Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, February 27

Good Luck on day #58 of 2017!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Spurs 119, Lakers 98— San Antonio is a very quiet 45-13.

— Clippers 124, Hornets 121 OT— Blake Griffin had 43 for the Clippers.

— Thunder 118, Pelicans 110— DeMarcus Cousins got his 18th technical, has to sit out the next game.

— Northern Kentucky 82, Valparaiso 78— Valpo’s best player is on crutches.

— Monmouth 79, Iona 73- Hawks’ last loss was January 2 to St Peter’s.

— Washington State 79, Washington 71— Markelle Fultz missed his third game with a bad knee.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

13) Pretty soon the college basketball coaching carousel will start spinning, which begs the question: is it better to be a big fish in a small pond, or a smaller fish in a big pond?

Shaka Smart bolted VCU for Texas and more $$$, but now he is 30-32 in two years, 15-19 in conference games and Longhorn fans are wondering why Rick Barnes got fired.

Guys like Gregg Marshall (Wichita St), Eric Musselman (Nevada) and Archie Miller (Dayton) are winning big in smaller leagues and will surely get offers from schools like NC State, Missouri, Illinois or whatever other jobs open up, but they all make a lot of money now.

Is it worth it to coach in deeper waters for more money, when it is harder to win there?

12) Watching Gonzaga lose at home to BYU late Saturday night, it occurs to you that they haven’t been tested enough by the lame WCC, which was way down this year, other than St Mary’s—even BYU is very young and isn’t as good as usual.

Gonzaga’s guards looked lost in the last few minutes, when the game was tight and a loss seemed possible. Zags hadn’t played a single-digit game since Dec 3, when they won by 7 over Arizona in Los Angeles. 84 days between close games isn’t that healthy for a team.

11) San Antonio Spurs have had 20 consecutive seasons with a winning road record; that is really a great accomplishment.

10) Arizona State 83, USC 82— ASU played starters 199 out of 200 minutes in their loss to UCLA Thursday; I’ve never seen that before. In this game, they played two subs, one 11:00, another 12:00, but they pulled out a win and improved to 7-10 in the Pac-12.

9) Big West Conference is way down this year, but three of their four games Saturday went to overtime, and the fourth game ended 83-80, so solid night of entertainment in that league.

8) Champ Week starts tonight, with four first-round games in the Atlantic Sun tourney at campus sites. Florida Gulf Coast is the #1 seed, Lipscomb the #2 seed.

Ohio Valley tournament will be next, starting on Wednesday.

7) A U of Louisville sophomore thought he won $38,000 at a women’s basketball game Thursday by hitting a layup, foul shot, 3-pointer and half-court shot during a time-out, but he has been told he is ineligible to receive the prize because he played high school ball and the fine print of the contest says no one can collect if they played organized basketball within the last six years. Too bad- the sponsor would win back the $38K in goodwill if they gave the kid the $$$.

6) San Diego State had a great running back this season, Donnel Pumphrey; the school honored the young man during a timeout in the Aztecs’ basketball game Wednesday, but there was one small problem.

Mr Pumphrey showed up wearing a Dodgers’ hat.

People in San Diego don’t like Los Angeles, and since the Chargers just bolted to LA, that feeling has ramped up a little bit, so Mr Pumphrey took some grief on social media for the hat. Took until the second half for someone at the arena to get him a red Aztecs’ cap.

5) I’m a big fan of college basketball adopting the 8-second half-court rule; would encourage teams to press more and also to run the ball up the floor, instead of walking it up.

4) Do you think Jack Nicklaus sits at home and quietly celebrates because Eldrick Woods’ career is in the dumper, which preserves Nicklaus’ record for most majors won?

3) Toughing moment at Michigan State Sunday; senior Eron Harris blew his knee out earlier this year- his career is over, but he suited up for his last home game Sunday and with 0:11 left and the Spartans safely ahead, Harris checked into the game to get one last ovation.

He knelt down, which wasn’t easy with the big knee brace he had on, and kissed the Spartan logo at midcourt. I’m not sure the average fan realizes how much effort these kids put into their playing careers and how much it means to them. It was a pretty cool moment.

2) I was trying to explain to a young person the other day what basketball was like before the shot clock; in short, it wasn’t as fun. Coaches could dominate the game; the game could have almost no flow at all. The shot clock and 3-point shot have made basketball a way better game.

Example: February 22, 1980— While the US Olympic hockey team was beating the Russians in the Miracle on Ice in Lake Placid, my college team was playing in the semifinals of their conference tournament, in Buffalo. People in the corner of the small gym were watching the hockey game on Canadian TV in the corner of the gym.

We lost the game that night in four overtimes; the team that won the tip of all four 5:00 OT’s held the ball for the last shot. I’m not kidding, it was that boring— tense is a better word.

In 1979, a North Carolina-Duke basketball game was 7-0 at halftime. Seriously.

1— Watching college hoop games this weekend, one thing is clear; people are tired. Season is a long one; players, coaches, and maybe most of all the officials are tired. Getting to Champ Week gives everyone a little jolt of energy.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, February 27


NJ Tech @ Lipscomb

Game 551-552
February 27, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NJ Tech
42.783
Lipscomb
57.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Lipscomb
by 15
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Lipscomb
by 9
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Lipscomb
(-9); Over

Jacksonville @ North Florida

Game 549-550
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
47.427
North Florida
46.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 1
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Florida
by 4
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+4); Under

Kennesaw St @ SC-Upstate

Game 547-548
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kennesaw St
49.529
SC-Upstate
49.060
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kennesaw St
Even
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SC-Upstate
by 3 1/2
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kennesaw St
(+3 1/2); Under

Stetson @ FL-Gulf Coast

Game 545-546
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stetson
43.343
FL-Gulf Coast
57.506
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FL-Gulf Coast
by 12 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FL-Gulf Coast
by 14 1/2
155
Dunkel Pick:
Stetson
(+14 1/2); Under

Norfolk State @ Hampton

Game 543-544
February 27, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Norfolk State
47.343
Hampton
41.123
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Norfolk State
by 6
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hampton
by 2 1/2
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Norfolk State
(+2 1/2); Over

E Tenn State @ NC-Greensboro

Game 541-542
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
E Tenn State
55.881
NC-Greensboro
61.973
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 6
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
E Tenn State
by 2 1/2
143 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC-Greensboro
(+2 1/2); Over

VMI @ Western Carolina

Game 539-540
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
VMI
47.648
Western Carolina
42.281
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
VMI
by 5 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Carolina
by 3 1/2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
VMI
(+3 1/2); Under

Chattanooga @ The Citadel

Game 537-538
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chattanooga
55.260
The Citadel
44.759
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chattanooga
by 10 1/2
185
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chattanooga
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Chattanooga
N/A

Samford @ Mercer

Game 535-536
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Samford
44.893
Mercer
59.481
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 14 1/2
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mercer
by 5
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mercer
(-5); Under

Miami-FL @ Virginia Tech

Game 533-534
February 27, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
66.657
Virginia Tech
70.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 4
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 1
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-1); Under

Georgia Southern @ AR-Little Rock

Game 531-532
February 27, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
55.197
AR-Little Rock
48.508
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 6 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
AR-Little Rock
by 1 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(+1 1/2); Over

Oklahoma @ Kansas

Game 529-530
February 27, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
57.350
Kansas
80.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas
by 23
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas
by 13 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(-13 1/2); Under

Georgia State @ Arkansas St

Game 527-528
February 27, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
58.130
Arkansas St
53.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 4
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 1
140
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(+1); Over

Troy @ TX-Arlington

Game 525-526
February 27, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
49.422
TX-Arlington
67.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-Arlington
by 18
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-Arlington
by 9 1/2
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TX-Arlington
(-9 1/2); Over

South Alabama @ Texas State

Game 523-524
February 27, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
49.368
Texas State
56.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 7
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas State
by 4
126 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(-4); Over

LA-Lafayette @ Appalachian St

Game 521-522
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
53.333
Appalachian St
57.739
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 4 1/2
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 4
166 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(+4); Under

LA-Monroe @ Coastal Carolina

Game 519-520
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
48.007
Coastal Carolina
49.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 1 1/2
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 6 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(+6 1/2); Under

West Virginia @ Baylor

Game 517-518
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
78.365
Baylor
73.478
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 5
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(+2); Over

North Carolina @ Virginia

Game 515-516
February 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
79.866
Virginia
72.795
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 7
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 1 1/2
130
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-1 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 27

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N CAROLINA (25 - 5) at VIRGINIA (19 - 9) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 290-237 ATS (+29.3 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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W VIRGINIA (23 - 6) at BAYLOR (23 - 6) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
BAYLOR is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
BAYLOR is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 3-3 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 3-3 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LA-MONROE (8 - 20) at COASTAL CAROLINA (14 - 15) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA-MONROE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons




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LA-LAFAYETTE (17 - 11) at APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 19) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA-LAFAYETTE is 4-0 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
LA-LAFAYETTE is 4-0 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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S ALABAMA (13 - 15) at TEXAS ST (16 - 11) - 2/27/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 119-153 ATS (-49.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 4-1 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS ST is 4-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TROY (16 - 13) at TX-ARLINGTON (22 - 6) - 2/27/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
TROY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 3-2 against the spread versus TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 3-2 straight up against TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GEORGIA ST (18 - 10) at ARKANSAS ST (19 - 9) - 2/27/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 2-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 3-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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OKLAHOMA (10 - 18) at KANSAS (26 - 3) - 2/27/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GA SOUTHERN (18 - 11) at ARK-LITTLE ROCK (13 - 15) - 2/27/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 2-1 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-2 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MIAMI (20 - 8) at VIRGINIA TECH (20 - 8) - 2/27/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 134-92 ATS (+32.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MIAMI is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
MIAMI is 119-84 ATS (+26.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 119-84 ATS (+26.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 110-78 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MIAMI is 109-78 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MIAMI is 136-101 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MIAMI is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MIAMI is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAMFORD (17 - 13) at MERCER (14 - 16) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAMFORD is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAMFORD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games this season.
SAMFORD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
SAMFORD is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MERCER is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MERCER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MERCER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MERCER is 4-1 against the spread versus SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
MERCER is 5-0 straight up against SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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UT-CHATTANOOGA (19 - 10) at THE CITADEL (10 - 20) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 3-2 against the spread versus UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 5-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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VMI (6 - 22) at W CAROLINA (8 - 22) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
W CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus VMI over the last 3 seasons
W CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against VMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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E TENN ST (24 - 6) at UNC-GREENSBORO (22 - 8) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-2 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 3-2 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NORFOLK ST (15 - 14) at HAMPTON (12 - 15) - 2/27/2017, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
HAMPTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NORFOLK ST over the last 3 seasons
NORFOLK ST is 4-2 straight up against HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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STETSON (11 - 20) at FLA GULF COAST (23 - 7) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
STETSON is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA GULF COAST over the last 3 seasons
FLA GULF COAST is 6-1 straight up against STETSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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KENNESAW ST (13 - 17) at USC UPSTATE (17 - 14) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
USC UPSTATE is 1-0 against the spread versus KENNESAW ST over the last 3 seasons
USC UPSTATE is 4-3 straight up against KENNESAW ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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JACKSONVILLE (17 - 14) at N FLORIDA (13 - 18) - 2/27/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
N FLORIDA is 6-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons




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NEW JERSEY TECH (11 - 19) at LIPSCOMB (19 - 12) - 2/27/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
LIPSCOMB is 3-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY TECH over the last 3 seasons




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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 27

Virginia lost five of last seven games; they lost last two home games, scoring 55-48 points. North Carolina won/covered its last four games; they’re 3-4 as road favorites (5-3 SU), with wins by 24 at NC State, 18 at Pitt in last two away games. UNC hammered Virginia 65-41 at home nine days ago; Cavaliers were 2-20 on arc, were -18 on boards in game that was 34-22 at the half. Teams split last eight series games; Carolina lost its last three visits here, by 9-15-5 points. ACC road favorites of 3 or less points are 7-4-1 vs spread this season.

Baylor is 3-5 in its last eight games after a 20-1 start; they’re 6-2 as a home favorite, with pair of 2-point losses, to K-State/Kansas. Bears turned ball over 29 times in 89-68 loss at West Virginia Jan 10; Baylor lost last three series games by 11-11-21 points. Teams split four series games played here. West Virginia won five of its last six games; their last two road games were decided by a total of five points- they’re 2-0 as an underdog this year. Baylor turns ball over 22% of time, worst in Big X. Big X home favorites of 3 or less points are 3-8 vs spread.

Coastal Carolina lost two of its last three games; they’re 6-2 vs spread at home in Sun Belt, with only losses both by two points, to Texas State/ULL. Chanticleers are 3-1 as a home favorite. UL-Monroe snapped 5-game skid with an upset win at App State Saturday; War Hawks are 1-7 on Sun Belt road, 4-4 as a road underdog, with losses by 4-31-9-16-6-14 points. ULM is last in Sun Belt in five of nine offensive metrics. Coastal has best 3-point defense in league; opponents are allowing 31.9% on arc. Sun Belt home favorites of 7 or less points are 17-20 vs spread.

Appalachian State lost its last three games, by 13-10-11 points; they’re 3-4 at home in league games, 2-2 as a home underdog- they’re 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games. UL-Lafayette is 4-0 vs Appalachian State in Sun Belt games; Cajuns won 80-64/87-76 in its two visits here. ULL won its last three games, last two by total of three points; they’re 4-4 on Sun Belt road, 2-1 as a road favorite. ULL is last in four of nine defensive metrics in league; road team is 11-4 vs spread in their Sun Belt games. Sun Belt road favorites of 4+ points are 4-8 vs spread this season.

Texas State won six of last nine games, covered six of last eight; they’re 3-2 as a home favorite, with home wins by 9-8-6-7-4-4 points. South Alabama lost three of last four games, is 5-3 vs spread as a road underdog, 2-6 SU on road- their last four road losses were all by 11+ points. USA made 10-24 on arc in 72-67 OT win over Texas State Jan 14; Jaguars are 3-4 vs TSU in series games- they lost by 1-11 points in two visits here. Sun Belt home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-14 against the spread this season.

Troy made 17-25 on arc in 93-71 home win over Tex-Arlington Jan 14; UTA got to foul line 33 times but was just 4-25 on the arc. Trojans won four of last five games, are 6-1 vs spread as a road underdog- all six of their conference losses are by six or less points. Arlington won six in a row, 10 of last 11 games; four of their last six wins were by 10+ points- they’re 5-2-1 as a home favorite, Teams split two meetings here, with games decided by total of four points. Sun Belt home favorites of 9+ points are 7-4-1 vs spread this season.

Georgia State is 10-3 in its last 13 games, with all three losses by 5 or less points; they are 5-3 on Sun Belt road. Panthers are 6-1 vs Arkansas State in Sun Belt games; they won two of three visits to ASU, with two of those games going OT. Red Wolves lost three of last four games, are 7-1 at home in league games, with only loss by 12 to Georgia Southern Saturday. ASU is 4-4 as a home favorite. State has best eFG% in Sun Belt, on both offense and defense. Road teams are 8-4-1 vs number in Sun Belt games where spread was 2 or less points.

Georgia Southern is 3-4 on Sun Belt road; they allowed 78+ points in all five conference losses, are 8-0 in Sun Belt when allowing less than 78 points. Southern/Little Rock split four Sun Belt meetings, going 1-1 in each gym; three of the four games were decided by 13+ points. Trojans lost their last nine games, are 0-4 vs spread in last four; they’re 2-6 at home, 0-8 vs spread, 0-5 as a home favorite. Southern is shooting 39.9% on arc, best in the league. Road teams are 8-4-1 vs number in Sun Belt games where spread was 2 or less points.

Kansas won its last six games, covering last three; they’re 2-6 as a home favorite, with wins at home by 2-17-7-12-5-4-19 points, and loss to Iowa State. Oklahoma covered its last four games (2-2 SU); they’re 5-2-1 as road underdogs, with road losses by 3-11-1-8-16-4-6 points. Kansas made 12-27 on arc in 81-70 win at Oklahoma Jan 10; Jayhawks won six of last seven series games. Sooners lost last eight visits here- they lost 109-106 in triple OT here LY. Double digit home favorites are 3-15-1 vs spread in Big X games this season.

Miami won its last four games; quick turnaround for them after its home win over Duke. ‘canes are 3-4 on ACC road, 3-1 as road underdog- they allowed 56 pts/game in their last four games. Virginia Tech won four of its last five games; they’re 6-1 at home in ACC, 1-4 vs spread as a home favorite. Miami beat Tech 74-68 at home Feb 8; Hurricanes won seven of last eight games vs Tech- teams split last four played here. Miami lost 77-62 in Blacksburg LY. ACC home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-9 against the spread this season.

Mercer made 14-25 on arc in 68-65 win at Samford Jan 11; Bears were down 5 with 7:55 left, rallied to win 5th straight game vs Samford- they won by 24-19 in last two meetings here. Mercer is is 3-5 in its last eight games, losing last three home games; they’re 3-3 as a home favorite. Samford lost as a 13-point favorite Saturday; they’re 2-5 in last seven games, 4-1 as a road underdog- seven of their last eight losses were by 6 or less points or in overtime. SoCon home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-14-2 this season.

Chattanooga lost its last three games, is 4-6 in its last ten; they’re 4-4 on SoCon road, 2-4 as a road favorite. Mocs’ senior G McLean got hurt Saturday (check status). UTC outscored Citadel 23-13 in foul line in 83-73 home win over the Bulldogs Jan 11; Citadel snapped an 11-game skid Saturday; they’re 2-4 as a SoCon home underdog. Mocs won last eight series games, winning last five visits here, by 1-5-4-19-6 points. UTC plays slowest tempo games in league, Citadel plays 2nd-fastest tempo in entire country. SoCon road favorites are 13-12 vs spread.

VMI lost its last five games, is 2-5-1 vs spread as a SoCon road underdog, with road losses by 27-18-5-18-17-19-7 points- their only road win was as a 20-point underdog. WCU lost seven of last eight games; they’re 2-6 at home in SoCon- this is first time they’ve been favored in a game this season. VMI made 13-34 on arc, nipped Western Carolina 79-78 at home Jan 12; Keydets are 2-3 in last five series games- teams split last two meetings in Cullowhee. SoCon home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-6 this season.

NC-Greensboro made 13-20 on arc in 83-79 upset win at East Tennessee State Jan 12, after trailing by 10 early on. Spartans won their last six games, are 6-2 at home in SoCon, with losses by 6 to Furman, 11 to Samford. East Tennessee also won its last six games, covering four of last five; they’re 4-3 as a road favorite, with road wins by 44-9-10-10-14-16 points with losses at Furman/Wofford. ETSU is 3-2 in SoCon meetings; teams split last two played here. SoCon road favorites of 4 or less points are 2-3 against the spread.

[Udog]

NCAAB

Monday, February 27

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
VMI vs. WESTERN CAROLINA
No trends available
Western Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against VMI
Western Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing VMI

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FEBRUARY 27, 7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games on the road
Appalachian State is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
Appalachian State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games

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FEBRUARY 27, 7:00 PM
CHATTANOOGA vs. THE CITADEL
Chattanooga is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against The Citadel
Chattanooga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against The Citadel
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of The Citadel's last 5 games
The Citadel is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games

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FEBRUARY 27, 7:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. BAYLOR
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 7 games on the road
West Virginia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

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FEBRUARY 27, 7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. COASTAL CAROLINA
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
No trends available

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FEBRUARY 27, 7:00 PM
SAMFORD vs. MERCER
Samford is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Samford's last 7 games on the road
No trends available

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FEBRUARY 27, 7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. VIRGINIA
North Carolina is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
North Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 9 games when playing at home against North Carolina
Virginia is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

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FEBRUARY 27, 7:00 PM
EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. UNC GREENSBORO
No trends available
UNC Greensboro is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing East Tennessee State
UNC Greensboro is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing East Tennessee State

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FEBRUARY 27, 8:00 PM
TROY vs. TEXAS-ARLINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Troy's last 9 games on the road
Troy is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas-Arlington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas-Arlington's last 5 games at home

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FEBRUARY 27, 8:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. ARKANSAS STATE
Georgia State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arkansas State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Georgia State
Arkansas State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgia State

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FEBRUARY 27, 8:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. TEXAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games on the road
South Alabama is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Texas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Alabama
Texas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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FEBRUARY 27, 9:00 PM
MIAMI vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games when playing Miami

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FEBRUARY 27, 9:00 PM
GEORGIA SOUTHERN vs. ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
Georgia Southern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia Southern is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arkansas-Little Rock is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Arkansas-Little Rock is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

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FEBRUARY 27, 9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. KANSAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma
Kansas is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Oklahoma


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[Udog]

College basketball fans have a betting edge with these NIT rules changes

“My take on it is that it’s gonna help the teams that are very high-scoring teams. It’s gonna make the totals a little higher.”

The NCAA is eyeing another step toward creating more possessions and more scoring in college basketball, floating a couple trial balloons in the upcoming National Invitation Tournament. And those adjustments should have alarm bells going off in the heads of college basketball bettors as the postseason draws near.

The first change eliminates the 1-and-1 free-throw situation, while also ostensibly breaking the game into quarters without actually doing so. Presently, a team would shoot the 1-and-1 after its opponent commits seven fouls in a half, and would get two free throws when 10 fouls are reached.

During the NIT, a team will get two shots after the opponents’ fifth and subsequent fouls in the first 10 minutes. Then, at the 10-minute mark, both teams’ foul totals will reset to zero and a team will again be awarded two shots after an opponents’ fifth and subsequent fouls. The second half will unfold the same way.

The second change again involves the shot clock. In 2015, the NIT experimented with a 30-second clock, instead of 35, and the NCAA put the 30-second clock into full effect for the 2015-16 season. Now, for inbounds plays in the frontcourt due to a foul or play being stopped due to a bleeding player/blood on a uniform, the shot clock will remain the same as when play stopped or reset to 20 seconds, whichever is greater, rather than resetting to the full 30 seconds.

The changes should lead to more offense, which means college hoops oddsmakers will have to adjust their numbers for the NIT before, during, and even after - if the NCAA writes these new rules in stone across the country next season.

“It’s very tricky,” said Scott Kaminsky, director for offshore sportsbook TheGreek.com. “My take on it is that it’s gonna help the teams that are very high-scoring teams. It’s gonna make the totals a little higher.”

But it could also hurt a high-scoring team such as West Virginia, which averages 84.5 points per game (14th nationally) but plays end-to-end on offense and defense to do so.

“West Virginia always does the full-court press, and they commit more fouls than an average team,” Kaminsky said, alluding to the Mountaineers’ average of 20.6 fouls per game, among the most of any team in the nation. “You’re gonna have more possessions, you’re gonna have more fouls, the totals are gonna be higher. If you get to five fouls at the 15-minute mark, the other team is shooting two free throws until the 10-minute mark.”

Kaminsky said the change in totals won’t be as dramatic as when the shot-clock shifted from 35 to 30 seconds. Just three weeks into the 2015-16 season, the average final combined score was 146 points, up a whopping 13 points from the 2014-15 season average.

“The shot clock going to 30, that was worth six to eight points (on average),” he said. “This is gonna be more subtle. A total of 159, maybe now it should be 162. But that’s something. That’s an edge if you can figure it out – teams that foul more.”

Kaminsky added the opposite would likely hold true for a low-scoring, plodding team such as Virginia, which might not commit nor take five fouls in 10 minutes’ time.

Aaron Kessler, supervisor and oddsmaker at the Golden Nugget in downtown Las Vegas, wasn’t as concerned with totals as he was with teams that are behind having one less tool to catch up.

“I like the 1-and-1, and this takes that strategy away,” he said. “I think what it’s gonna do is turn games into more of a free-throw-shooting contest. Teams that shoot free throws better will benefit.”

South Point sportsbook director Chris Andrews, speaking to both changes, enjoined points from both Kaminsky and Kessler.

“The total, you’ve got to tick up a little bit. That’s the first thing I saw when I looked at it,” Andrews said. “Second, the game is really being geared toward shooters. It’s really a shooting match, whereas there used to be strategy. I don’t know that they need to do that.”

Andrews added that the expected increase in possessions and/or scoring would seem to benefit favorites. Maybe.

“I think that makes a lot of sense,” he said. “But compare it to college football, way back when they decided to stop the clock after every first down. My thought was that would greatly help favorites. I’m not sure that really wound up happening. We thought that’s what would happen in football, and we think that again with this. But it might not happen.”

Should the NIT changes gain full implementation, Kaminsky seems more certain that it’s a big win for favorites.

“These rules are gonna help the better team,” he said. “I think you’ll have less upsets, since you’ll have a few more possessions where the clock resets to 20. You might get six extra possessions. Another reason why you might have a few less upsets is that the better team, leading at the end, is now gonna get two shots at it from the free-throw line. That gives the weaker team less of a chance to rally and come back at the end.”

And considering upsets are arguably the best part of college basketball – think court-storming and Cinderella stories – these changes might not be such a good thing.

“For the pros, I don’t give a damn, but upsets are cool in college,” Kaminsky said. “And there aren’t gonna be as many.”

Kessler summarized, “I think these are changes for the sake of change. I’m not very fond of them.”