butler 64— Quality road win for the Pirates.
    Milwaukee (+8.5) 43, Valparaiso 41— Valpo’s best player didn’t play; Crusaders are out.

    1— Jacksonville State 66, Tenn-Martin 55— JSU coach Harper has won four national titles at lower levels; he also won two C-USA tourneys at Western Kentucky. The guy can coach, and now he has his Gamecocks in March Madness for the first time.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Sunday, March 5


      Indiana lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Last six Pacer games stayed under. Atlanta lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven games. Hawks won six of last eight games with Indiana; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Pacers lost their last four visits to Atlanta (1-3 vs spread).

      Warriors lost consecutive games for first time in two years; they’re 0-5 vs spread since All-Star break, 0-4 in last four road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. New York lost 8 of last 11 games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last 10 home tilts. Four of their last five games stayed under. Knicks lost their last five games with Golden State (2-3 vs spread); Warriors won their last three visits to Manhattan, by 23-14-21 points. Five of last six series games stayed under.

      Orlando lost seven of last ten games, is 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Wizards won six of last nine games, are 7-4-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Washington won eight of its last ten games with Orlando; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Magic lost four of last five games here (2-3 vs spread).

      Boston won three of last four games; they covered five of last seven road games. Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Phoenix won four of its last five home games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games overall. Five of their last six games went over. Celtics won last three games with the Suns; road teams won four of last five series games. Over is 3-1 in last four series games. Boston won three of last four games in the desert.

      Utah won four of its last six games; they covered four of last six road games (over 5-1). Kings lost last three games, all at home; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games. Since the Cousins trade, all seven Sacramento games stayed under the total. Jazz won five of last eight games with the Kings; teams split last four meetings played here. Last three series games stayed under total.

      Oklahoma City lost its last six road games (1-5 vs spread); home side covered their last seven games. Eight of last nine Thunder games went over total. Mavericks won three of last four games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Thunder won nine of last ten games with Dallas; they won last four games in this building (3-1 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over.

      Pelicans lost four of last five games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Seven of their last eight games stayed under total. Lakers lost their last six games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Lakers lost seven of last ten games with New Orleans; Pelicans won three of last four series games played here. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Sunday, March 5


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        1:00 PM
        INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
        Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

        3:30 PM
        GOLDEN STATE vs. NEW YORK
        Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
        New York is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

        5:00 PM
        ORLANDO vs. WASHINGTON
        Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Orlando is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Orlando
        Washington is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

        5:00 PM
        BOSTON vs. PHOENIX
        Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
        Boston is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
        The total has gone OVER in 12 of Phoenix's last 14 games at home
        Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

        6:00 PM
        UTAH vs. SACRAMENTO
        Utah is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Sacramento
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
        Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah

        8:30 PM
        OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DALLAS
        Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
        Dallas is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City

        9:30 PM
        NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAKERS
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
        New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games
        LA Lakers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing New Orleans


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        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Sunday, March 5


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          INDIANA (31 - 30) at ATLANTA (34 - 27) - 3/5/2017, 1:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ATLANTA is 71-51 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          INDIANA is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
          ATLANTA is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          GOLDEN STATE (50 - 11) at NEW YORK (25 - 37) - 3/5/2017, 3:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GOLDEN STATE is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
          GOLDEN STATE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
          GOLDEN STATE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
          NEW YORK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 143-118 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 133-109 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          NEW YORK is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ORLANDO (23 - 39) at WASHINGTON (36 - 24) - 3/5/2017, 5:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ORLANDO is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
          ORLANDO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a division game this season.
          WASHINGTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 7-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON is 9-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          BOSTON (40 - 22) at PHOENIX (20 - 42) - 3/5/2017, 5:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PHOENIX is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          BOSTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
          BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          UTAH (38 - 24) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 36) - 3/5/2017, 6:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UTAH is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
          UTAH is 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
          UTAH is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
          SACRAMENTO is 46-64 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SACRAMENTO is 4-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          UTAH is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OKLAHOMA CITY (35 - 27) at DALLAS (25 - 36) - 3/5/2017, 8:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
          DALLAS is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
          DALLAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Sunday games this season.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-6 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
          10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW ORLEANS (24 - 38) at LA LAKERS (19 - 43) - 3/5/2017, 9:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW ORLEANS is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          LA LAKERS are 63-78 ATS (-22.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          LA LAKERS are 168-212 ATS (-65.2 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
          LA LAKERS are 150-196 ATS (-65.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          LA LAKERS are 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
          NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Sunday, March 5



            New Orleans @ LA Lakers

            Game 833-834
            March 5, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            New Orleans
            118.941
            LA Lakers
            105.492
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New Orleans
            by 13 1/2
            221
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            New Orleans
            by 5 1/2
            215
            Dunkel Pick:
            New Orleans
            (-5 1/2); Over

            Oklahoma City @ Dallas


            Game 831-832
            March 5, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oklahoma City
            124.819
            Dallas
            115.522
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 9 1/2
            199
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Dallas
            by 1
            205 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oklahoma City
            (+1); Under

            Utah @ Sacramento


            Game 829-830
            March 5, 2017 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Utah
            125.247
            Sacramento
            108.747
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 16 1/2
            190
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 9 1/2
            194 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-9 1/2); Under

            Boston @ Phoenix


            Game 827-828
            March 5, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Boston
            116.929
            Phoenix
            118.950
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Phoenix
            by 2
            232
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston
            by 6
            226
            Dunkel Pick:
            Phoenix
            (+6); Over

            Orlando @ Washington


            Game 825-826
            March 5, 2017 @ 5:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Orlando
            108.446
            Washington
            127.319
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Washington
            by 19
            219
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington
            by 10 1/2
            214 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Washington
            (-10 1/2); Over

            Golden State @ New York


            Game 823-824
            March 5, 2017 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Golden State
            133.655
            New York
            120.552
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Golden State
            by 15
            215
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Golden State
            by 10
            220
            Dunkel Pick:
            Golden State
            (-10); Under

            Indiana @ Atlanta


            Game 821-822
            March 5, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Indiana
            119.441
            Atlanta
            116.102
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Indiana
            by 3 1/2
            204
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Atlanta
            by 3
            209
            Dunkel Pick:
            Indiana
            (+3); Under

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA

              Sunday, March 5


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Sunday’s NBA Game of the Day: Warriors at Knicks
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              New York is playing a rare home game in a stretch that sees the struggling club play 10 of 13 away from home, including Friday's 105-102 loss at Philadelphia.

              Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks (+10, 219.5)

              The Golden State Warriors have dropped consecutive regular-season contests for the first time in nearly two years and will try to avoid their first three-game losing streak since November of 2013 when they visit the New York Knicks on Sunday. After opening a five-game road trip with a win at Philadelphia, the Warriors lost a thriller at Washington before falling 94-87 at Chicago on Thursday in their first game since losing All-Star Kevin Durant to a knee injury.

              Golden State shot a season-low 38.6 percent in their worst offensive output since March 19, 2016 last time out. "A couple of shots we normally make did not fall," guard Stephen Curry told reporters. "That's not the reason we lost. We just need to understand that early in games, when we have new rotations, we cannot take our foot off the gas pedal. Every possession is important for us to pick up a rhythm without (Durant)." The Warriors have had no issues keeping their foot on the pedal when facing the Knicks, as they've won five straight meetings - all by at least 13 points. New York is playing a rare home game in a stretch that sees the struggling club play 10 of 13 away from home, including Friday's 105-102 loss at Philadelphia.

              TV:
              3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

              LINE HISTORY:
              The Warriors opened as 9.5-point road favorites over the Knicks but that line was boosted higher to 10 by early Sunday morning. The total hit the betting board at 221 and has steadily dropped to its current number of 219.5.

              INJURY REPORT:


              Warriors - SF K. Durant (Mid April, knee).

              Knicks - C W. Hernangomez (Probable, ankle), SF M. Ndour (Mid March, ankle), C J. Noah (Out For Season, knee).

              POWER RANKINGS:
              Warriors (-15.6) - Knicks (+0.7) + home court (-3) = Warriors -13.3

              ABOUT THE WARRIORS (50-11 SU, 27-32-2 ATS, 26-35 O/U):
              Curry is a woeful 4-for-31 from beyond the arc on the road trip while fellow sharpshooter Klay Thompson is 7-for-33 as they get used to life without Durant, who is out at least four weeks. "We'll adjust without him," Thompson told the media. "We won't make excuses. We'll be better when he comes back. We've just got to push through. We've got enough talent, we've got enough depth." Rookie point guard Patrick McCaw has picked up a tiny bit of the slack during the rare two-game slide, making 6-of-7 shot attempts and both of his 3-point tries.

              ABOUT THE KNICKS (25-37 SU, 32-30 ATS, 31-30-1 O/U):
              The ugliness continues in New York after the setback against the 76ers, as All-Star Carmelo Anthony followed up a 5-for-18 shooting night by calling out his team, and perhaps his coaches. "We play the same way throughout the course of the game," he told the media. "When teams make adjustments, we're still playing the same way as teams make adjustments defensively." Anthony is shooting 38.2 percent in five games since the All-Star break (2-3) while forward Kristaps Porzingis seems over a recent ankle injury, averaging 19 points and eight rebounds in two games since returning from a two-game absence.

              TRENDS:


              * Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.
              * Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
              * Under is 10-2 in Warriors last 12 vs. NBA Atlantic.
              * Under is 5-0 in Knicks last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
              * Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

              CONSENSUS:
              63 percent of users are taking chalk with the visiting Warriors and Over is picking up 62 percent of the totals wagers.


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment

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