Announcement

**Udog** · 02-28-2017, 08:26 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Atlantic Sun tourney started Champ Week last night: both top seeds won easily. Only upset was a slight one, #5-seed Kennesaw State won at SC-Upstate.

— Virginia 53, North Carolina 43— Tar Heels are an ordinary 5-4 on ACC road.

— Baylor’s Jake Lindsey (#3) is the son of Utah Jazz GM Dennis Lindsey.

— Texas released PG Tevin Mack, who had been suspended; curious to see where he surfaces. Longhorns are 3-10 since Mack was suspended.

— Mississippi State gave football coach Dan Mullen a 4-year extension thru 2021. Guy makes $4.5M a year; I was stunned by that.

— 16 Miami Dolphins are in NYC this week, taking part in Miami owner Stephen Ross’ Business Combine that should help players manage and increase their wealth better.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Can be difficult to evaluate pitchers in spring training; take Sunday, when Daniel Gossett looked good pitching against the Angels. Gossett is a prospect, but……

Normally when you face the Angels, you’ll face Calhoun-Trout-Pujols-Maybin in the first two innings. Sunday, Halos’ #3 hitter was Cliff Pennington, not exactly their “A” lineup, so you have to take Gossett’s performance with a grain of salt.

12) I’m a big fan of the Showtime program Billions; turns out that two of the three co-writers on the show also worked together writing Rounders and Oceans 13, two excellent movies.

11) With closer Jeurys Familia due to be suspended (domestic violence) at the start of the season, Addison Reed will be the Mets closer on April 3 and for several weeks after.

10) Toronto Raptors lose G Kyle Lowry (wrist) for the rest of the regular season; they hope to have him back for the playoffs.

9) These stats are from Justin Ray of Golf Channel: Average age of PGA Tour winners this season is 28.7 years old.

From 2000-13, average age of winners on Tour was 33.4 years old. In 2014-15, it was 30.4.

8) Reese Maguire is a minor league catcher in the Blue Jays’ system; think catching is in his genes? His dad caught, his grandfather was a catcher for Duke in the College World Series.

In 1952.

7) Random food fact: I’ve never had Italian ice or a snow cone. Or coffee.

6) NFL Combine is this week, so we’ll see lot of 40-yard dashes and agility drills and no one will remind us that Tom Brady had an awful Combine workout and is one of the best QB’s of all time.

Game film means more than workouts, though I’m guessing the interviews teams do with prospects are REALLY helpful. Like the time Geno Smith fiddled with his cellphone during his interviews. Never should’ve been drafted high after that.

5) San Diego Padres have used 84 players the last two years. Thats a lot.

Seattle Mariners made 37 roster moves between the end of last season and the start of spring training; GM Jerry DiPoto has totally cleaned house, building a new team around his nucleus of Robinson Cano/Felix Hernandez/Hector Cruz

4) Saturday in Las Vegas, an astute gambler played $7 on a 10-team college hoop parlay and it hit, making him $5,040 (720-1 odds). He played four totals and six sides.

3) Texas Rangers are 28-10 against the Astros the last two years, with 13 one-run wins. If the Astros can just go 10-9 against Texas this year, thats a 5-game swing in the AL West race.

2) Only three big leaguers played 162 games last year: Alcides Escobar, Jonathan Schoop and George Springer.

1— Steelers signed WR Antonio Brown to a $17M a year deal, making him the highest-paid WR in the NFL. Maybe next year he can actually listen to his coach’s post-game speeches instead of playing them on Facebook Live.

Brown’s father is Eddie Brown, known here in Albany as Touchdown Eddie Brown, a great player in the Arena League. Eddie Brown once scored nine TD’s in a Firebirds game; he was great fun to watch. Hard to believe it has been 18 years since they won the Arena Bowl.

**Udog** · 02-28-2017, 08:41 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 28

Golden State won 12 of their last 14 games but are 1-4 vs spread in last five; they’re 7-5 vs spread in last 12 road games. Three of last four Warrior games stayed under. Wizards are 0-2 since All-Star break, after being 18-3 in last 21 games before it. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Warriors won nine of last ten games with Washington; they won their last five visits here (4-1 vs spread, over 5-0).

Portland lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in its last nine road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Pistons are 7-4 in their last 11 games, 6-2 vs spread in last eight at home. Five of their last six games stayed under. Detroit won its last three games with Portland, by 17-1-20 points; nine of last ten series games over total. Blazers won two of last three visits to the Motor City- road team won four of last six in series.

Denver lost three of last four games, is 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Bulls won/covered their last four games, both overall and on road. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Home side won last seven Denver-Chicago games; Nuggets lost last three visits here, by 28-5-9 points. Eight of last ten series games went over.

Phoenix lost 12 of its last 15 games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Grizzlies lost three of last four home games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Memphis won eight of last ten games with Phoenix; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Suns lost three of last four visits to Memphis (2-2 vs spread).

Utah won/covered its last three games; they won/covered four of last five road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Oklahoma City won/covered its last three games; they’re 11-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Five of their last six games went over. Thunder won seven of last nine games with Utah; Jazz lost their last four games here (2-2 vs spread). Nine of last ten series games stayed under.

Charlotte lost six of its last seven games; they covered four of last five road games. Five of last seven Hornet games stayed under. Lakers lost their last four games, are 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Lakers lost their last four games with Charlotte, but Hornets lost three of last five series games played here. Three of last four series games went over the total.

**Udog** · 02-28-2017, 08:42 AM

NBA

Tuesday, February 28

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. WASHINGTON
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

7:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Portland's last 11 games when playing Detroit
Portland is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Utah is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing Utah
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. CHICAGO
Denver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Denver
Chicago is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. MEMPHIS
Phoenix is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Memphis
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games
Memphis is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

10:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. LA LAKERS
Charlotte is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

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**Udog** · 02-28-2017, 09:35 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 28

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GOLDEN STATE (50 - 9) at WASHINGTON (34 - 23) - 2/28/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-84 ATS (-34.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 143-116 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 133-107 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 81-59 ATS (+16.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 92-123 ATS (-43.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (24 - 34) at DETROIT (28 - 31) - 2/28/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games this season.
DETROIT is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (26 - 33) at CHICAGO (30 - 29) - 2/28/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 122-165 ATS (-59.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 59-90 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (18 - 41) at MEMPHIS (35 - 25) - 2/28/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
MEMPHIS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (37 - 22) at OKLAHOMA CITY (34 - 25) - 2/28/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 164-127 ATS (+24.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
UTAH is 36-11 ATS (+23.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (25 - 34) at LA LAKERS (19 - 41) - 2/28/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 161-201 ATS (-60.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 63-77 ATS (-21.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 168-211 ATS (-64.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 150-196 ATS (-65.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-28-2017, 10:22 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 28

Charlotte @ LA Lakers

Game 711-712
February 28, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
118.565
LA Lakers
106.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 12
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 3 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-3 1/2); Over

Utah @ Oklahoma City

Game 709-710
February 28, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
120.732
Oklahoma City
124.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 3 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 1
204
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+1); Over

Phoenix @ Memphis

Game 707-708
February 28, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.523
Memphis
127.692
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 17
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 10
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-10); Under

Denver @ Chicago

Game 705-706
February 28, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
116.210
Chicago
126.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 10
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
221
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-3); Under

Portland @ Detroit

Game 703-704
February 28, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.489
Detroit
116.362
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 5
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+5); Over

Golden State @ Washington

Game 701-702
February 28, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
129.312
Washington
127.907
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 1 1/2
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+7); Over

**Udog** · 02-28-2017, 01:35 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, February 28

Golden State at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Golden State: 36-18 ATS after a non-conference game
Washington: 5-17 ATS in home games after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more

Portland at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
Portland: 6-15 ATS as a road underdog
Detroit: 33-18 ATS as a home favorite

Denver at Chicago, 8:05 PM ET
Denver: 36-18 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games
Chicago: 8-19 ATS off a road win

Phoenix at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Phoenix: 22-10 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive road losses
Memphis: 20-10 ATS after playing a road game

Utah at Oklahoma City, 8:05 PM ET
Utah: 36-11 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent
Oklahoma City: 15-6 UNDER off a home win

Charlotte at LA Lakers, 10:35 PM ET
Charlotte: 4-13 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5
Los Angeles: 22-9 ATS in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/28

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/28

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